All 4 lower seeds won over the past 2 days when they arrived on their home courts, leaving all 4 series standing at 2-1, with the #1 and #3 seeds leading in each case. Here is how each team's odds stand as of today of advancing through each round and winning the title, with change from Thursday in parentheses:
Odds of Reaching Conference Finals
(1) Suns - 82.8% (-8.7)
(1) Heat - 75.9% (-11.4)
(3) Warriors - 73.2% (+18.8)
(3) Bucks - 57.1% (+19.0)
(2) Celtics - 42.9% (-19.0)
(2) Grizzlies - 26.8% (-18.8)
(4) 76ers - 24.1% (+11.4)
(4) Mavericks - 17.2% (+8.7)
Milwaukee's narrow victory over Boston in the closing seconds yesterday gave them a huge boost, since Boston now needs to win 4 out of 5 just to move on. The Celtics' two losses have both been very close, so they still have a strong chance of pulling it off, but the Bucks are back to being the favorites in that series.
Odds of Reaching NBA Finals
(1) Suns - 50.3% (-7.3)
(1) Heat - 38.0% (-4.5)
(3) Warriors - 33.3% (+11.2)
(2) Celtics - 26.7% (-10.3)
(3) Bucks - 26.5% (+10.0)
(2) Grizzlies - 10.5% (-6.9)
(4) 76ers - 8.8% (+4.7)
(4) Mavericks - 5.9% (+2.9)
Golden State had the double benefit of beating Memphis and seeing Phoenix lose, which gave them the largest jump this cycle, while Milwaukee also saw a huge jump from a very similar circumstance, though their win wasn't quite as dominant.
Odds of Winning NBA Finals
(1) Suns - 32.6% (-3.7)
(3) Warriors - 18.8% (+7.4)
(1) Heat - 15.6% (-1.9)
(2) Celtics - 13.4% (-4.9)
(3) Bucks - 9.2% (+3.7)
(2) Grizzlies - 5.4% (-3.4)
(4) 76ers - 2.6% (+1.5)
(4) Mavericks - 2.4% (+1.3)
Golden State is the big winner of the past 2 days, with Boston being the biggest loser because of a tip-in that came just a split second too late.
No comments:
Post a Comment