NCAA Football Rankings - 4 Oct

We are finally far enough into the college football season that there is enough data to accurately rank the teams based on what has happened during the first 5 weeks of the season. 15 teams remain undefeated as of today, including North Dakota State, who is in their first season in FBS, though none of them is currently projected to finish undefeated. Here are my full initial rankings of the season:

						Proj
Rank	LW	Team	Rating	W	L	W	L
1		Alabama	-30.78	5	0	11	1
2		Notre Dame	-27.88	5	0	11	1
3		Miami	-22.2	5	0	11	1
4		UCLA	-22.06	4	0	11	1
5		Texas	-21.78	4	0	10	2
6		Ohio State	-20.37	4	1	9	3
7		Georgia	-17.61	5	0	10	2
8		Texas Tech	-17.59	5	0	11	1
9		Houston	-17.22	4	1	9	3
10		LSU	-16.88	4	1	8	4
11		Indiana	-15.98	5	0	10	2
12		Nebraska	-15.82	5	0	10	2
13		Missouri	-15.4	4	1	9	3
14		Utah	-15.19	4	0	10	2
15		BYU	-15.17	4	0	10	2
16		Mississippi St	-14.6	4	1	9	3
17		Oregon	-14.47	3	1	8	4
18		Wisconsin	-13.9	3	2	8	4
19		Florida	-13.81	4	1	8	4
20		Northwestern	-13.41	3	2	8	5
21		Tennessee	-13.31	4	1	8	4
22		James Madison	-12.85	5	0	11	1
23		Boise State	-12.36	4	1	9	2
24		Pittsburgh	-12.21	5	0	10	2
25		New Mexico	-12.18	4	1	10	2
26		Oregon State	-12.13	3	2	8	3
27		UCF	-11.92	3	2	8	4
28		Kentucky	-11.28	4	1	8	4
29		Oklahoma State	-11.18	3	1	8	4
30		Baylor	-11.16	4	1	7	5
31		North Dakota State	-11.12	5	0	11	1
32		Penn State	-9.884	4	1	9	3
33		Florida State	-9.457	3	2	7	5
34		Wake Forest	-8.378	4	1	9	3
35		Virginia Tech	-8.325	4	1	8	4
36		Memphis	-8.104	4	1	9	3
37		Georgia State	-7.841	4	1	9	3
38		South Carolina	-7.828	2	3	5	7
39		Arizona	-7.825	4	1	8	4
40		North Carolina	-7.608	2	2	6	6
41		Fresno State	-7.486	4	1	8	3
42		Texas A&M	-7.381	3	2	6	6
43		TCU	-7.269	2	3	5	7
44		Duke	-7.238	4	0	8	4
45		Liberty	-7.2	4	1	10	2
46		UT San Antonio	-6.948	4	1	9	3
47		Toledo	-6.911	4	1	10	2
48		Auburn	-6.87	3	2	6	6
49		USC	-6.807	5	1	7	5
50		Oklahoma	-6.676	2	2	5	7
51		North Texas	-6.257	3	2	8	4
52		Michigan St	-6.214	2	3	6	6
53		Ole Miss	-5.983	3	1	7	5
54		Clemson	-5.324	3	2	7	5
55		Purdue	-4.811	2	3	5	7
56		Army	-4.413	2	2	7	5
57		Kansas State	-4.401	3	1	7	5
58		Iowa	-4.092	4	1	7	5
59		Texas State	-4.045	2	3	6	5
60		Virginia	-4.033	3	2	6	6
61		Louisville	-3.81	2	3	5	7
62		Tulsa	-3.186	3	2	7	5
63		SMU	-3.085	4	1	8	4
64		South Florida	-3.056	4	1	8	4
65		Maryland	-2.94	2	3	5	7
66		Iowa State	-2.718	3	2	5	7
67		Florida Atlantic	-2.593	4	1	7	5
68		Michigan	-2.179	3	2	5	7
69		Syracuse	-2.179	2	2	5	7
70		West Virginia	-2.069	3	2	5	7
71		Minnesota	-1.8	4	1	6	6
72		Louisiana Tech	-1.656	2	2	7	5
73		Georgia Southern	-1.304	2	3	6	6
74		Temple	-1.145	2	3	6	6
75		UNLV	-1.074	3	2	7	5
76		Illinois	-1.028	2	3	4	8
77		East Carolina	-0.955	2	2	6	6
78		West Michigan	-0.773	3	2	8	4
79		Kansas	-0.626	2	2	4	8
80		UMass	-0.553	4	1	9	3
81		Air Force	-0.105	3	1	8	4
82		NC State	-0.101	3	2	6	6
83		Vanderbilt	-0.039	3	2	5	7
84		Navy	0.137	1	3	5	7
85		Jacksonville State	0.185	3	2	7	5
86		San Diego State	0.284	2	3	5	6
87		Ohio	0.412	3	2	8	4
88		Louisiana	0.481	4	1	8	4
89		Cincinnati	0.516	4	1	6	6
90		California	0.531	2	3	5	7
91		Sam Houston	0.629	1	3	6	6
92		Colorado	0.988	2	3	4	8
93		Connecticut	1.096	2	3	5	7
94		Washington	1.186	3	2	4	8
95		Rice	1.267	1	4	4	8
96		Appalachian St	1.565	3	1	7	5
97		Arkansas State	1.736	2	3	6	6
98		Troy	2.019	2	2	6	6
99		Arkansas	2.084	2	3	3	9
100		Florida Intl	2.179	2	2	6	6
101		Eastern Michigan	2.235	3	3	6	6
102		South Alabama	2.571	3	2	6	6
103		Kennesaw State	2.573	1	3	5	7
104		Arizona State	4.1	2	2	4	8
105		Colorado State	4.192	2	3	4	7
106		Tulane	4.686	2	2	5	7
107		San Jose State	4.744	3	2	7	6
108		New Mexico St	5.409	2	3	5	7
109		Central Michigan	5.465	3	2	7	5
110		Miami (OH)	5.877	2	3	5	7
111		Coastal Carolina	5.963	1	4	3	9
112		Kent State	5.999	2	3	5	7
113		Utah State	6.506	1	4	3	8
114		UAB	6.825	3	2	5	7
115		Delaware	6.846	2	3	5	7
116		Georgia Tech	7.22	1	3	3	9
117		Mid Tennessee	8.148	2	3	5	7
118		Missouri State	8.198	1	3	4	8
119		Boston College	8.356	2	3	3	9
120		Ball State	8.417	1	4	4	8
121		Washington St	8.576	1	4	2	9
122		Old Dominion	8.813	1	4	3	9
123		Rutgers	9.132	1	4	2	10
124		Marshall	9.173	3	2	6	6
125		Southern Miss	9.812	1	3	3	9
126		Stanford	10.7	2	3	4	8
127		West Kentucky	10.74	1	4	3	9
128		Nevada	10.82	1	3	3	9
129		UTEP	11.08	1	4	4	8
130		Wyoming	11.26	2	3	4	8
131		Sacramento State	12	1	4	3	9
132		Bowling Green	12.31	1	4	3	9
133		Buffalo	13.03	2	3	4	8
134		Akron	14.02	1	4	3	9
135		Northern Illinois	14.42	0	4	2	10
136		Hawaii	14.65	1	4	3	9
137		Louisiana Monroe	15.99	0	5	1	11
138		Charlotte	18.86	0	5	1	11