|
Rank
|
LW
|
Team
|
Rec
|
Rating
|
Pred
|
Change
|
Undef %
|
|
1
|
2
|
Denver
|
4-0
|
-17.1696
|
14-2
|
|
8.1
|
|
2
|
1
|
Seattle
|
4-0
|
-14.1809
|
14-2
|
-1
|
14.5
|
|
3
|
3
|
Carolina
|
1-2
|
-12.2022
|
11-5
|
+1
|
|
|
4
|
4
|
New
Orleans
|
4-0
|
-11.1486
|
12-4
|
+1
|
0.7
|
|
5
|
10
|
Indianapolis
|
3-1
|
-8.43822
|
11-5
|
+1
|
|
|
6
|
14
|
New
England
|
4-0
|
-7.5275
|
11-5
|
+2
|
0.1
|
|
7
|
11
|
Baltimore
|
2-2
|
-6.91939
|
11-5
|
+2
|
|
|
8
|
15
|
Kansas
City
|
4-0
|
-6.78396
|
11-5
|
+1
|
0.1
|
|
9
|
8
|
Miami
|
3-1
|
-5.94916
|
10-6
|
-2
|
|
|
10
|
18
|
Tennessee
|
3-1
|
-5.15295
|
10-6
|
+1
|
|
|
11
|
26
|
Buffalo
|
2-2
|
-3.7208
|
9-7
|
+3
|
|
|
12
|
20
|
Houston
|
2-2
|
-3.43868
|
9-7
|
+1
|
|
|
13
|
21
|
San
Diego
|
2-2
|
-2.50673
|
8-8
|
+1
|
|
|
14
|
12
|
Dallas
|
2-2
|
-0.6444
|
9-7
|
|
|
|
15
|
13
|
Atlanta
|
1-3
|
0.06564
|
6-10
|
-2
|
|
|
16
|
9
|
Detroit
|
3-1
|
0.106117
|
10-6
|
|
|
|
17
|
19
|
Cleveland
|
2-2
|
0.648477
|
8-8
|
+1
|
|
|
18
|
6
|
Green
Bay
|
1-2
|
1.483361
|
8-8
|
-2
|
|
|
19
|
25
|
NY
Jets
|
2-2
|
1.828348
|
7-9
|
+1
|
|
|
20
|
5
|
Chicago
|
3-1
|
2.264872
|
9-7
|
-3
|
|
|
21
|
17
|
San
Francisco
|
2-2
|
2.436402
|
8-8
|
|
|
|
22
|
24
|
Tampa
Bay
|
0-4
|
3.703993
|
4-12
|
|
|
|
23
|
7
|
Cincinnati
|
2-2
|
4.21919
|
6-10
|
-4
|
|
|
24
|
27
|
Philadelphia
|
1-3
|
5.202917
|
7-9
|
+1
|
|
|
25
|
16
|
Minnesota
|
1-3
|
5.25876
|
6-10
|
|
|
|
26
|
29
|
Oakland
|
1-3
|
5.283654
|
5-11
|
-1
|
|
|
27
|
22
|
Arizona
|
2-2
|
5.654243
|
6-10
|
|
|
|
28
|
23
|
Washington
|
1-3
|
8.267007
|
5-11
|
|
|
|
29
|
31
|
NY
Giants
|
0-4
|
10.8221
|
4-12
|
|
|
|
30
|
28
|
Pittsburgh
|
0-4
|
12.50644
|
2-14
|
-2
|
|
|
31
|
30
|
Saint
Louis
|
1-3
|
14.87963
|
3-13
|
-2
|
|
|
32
|
32
|
Jacksonville
|
0-4
|
18.47219
|
1-15
|
|
|
Indianapolis moved into the top 5 this week after a 37-3 blowout in Jacksonville, which brought the Colts to 2-0 on the road this season, with an average final score of 32-5 in those wins. This weekend they host NFC-leading Seattle in the toughest matchup the Seahawks will face all year, and it wouldn't be a big surprise to see Andrew Luck win the battle of sophomore quarterbacks.
New England remained undefeated after 4 games, and even though none of those wins came against a team with a winning record, they keep finding ways to win when it comes to the fourth quarter. In 2 weeks they face New Orleans in a game that could feature 2 undefeated teams that have won Super Bowls with their current quarterbacks.
Kansas City is also undefeated still, which is especially impressive since they only won 2 games last season, which means they've already doubled last season's win total. 3 of their wins have come against NFC East teams, which is probably the worst division in the league, and the other came against Jacksonville, the worst team in the league, which is why the Chiefs are still the lowest-rated undefeated team in the league.
Tennessee is now in the top 10 as well, but it may not last very long. Not only are they facing Kansas City this weekend, they must do it without starting QB Jake Locker, who injured his ankle in their win over the Jets on Sunday. If he is able to return soon, the Titans should make the playoffs, just as I predicted in the preseason, but without Locker it may be difficult.
Predictions
Upset picks are in italics.
Thursday
Texas at Iowa State - Longhorns by 5
Western Kentucky at Louisiana-Monroe - Hilltoppers by 12
(12) UCLA at Utah - Utes by 5
Buffalo at Cleveland - Bills by 2
Friday
BYU at Utah State - Aggies by 19
Nevada at San Diego State - Wolf Pack by 7
Saturday
Air Force at Navy - Midshipmen by 34
(25) Maryland at (8) Florida State - Seminoles by 29
Penn State at Indiana - Hoosiers by 2
Illinois at Nebraska - Cornhuskers by 1
(7) Louisville at Temple - Cardinals by 41
Ball State at Virginia - Cavaliers by 4
Eastern Michigan at Buffalo - Bulls by 19
Michigan State at Iowa - Hawkeyes by 17
(20) Texas Tech at Kansas - Red Raiders by 23
Rutgers at SMU - Scarlet Knights by 11
Georgia State at (1) Alabama - Crimson Tide by 72
North Carolina at Virginia Tech - Hokies by 20
Army at Boston College - Golden Eagles by 9
Central Michigan at Miami-Ohio - Redhawks by 17
South Alabama at Troy - Trojans by 7
UTSA at Marshall - Thundering Herd by 30
Ohio at Akron - Bobcats by 13
FAU at UAB - Blazers by 4
Western Michigan at Toledo - Rockets by 34
Minnesota at (19) Michigan - Wolverines by 5
North Carolina State at Wake Forest - Demon Deacons by 1
(3) Clemson at Syracuse - Tigers by 2
Massachusetts at Bowling Green - Falcons by 32
Kansas State at (21) Oklahoma State - Cowboys by 29
Rice at Tulsa - Owls by 15
Northern Illinois at Kent State - Huskies by 8
Georgia Tech at (14) Miami - Hurricanes by 3
East Carolina at Middle Tennessee - Pirates by 9
(6) Georgia at Tennessee - Bulldogs by 3
North Texas at Tulane - Mean Green by 4
Washington State at California - Cougars by 10
FIU at Southern Miss - Golden Eagles by 15
UCF at Memphis - Knights by 5
(23) Fresno State at Idaho - Bulldogs by 14
(2) Oregon at Colorado - Ducks by 51
(24) Ole Miss at Auburn - Tigers by 14
Arkansas at (18) Florida - Gators by 29
Cincinnati at South Florida - Bearcats by 31
New Mexico State at New Mexico - Lobos by 24
TCU at (11) Oklahoma - Sooners by 5
Texas State at Louisiana-Lafayette - Ragin Cajuns by 4
(10) LSU at Mississippi State - Bulldogs by 5
(22) Arizona State vs. Notre Dame - Sun Devils by 31
Missouri at Vanderbilt - Tigers by 8
Kentucky at (13) South Carolina - Gamecocks by 17
Louisiana Tech at UTEP - Miners by 1
(4) Ohio State at (16) Northwestern - Buckeyes by 12
West Virginia at (17) Baylor - Bears by 60
(15) Washington at (5) Stanford - Cardinal by 1
Sunday
San Jose State at Hawaii - Spartans by 7
New Orleans at Chicago - Saints by 11
New England at Cincinnati - Patriots by 9
Detroit at Green Bay - Packers by 3
Kansas City at Tennessee - Titans by 1
Seattle at Indianapolis - Seahawks by 3
Jacksonville at Saint Louis - Rams by 6
Baltimore at Miami - Dolphins by 2
Philadelphia at NY Giants - Eagles by 3
Carolina at Arizona - Panthers by 17
Denver at Dallas - Broncos by 14
Houston at San Francisco - Texans by 3
San Diego at Oakland - Chargers by 5
Monday
NY Jets at Atlanta - Falcons by 4
Most Confident vs. the Spread
(Spread is in parentheses)
College Football
1. Arizona State (-5)
2. Miami-Ohio (+3)
3. Cincinnati (-11.5)
4. Rice (+3)
5. Florida (-11)
6. Auburn (+2.5)
7. New Mexico (-8.5)
8. Iowa (-1.5)
9. Mississippi State (+9.5)
10. Oklahoma State (-14.5)
NFL
1. Carolina (-2)
2. Houston (+8)
3. New Orleans (Even)
4. New England (Even)
5. Detroit (+8)
Prediction Results
College Football: 35-13 (.729) 254-62 overall (.804)
Upsets: 2-4 (.333) 13-27 overall (.325)
Vs. Spread: 6-4 (.600) 18-12 overall (.600)
NFL: 8-7 (.533) 40-23 overall (.635)
Upsets: 1-2 (.333) 5-8 overall (.385)
Vs. Spread: 4-0 (1.000) 12-2 (.857)
Super predictions
ReplyDeleteThank you