NCAA Bracket Prediction - 27 Feb

There was very little movement at the top of the bracket, with only Alabama and Marquette switching spots between the 2 and 3 seeds among the top 16 teams in the entire bracket. Down along the bubble, there was a lot of movement, with Drake, Ole Miss, Cincinnati, and Texas A&M falling from the bracket, making room for Providence, Colorado, and Wake Forest, while Richmond took over the Atlantic 10 lead to steal the other spot. Here is my full current bracket:

	MIDWEST			EAST
1	Purdue		1	UConn
16	Norfolk St/Grambling		16	E Kentucky/Merrimack
8	Oklahoma		8	TCU
9	FAU		9	Michigan State
5	Kentucky		5	Dayton
12	Richmond		12	Samford
4	Creighton		4	Illinois
13	South Florida		13	Appalachian State
6	Florida		6	Washington State
11	Indiana State		11	Texas/Virginia
3	Duke		3	Iowa State
14	High Point		14	Charleston
7	Saint Mary’s		7	Texas Tech
10	Wake Forest		10	New Mexico
2	Kansas		2	Alabama
15	Oakland		15	Eastern Washington
	WEST			SOUTH
1	Arizona		1	Houston
16	Fairfield		16	South Dakota State
8	Nebraska		8	Mississippi State
9	Northwestern		9	Nevada
5	Clemson		5	Wisconsin
12	Grand Canyon		12	McNeese
4	Auburn		4	San Diego State
13	UC Irvine		13	Vermont
6	Utah State		6	BYU
11	Princeton		11	Providence/Colorado
3	Baylor		3	Marquette
14	Akron		14	Louisiana Tech
7	South Carolina		7	Colorado State
10	Boise State		10	Gonzaga
2	North Carolina		2	Tennessee
15	Colgate		15	Morehead State

Last Four Byes

Wake Forest

Gonzaga

Boise State

New Mexico

Last Four In

Texas

Virginia

Providence

Colorado

First Four Out

Seton Hall

Drake

Ole Miss

James Madison

Next Four Out

Utah

Villanova

Pittsburgh

St. John's

Teams by Conference

Big 12 - 9

SEC - 7

MWC - 6

Big 10 - 6

ACC - 5

Big East - 4

Pac 12 - 3

CUSA - 2

WCC - 2

Atl 10 - 2

NCAA Basketball Rankings - 26 Feb

The Duke Blue Devils made their way into familiar territory this week, reaching the top 10 for the first time this season, with just a few weeks to go until March Madness. Mississippi State reached the top 25 after knocking off their in-state rival Ole Miss, and Auburn has moved up to #4, sitting behind only the top 3 that have remained up there for almost the entire season. Here are my full current rankings:

Rank	LW	Team	Rating	W	L
1	1	Purdue	-19.96	25	3
2	2	Houston	-19.76	24	3
3	3	Arizona	-18.84	21	6
4	7	Auburn	-18.1	21	6
5	5	Tennessee	-17.86	21	6
6	4	UConn	-17.36	25	3
7	8	North Carolina	-16.8	21	6
8	6	Alabama	-16.76	19	8
9	9	Illinois	-15.74	20	7
10	12	Duke	-15.72	21	6
11	11	Marquette	-15.08	21	6
12	13	Creighton	-14.52	20	8
13	10	Iowa State	-14.48	21	6
14	17	Kentucky	-13.74	19	8
15	18	Kansas	-13.47	21	6
16	14	Michigan State	-13.21	17	11
17	16	Baylor	-13.07	19	8
18	22	Wake Forest	-13.02	18	9
19	15	BYU	-13	19	8
20	25	Clemson	-12.9	19	8
21	19	Wisconsin	-12.64	18	9
22	24	Gonzaga	-12.35	22	6
23	30	Mississippi St	-12.35	19	8
24	26	San Diego State	-12.34	21	7
25	23	Florida	-12.29	19	8
26	21	Dayton	-12.27	21	5
27	28	TCU	-12.26	19	8
28	32	Colorado	-12.12	18	9
29	27	Florida Atlantic	-11.77	21	7
30	20	New Mexico	-11.62	21	7
31	31	Villanova	-11.15	15	12
32	43	Nebraska	-11.09	20	8
33	34	Colorado State	-11.07	20	8
34	37	Washington St	-10.99	21	7
35	29	Texas Tech	-10.92	19	8
36	38	Indiana State	-10.91	24	5
37	35	Saint Mary's	-10.85	23	6
38	39	Oklahoma	-10.74	19	8
39	44	St. John's	-10.45	16	12
40	36	Texas	-10.37	17	10
41	41	Utah State	-10.24	22	5
42	33	Cincinnati	-10.1	16	11
43	40	SMU	-9.932	19	9
44	49	Nevada	-9.871	22	6
45	56	Iowa	-9.815	16	12
46	42	Drake	-9.761	23	6
47	58	Maryland	-9.74	15	13
48	53	James Madison	-9.681	26	3
49	48	Princeton	-9.619	21	3
50	52	Northwestern	-9.495	19	8
51	60	South Carolina	-9.33	22	5
52	47	McNeese	-9.309	24	3
53	59	Providence	-9.134	18	9
54	55	Pittsburgh	-9.119	18	9
55	45	Xavier	-8.968	13	14
56	51	Utah	-8.955	16	11
57	66	Boise State	-8.926	19	8
58	54	Samford	-8.894	25	4
59	50	Grand Canyon	-8.832	24	4
60	65	Virginia Tech	-8.726	15	12
61	61	Ohio State	-8.631	16	12
62	63	Seton Hall	-8.592	18	9
63	64	Oregon	-8.575	18	9
64	46	Texas A&M	-8.565	15	12
65	62	Washington	-8.45	15	13
66	73	Bradley	-8.095	20	9
67	57	Virginia	-8.03	20	8
68	74	San Francisco	-8.007	22	7
69	68	Yale	-7.921	18	8
70	69	Minnesota	-7.77	17	10
71	67	Butler	-7.719	16	12
72	72	UCF	-7.704	14	12
73	76	Appalachian St	-7.633	24	5
74	71	UC Irvine	-7.563	20	8
75	75	Richmond	-7.428	20	7
76	83	Memphis	-7.37	20	8
77	78	UMass	-7.331	17	10
78	70	Ole Miss	-7.315	19	8
79	79	Louisiana Tech	-7.157	20	8
80	77	St. Bonaventure	-7.096	17	10
81	89	Kansas State	-7.088	16	11
82	81	NC State	-7	17	10
83	85	Florida State	-6.889	14	13
84	93	Vermont	-6.667	23	6
85	80	VCU	-6.635	18	9
86	90	Boston College	-6.422	15	12
87	92	UNC Wilmington	-6.379	20	7
88	102	UNLV	-6.335	16	10
89	91	Akron	-6.141	20	7
90	94	Georgia	-6.14	15	12
91	82	Miami	-6.087	15	13
92	101	South Florida	-6.016	21	5
93	96	Syracuse	-6.008	18	10
94	97	Penn State	-5.958	14	14
95	99	High Point	-5.851	23	6
96	87	LSU	-5.82	14	13
97	84	Cornell	-5.787	20	5
98	86	North Texas	-5.709	14	12
99	88	Rutgers	-5.652	14	13
100	106	Loyola-Chicago	-5.624	20	7
101	95	George Mason	-5.577	18	9
102	111	Charleston	-5.487	22	7
103	100	UCLA	-5.113	14	13
104	103	Morehead State	-5.073	21	8
105	107	Saint Joseph's	-4.931	17	11
106	98	Charlotte	-4.888	17	10
107	115	USC	-4.872	11	16
108	105	Duquesne	-4.869	16	11
109	113	Southern Illinois	-4.762	19	10
110	114	UC San Diego	-4.697	19	9
111	118	Davidson	-4.661	15	12
112	108	Drexel	-4.579	17	11
113	129	Oklahoma St	-4.439	12	15
114	112	Northern Iowa	-4.387	16	13
115	109	Liberty	-4.376	16	11
116	122	West Carolina	-4.338	20	9
117	127	Seattle	-4.228	18	10
118	131	Hofstra	-4.175	18	11
119	120	Michigan	-4.096	8	20
120	110	Indiana	-4.06	14	13
121	128	Youngstown St	-4.052	21	9
122	104	Stanford	-4.042	12	15
123	116	UMass Lowell	-3.889	19	7
124	123	Santa Clara	-3.779	18	11
125	117	Oakland	-3.647	19	11
126	145	Arkansas	-3.591	14	13
127	119	Louisiana	-3.48	17	12
128	125	Eastern Wash	-3.469	18	10
129	133	Troy	-3.418	19	10
130	124	UAB	-3.28	18	9
131	137	California	-3.246	13	15
132	141	Arizona State	-3.222	14	14
133	126	Colgate	-3.175	20	9
134	121	Weber State	-3.091	18	10
135	139	Belmont	-3.039	17	12
136	136	Chattanooga	-3.037	19	10
137	138	Toledo	-2.962	17	10
138	135	UNC Greensboro	-2.839	20	9
139	140	Murray State	-2.823	12	17
140	134	Tulane	-2.809	13	13
141	143	Tarleton	-2.804	20	7
142	132	Delaware	-2.551	17	11
143	149	Arkansas State	-2.463	15	14
144	130	Winthrop	-2.436	17	12
145	142	UNC Asheville	-2.265	19	11
146	144	West Kentucky	-2.21	19	8
147	162	Wright State	-2.171	17	12
148	156	Fort Wayne	-2.165	18	11
149	153	Georgia Tech	-2.071	12	16
150	150	Towson	-1.937	17	12
151	155	Fairfield	-1.85	18	10
152	151	Longwood	-1.849	17	12
153	173	Notre Dame	-1.844	10	17
154	157	Lipscomb	-1.803	18	11
155	146	St. Thomas	-1.734	17	12
156	148	Bryant	-1.728	17	11
157	160	Texas A&M-CC	-1.692	17	10
158	163	Ohio	-1.625	15	12
159	152	UT Arlington	-1.589	15	13
160	159	Missouri	-1.507	8	19
161	165	Furman	-1.404	16	13
162	154	Montana	-1.342	19	9
163	147	Missouri State	-1.256	15	14
164	161	Long Beach St	-1.092	18	10
165	187	Sam Houston St	-1.004	17	11
166	184	West Virginia	-0.987	9	18
167	158	Stephen F Austin	-0.795	14	13
168	176	South Dakota St	-0.681	17	12
169	168	Jacksonville St	-0.601	14	14
170	171	Wichita State	-0.516	11	17
171	174	Iona	-0.281	13	14
172	169	Eastern Kentucky	-0.268	17	11
173	203	Oregon State	-0.224	12	16
174	175	Marist	-0.18	15	10
175	183	Kent State	-0.11	13	14
176	197	Illinois State	-0.071	14	15
177	167	Stetson	-0.063	18	11
178	166	Quinnipiac	-0.047	19	8
179	189	Hawaii	0.1077	16	12
180	177	Monmouth	0.1258	16	13
181	170	Evansville	0.1543	15	14
182	193	Cleveland State	0.1786	17	12
183	212	Radford	0.2184	15	14
184	178	Lamar	0.2329	15	12
185	181	Merrimack	0.2346	18	10
186	201	Saint Peter's	0.2383	15	11
187	179	East Carolina	0.3037	14	13
188	164	Southern	0.3208	16	11
189	190	Utah Valley	0.3317	14	14
190	206	Penn	0.3665	10	16
191	202	UIC	0.4346	11	18
192	186	North Kentucky	0.4408	16	13
193	196	Stony Brook	0.4516	16	13
194	180	Columbia	0.5107	13	11
195	188	Gardner-Webb	0.5618	14	15
196	191	Maine	0.6169	13	15
197	210	N Carolina Cent	0.6721	14	11
198	195	Tulsa	0.6731	14	13
199	241	Rice	0.7216	11	16
200	219	UT Martin	0.759	19	10
201	182	Georgia State	0.8116	13	15
202	220	Loyola Marymount	0.8137	11	17
203	204	UC Santa Barbara	0.8862	14	12
204	172	New Hampshire	0.9589	15	11
205	209	Central Conn	0.9601	17	10
206	194	UC Davis	0.9603	16	12
207	200	North Colorado	1.0044	17	11
208	199	Harvard	1.1011	14	10
209	192	Rhode Island	1.1068	11	16
210	208	Austin Peay	1.1117	15	14
211	226	Little Rock	1.1587	18	11
212	211	Norfolk State	1.1704	18	9
213	205	Wofford	1.1778	15	14
214	215	East Tennessee St	1.2619	14	15
215	250	La Salle	1.3774	14	14
216	227	Fordham	1.3981	11	16
217	216	North Florida	1.4194	15	14
218	218	Mt. St. Mary's	1.5222	12	16
219	185	Green Bay	1.5327	17	12
220	225	Georgetown	1.5841	9	18
221	213	Cal Baptist	1.5865	14	13
222	242	Brown	1.5983	9	17
223	230	Texas State	1.6141	12	17
224	221	CSU Northridge	1.6256	18	11
225	207	Wyoming	1.6486	13	14
226	198	Western Illinois	1.6949	18	11
227	217	UTEP	1.8015	13	15
228	223	North Dakota	1.8084	17	12
229	214	Louisville	1.8419	8	19
230	224	Niagara	1.862	14	12
231	222	Northeastern	1.898	12	17
232	244	Bowling Green	2.0055	17	10
233	233	Saint Louis	2.073	10	17
234	228	North Alabama	2.0857	13	16
235	236	Kennesaw St	2.1136	15	14
236	246	Temple	2.1163	10	17
237	234	Miami (OH)	2.1593	13	14
238	239	Rider	2.1779	12	16
239	248	George Washington	2.197	14	13
240	240	Vanderbilt	2.3274	7	20
241	245	The Citadel	2.3438	11	18
242	247	North Dakota St	2.3655	15	14
243	231	Southern Miss	2.3769	16	13
244	243	UMKC	2.3994	14	15
245	255	Idaho State	2.433	12	16
246	273	Lehigh	2.4534	12	15
247	232	Albany	2.4591	12	16
248	229	Denver	2.5163	15	14
249	249	Southern Utah	2.6155	9	18
250	238	Omaha	2.6445	14	16
251	268	Texas Southern	2.7221	11	14
252	256	Canisius	2.7388	11	15
253	237	UC Riverside	2.7416	13	16
254	235	Marshall	2.7422	12	17
255	257	Milwaukee	2.8153	15	14
256	266	Abilene Christian	2.8801	12	15
257	262	Jacksonville	2.961	14	14
258	254	CSU Fullerton	3.0592	12	16
259	274	Mercer	3.0657	14	15
260	282	Presbyterian	3.0694	13	16
261	251	SE Louisiana	3.1072	14	14
262	272	Queens	3.227	12	18
263	277	Nicholls	3.2856	15	12
264	270	Pepperdine	3.3217	12	18
265	259	Portland State	3.3251	16	13
266	261	Ball State	3.3393	13	14
267	260	American	3.3402	15	14
268	252	Fresno State	3.364	11	16
269	280	South Alabama	3.3949	14	15
270	267	Binghamton	3.4058	12	14
271	264	Air Force	3.4406	9	17
272	276	CSU Bakersfield	3.4804	11	17
273	263	Florida Gulf Coast	3.5568	12	17
274	258	Central Michigan	3.5965	16	11
275	253	San Jose State	3.66	9	19
276	271	SIU-Edwardsville	3.6908	16	13
277	269	S Carolina Upstate	3.8211	9	19
278	265	Howard	3.9357	12	15
279	298	Grambling	4.0305	14	13
280	278	Tennessee St	4.0323	17	12
281	281	Wagner	4.1863	13	13
282	289	Delaware State	4.2391	12	14
283	302	UMBC	4.2608	10	19
284	287	Oral Roberts	4.3889	11	17
285	275	Jackson State	4.4106	12	15
286	299	UT San Antonio	4.4876	9	19
287	291	Boston U	4.5817	13	16
288	295	UL Monroe	4.6132	11	16
289	288	Sacred Heart	4.6501	14	15
290	283	Alabama State	4.7124	12	15
291	284	Montana State	4.7897	12	16
292	285	Campbell	4.79	12	16
293	300	Alcorn State	4.8184	10	17
294	293	Chicago State	4.8303	12	18
295	290	San Diego	4.9292	16	13
296	294	Utah Tech	4.9892	10	17
297	301	Florida Intl	4.991	9	19
298	292	Bucknell	5.0808	11	18
299	296	Eastern Illinois	5.1453	13	16
300	279	Le Moyne	5.34	12	16
301	304	Mid Tennessee	5.3558	12	16
302	286	New Mexico St	5.4227	11	17
303	315	West Michigan	5.4837	10	17
304	307	Old Dominion	5.5046	7	22
305	303	Bethune-Cookman	5.5461	13	14
306	309	Idaho	5.5503	11	17
307	308	Elon	5.6502	12	17
308	297	Robert Morris	5.7587	10	19
309	311	Bellarmine	5.8097	8	21
310	306	Valparaiso	5.9784	6	23
311	310	North Arizona	6.0044	13	16
312	321	South Carolina St	6.1437	11	16
313	313	Charleston South	6.2575	9	18
314	318	Georgia Southern	6.283	6	23
315	320	Northwestern St	6.3033	9	19
316	322	Fairleigh Dickinson	6.4501	14	15
317	305	North Illinois	6.4823	9	18
318	314	Texas A&M-Com	6.5618	10	18
319	317	William & Mary	6.7168	8	21
320	312	Prairie View A&M	6.7588	10	17
321	316	Lafayette	6.8836	11	18
322	331	Southern Indiana	6.9891	8	21
323	326	Navy	7.0777	10	17
324	319	South Dakota	7.154	11	18
325	324	Ark-Pine Bluff	7.1966	12	15
326	327	Sacramento St	7.2952	7	22
327	328	NJIT	7.5749	7	19
328	323	Morgan State	7.646	9	17
329	329	DePaul	7.7949	3	24
330	333	Coastal Carolina	8.0946	8	19
331	334	Tennessee Tech	8.1769	10	19
332	330	Portland	8.1871	9	20
333	325	Army	8.4804	10	19
334	336	Incarnate Word	8.5934	8	19
335	332	Dartmouth	8.8417	5	19
336	337	UT Rio Grande	8.9825	6	21
337	335	New Orleans	9.0299	8	20
338	341	Alabama A&M	9.2141	8	19
339	338	Loyola (MD)	9.3391	6	23
340	339	Central Arkansas	9.3791	9	22
341	345	Hampton	9.3904	7	22
342	344	Eastern Michigan	9.6013	11	16
343	340	Manhattan	9.7429	5	20
344	342	N Carolina A&T	9.899	7	22
345	347	Florida A&M	10.003	5	20
346	343	Maryland-E Shore	10.409	8	16
347	348	Long Island	10.476	7	20
348	346	Houston Baptist	10.811	6	19
349	349	St. Francis (PA)	10.915	8	20
350	354	Holy Cross	10.995	9	20
351	352	Stonehill	11.216	4	25
352	351	Cal Poly	11.463	4	24
353	350	SE Missouri St	11.767	8	21
354	355	VMI	12.025	4	25
355	353	Lindenwood	12.157	8	21
356	357	Buffalo	12.188	4	23
357	356	Pacific	12.844	6	24
358	358	Detroit Mercy	13.193	1	28
359	359	Siena	13.495	4	23
360	360	Coppin State	13.504	2	22
361	361	IUPUI	15.337	6	23
362	362	Miss Valley St	17.082	0	27