The playoff field has been cut in half, and the top seeds survived in every first round series, with no series reaching the full 7 games, the first time that has happened since 2011. Here are the updated odds of each remaining team advancing through the next 2 rounds and winning the championship, with change in odds since Thursday in parentheses:
Odds of Making Conference Finals
(1) Suns - 72.3% (+7.0)
(2) Celtics - 67.5%
(1) Heat - 61.5% (-3.4)
(3) Warriors - 51.1% (-4.3)
(2) Grizzlies - 48.9% (+8.3)
(4) 76ers - 38.5% (+10.2)
(3) Bucks - 32.5%
(4) Mavericks - 27.7% (+5.8)
Boston and Milwaukee were already set before Thursday, so there was no change there, but 4 teams finished off their series since Thursday, giving each a boost, while dropping the odds for Miami and Golden State, who were already advanced and waiting for their opponent, and each of whom ended up with the tougher matchup.
Odds of Making NBA Finals
(1) Suns - 44.4% (+3.8)
(2) Celtics - 43.4% (-0.4)
(1) Heat - 28.1% (-1.6)
(3) Warriors - 23.9% (-2.6)
(2) Grizzlies - 21.5% (+3.4)
(3) Bucks - 15.8% (-0.2)
(4) 76ers - 12.7% (+3.9)
(4) Mavericks - 10.1% (+1.9)
Philly, Phoenix, and Memphis made big leaps here when they won road games to close out their series, Dallas made a smaller jump, because they ended up having to face the #1 overall seed after beating the Jazz.
Odds of Winning NBA Finals
(1) Suns - 27.6% (+2.3)
(2) Celtics - 22.8% (-0.5)
(3) Warriors - 12.7% (-1.4)
(1) Heat - 11.9% (-0.9)
(2) Grizzlies - 11.1% (+1.9)
(3) Bucks - 5.8% (-0.2)
(4) 76ers - 4.1% (+1.4)
(4) Mavericks - 4.1% (+0.9)
Phoenix is the only one of the favorites to see its odds go up in the past few days, though Memphis appears to have joined the second tier of title favorites after knocking off Minnesota.
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