NFL Rankings - 19 Nov

The top 4 teams all had impressive wins over the weekend, which allowed all 4 to maintain their previous rankings, and 3 of the 4 teams behind them were the losers in those contests, which allowed them to stay put as well. Here are this week's full rankings, along with each team's predicted final record and playoff seeding:

Rank	LW	Team	Rec	Rating	Pred	Change	Seed
1	1	Denver	9-1	-12.5508	14-2	+1	A1
2	2	Carolina	7-3	-10.9922	11-5		N5
3	3	Seattle	10-1	-10.8995	13-3		N1
4	4	New Orleans	8-2	-10.2588	12-4	+1	N2
5	5	San Francisco	6-4	-8.62469	10-6	-1	N6
6	6	Kansas City	9-1	-7.58526	13-3		A5
7	7	Cincinnati	7-4	-5.54722	10-6		A4
8	8	New England	7-3	-5.16987	11-5		A2
9	10	Indianapolis	7-3	-3.74568	11-5	+1	A3
10	11	Dallas	5-5	-3.47251	9-7		N4
11	13	Arizona	6-4	-2.49273	9-7
12	9	Green Bay	5-5	-1.94221	9-7
13	15	Philadelphia	6-5	-1.60723	9-7	+1
14	12	Detroit	6-4	-1.39497	10-6		N3
15	14	Chicago	6-4	-1.18258	9-7
16	16	Saint Louis	4-6	-0.39908	6-10
17	17	Baltimore	4-6	-0.37303	7-9	-1
18	18	San Diego	4-6	-0.03594	7-9
19	20	Miami	5-5	0.080296	8-8		A6
20	19	Tennessee	4-6	0.484143	7-9	-1
21	22	Buffalo	4-7	2.038114	7-9	+1
22	23	Tampa Bay	2-8	3.191953	4-12	+1
23	21	Cleveland	4-6	3.200741	7-9	-1
24	27	NY Giants	4-6	3.566399	6-10	+1
25	28	Pittsburgh	4-6	4.053735	6-10	+1
26	26	Washington	3-7	4.888563	5-11	-1
27	24	Atlanta	2-8	5.215568	4-12
28	25	Houston	2-8	5.556749	4-12	-1
29	31	Oakland	4-6	5.95203	6-10	+1
30	29	Minnesota	2-8	6.365006	4-12
31	30	NY Jets	5-5	7.616305	7-9	-1
32	32	Jacksonville	1-9	14.69273	2-14

Denver survived their biggest test of the season on Sunday, outplaying the Kansas City Chiefs for 4 quarters and knocking them from the ranks of the unbeaten, taking back the division lead in the process. The road only gets tougher for the Broncos over the next 2 weeks, when they travel to New England and Kansas City in their two most brutal matchups of the season. Odds are that they lose at least one of them.

Philadelphia is getting hot at the right time, and on Sunday they won a home game for the first time in over a year, which will be very helpful in their next two games, both at home against teams that are equally alive in the playoff hunt. Nick Foles has made a strong case to be the permanent starter for the Eagles, throwing 16 touchdowns without a pick so far this season.

Carolina was ranked in my top 3 as early as week 3, back when their record was only 1-2, and many thought that they were ranked too high. Now that they have won 6 straight to run their record to 7-3, including wins over New England and San Francisco in the last 2 weeks, the arguments are now about whether or not they are the best team in the NFC, not whether they belong near the top of the rankings.

Predictions

Upset picks are in italics.

Tuesday

Buffalo at Miami (OH) - Bulls by 25
Kent State at Ohio - Bobcats by 15

Wednesday

(16) Northern Illinois at Toledo - Rockets by 4

Thursday

Rice at UAB - Owls by 16
Rutgers at (18) UCF - Knights by 24
UNLV at Air Force - Rebels by 3

New Orleans at Atlanta - Saints by 13

Friday

Navy at San Jose State - Midshipmen by 4

Saturday

(13) Michigan State at Northwestern - Spartans by 4
Memphis at (21) Louisville - Cardinals by 23
Old Dominion at North Carolina - Tar Heels by 35
Duke at Wake Forest - Blue Devils by 9
Citadel at (7) Clemson - Tigers by 49
Cincinnati at Houston - Cougars by 15
Michigan at Iowa - Hawkeyes by 6
(20) Oklahoma at Kansas State - Wildcats by 5
Virginia at Miami - Hurricanes by 24
Illinois at Purdue - Fighting Illini by 10
Mississippi State at Arkansas - Bulldogs by 12
East Carolina at North Carolina State - Pirates by 7
Pittsburgh at Syracuse - Orange by 1
Massachusetts at Central Michigan - Chippewas by 9
Bowling Green at Eastern Michigan - Falcons by 30
Coastal Carolina at (11) South Carolina - Gamecocks by 43
Alabama A&M at Georgia Tech - Yellowjackets by 44
Georgia Southern at Florida - Gators by 37
Chattanooga at (1) Alabama - Crimson Tide by 56
Hawaii at Wyoming - Cowboys by 5
Georgia State at Arkansas State - Red Wolves by 32
New Mexico State at Florida Atlantic - Owls by 33
(5) Oregon at Arizona - Ducks by 18
Idaho at (2) Florida State - Seminoles by 76
BYU at Notre Dame - Cougars by 7
(12) Texas A&M at (22) LSU - Tigers by 6
Boston College at Maryland - Eagles by 1
(19) Wisconsin at (25) Minnesota - Badgers by 20
Indiana at (3) Ohio State - Buckeyes by 28
Nebraska at Penn State - Nittany Lions by 1
UTSA at North Texas - Mean Green by 14
Utah at Washington State - Utes by 4
Colorado State at Utah State - Aggies by 23
Middle Tennessee at Southern Miss - Blue Raiders by 26
UTEP at Tulane - Green Wave by 22
California at (9) Stanford - Cardinal by 40
New Mexico at (15) Fresno State - Bulldogs by 26
Marshall at FIU - Thundering Herd by 40
Louisiana-Monroe at South Alabama - Jaguars by 8
(17) Arizona State at (14) UCLA - Sun Devils by 2
SMU at South Florida - Mustangs by 1
Kentucky at Georgia - Bulldogs by 24
Connecticut at Temple - Owls by 15
Western Kentucky at Texas State - Hilltoppers by 5
Tulsa at Louisiana Tech - Golden Hurricane by 2
Vanderbilt at Tennessee - Volunteers by 3
(8) Missouri at (24) Ole Miss - Tigers by 8
Kansas at Iowa State - Cyclones by 5
(4) Baylor at (10) Oklahoma State - Bears by 13
(23) USC at Colorado - Trojans by 19
Washington at Oregon State - Huskies by 5
Boise State at San Diego State - Broncos by 17

Sunday

Chicago at Saint Louis - Bears by 4
Pittsburgh at Cleveland - Browns by 3
Tampa Bay at Detroit - Lions by 7
Minnesota at Green Bay - Packers by 11
San Diego at Kansas City - Chiefs by 10
Carolina at Miami - Panthers by 9
NY Jets at Baltimore - Ravens by 10
Jacksonville at Houston - Texans by 12
Tennessee at Oakland - Titans by 3
Indianapolis at Arizona - Cardinals by 1
Dallas at NY Giants - Cowboys by 7
Denver at New England - Broncos by 5

Monday

San Francisco at Washington - 49ers by 11

Most Confident vs the Spread

(Spread is in parentheses)

College Football

1. Utah State (-7)
2. FAU (-20.5)
3. Houston (-3.5)
4. Mississippi State (-1.5)
5. Boise State (-7)
6. Ohio (-6)
7. Stanford (-31.5)
8. Arkansas State (-24)
9. Marshall (-32.5)
10. UCF (-17)

NFL

1. Dallas (+3)
2. Baltimore (-4)
3. San Francisco (-5)
4. Carolina (-4)
5. Kansas City (-5)

NBA

Minnesota at Washington - Timberwolves by 8
New York at Detroit - Pistons by 8
Atlanta at Miami - Heat by 6
Boston at Houston - Rockets by 8
Phoenix at Sacramento - Suns by 5

College Basketball

Canisius vs. Elon - Phoenix by 14
Stillman vs. McNeese State - Cowboys by 12
East Carolina at (6) Duke - Blue Devils by 19
Vanderbilt at Butler - Bulldogs by 9
Hartford at (3) Louisville - Cardinals by 23
Winthrop at East Tennessee State - Buccaneers by 3
Sacred Heart at Yale - Bulldogs by 20
Saint Francis (PA) at George Mason - Patriots by 14
Kennesaw State at Chattanooga - Mocs by 23
Morehead State at Northern Kentucky - Eagles by 4
Navy at Virginia - Cavaliers by 16
Indiana-Northwest at IUPUI - Jaguars by 20
St. Bonaventure at Siena - Bonnies by 4
Alabama A&M at Eastern Kentucky - Colonels by 30
Detroit at James Madison - Dukes by 4
Hofstra at Richmond - Spiders by 14
NJIT at Maine - Black Bears by 3
Brown at Massachusetts-Lowell - Bears by 18
Delaware State at George Washington - Colonials by 20
La Salle at Penn State - Nittany Lions by 8
Trinity at Bethune-Cookman - Wildcats by 19
Lees McRae at Appalachian State - Mountaineers by 21
Delaware at Army - Blue Hens by 8
Texas-Arlington at (4) Kentucky - Wildcats by 24
Drexel at Rutgers - Dragons by 1
Allen at Gardner-Webb - Runnin Bulldogs by 29
Iona at (2) Kansas - Jayhawks by 10
(11) Memphis at (7) Oklahoma State - Cowboys by 19
North Dakota at (12) Wisconsin - Badgers by 21
Abilene Christian at TCU - Horned Frogs by 24
Coastal Carolina at Minnesota - Golden Gophers by 28
Rockhurst at Loyola (IL) - Ramblers by 31
Nicholls State at Troy - Trojans by 18
Jacksonville State at Auburn - Tigers by 6
Bethel at Murray State - Racers by 30
Northwood at Incarnate Word - Cardinals by 18
New Orleans at LSU - Tigers by 21
DePaul at Milwaukee - Panthers by 4
Mississippi Valley State at Mississippi State - Bulldogs by 29
Prairie View A&M at Texas A&M - Aggies by 17
Georgia State at Alabama - Crimson Tide by 6
Fairleigh Dickinson vs. Metro State - Knights by 9
Southern Illinois at Austin Peay - Salukis by 7
South Carolina State at Nebraska-Omaha - Mavericks by 26
Bucknell at Saint John's - Red Storm by 6
UNC-Asheville vs. Norfolk State - Bulldogs by 3
Utah Valley at (17) Oregon - Ducks by 35
Seattle at Boise State - Broncos by 26
Walla Walla at Eastern Washington - Eagles by 31
Colorado State at UTEP - Miners by 2
Arizona State at UNLV - Sun Devils by 17
Rhode Island at (5) Arizona - Wildcats by 27
Cal State Fullerton at USC - Trojans by 2

Pick of the Day

Boise State

Texas gave me 11 in a row last night, and the Broncos should run it to 12 tonight against Seattle.

Prediction Results

NFL: 12-2 (.857) 97-64 overall (.602)
Upsets: 4-2 (.667) 13-23 overall (.361)
Vs Spread: 4-1 (.800) 30-18 overall (.625)
NBA: 5-1 (.833) 95-60 overall (.613)
College Basketball: 37-10 (.787) 527-116 overall (.820)
Upsets: 4-5 (.444) 43-22 overall (.662)