Monday, December 31, 2018

Basketball Predictions - 1 Jan

Upset picks are in italics.
Pick of the Day in bold.

NBA

Utah at Toronto - Raptors by 3.5
Detroit at Milwaukee - Bucks by 11.5
New York at Denver - Nuggets by 14.5
Portland at Sacramento - Kings by 0.5
Philadelphia at LA Clippers - Clippers by 3

NCAA

Notre Dame at (10) Virginia Tech - Hokies by 18.5
Winthrop at (9) Florida State - Seminoles by 16
Mars Hill at Radford - Highlanders by 32.5
CSU Northridge at San Diego State - Aztecs by 17
(16) Marquette at St. John's - Red Storm by 3
CSU Fullerton at Washington - Huskies by 12.5

Results

NBA: 7-0 (1.000) 345-203 overall (.630)
Upsets: 1-0 (1.000) 47-50 overall (.485)
NCAA: 13-6 (.684) 2029-486 overall (.807)
Upsets: 0-1 (.000) 99-112 overall (.469)
Pick of the Day: 52-2 (.963)

NCAA Basketball Rankings - 31 Dec

Duke is easily the best team in the country still, but the hottest team of the week was Florida, who destroyed Butler this week 77-43, which boosted them up to an 8-seed in my latest bracket. Iowa, meanwhile, nearly lost a cupcake home game against Bryant, which dropped the Hawkeyes 15 spots in my rankings, though they are still safely in as a 9-seed at this point. Here are my full current rankings, with projected conference champs in bold, at large teams underlined, and teams whose in/out status changed in italics.





Record

TW
LW
Team
Rating
W
L
MOV
SOS
1
1
Duke
-25.84
11
1
1
41
2
2
Michigan State
-20.88
11
2
7
31
3
4
Gonzaga
-20.31
12
2
10
30
4
5
Virginia
-20.28
11
0
3
210
5
3
Virginia Tech
-20.15
11
1
2
164
6
6
North Carolina
-18.6
9
3
23
25
7
7
Michigan
-17.93
13
0
11
134
8
9
Texas Tech
-17.11
11
1
5
257
9
13
Nevada
-17.02
13
0
22
63
10
8
Nebraska
-16.97
11
2
6
203
11
12
Oklahoma
-16.76
11
1
53
5
12
11
Kansas
-16.53
11
1
62
10
13
15
Tennessee
-16.3
11
1
16
168
14
19
Auburn
-16.11
11
2
20
157
15
10
Wisconsin
-16.07
10
3
36
16
16
17
NC State
-15.81
12
1
4
307
17
14
Ohio State
-15.3
12
1
29
123
18
16
Iowa State
-15.24
10
2
18
196
19
24
Mississippi State
-15.22
12
1
44
73
20
20
Cincinnati
-15.17
11
2
34
113
21
22
Purdue
-14.88
8
5
86
3
22
21
Florida State
-14.84
11
1
38
84
23
23
Buffalo
-14.78
12
1
19
95
24
32
Kentucky
-14.47
10
2
54
96
25
18
Utah State
-14.28
10
3
8
190
26
37
Florida
-14.18
8
4
70
29
27
26
TCU
-14.13
11
1
27
194
28
25
Indiana
-14.1
11
2
48
90
29
29
Marquette
-13.45
11
2
59
114
30
34
Ole Miss
-12.97
10
2
31
151
31
31
Villanova
-12.75
9
4
72
37
32
27
Lipscomb
-12.72
9
4
25
128
33
38
UCF
-12.26
10
2
43
197
34
35
San Francisco
-12.26
12
2
14
303
35
42
Creighton
-12.2
9
4
96
48
36
41
Maryland
-12.2
10
3
69
131
37
28
Louisville
-12.13
9
4
121
33
38
45
Houston
-12.09
13
0
35
268
39
48
Clemson
-11.91
10
3
91
66
40
30
Butler
-11.89
9
4
107
22
41
49
Toledo
-11.89
12
1
15
287
42
43
LSU
-11.43
10
3
81
99
43
47
St. John's
-11.35
12
1
37
219
44
50
Wofford
-11.24
10
4
21
265
45
36
Murray State
-11.21
9
2
13
308
46
44
Belmont
-11.05
9
2
56
83
47
46
Texas
-11.03
8
4
158
40
48
33
Iowa
-10.77
11
2
68
165
49
40
Kansas State
-10.5
10
2
74
108
50
51
VCU
-10.38
9
4
146
24
51
39
Arizona State
-10.36
9
3
132
47
52
53
Saint Mary's
-10.34
9
6
78
105
53
62
Ball State
-10.08
9
4
52
119
54
70
Hofstra
-10.03
12
3
26
283
55
54
Northwestern
-9.949
9
4
79
183
56
57
Arizona
-9.862
9
4
125
57
57
55
Penn State
-9.787
7
6
156
12
58
76
Liberty
-9.736
11
4
17
316
59
69
East Tennessee State
-9.656
11
4
32
246
60
68
Arkansas
-9.602
9
3
82
217
61
56
Pittsburgh
-9.533
10
3
42
285
62
58
Seton Hall
-9.455
10
3
157
35
63
74
New Mexico State
-9.452
11
3
61
243
64
72
Oregon
-9.451
9
4
85
130
65
64
Dayton
-9.16
8
5
164
45
66
59
Vanderbilt
-9.117
8
3
92
199
67
63
Washington
-9.037
8
4
171
18
68
67
Temple
-9.024
10
2
101
69
69
60
Austin Peay
-9.021
8
5
41
152
70
82
Syracuse
-8.953
9
4
118
156
71
66
UNC Greensboro
-8.804
13
2
30
275
72
84
Texas State
-8.788
11
2
9
330
73
52
Fresno State
-8.716
9
3
51
298
74
75
Alabama
-8.66
9
3
152
54
75
81
Xavier
-8.563
9
5
155
38
76
61
Minnesota
-8.43
11
2
113
125
77
65
San Diego
-8.402
11
4
73
163
78
85
Georgia Tech
-8.329
7
5
112
118
79
79
Providence
-8.17
10
3
116
138
80
87
Yale
-8.122
7
3
99
59
81
77
Miami
-8.101
8
4
102
177
82
109
South Dakota State
-8.038
11
5
33
304
83
83
Oregon State
-7.997
8
4
89
169
84
123
Brown
-7.862
9
4
60
185
85
111
Georgia
-7.502
8
4
104
192
86
102
North Texas
-7.458
13
1
12
351
87
90
Gardner-Webb
-7.409
10
5
24
306
88
86
Rutgers
-7.408
7
5
160
70
89
95
Old Dominion
-7.262
10
3
64
264
90
104
Georgia Southern
-7.125
8
5
90
129
91
91
Missouri
-7.061
9
3
148
127
92
112
Saint Louis
-6.94
9
4
169
75
93
100
Connecticut
-6.933
9
4
122
229
94
71
Notre Dame
-6.926
10
3
98
274
95
97
Charleston
-6.91
12
2
77
180
96
105
Memphis
-6.902
8
5
153
137
97
124
Baylor
-6.895
8
4
95
238
98
78
Penn
-6.84
10
3
75
198
99
73
UCLA
-6.801
7
6
246
23
100
89
Rhode Island
-6.73
7
5
114
110
101
108
Colorado
-6.594
9
3
55
252
102
116
Northern Kentucky
-6.562
12
3
57
310
103
115
West Virginia
-6.478
8
4
167
121
104
106
Vermont
-6.472
9
4
136
65
105
94
Akron
-6.401
8
5
47
332
106
92
Drake
-6.314
11
2
80
235
107
96
Davidson
-6.23
9
4
130
136
108
93
Oklahoma State
-6.188
6
6
191
27
109
88
Furman
-6.188
12
2
39
314
110
118
USC
-6.135
7
6
170
107
111
98
BYU
-6.033
8
7
137
122
112
121
Samford
-5.898
11
4
88
260
113
113
Loyola Marymount
-5.871
12
2
46
319
114
101
UC Irvine
-5.664
11
4
108
120
115
120
Loyola-Chicago
-5.584
7
6
133
189
116
107
Jacksonville State
-5.526
8
5
50
225
117
122
Radford
-5.374
7
6
128
88
118
114
Stanford
-5.362
7
5
196
39
119
127
Georgia State
-5.351
9
4
159
79
120
80
The Citadel
-5.346
9
3
49
326
121
139
Utah Valley
-5.227
11
4
97
195
122
128
Seattle
-5.168
12
3
45
349
123
148
Georgetown
-5.107
10
3
150
221
124
117
South Florida
-5.096
10
2
94
320
125
132
UC Santa Barbara
-4.95
10
3
67
296
126
133
Harvard
-4.921
6
5
154
19
127
151
Western Kentucky
-4.896
7
6
227
20
128
136
Grand Canyon
-4.842
7
6
147
176
129
110
Kent State
-4.829
10
2
105
230
130
126
Boston College
-4.781
9
2
142
262
131
130
Lehigh
-4.763
7
4
138
78
132
145
Louisiana Tech
-4.703
11
3
65
318
133
135
Marshall
-4.604
7
5
177
68
134
119
Illinois
-4.521
4
9
274
13
135
158
Stony Brook
-4.521
12
3
100
181
136
129
Tulsa
-4.481
10
3
161
214
137
134
Southern Illinois
-4.445
7
6
198
82
138
153
Montana
-4.399
8
4
111
179
139
138
SMU
-4.392
8
4
145
279
140
103
San Diego State
-4.385
7
5
173
155
141
131
Saint Joseph's
-4.335
7
5
192
101
142
140
Colgate
-4.304
8
5
117
115
143
137
Wichita State
-4.257
7
5
247
64
144
143
UL Monroe
-4.217
7
5
106
184
145
146
Winthrop
-4.174
8
4
58
305
146
125
Northeastern
-4.149
7
7
225
44
147
147
Abilene Christian
-4.059
11
2
28
353
148
152
Green Bay
-4.014
7
7
162
92
149
154
Northern Colorado
-3.947
7
5
71
271
150
99
Texas A&M
-3.931
6
5
182
191
151
162
Holy Cross
-3.835
9
4
172
85
152
149
Presbyterian
-3.679
7
7
87
242
153
144
Miami (OH)
-3.649
8
5
123
239
154
156
NJIT
-3.632
11
3
126
174
155
175
Bucknell
-3.609
6
6
216
51
156
157
Northern Illinois
-3.349
7
6
120
255
157
150
Massachusetts
-3.225
7
6
217
140
158
159
Mercer
-3.088
5
8
143
215
159
167
Rider
-2.974
5
7
200
43
160
141
DePaul
-2.928
8
4
139
315
161
164
Central Michigan
-2.747
11
2
40
347
162
166
Coastal Carolina
-2.536
6
6
84
297
163
161
Troy
-2.533
7
5
151
233
164
163
IUPUI
-2.518
8
7
135
216
165
178
Fort Wayne
-2.362
10
7
141
218
166
155
Southern Miss
-2.357
8
5
66
331
167
170
Bowling Green
-2.273
8
5
109
300
168
180
Duquesne
-2.226
9
3
193
259
169
194
Lamar
-2.213
7
6
63
334
170
160
Wright State
-2.19
7
8
185
223
171
179
Weber State
-1.988
7
5
134
286
172
172
Dartmouth
-1.873
9
6
115
295
173
173
Indiana State
-1.865
8
4
207
139
174
171
Ohio
-1.83
8
4
237
146
175
174
CS Fullerton
-1.761
4
9
215
93
176
169
American
-1.76
6
5
119
269
177
195
UMass Lowell
-1.752
8
7
144
209
178
185
Hartford
-1.679
6
8
228
150
179
142
UNLV
-1.672
6
6
229
186
180
168
Boise State
-1.663
5
8
190
173
181
183
South Carolina
-1.624
4
7
280
74
182
176
Western Michigan
-1.422
6
7
187
158
183
184
Louisiana
-1.245
9
4
131
277
184
191
Evansville
-1.201
6
7
197
170
185
165
Washington State
-1.19
7
6
163
322
186
207
George Mason
-1.115
6
7
231
182
187
177
Utah
-1.069
6
6
263
133
188
188
Boston University
-0.935
7
6
140
226
189
186
Cal Baptist
-0.91
8
5
83
343
190
196
Florida International
-0.72
9
4
76
352
191
198
Marist
-0.575
5
7
226
56
192
210
Oakland
-0.557
7
9
205
153
193
211
Florida Atlantic
-0.464
9
4
127
317
194
182
North Florida
-0.445
5
9
279
7
195
220
Detroit Mercy
-0.424
5
9
277
9
196
197
CSU Bakersfield
-0.346
8
4
129
294
197
237
Texas Southern
-0.191
5
8
262
8
198
193
North Dakota State
-0.171
6
9
256
103
199
190
Central Connecticut
-0.156
6
7
222
104
200
214
Missouri State
-0.08
6
7
209
207
201
181
Omaha
-0.002
7
8
212
144
202
189
Appalachian State
0.0381
5
8
165
222
203
204
Bradley
0.0513
8
5
175
284
204
212
Charleston Southern
0.0963
6
7
124
327
205
187
St. Bonaventure
0.1724
4
9
258
135
206
236
Eastern Kentucky
0.2321
7
6
189
263
207
201
Wake Forest
0.2453
6
5
254
200
208
242
Princeton
0.2573
7
5
234
124
209
218
Wagner
0.2823
5
6
214
175
210
251
New Mexico
0.3657
6
6
248
187
211
205
Campbell
0.3772
6
7
203
224
212
206
Hampton
0.5215
5
8
110
324
213
215
Columbia
0.5257
3
9
168
213
214
200
Fordham
0.575
9
4
149
350
215
213
Pepperdine
0.7569
6
7
188
253
216
209
St. Francis (PA)
0.8137
4
7
257
72
217
203
Sacramento State
0.8599
6
4
103
348
218
217
Pacific
0.8817
10
5
166
299
219
245
LIU Brooklyn
0.9044
6
6
213
193
220
208
Sacred Heart
0.9986
4
9
251
77
221
271
Longwood
1.0079
10
5
93
345
222
232
Houston Baptist
1.0718
4
7
245
100
223
249
Richmond
1.1331
6
7
230
301
224
226
Cornell
1.2826
6
7
239
147
225
238
Fairfield
1.3002
3
9
271
61
226
222
Quinnipiac
1.3046
5
6
250
162
227
230
Drexel
1.343
6
9
255
159
228
227
St. Francis (BKN)
1.4519
8
5
180
272
229
199
UAB
1.516
8
5
206
312
230
202
Western Illinois
1.5537
6
9
176
293
231
225
Delaware
1.5809
9
6
195
261
232
278
Idaho State
1.7068
5
5
204
178
233
255
Fairleigh Dickinson
1.7737
5
7
219
256
234
250
North Carolina Central
1.7803
5
9
174
251
235
240
Sam Houston State
1.8459
4
8
220
202
236
257
Santa Clara
1.8468
8
6
186
333
237
221
Grambling
1.8617
6
7
201
220
238
275
East Carolina
1.9164
7
5
184
341
239
234
Niagara
2.007
7
5
236
211
240
239
Norfolk State
2.0958
5
10
242
204
241
254
UT Rio Grande Valley
2.097
8
7
269
111
242
233
Hawaii
2.219
9
5
218
338
243
243
Little Rock
2.3206
5
8
221
276
244
241
Long Beach State
2.3309
5
10
292
50
245
219
UMKC
2.3351
5
10
264
109
246
267
UIC
2.3544
7
8
244
208
247
235
UNC Wilmington
2.4109
4
10
296
87
248
253
South Dakota
2.4936
6
8
224
280
249
282
Siena
2.5388
5
8
290
80
250
247
Portland State
2.5562
5
6
181
337
251
256
Valparaiso
2.5639
7
6
183
329
252
264
Army
2.5727
5
8
273
141
253
228
Jacksonville
2.6297
7
8
210
254
254
252
Eastern Illinois
2.6856
7
6
252
166
255
244
Illinois State
2.7309
7
6
285
188
256
229
Central Arkansas
2.7363
5
8
260
116
257
283
Robert Morris
2.7497
5
8
211
248
258
261
Eastern Michigan
2.75
6
7
253
258
259
266
William & Mary
2.7994
6
8
281
117
260
258
Morehead State
2.8512
4
9
287
106
261
270
UTEP
2.8704
5
6
249
309
262
265
Loyola (MD)
2.887
4
9
289
42
263
248
Southeast Missouri State
2.8946
5
8
238
245
264
263
UMBC
2.9044
7
7
194
313
265
231
California
2.9157
5
7
326
160
266
223
North Carolina A&T
2.9885
4
9
299
26
267
268
Chattanooga
3.0055
6
9
208
289
268
273
Prairie View A&M
3.0633
1
11
324
1
269
262
UT Arlington
3.1456
4
9
300
52
270
272
Arkansas State
3.2289
6
7
270
201
271
246
Northern Iowa
3.2893
5
8
311
161
272
224
South Alabama
3.3272
7
6
178
346
273
192
Southern Utah
3.3441
5
5
199
290
274
292
Towson
3.6011
5
9
235
249
275
216
Cleveland State
3.7321
5
10
276
236
276
287
High Point
3.7653
6
7
268
205
277
280
Canisius
3.8783
3
8
328
32
278
269
North Dakota
3.898
6
8
179
336
279
279
Nicholls
3.9946
7
6
202
288
280
297
Albany
4.0369
4
10
266
234
281
284
Iona
4.0759
2
9
317
46
282
276
VMI
4.1093
6
8
261
228
283
260
Howard
4.1283
6
8
240
247
284
277
UC Davis
4.1941
3
10
316
49
285
259
UT San Antonio
4.3845
6
7
241
311
286
288
Florida Gulf Coast
4.4329
5
10
294
126
287
281
Milwaukee
4.474
5
9
291
154
288
289
James Madison
4.479
7
8
233
282
289
298
Air Force
4.4856
5
7
278
266
290
285
South Carolina State
4.5868
2
13
313
11
291
330
Montana State
4.66
4
7
293
97
292
286
Bethune-Cookman
4.7211
5
9
265
232
293
290
Stephen F Austin
4.7991
7
5
243
335
294
293
Tennessee State
4.8125
3
9
282
142
295
300
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
5.0249
3
10
330
6
296
274
New Orleans
5.237
5
6
223
339
297
315
Saint Peter's
5.259
3
9
325
67
298
295
South Carolina Upstate
5.32
5
9
259
292
299
307
Texas A&M-CC
5.3888
5
8
232
340
300
291
North Alabama
5.394
3
12
303
71
301
294
Colorado State
5.4403
5
8
297
273
302
306
Maine
5.4899
2
12
323
60
303
304
Mt. St. Mary's
5.7578
3
10
315
62
304
302
Alabama State
5.8347
2
9
331
34
305
308
Middle Tennessee
5.8701
3
10
343
28
306
305
Denver
5.896
5
11
310
102
307
324
Oral Roberts
6.071
5
11
302
132
308
314
La Salle
6.1168
2
10
336
81
309
299
Youngstown State
6.2293
4
11
301
206
310
316
Morgan State
6.3684
5
7
298
148
311
296
Western Carolina
6.415
3
12
332
58
312
309
UC Riverside
6.4565
5
10
275
244
313
312
McNeese
6.4752
4
9
267
302
314
318
Tulane
6.5047
4
8
319
237
315
310
UT Martin
6.5268
5
6
272
291
316
301
Northern Arizona
6.5774
2
9
322
76
317
320
Lafayette
6.63
3
8
286
240
318
331
George Washington
6.6631
4
9
337
143
319
319
SE Louisiana
6.9054
4
9
306
172
320
321
Portland
7.1137
7
8
283
323
321
329
CSU Northridge
7.1545
6
8
295
270
322
313
Florida A&M
7.2097
3
12
307
94
323
303
Cal Poly
7.2539
3
9
304
343
324
326
Charlotte
7.3154
3
8
340
89
325
317
Eastern Washington
7.3344
2
10
339
36
326
322
Alcorn State
7.4327
3
8
288
212
327
333
Binghamton
7.5009
4
10
305
227
328
325
Tennessee Tech
7.5023
4
9
314
171
329
311
Wyoming
7.5384
4
9
329
231
330
323
Rice
7.684
5
9
312
241
331
336
Navy
7.9876
3
8
338
86
332
327
San Jose State
8.1057
3
9
320
278
333
332
Jackson State
8.5736
1
10
335
53
334
334
Stetson
8.5924
3
11
333
112
335
340
New Hampshire
8.9834
2
11
318
250
336
335
Southern
8.9851
1
12
344
17
337
328
Idaho
9.2414
3
9
284
342
338
347
Bryant
9.385
3
8
342
91
339
339
Manhattan
9.5188
2
10
334
167
340
341
Monmouth
9.8471
0
12
348
14
341
338
SIU-Edwardsville
10.056
4
8
308
325
342
337
Elon
10.174
5
10
327
328
343
342
Kennesaw State
10.545
3
11
341
145
344
343
Incarnate Word
10.646
5
8
309
321
345
345
Maryland-Eastern Shore
10.694
1
13
351
4
346
344
Northwestern State
10.7
5
8
321
281
347
351
Coppin State
11.877
0
15
353
2
348
346
Savannah State
12.483
3
11
352
15
349
350
Alabama A&M
12.764
1
12
346
98
350
348
Mississippi Valley State
12.806
2
12
350
21
351
349
Delaware State
13.794
3
10
345
149
352
352
Chicago State
14.069
3
11
349
55
353
353
UNC Asheville
16.365
2
11
347
267