There are only 4 teams left, and the team that was picked to win it all is gone, so now the team that I originally picked to lose in the Finals is the new favorite to take home the title. Here are each team's odds of reaching and winning the Finals, with change since Saturday in parentheses:
Odds of Reaching NBA Finals
(3) Warriors - 62.9% (+13.6)
(2) Celtics - 59.7% (+22.3)
(1) Heat - 40.3% (-8.1)
(4) Mavericks - 37.1% (+25.0)
Miami is the only team who took a hit in this group, because they ended up with the tougher opponent for this upcoming round. Boston and Dallas both got huge boosts from winning Game 7, while Golden State got a boost because they now have unexpected home court in the Conference Finals.
Odds of Winning NBA Finals
(2) Celtics - 35.8% (+15.9)
(3) Warriors - 29.7% (+4.5)
(1) Heat - 21.1% (-1.0)
(4) Mavericks - 13.4% (+8.8)
Boston took over as the favorite to win the title, a position they have held a couple of times previously in this playoff run, and they are also now the best team in the league this season, surpassing the Suns, who had occupied the #1 spot for the past 5 months. Golden State and Miami also have a very good chance at winning it all, while Dallas is not a complete longshot.
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