All 4 series now sit at 3-2, with the #1 and #3 seeds leading in each case, with Memphis, the only team who was facing elimination, coming through in a big way to extend their series for at least another game. Every game remaining in this round is an elimination game, so before too long, there will only be 4 teams left. Here are the updated odds for each remaining team, with change from Tuesday in parentheses:
Odds of Reaching Conference Finals
(1) Suns - 85.2% (+18.0)
(1) Heat - 81.0% (+21.6)
(3) Warriors - 76.4% (-12.1)
(3) Bucks - 67.4% (+32.1)
(2) Celtics - 32.6% (-32.1)
(2) Grizzlies - 23.6% (+12.1)
(4) 76ers - 19.0% (-21.6)
(4) Mavericks - 14.8% (-18.0)
Milwaukee's clutch-time win over Boston last night gave the Bucks the chance to end the series on their home court, and caused a huge swing in the odds of moving on. Blowout wins by the other 3 teams all earned big jumps as well, though Memphis is still a major underdog.
Odds of Reaching NBA Finals
(1) Suns - 53.2% (+13.6)
(1) Heat - 43.0% (+15.8)
(3) Warriors - 32.3% (-11.9)
(3) Bucks - 30.2% (+13.2)
(2) Celtics - 19.8% (-22.4)
(2) Grizzlies - 9.4% (+4.4)
(4) 76ers - 7.0% (-6.6)
(4) Mavericks - 5.1% (-6.2)
The favorite to win each conference changed again after this set of games, with the #1 seeds now the favorites to meet in the championship round. Boston, whose odds have been at or near the top of the East since the playoffs began, saw their odds plummet now that they are in a 3-2 hole against the defending champs.
Odds of Winning NBA Finals
(1) Suns - 35.0% (+10.4)
(1) Heat - 18.0% (+6.5)
(3) Warriors - 17.6% (-6.8)
(3) Bucks - 10.3% (+4.3)
(2) Celtics - 9.9% (-12.2)
(2) Grizzlies - 5.1% (+2.6)
(4) Mavericks - 2.1% (-2.5)
(4) 76ers - 2.0% (-2.3)
With Phoenix's top 2 competitors taking losses yesterday, the Suns suddenly became huge favorites again, with Miami moving up to the #2 spot. Boston is still in the running, but they must win their next 2 just to stay alive.
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