College Football Rankings - 6 Oct

We have a new #1 team this week, as Baylor's defense wasn't able to prevent West Virginia from racking up 42 points, which allowed Oregon to pass them by and reclaim the top spot for this week. The Ducks are ranked #2 in the nation in both scoring offense and scoring defense, winning their games by an average score of 59-12, but this week they will face their first real test, when they visit the Washington Huskies, who nearly upset Stanford last night. Here are my full current rankings, with each team's predicted final record included.

Rank	LW	Team	Rec	Rating	Pred	Change	Undef %
1	2	Oregon	5-0	-43.6563	12-1	-1	54.5
2	1	Baylor	4-0	-40.2586	12-0		94.0
3	4	Florida State	5-0	-37.728	12-1		30.9
4	3	Washington	4-1	-30.7899	10-2
5	14	Miami (FL)	5-0	-28.3504	11-2	+1	2.1
6	18	Clemson	5-0	-28.2975	11-1	+1	19.9
7	13	LSU	5-1	-28.2582	10-2	+1
8	5	Louisville	5-0	-27.4789	12-0		89.8
9	19	Missouri	5-0	-26.8591	11-2	+1	10.6
10	6	Stanford	5-0	-26.7224	10-2		6.4
11	11	Georgia	4-1	-25.6279	9-3	+1
12	9	Georgia Tech	3-2	-23.3748	8-4	-1
13	17	Florida	4-1	-22.7126	8-4
14	21	UCLA	4-0	-22.5686	9-4	+2
15	15	Ohio State	6-0	-22.4539	12-1		45.2
16	7	Alabama	5-0	-22.3556	11-2		3.2
17	16	Wisconsin	3-2	-22.2941	9-3
18	28	Texas Tech	5-0	-20.4954	10-2		0.7
19	8	Utah State	3-3	-20.4084	10-3	-1
20	22	Arizona	3-1	-20.2208	8-4
21	10	Arizona State	3-2	-18.8632	7-5	-2
22	24	Utah	3-2	-18.3712	6-6	-1
23	39	Brigham Young	3-2	-17.7755	8-4	+2
24	25	Auburn	4-1	-17.3241	9-3
25	23	Virginia Tech	5-1	-17.2849	9-3	-1
26	26	Marshall	3-2	-16.1789	9-3	-2
27	29	Tennessee	3-3	-16.1408	6-6
28	20	Oklahoma State	4-1	-15.823	9-3	-1
29	12	Mississippi State	2-3	-15.3579	7-5	-1
30	27	South Carolina	4-1	-15.2172	8-4
31	34	Houston	4-0	-15.1349	10-2	+1	1.1
32	38	Indiana	3-2	-14.9523	8-4	+1
33	35	Texas A&M	4-1	-13.6027	8-4	+1
34	37	Boise State	3-2	-12.9881	8-4
35	32	UCF	4-1	-12.9779	9-3
36	31	Navy	3-1	-12.497	9-3	-1
37	45	TCU	2-3	-11.9374	7-5
38	51	Ohio	4-1	-11.8642	11-2
39	41	East Carolina	4-1	-11.832	10-3	+1
40	50	Ball State	5-1	-11.7261	11-2	+1
41	48	Oklahoma	5-0	-11.6595	9-3	+1
42	36	USC	3-2	-11.1238	7-6	-1
43	43	Washington State	4-2	-10.7445	6-6	+1
44	42	Ole Miss	3-2	-9.80146	7-5
45	30	Penn State	3-2	-9.68523	7-5	-1
46	53	Nebraska	4-1	-9.63812	9-4	+1
47	49	Western Kentucky	4-2	-9.46428	9-3	+1
48	55	Pittsburgh	3-1	-8.69949	6-6
49	46	Duke	3-2	-8.26476	6-6
50	33	Syracuse	2-3	-7.93472	6-6	-1
51	52	North Texas	2-3	-7.25675	9-4
52	60	North Carolina	1-4	-6.68645	5-7
53	58	Wyoming	3-2	-5.5421	7-5	-1
54	59	Kentucky	1-4	-5.31607	3-9
55	71	Louisiana-Lafayette	3-2	-5.15508	8-4	+1
56	57	Northwestern	4-1	-4.89497	7-5	-1
57	40	Illinois	3-2	-4.71824	6-6	-2
58	76	Fresno State	5-0	-4.52227	10-2		1.8
59	47	Vanderbilt	3-3	-4.51186	5-7	-1
60	66	Toledo	3-3	-4.05455	7-5
61	77	Michigan	5-0	-3.9627	7-5	+1
62	62	Memphis	1-3	-3.86628	7-5
63	54	Virginia	2-3	-3.83133	4-8	-1
64	63	Arkansas State	2-3	-3.48524	7-5
65	67	Rutgers	4-1	-2.56718	8-4
66	64	Bowling Green	5-1	-2.42111	8-4	-1
67	56	Maryland	4-1	-2.41427	7-5	-1
68	91	Michigan State	4-1	-2.25316	8-4	+3
69	69	South Alabama	2-3	-2.09689	7-5
70	90	Notre Dame	4-2	-1.8733	6-6	+2
71	85	Kansas State	2-3	-1.73077	5-7
72	61	Iowa	4-2	-1.48637	6-6	-2
73	82	Boston College	3-2	-1.46152	6-6	+1
74	86	Florida Atlantic	2-4	-1.13957	6-6	+1
75	72	Oregon State	4-1	-0.80089	5-7
76	73	Arkansas	3-3	-0.73095	4-8	+1
77	70	Northern Illinois	5-0	-0.66117	10-2	-1	7.8
78	44	Cincinnati	3-2	-0.12629	6-6	-2
79	65	Troy	3-3	-0.09061	6-6
80	80	Middle Tennessee	3-3	0.236947	7-5
81	68	Texas State	3-2	1.091304	7-5	-1
82	78	Texas	3-2	1.471905	5-7	+1
83	75	Tulane	4-2	1.500293	7-5
84	74	Rice	3-2	2.35113	8-4
85	83	North Carolina State	3-2	2.905485	5-7
86	93	Wake Forest	3-3	3.464357	4-8	+1
87	84	Buffalo	3-2	3.73945	7-5
88	96	West Virginia	3-3	3.984844	5-7
89	81	San Jose State	2-3	4.38333	6-6
90	89	UTSA	2-4	5.285721	5-7
91	79	Minnesota	4-2	6.5075	5-7	-1
92	92	Army	2-4	7.381687	5-7
93	97	Colorado	2-2	7.396836	4-8	+1
94	87	California	1-4	7.589991	2-10
95	88	UAB	1-4	7.942707	4-8	-1
96	94	Nevada	3-3	8.234266	5-7	-1
97	95	Louisiana-Monroe	2-4	9.548761	4-8
98	98	Colorado State	2-3	10.3478	5-8
99	104	Southern Methodist	1-4	11.02025	3-9
100	102	Iowa State	1-3	11.16028	2-10
101	103	Air Force	1-5	11.72639	4-8
102	107	Temple	0-5	12.12395	2-10	+1
103	101	Kent State	2-4	12.71846	4-8
104	100	Akron	1-5	12.88847	3-9	-1
105	105	UNLV	3-2	12.92512	5-7
106	111	New Mexico	2-3	13.00955	4-8	+1
107	99	Kansas	2-2	13.64543	3-9	-1
108	106	Hawaii	0-5	14.83797	2-10
109	109	Louisiana Tech	2-4	17.02946	4-8
110	121	South Florida	1-4	17.76706	2-10	+2
111	114	Tulsa	1-4	17.96029	2-10
112	115	San Diego State	2-3	18.43255	3-9
113	112	Purdue	1-4	19.34921	1-11
114	110	Eastern Michigan	1-4	19.69362	2-10	-1
115	116	Connecticut	0-4	21.01438	1-11
116	118	Massachusetts	0-5	21.14974	2-10
117	117	UTEP	1-4	22.0349	2-10	-1
118	122	Central Michigan	2-4	23.63137	4-8	+2
119	113	Idaho	1-5	24.40448	2-10	-1
120	120	Western Michigan	0-6	24.62375	1-11
121	108	Miami (OH)	0-5	25.26396	1-11	-2
122	119	Southern Miss	0-5	25.94332	0-12	-1
123	123	Florida International	1-4	31.95606	1-11	+1
124	125	Georgia State	0-5	32.53817	0-12
125	124	New Mexico State	0-6	40.48488	0-12

Miami moved up to #5 after earning their second win over a top-13 team early in the season, handing Georgia Tech a 45-30 loss yesterday, which looks good next to their win over Florida a few weeks ago. They still must face Florida State in November, and possibly again in December, which will be a major test for the Hurricanes, but there is a good chance that the two Sunshine State teams will split those matchups and earn matching bids to the BCS.

Clemson would like to prevent that second Miami-FSU matchup, and to do it they'll have to beat Florida State when they host them in 2 weeks. The ACC now has 3 teams in the top 6 thanks to the Tigers blowout at Syracuse, and their win over Georgia in week one is still looking very impressive. Other than that opening game, Clemson has not given up more than 2 scores to any of its opponents.

LSU was trapped in a close road game against Mississippi State last night, leading by 2 points late in the 3rd quarter, but that's when the entire game changed, as the Tigers scored 31 straight points to make a possible upset turn into a blowout which earned them a spot in the top 10 and the highest ranking of any SEC team, despite their loss to Georgia, which came on the road and was only by a field goal.

Perhaps the most overlooked team in the SEC is the "other" undefeated, Missouri, which has beaten 4 decent teams but still no one good enough to gain them any recognition. That will change this weekend, one way or the other, when the Tigers travel to Georgia to face the Bulldogs, who will not want to take a second loss this early in the season, and especially not to an unproven SEC East foe.