College Football Rankings - 27 Oct

Two more undefeated teams went down yesterday, Texas Tech in a close battle with Oklahoma, and Missouri, which lost to South Carolina. That leaves 8 teams without a loss, six from AQ conferences, with 6 weeks to go before bowl season begins. How many of them will remain undefeated, and which ones will they be? Here are my full rankings, along with each team's predicted final record and odds of finishing undefeated:

Rank	LW	Team	Rec	Rating	Pred	Change	Undef %
1	1	Oregon	8-0	-41.3536	13-0		65.1
2	3	Baylor	7-0	-39.7925	12-0		93.3
3	2	Florida State	7-0	-37.8549	13-0		83.5
4	4	Alabama	8-0	-32.4063	12-1		49.2
5	8	Arizona State	5-2	-25.8914	9-4
6	6	Stanford	7-1	-25.1688	10-2
7	15	Ohio State	8-0	-24.8198	13-0	+1	72.4
8	5	Missouri	7-1	-24.7477	10-2	-2
9	10	Wisconsin	5-2	-24.0888	9-3	-1
10	9	Georgia Tech	5-3	-24.0698	8-4
11	13	Brigham Young	6-2	-22.5699	9-3
12	7	Miami (FL)	7-0	-21.2929	10-3	-1
13	11	LSU	7-2	-20.9019	9-3
14	12	Washington	5-3	-20.7842	8-4
15	18	Auburn	7-1	-20.1957	10-2
16	14	UCLA	5-2	-19.9218	8-4
17	21	South Carolina	6-2	-19.4531	9-4	+1
18	23	Arizona	5-2	-19.352	8-4
19	16	Louisville	7-1	-19.0681	11-1
20	19	Clemson	7-1	-18.5299	10-2
21	20	Utah State	4-4	-18.5142	8-4
22	17	Utah	4-4	-18.3097	6-6	-1
23	31	Houston	6-1	-18.0072	10-2	+1
24	28	Texas A&M	6-2	-17.4745	8-4
25	26	Oklahoma State	6-1	-17.2126	9-3
26	22	Georgia	4-3	-16.8286	7-5
27	24	Florida	4-3	-16.1464	7-5
28	32	USC	5-3	-15.441	8-5	+1
29	25	Virginia Tech	6-2	-15.2818	9-3
30	27	UCF	6-1	-14.742	11-1
31	29	Ole Miss	5-3	-14.438	8-4
32	38	Duke	6-2	-12.9129	9-3	+1
33	30	Texas Tech	7-1	-12.5135	8-4	-1
34	36	Oregon State	6-2	-12.3599	7-5
35	51	Texas	5-2	-11.0908	8-4	+1
36	33	Boise State	5-3	-10.9424	9-4	-1
37	35	Tennessee	4-4	-10.4314	6-6
38	34	Marshall	4-3	-10.401	9-4	-1
39	43	Oklahoma	7-1	-10.1929	9-3	+1
40	37	Mississippi State	4-3	-9.94165	6-6
41	40	Washington State	4-4	-9.32766	5-7
42	44	North Carolina	2-5	-9.29055	6-6	+1
43	46	Kansas State	3-4	-8.86328	7-5	+1
44	41	Michigan	6-1	-8.53754	8-4	-1
45	49	Louisiana-Lafayette	5-2	-8.45011	10-2	+1
46	62	Michigan State	7-1	-8.43807	10-3	+2
47	39	East Carolina	5-2	-8.22413	9-3
48	56	Notre Dame	6-2	-8.11926	7-5
49	45	Indiana	3-4	-7.47174	6-6
50	57	Iowa	5-3	-6.2028	7-5
51	53	Ball State	8-1	-5.98439	10-2
52	55	North Texas	5-3	-5.88036	8-4	-1
53	52	Pittsburgh	4-3	-5.796	6-6
54	42	Nebraska	5-2	-5.06396	8-4	-1
55	47	Vanderbilt	4-4	-3.94369	6-6
56	59	Navy	4-3	-3.68124	7-5
57	54	Fresno State	7-0	-3.58933	10-2		8.7
58	50	TCU	3-5	-3.48546	5-7	-1
59	65	Toledo	5-3	-2.9955	8-4	+1
60	58	Bowling Green	5-3	-2.4625	8-4	-1
61	61	Boston College	3-4	-2.37515	6-6
62	69	Virginia	2-6	-2.3006	3-9
63	48	Penn State	4-3	-2.26543	7-5
64	60	Ohio	6-2	-2.1254	9-3
65	73	Northwestern	4-4	-1.83262	6-6
66	78	Rice	6-2	-1.74657	9-4
67	70	Memphis	1-5	-1.55866	5-7
68	71	Northern Illinois	8-0	-1.32216	11-2		8.1
69	82	Wake Forest	4-4	-1.04512	5-7
70	67	Syracuse	3-4	-0.76018	5-7
71	63	Western Kentucky	4-4	-0.66262	7-5	-1
72	80	Buffalo	6-2	-0.29236	9-4	+1
73	84	Minnesota	6-2	-0.27417	7-5	+1
74	76	Kentucky	1-6	-0.18527	3-9
75	68	Arkansas State	3-4	1.011414	6-6	-1
76	79	Maryland	5-3	1.437259	7-5
77	77	San Jose State	4-3	1.438802	7-5
78	74	Cincinnati	5-2	1.465804	7-5
79	86	Middle Tennessee	4-4	1.57355	8-4	+1
80	72	Florida Atlantic	2-6	1.66283	6-6
81	64	Rutgers	4-3	1.866262	7-5	-1
82	85	Colorado State	4-4	2.099404	7-6	+1
83	87	Troy	5-3	2.537136	7-5	+1
84	75	South Alabama	3-4	2.552731	6-6	-1
85	81	Tulane	6-2	3.199444	8-4
86	93	North Carolina State	3-4	3.341283	4-8
87	83	Colorado	3-4	3.532136	4-8
88	88	West Virginia	3-5	4.603958	5-7
89	66	Illinois	3-4	5.030328	4-8	-2
90	94	UTSA	3-5	5.230545	5-7
91	89	Wyoming	4-4	5.830524	5-7
92	90	Arkansas	3-5	6.439242	3-9
93	91	Iowa State	1-6	7.135162	2-10	-1
94	96	Louisiana-Monroe	4-4	8.510099	5-7
95	100	California	1-7	8.556055	1-11
96	92	Nevada	3-5	9.102365	4-8	-1
97	95	Southern Methodist	3-4	9.651305	5-7	+1
98	97	Army	3-5	9.69929	5-7	+1
99	98	Texas State	5-3	9.803776	6-6
100	106	UNLV	5-3	10.46773	7-5	+1
101	101	Temple	1-7	10.89131	2-10
102	99	Hawaii	0-7	11.25851	2-10
103	105	Kansas	2-5	11.53199	3-9
104	107	Tulsa	2-5	11.92636	3-9
105	103	Akron	2-7	12.28133	4-8
106	108	New Mexico	2-5	12.6232	4-8	+1
107	109	San Diego State	3-4	12.72756	4-8
108	102	Kent State	2-7	13.5856	3-9	-1
109	104	UAB	2-5	14.47494	3-9	-1
110	111	Louisiana Tech	3-5	16.62542	5-7	+1
111	112	South Florida	2-5	18.00596	3-9
112	113	Purdue	1-6	18.32358	1-11
113	114	Central Michigan	3-5	19.12181	5-7
114	110	Air Force	1-7	19.23207	2-10
115	116	Connecticut	0-7	21.88142	0-12
116	115	Massachusetts	1-7	22.07184	2-10	-1
117	117	UTEP	1-6	22.36261	2-10
118	121	Western Michigan	1-8	24.08574	2-10	+1
119	119	Idaho	1-7	25.66021	2-10
120	118	Eastern Michigan	1-7	25.80324	2-10
121	120	Miami (OH)	0-8	26.29527	0-12
122	122	Georgia State	0-8	26.92361	0-12
123	123	Southern Miss	0-7	31.73181	0-12
124	125	New Mexico State	1-7	33.69094	1-11	+1
125	124	Florida International	1-6	33.89907	1-11

Ohio State finally made it to the top 10 this week, riding a blowout of Penn State and an undefeated record that stretches back for a season and a half. Their win over Northwestern a couple weeks ago is looking less impressive with each loss the Wildcats pile up (4 straight now), but their season-opening win over Buffalo is starting to look like it means something, as the Bulls have positioned themselves as the likely champion of the MAC East division, which would give them a chance to take down the "mighty" Northern Illinois Huskies in the MAC title game.

Missouri did more than just blow a chance at a perfect season when they gave up a 17-0 4th quarter lead in their loss to South Carolina yesterday, they also may have given up a chance at the SEC East title, which they would have nearly wrapped up with a win. They still have to face Ole Miss and Texas A&M to close the season, and a single loss could mean that the Gamecocks get a chance at Alabama in the title game instead of the Tigers.

Of all of the remaining undefeated teams, none looked weaker than Miami on Saturday. They needed 14 4th quarter points to come back and defeat Wake Forest, a perennial ACC cellar dweller, just to maintain their perfect record, but the near miss knocked them from the top 10. The undefeated record will follow this week when Florida State dominates the Hurricanes in a Sunshine State showdown.

Houston joined the top 25 this week after a road blowout of Rutgers, and with their only loss coming to BYU, #11 in my rankings, plus a neutral site win over a strong Rice team, the Cougars have become part of the conversation to win the AAC. They would have had a chance, too, if they didn't have to face fellow challengers Louisville and UCF on the road in consecutive weeks in November.