There are now 3 series tied at 2-2, with Boston taking back home court advantage by winning in Milwaukee, while Golden State moved right to the edge of advancing after beating Memphis again at home, putting the Grizzlies in a 3-1 hole. Here are each team's updated odds, with change from Sunday in parentheses:
Odds of Reaching Conference Finals
(3) Warriors - 88.5% (+15.3)
(1) Suns - 67.2% (-15.6)
(2) Celtics - 64.7% (+21.8)
(1) Heat - 59.4% (-16.5)
(4) 76ers - 40.6% (+16.5)
(3) Bucks - 35.3% (-21.8)
(4) Mavericks - 32.8% (+15.6)
(2) Grizzlies - 11.5% (-15.3)
Every winner saw a huge increase in their odds this time, since lower seeds won 3 of the games, and Boston took back home court with their win.
Odds of Reaching NBA Finals
(3) Warriors - 44.2% (+10.9)
(2) Celtics - 42.2% (+15.5)
(1) Suns - 39.6% (-10.7)
(1) Heat - 27.2% (-10.8)
(3) Bucks - 17.0% (-9.5)
(4) 76ers - 13.6% (+4.8)
(4) Mavericks - 11.3% (+5.4)
(2) Grizzlies - 5.0% (-5.5)
There are new favorites to reach the Finals from each conference after yesterday's games, though the #1 seeds are still very much in the running.
Odds of Winning NBA Finals
(1) Suns - 24.6% (-8.0)
(3) Warriors - 24.4% (+5.6)
(2) Celtics - 22.1% (+8.7)
(1) Heat - 11.5% (-4.1)
(3) Bucks - 6.0% (-3.2)
(4) Mavericks - 4.6% (+2.2)
(4) 76ers - 4.3% (+1.7)
(2) Grizzlies - 2.5% (-2.9)
Phoenix still has the best odds of winning it all, but they have dropped significantly over the past 4 days, and are now in a dead heat with Golden State and Boston, both of which are rising.
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