In the last couple days, the #2 seeds each won to tie up their series at 1-1, while the #1 seeds once again dominated their opponents, bringing both of those series to 2-0. Here are the updated odds for each team advancing and winning a championship this year, with change from Tuesday in parentheses:
Odds of Reaching Conference Finals
(1) Suns - 91.5% (+9.2)
(1) Heat - 87.3% (+12.0)
(2) Celtics - 61.9% (+15.5)
(3) Warriors - 54.4% (-14.1)
(2) Grizzlies - 45.6% (+14.1)
(3) Bucks - 38.1% (-15.5)
(4) 76ers - 12.7% (-12.0)
(4) Mavericks - 8.5% (-9.2)
Memphis wasn't quite able to pull even with Golden State, but that series is extremely close. Boston is once again the favorite in their series, despite Milwaukee holding home court as of today.
Odds of Reaching NBA Finals
(1) Suns - 57.6% (+7.3)
(1) Heat - 42.5% (+4.9)
(2) Celtics - 37.0% (+8.8)
(3) Warriors - 22.1% (-8.3)
(2) Grizzlies - 17.4% (+4.4)
(3) Bucks - 16.5% (-9.0)
(4) 76ers - 4.1% (-4.6)
(4) Mavericks - 3.0% (-3.3)
Phoenix and Boston, my original picks to reach the Finals, saw the biggest rise in this edition of the odds, thanks to blowout wins in each case. Milwaukee dropped off the most after getting blown out, with Golden State not far behind after losing and watching Phoenix move a step closer to advancing.
Odds of Winning NBA Finals
(1) Suns - 36.3% (+4.1)
(2) Celtics - 18.3% (+4.3)
(1) Heat - 17.5% (+1.6)
(3) Warriors - 11.4% (-5.2)
(2) Grizzlies - 8.8% (+2.0)
(3) Bucks - 5.5% (-3.8)
(4) 76ers - 1.1% (-1.5)
(4) Mavericks - 1.1% (-1.5)
Boston became the favorite to win the East again after dominating the Bucks in Game 2, while Phoenix moved even closer to doubling the odds of any other team. Golden State took the biggest hit, while Philly and Dallas remain virtually tied at the bottom.
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