The #1 seeds both defended home court last night, just a day after both #2 seeds failed to do so. The Boston-Milwaukee series appears to be the most likely to be close, but anything can still happen, so all 8 teams still have a shot. Here are each team's updated odds:
Odds of Reaching Conference Finals
(1) Suns - 82.3% (+10.0)
(1) Heat - 75.3% (+13.8)
(3) Warriors - 68.5% (+17.4)
(3) Bucks - 53.6% (+21.1)
(2) Celtics - 46.4% (-21.1)
(2) Grizzlies - 31.5% (-17.4)
(4) 76ers - 24.7% (-13.8)
(4) Mavericks - 17.7% (-10.0)
The road wins had a bigger impact than the home wins, since home court advantage changed hands, but all 4 winners had a big increase in their odds after taking Game 1.
Odds of Making NBA Finals
(1) Suns - 50.3% (+5.9)
(1) Heat - 37.6% (+9.5)
(3) Warriors - 30.4% (+6.5)
(2) Celtics - 28.2% (-15.2)
(3) Bucks - 25.5% (+9.7)
(2) Grizzlies - 13.0% (-8.5)
(4) 76ers - 8.7% (-4.0)
(4) Mavericks - 6.3% (-3.8)
Miami is the new favorite to win the East, while Milwaukee saw the biggest bump from its first win of the series. Boston's odds plummeted after losing for the first time in this postseason, but they still have a strong chance of making the Finals.
Odds of Winning NBA Finals
(1) Suns - 32.2% (+4.6)
(3) Warriors - 16.6% (+3.9)
(1) Heat - 15.9% (+4.0)
(2) Celtics - 14.0% (-8.8)
(3) Bucks - 9.3% (+3.5)
(2) Grizzlies - 6.8% (-4.3)
(4) 76ers - 2.6% (-1.5)
(4) Mavericks - 2.6% (-1.5)
Phoenix reaped the greatest benefit from the last 2 days, with their top competitor (Boston) going down in game 1, which makes the Suns' odds of winning the title nearly double that of any other team at this point.
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