College Football Rankings - 13 Oct

Oregon faced their toughest test of the season this week, with a road game at a very good Washington team, but the passed that test with flying colors, solidifying their hold on the top spot and making their chance of an undefeated season become a near certainty, with only a visit to Stanford standing in the way. Baylor struggled with a weak Kansas State team, and Florida State and Miami took the week off, so there was no doubt as to this week's #1. Here are my full rankings, along with each team's predicted final record:

Rank	LW	Team	Rec	Rating	Pred	Change	Undef %
1	1	Oregon	6-0	-45.7005	13-0	+1	88.3
2	3	Florida State	5-0	-38.9224	12-1		46.5
3	2	Baylor	5-0	-36.7752	12-0		90.7
4	9	Missouri	6-0	-28.6125	12-1	+1	29.2
5	4	Washington	4-2	-28.5815	9-3	-1
6	5	Miami (FL)	5-0	-27.4986	11-2		0.1
7	16	Alabama	6-0	-27.305	11-2		12.8
8	7	LSU	6-1	-26.4781	10-2
9	10	Stanford	5-1	-25.5901	9-3	-1
10	6	Clemson	6-0	-24.4975	10-2	-1	7.5
11	17	Wisconsin	4-2	-24.0061	9-3
12	15	Ohio State	6-0	-23.8968	12-1		56.0
13	8	Louisville	6-0	-22.7294	12-0		68.4
14	14	UCLA	5-0	-22.6308	9-4
15	11	Georgia	4-2	-22.264	8-4	-1
16	23	Brigham Young	4-2	-21.7434	9-3	+1
17	22	Utah	4-2	-21.4173	7-5	+1
18	21	Arizona State	4-2	-20.9741	7-5
19	12	Georgia Tech	3-3	-20.9324	7-5	-1
20	13	Florida	4-2	-20.2832	7-5	-1
21	24	Auburn	5-1	-19.1575	9-3
22	30	South Carolina	5-1	-19.1198	9-3	+1
23	19	Utah State	3-4	-18.2895	8-4	-2
24	20	Arizona	3-2	-17.6932	7-5	-1
25	25	Virginia Tech	6-1	-16.4494	9-3
26	28	Oklahoma State	4-1	-15.5052	9-3
27	34	Boise State	4-2	-15.4545	10-3	+2
28	18	Texas Tech	6-0	-14.9726	9-3	-1
29	27	Tennessee	3-3	-14.8372	6-6
30	33	Texas A&M	5-1	-14.5231	8-4
31	35	UCF	4-1	-14.2201	10-2	+1
32	31	Houston	5-0	-13.7956	10-2		1.3
33	42	USC	4-2	-13.3117	8-5	+1
34	26	Marshall	4-2	-12.8712	10-3	+1
35	29	Mississippi State	3-3	-12.2771	6-6	-1
36	44	Ole Miss	3-3	-11.7009	7-5
37	32	Indiana	3-3	-11.1608	6-6	-2
38	49	Duke	4-2	-11.1272	7-5	+1
39	48	Pittsburgh	3-2	-10.7656	7-5	+1
40	46	Nebraska	5-1	-10.4702	9-4
41	39	East Carolina	4-2	-9.51046	9-3	-1
42	75	Oregon State	5-1	-9.43042	7-5	+2
43	45	Penn State	4-2	-8.62241	7-5
44	43	Washington State	4-3	-8.53136	5-7	-1
45	50	Syracuse	3-3	-8.33447	6-6
46	40	Ball State	6-1	-8.27665	11-2
47	41	Oklahoma	5-1	-7.80283	8-4	-1
48	51	North Texas	3-3	-7.14255	9-4
49	47	Western Kentucky	4-2	-7.11936	9-3
50	37	TCU	3-3	-6.62185	6-6	-1
51	61	Michigan	5-1	-6.3338	7-5
52	71	Kansas State	2-4	-6.2114	6-6	+1
53	82	Texas	4-2	-6.0678	7-5	+2
54	52	North Carolina	1-4	-5.96577	5-7
55	58	Fresno State	5-0	-5.67231	10-2		5.6
56	36	Navy	3-2	-5.54205	8-4	-1
57	68	Michigan State	5-1	-5.35035	9-3	+1
58	59	Vanderbilt	3-3	-5.34201	5-7
59	73	Boston College	3-3	-5.06017	6-6
60	62	Memphis	1-4	-5.02076	7-5
61	66	Bowling Green	5-2	-5.01804	9-4	+1
62	63	Virginia	2-4	-4.94669	3-9	-1
63	56	Northwestern	4-2	-4.32675	7-5
64	57	Illinois	3-2	-4.23375	6-6
65	38	Ohio	4-2	-4.22607	9-3	-2
66	55	Louisiana-Lafayette	3-2	-4.09891	8-4
67	60	Toledo	3-3	-3.95717	7-5
68	65	Rutgers	4-2	-3.10658	8-4
69	72	Iowa	4-2	-2.87818	6-6
70	67	Maryland	5-1	-2.37785	7-5
71	64	Arkansas State	3-3	-2.13921	7-5
72	70	Notre Dame	4-2	-1.90722	6-6
73	53	Wyoming	4-2	-1.73625	7-5
74	74	Florida Atlantic	2-5	-1.19036	6-6
75	69	South Alabama	2-3	-0.84168	7-5
76	54	Kentucky	1-5	-0.34495	3-9
77	83	Tulane	5-2	0.261473	8-4	+1
78	78	Cincinnati	4-2	0.333615	7-5	+1
79	84	Rice	4-2	0.384344	8-4
80	77	Northern Illinois	6-0	0.846067	10-2		6.6
81	87	Buffalo	4-2	1.783417	8-4	+1
82	80	Middle Tennessee	3-4	2.0909	7-5
83	89	San Jose State	3-3	3.170145	6-6
84	79	Troy	4-3	3.314421	6-6
85	86	Wake Forest	3-3	3.495684	4-8
86	100	Iowa State	1-4	3.908309	3-9	+1
87	85	North Carolina State	3-3	3.993812	4-8	-1
88	76	Arkansas	3-4	4.31059	3-9	-1
89	88	West Virginia	3-3	4.731905	5-7
90	91	Minnesota	4-2	5.229181	5-7
91	94	California	1-5	6.182496	2-10
92	81	Texas State	3-3	6.357129	6-6	-1
93	92	Army	3-4	6.691612	5-7
94	93	Colorado	2-3	6.793367	4-8
95	90	UTSA	2-5	7.06575	5-7
96	96	Nevada	3-3	7.424149	5-7
97	97	Louisiana-Monroe	3-4	8.660078	5-7	+1
98	98	Colorado State	2-4	9.904194	4-9	-1
99	103	Kent State	2-5	9.938831	4-8
100	106	New Mexico	2-4	10.53172	4-8
101	95	UAB	2-4	11.19815	4-8
102	107	Kansas	2-3	11.35044	3-9
103	108	Hawaii	0-6	11.57904	2-10
104	104	Akron	1-6	11.87914	3-9
105	105	UNLV	4-2	12.19198	6-6	+1
106	99	Southern Methodist	1-4	12.9886	3-9
107	102	Temple	0-6	13.42335	2-10
108	112	San Diego State	3-3	13.80837	4-8	+1
109	111	Tulsa	2-4	14.2943	3-9	+1
110	101	Air Force	1-6	15.52527	3-9	-1
111	110	South Florida	2-4	16.74575	3-9	+1
112	109	Louisiana Tech	2-4	16.79559	4-8
113	118	Central Michigan	3-4	18.32311	5-7	+1
114	116	Massachusetts	1-5	19.99836	3-9	+1
115	115	Connecticut	0-5	20.9962	0-12	-1
116	114	Eastern Michigan	1-5	21.2764	2-10
117	113	Purdue	1-5	21.49577	1-11
118	117	UTEP	1-5	23.2889	2-10
119	119	Idaho	1-6	24.45293	2-10
120	121	Miami (OH)	0-6	25.38527	0-12	-1
121	120	Western Michigan	0-7	25.91614	1-11
122	122	Southern Miss	0-5	27.10493	0-12
123	124	Georgia State	0-6	29.18124	0-12
124	123	Florida International	1-5	30.6938	1-11
125	125	New Mexico State	0-6	38.04345	0-12

Missouri moved into my top 10 last week, but only into the AP top 25, so most did not expect them to beat the Georgia Bulldogs, and even though Georgia has tons of injuries, the Tigers showed definitively that they are the best team in the SEC East this year, and that they may not lose until they have to play Alabama in the SEC title game.

Alabama moved back into the top 10 this week after defeating another inferior opponent, but this time they controlled the entire game against Kentucky on the road. They were also helped by the fact that Ole Miss nearly upset Texas A&M, and also that Virginia Tech has continued to win, with the Crimson Tide still the only team to beat the Hokies or the Aggies this year.

Louisville dropped from the top 10 after struggling with the Rutgers Scarlet Knights yesterday, but an even bigger blow may have come from Ohio, a MAC favorite that the Cardinals defeated to open the season, who lost to Central Michigan, one of the 10 worst teams in the nation coming into the weekend. Sadly, the Bobcats are still the best team Louisville has beaten this year, and they are not even in the top half of FBS teams at this point.

South Carolina could have been in trouble after Georgia, the only team to beat the Gamecocks, went down to Missouri for their second loss, but instead they took care of their own business, scoring 52 straight points against the Arkansas Razorbacks to blow them away and reenter the top 25 after 2 weeks sitting on the outside looking in. The Gamecocks face another challenge this week at Tennessee, and a win would definitely push them back up toward the low teens, where they are used to being ranked.