Saturday, November 30, 2019

Basketball Predictions - 1 Dec

Upset picks are in italics.

NBA

Miami at Brooklyn - Heat by 5
Memphis at Minnesota - Timberwolves by 9
Boston at New York - Celtics by 11
Dallas at LA Lakers - Lakers by 3.5
Oklahoma City at New Orleans - Pelicans by 1
San Antonio at Detroit - Pistons by 0.5
Utah at Toronto - Raptors by 7
Golden State at Orlando - Magic by 8.5
Washington at LA Clippers - Clippers by 9.5

NCAA

Texas A&M vs. Fairfield - Stags by 5
North Dakota vs. Campbell - Camels by 2.5
Mercer vs. Canisius - Griffins by 2.5
(5) Maryland vs. Marquette - Terrapins by 3
Central Connecticut at UMass Lowell - River Hawks by 24
Maine at UConn - Huskies by 13.5
Long Beach State vs. Penn - Quakers by 4
Pine Manor at Sacred Heart - Pioneers by 24.5
Southern at Tulane - Green Wave by 15
Maryland-Eastern Shore at Fordham - Rams by 12.5
Rhode Island at West Virginia - Mountaineers by 15
George Washington at South Carolina - Gamecocks by 14
Vermont at Yale - Bulldogs by 10.5
Hofstra vs. Holy Cross - Pride by 16.5
Montana at New Mexico - Lobos by 13
Temple vs. Davidson - Owls by 3
Southern Illinois at Saint Louis - Billikens by 13.5
Towson at Cornell - Big Red by 3
Southern Utah at Loyola Marymount - Lions by 2.5
Charleston vs. UCF - Cougars by 3
UNC Wilmington at Stanford - Cardinal by 23.5
Niagara at Norfolk State - Spartans by 9
Jackson State at Air Force - Falcons by 13
Utah Valley at Colorado State - Rams by 7
Georgia Southern at Florida Gulf Coast - GSU Eagles by 8
Portland State at Oregon State - Beavers by 15
UIC at FAU - Owls by 13
Providence vs. Pepperdine - Friars by 3
Binghamton at Loyola (MD) - Greyhounds by 10
Harvard vs. USC - Trojans by 3.5
Bethune-Cookman at Georgia Tech - Yellowjackets by 16.5
La Salle at (22) Villanova - Wildcats by 16.5
San Jose State at UCLA - Bruins by 14
Incarnate Word at Portland - Pilots by 24
Omaha at Saint Mary's - Gaels by 10
Wake Forest vs. (14) Arizona - Wildcats by 5.5
St. Bonaventure vs. San Diego - Toreros by 3
Hawaii Pacific at Hawaii - Warriors by 28

Results

NBA: 3-1 (.750) 193-90 overall (.682)
Upsets: 26-30 overall (.464)
NCAA: 48-16 (.750) 1135-287 overall (.798)
Upsets: 1-4 (.200) 65-86 overall (.430)

NBA Rankings - 30 Nov

The Milwaukee Bucks did not lose a game over the last 2 weeks, so they were able to keep their spot at the top of the rankings, but the hottest team over that stretch was Dallas, who went 6-1, including consecutive 40-point blowouts of Cleveland and Golden State. Luka Doncic averaged a triple-double over the month of March, just the third player ever to achieve the feat, and he could join the other two in averaging a triple-double over an entire season. Here are my full current rankings and playoff picks:





Record
Proj



Rank
LW
Team
Rating
W
L
W
L
MOV
SOS
Seed
1
1
Milwaukee
-8.351
16
3
66
16
1
13
E1
2
4
Toronto
-7.216
14
4
63
19
3
16
E2
3
2
LA Lakers
-6.904
17
2
63
19
2
29
W1
4
13
Dallas
-5.458
12
6
56
26
4
25
W2
5
5
Boston
-4.892
13
5
57
25
6
17
E4
6
3
Miami
-4.871
13
5
57
25
5
24
E3
7
8
LA Clippers
-4.732
14
6
56
26
8
14
W4
8
11
Denver
-4.294
13
3
56
26
10
18
W3
9
9
Houston
-3.798
12
6
54
28
11
5
W5
10
10
Philadelphia
-3.123
13
6
52
30
7
23
E5
11
7
Utah
-2.135
12
7
49
33
12
10
W6
12
12
Indiana
-1.681
12
6
47
35
9
30
E6
13
6
Phoenix
-0.949
8
10
43
39
13
15
W7
14
19
Portland
0.9835
8
12
38
44
15
9

15
18
Minnesota
1.205
10
8
39
43
14
21
W8
16
17
Oklahoma City
1.3387
7
11
37
45
17
11

17
15
Orlando
1.459
7
11
37
45
18
12
E8
18
20
Sacramento
2.1676
7
10
36
46
20
4

19
16
Washington
2.3802
6
11
35
47
19
7

20
22
Brooklyn
2.4915
10
9
37
45
16
26
E7
21
26
New Orleans
2.7129
6
13
33
49
24
2

22
24
San Antonio
3.6921
7
13
31
51
21
19

23
25
Detroit
5.2393
6
13
27
55
22
28

24
14
Cleveland
5.5474
5
14
27
55
26
3

25
21
Chicago
5.6293
6
14
26
56
23
27

26
23
Atlanta
6.2213
4
15
25
57
29
1

27
29
Golden State
7.5596
4
16
20
62
28
6

28
28
Charlotte
7.575
8
12
24
58
25
22

29
27
Memphis
8.024
5
13
21
61
30
8

30
30
New York
8.3859
4
15
19
63
27
20


Playoff Picks

First Round

(1) Bucks over (8) Magic
(2) Raptors over (7) Nets
(3) Heat over (6) Pacers
(4) Celtics over (5) 76ers
(1) Lakers over (8) Timberwolves
(2) Mavericks over (7) Suns
(3) Nuggets over (6) Jazz
(5) Rockets over (4) Clippers

Second Round

(1) Bucks over (4) Celtics
(2) Raptors over (3) Heat
(1) Lakers over (5) Rockets
(2) Mavericks over (3) Nuggets

Conference Finals

(1) Bucks over (2) Raptors
(1) Lakers over (2) Mavericks

NBA Finals

(1) Bucks over (1) Lakers