Two series have now come to an end, with the other two headed to game 7 tomorrow, leaving only 6 teams alive and vying for a championship. There is a new overall favorite as of this morning, though that will change tomorrow if either Boston or Phoenix wins. Here is the current chance of each remaining team advancing and winning the championship:
Odds of Reaching Conference Finals
(1) Suns - 65.4% (-19.8)
(2) Celtics - 64.4% (+31.8)
(3) Bucks - 35.6% (-31.8)
(4) Mavericks - 34.6% (+19.8)
Boston is once again the favorite to advance in their series, with game 7 on their home court, and Phoenix has nearly the same odds after being forced to return home for a deciding game.
Odds of Reaching NBA Finals
(3) Warriors - 49.3% (+17.0)
(1) Heat - 48.4% (+5.4)
(1) Suns - 38.6% (-14.6)
(2) Celtics - 37.4% (+17.6)
(3) Bucks - 14.2% (-16.0)
(4) Mavericks - 12.1% (+7.0)
The odds didn't shift as much for Miami and Dallas as for the other 4 teams, but tomorrow's games will have a huge impact no matter who wins, since two of these teams will be saying goodbye.
Odds of Winning NBA Finals
(3) Warriors - 25.2% (+7.6)
(1) Suns - 23.2% (-11.8)
(1) Heat - 22.1% (+4.1)
(2) Celtics - 19.9% (+10.0)
(3) Bucks - 5.0% (-5.3)
(4) Mavericks - 4.6% (+2.5)
The two teams who have already advanced and the two teams who are playing at home tomorrow are all very close in the overall odds today, while the other two have to win a road Game 7, then start yet another series without home court advantage, making a tough path to the title.
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