NCAA Football Rankings - 18 Oct

Yesterday was full of upsets, as 5 of my top 10 lost, 4 more struggled in games they should have dominated, and one played a team so weak that even a blowout hurt their ranking. Because nobody in the top 10 played well, there wasn't as much shuffling as you would expect, and Alabama remained in the top spot despite 2 straight losses, which has never happened before in the 17 years that I have been ranking teams. LSU moved up to #4 after a 31-0 shutout of Mississippi State, and Tennessee moved up to #10 after upsetting Alabama, while BYU sits just outside the top 10 after their close win over Notre Dame. Here are my full current rankings:

						Proj
Rank	LW	Team	Rating	W	L	W	L
1	1	Alabama	-23.45	5	2	9	3
2	2	Notre Dame	-23.14	6	1	11	1
3	3	Miami	-21.56	6	0	11	1
4	11	LSU	-20.62	5	2	8	4
5	6	Ohio State	-20.4	6	1	10	2
6	4	UCLA	-19.09	6	0	12	0
7	5	Georgia	-17.87	6	1	9	3
8	10	Indiana	-17.71	6	1	10	2
9	7	Houston	-17.21	6	1	10	2
10	21	Tennessee	-16.27	6	1	9	3
11	14	BYU	-16.22	6	0	11	1
12	30	Ole Miss	-16.13	5	1	9	3
13	8	Texas	-15.82	4	2	8	4
14	9	Texas Tech	-15.78	6	0	10	2
15	19	Wake Forest	-14.93	6	1	10	2
16	17	Nebraska	-14.36	5	2	9	3
17	13	Oregon	-14.22	4	2	8	4
18	15	Utah	-13.8	6	0	10	2
19	26	Oklahoma State	-13.25	4	2	9	3
20	24	James Madison	-13.07	7	0	11	1
21	25	Kentucky	-12.84	6	1	9	3
22	18	Boise State	-12.61	5	1	9	2
23	12	Missouri	-12.33	5	2	8	4
24	36	Florida	-12.22	5	2	8	4
25	22	Northwestern	-12.13	5	2	9	4
26	29	Arizona	-10.9	5	1	9	3
27	27	South Carolina	-10.74	3	3	6	6
28	28	Wisconsin	-10.72	3	3	7	5
29	20	Oregon State	-10.66	5	2	8	3
30	45	TCU	-10.6	3	3	7	5
31	37	North Carolina	-10.41	4	2	8	4
32	42	Louisville	-10.33	4	3	7	5
33	16	Mississippi St	-10.25	4	2	8	4
34	31	UCF	-9.829	3	3	7	5
35	40	USC	-9.52	6	1	8	4
36	55	Auburn	-9.198	4	2	7	5
37	23	New Mexico	-9.131	5	1	10	2
38	32	Baylor	-9.098	4	2	7	5
39	35	North Dakota State	-8.061	6	1	10	2
40	33	Pittsburgh	-7.488	5	2	7	5
41	52	Florida State	-7.322	3	4	6	6
42	39	Liberty	-7.289	5	1	10	2
43	48	Iowa	-7.036	5	1	8	4
44	46	Duke	-7.033	4	2	7	5
45	38	Memphis	-6.871	5	2	9	3
46	49	Texas A&M	-6.858	4	3	5	7
47	51	North Texas	-6.784	4	2	8	4
48	34	Oklahoma	-6.133	3	3	5	7
49	47	Clemson	-6.115	4	2	7	5
50	50	Penn State	-5.929	4	3	8	4
51	44	Virginia Tech	-5.148	5	2	7	5
52	43	Georgia State	-4.553	4	2	8	4
53	80	Army	-4.533	4	2	7	5
54	68	Tulsa	-4.467	4	3	7	5
55	69	SMU	-4.378	5	1	8	4
56	62	Kansas State	-4.277	4	2	6	6
57	70	Texas State	-3.803	3	3	6	5
58	82	Louisiana	-3.776	5	2	9	3
59	56	Iowa State	-3.67	3	3	5	7
60	54	Fresno State	-3.398	4	3	6	5
61	57	Air Force	-3.378	5	1	9	3
62	41	Purdue	-3.362	3	4	5	7
63	53	UT San Antonio	-3.235	6	1	9	3
64	66	South Florida	-3.075	5	2	8	4
65	58	West Michigan	-2.636	5	2	9	3
66	86	Louisiana Tech	-2.602	4	2	8	4
67	64	Illinois	-2.396	3	3	5	7
68	59	Michigan	-2.109	4	2	6	6
69	67	Georgia Southern	-1.976	3	4	6	6
70	78	Ohio	-1.767	5	2	9	3
71	76	Navy	-1.686	2	4	5	7
72	73	Michigan St	-1.428	2	5	4	8
73	83	Cincinnati	-1.38	4	2	6	6
74	61	UNLV	-1.361	4	3	7	5
75	74	Virginia	-1.306	4	3	6	6
76	89	Toledo	-0.947	5	2	9	3
77	94	Tulane	-0.797	3	3	6	6
78	84	South Alabama	-0.653	4	2	8	4
79	91	Arkansas	-0.482	3	4	4	8
80	81	Florida Intl	-0.391	3	3	7	5
81	60	Syracuse	-0.384	2	4	4	8
82	72	Kansas	-0.216	2	4	4	8
83	71	Connecticut	-0.052	3	3	6	6
84	101	Washington	0.0152	4	3	5	7
85	79	Jacksonville State	0.3033	5	2	8	4
86	88	Colorado	0.3502	2	4	4	8
87	65	Florida Atlantic	0.4323	4	2	7	5
88	87	West Virginia	0.8116	4	3	5	7
89	63	Maryland	1.1958	2	5	4	8
90	85	Minnesota	1.5572	4	2	5	7
91	99	Arkansas State	2.0676	3	4	6	6
92	105	Georgia Tech	2.4456	2	4	3	9
93	75	California	2.6314	3	4	5	7
94	97	NC State	2.7253	3	3	5	7
95	77	East Carolina	2.8303	3	3	6	6
96	98	San Diego State	3.2432	3	4	5	6
97	100	Arizona State	3.8868	3	3	4	8
98	92	UMass	4.0521	4	3	7	5
99	96	Miami (OH)	4.1027	4	3	6	6
100	104	Kennesaw State	4.5325	1	5	4	8
101	103	Vanderbilt	4.5957	3	4	3	9
102	111	Appalachian St	4.678	4	2	6	6
103	107	Nevada	4.834	2	4	5	7
104	112	UAB	4.9786	4	3	6	6
105	124	Boston College	4.9978	3	3	4	8
106	125	Rutgers	5.0119	2	4	3	9
107	117	West Kentucky	5.0305	3	4	5	7
108	90	Troy	5.2905	3	3	5	7
109	115	Stanford	5.6562	3	4	4	8
110	114	New Mexico St	6.4752	2	4	5	7
111	102	Colorado State	6.7242	2	4	4	7
112	108	Coastal Carolina	6.7926	2	5	3	9
113	119	Buffalo	6.8069	4	3	7	5
114	120	San Jose State	6.9248	4	3	6	7
115	123	Washington St	7.0373	1	6	2	9
116	106	Temple	7.1029	2	5	4	8
117	110	Central Michigan	7.2192	3	4	6	6
118	93	Sam Houston	7.3225	1	5	4	8
119	95	Rice	7.4825	1	6	2	10
120	121	Delaware	8.1668	2	4	4	8
121	122	Utah State	8.2315	2	4	3	8
122	113	Old Dominion	8.3292	2	5	4	8
123	116	Kent State	8.3821	2	5	5	7
124	118	Mid Tennessee	8.4959	3	3	5	7
125	109	Eastern Michigan	8.7045	4	4	5	7
126	127	Ball State	9.3413	2	5	4	8
127	126	Wyoming	9.6471	4	3	5	7
128	131	Missouri State	10.567	2	4	4	8
129	128	Bowling Green	11.357	2	5	3	9
130	129	Southern Miss	11.587	1	5	2	10
131	130	Marshall	12.117	3	3	5	7
132	134	Hawaii	13.204	1	6	3	9
133	138	Charlotte	13.559	1	6	2	10
134	133	Akron	15.061	1	6	2	10
135	132	UTEP	16.457	1	6	2	10
136	135	Northern Illinois	17.138	0	6	2	10
137	136	Louisiana Monroe	18.208	0	6	1	11
138	137	Sacramento State	19.989	1	6	2	10