Logan's Sports Ratings: College Football Rankings

Oregon lost a close game to Stanford for the second straight season, ruining their chance at making the national title game once again and costing them the top spot in this week's rankings. Of the 6 remaining undefeated teams, 4 are among the top 6 in my current rankings, and most have a pretty easy path remaining to finish without a loss. Here are my full rankings for this week:

Rank	LW	Team	Rec	Rating	Pred	Change	Undef %
1	3	Florida State	9-0	-41.3394	13-0		100.0
2	2	Baylor	8-0	-39.7149	12-0		88.9
3	1	Oregon	8-1	-38.6746	11-1	-2
4	4	Alabama	9-0	-32.3772	12-1		39.5
5	5	Arizona State	7-2	-29.0992	10-3	+1
6	6	Ohio State	9-0	-27.9714	13-0		86.2
7	9	Stanford	8-1	-27.0707	11-2	+1
8	8	Missouri	9-1	-26.194	11-2	+1
9	7	Wisconsin	7-2	-26.0614	10-2
10	12	Washington	6-3	-23.5798	8-4
11	10	Clemson	8-1	-22.4735	10-2
12	19	Auburn	9-1	-22.271	10-2
13	11	Georgia Tech	6-3	-22.0237	8-4
14	13	Brigham Young	6-3	-21.1468	9-3
15	16	UCLA	7-2	-20.7881	8-4
16	17	South Carolina	7-2	-19.8867	9-3
17	15	LSU	7-3	-19.7719	9-3
18	21	Oklahoma State	8-1	-19.2916	10-2
19	24	USC	7-3	-19.0756	9-4
20	22	Utah	4-5	-19.0138	6-6
21	25	Texas A&M	8-2	-18.2757	8-4
22	20	Utah State	6-4	-17.8268	8-4
23	14	Miami (FL)	7-2	-17.58	9-3	-1
24	23	Arizona	6-3	-17.5403	7-5	-1
25	18	Louisville	8-1	-17.253	11-1
26	26	Georgia	6-3	-16.6501	7-5	-1
27	31	Virginia Tech	7-3	-16.4322	9-4	+1
28	29	Houston	7-2	-14.0326	9-3	-1
29	28	UCF	7-1	-13.8599	11-1
30	30	Ole Miss	6-3	-13.0137	8-4
31	39	Kansas State	5-4	-12.8273	8-4	+1
32	32	Boise State	6-3	-12.3195	10-3
33	36	Marshall	6-3	-11.7105	10-3	+1
34	27	Florida	4-5	-11.5593	5-7	-1
35	34	Oregon State	6-3	-11.3395	6-6
36	33	Duke	7-2	-11.3286	9-3	+1
37	43	North Carolina	4-5	-10.5286	6-6
38	35	Michigan State	8-1	-10.5254	10-3
39	38	Texas	7-2	-10.4603	8-4	+1
40	41	Mississippi State	4-5	-10.095	5-7	-1
41	40	Oklahoma	7-2	-9.82512	8-4
42	45	Washington State	4-5	-8.0119	4-8	-1
43	44	Notre Dame	7-3	-7.96127	7-5	-1
44	59	Fresno State	9-0	-7.6836	11-1	+1	23.4
45	37	Texas Tech	7-3	-7.68165	7-5	-1
46	49	East Carolina	7-2	-7.64395	9-3
47	46	Iowa	6-4	-7.32917	7-5
48	57	Vanderbilt	5-4	-7.18523	7-5	+1
49	48	Pittsburgh	5-4	-7.16688	6-6
50	50	Indiana	4-5	-6.28929	5-7
51	42	Tennessee	4-6	-6.07726	5-7	-1
52	53	Nebraska	7-2	-5.88183	9-3	+1
53	47	Michigan	6-3	-5.69338	7-5	-1
54	51	North Texas	7-3	-5.44584	9-4
55	55	Louisiana-Lafayette	7-2	-4.20563	10-2	+1
56	52	Ball State	9-1	-4.0449	10-2
57	60	Northwestern	4-5	-4.03708	6-6
58	67	Bowling Green	6-3	-3.80107	8-4
59	54	Boston College	5-4	-3.73217	7-5
60	63	Syracuse	5-4	-3.67488	6-6
61	56	Navy	5-4	-3.62961	7-5
62	58	Northern Illinois	9-0	-3.60711	12-1		12.1
63	62	Minnesota	8-2	-3.51059	8-4
64	61	Toledo	6-3	-3.18362	8-4
65	72	Buffalo	7-2	-2.94324	9-4
66	70	Rice	6-3	-1.84189	9-3
67	68	TCU	4-6	-1.18885	4-8
68	78	Arkansas State	5-4	-0.93637	7-5
69	65	Penn State	5-4	-0.91657	7-5
70	76	Florida Atlantic	3-6	0.353282	6-6
71	66	Cincinnati	7-2	0.436507	8-4
72	64	Ohio	6-3	0.679346	8-4	-1
73	71	Kentucky	2-7	1.063338	3-9
74	83	Middle Tennessee	6-4	1.322946	8-4
75	75	Western Kentucky	6-4	1.782602	7-5
76	69	Wake Forest	4-6	1.788673	4-8	-1
77	81	Colorado State	5-5	1.808185	7-6	+1
78	73	San Jose State	5-4	2.000321	6-6	-2
79	80	North Carolina State	3-6	2.127517	4-8
80	79	Memphis	2-6	2.887246	4-8
81	84	West Virginia	4-6	3.237906	5-7	-1
82	86	Rutgers	5-3	3.439669	7-5
83	74	Maryland	5-4	3.574977	6-6	-1
84	87	UTSA	5-5	3.822718	6-6
85	77	Virginia	2-8	3.895559	2-10
86	85	Illinois	3-6	3.926544	4-8
87	89	Tulane	6-4	4.137332	7-5	-1
88	88	South Alabama	3-5	4.29066	5-7
89	91	Troy	5-5	4.638936	6-6
90	82	Colorado	3-6	5.122651	4-8
91	94	Arkansas	3-7	5.352484	3-9
92	92	California	1-9	7.676396	1-11
93	95	Nevada	3-7	8.009517	3-9	-1
94	99	UNLV	5-5	8.205584	6-6
95	96	Iowa State	1-8	8.559631	2-10
96	104	San Diego State	5-4	8.697361	6-6	+1
97	90	Wyoming	4-5	9.081551	5-7
98	93	Louisiana-Monroe	5-5	9.55751	5-7	-1
99	100	Southern Methodist	3-5	9.777626	4-8
100	101	Hawaii	0-9	9.853757	2-10
101	98	Temple	1-8	10.88145	2-10
102	97	Texas State	6-3	11.17569	7-5
103	105	New Mexico	3-6	11.56583	3-9
104	102	Army	3-7	11.65554	3-9	-1
105	103	Kansas	2-7	11.8098	3-9
106	110	Tulsa	2-7	12.79225	3-9
107	106	Akron	3-7	13.15262	4-8
108	109	Kent State	2-8	13.87983	3-9
109	107	South Florida	2-6	14.77685	3-9
110	108	UAB	2-7	14.79163	3-9
111	111	Louisiana Tech	4-5	16.55373	5-7
112	112	Air Force	2-8	16.87228	2-10	-1
113	113	Central Michigan	3-6	18.40545	5-7
114	114	Purdue	1-8	19.42674	1-11
115	115	Connecticut	0-8	20.09489	1-11
116	116	UTEP	1-8	22.13808	2-10
117	118	Massachusetts	1-8	23.37771	2-10
118	117	Western Michigan	1-9	23.67151	1-11	-1
119	122	Eastern Michigan	2-8	26.75205	2-10
120	121	Georgia State	0-9	26.76247	0-12
121	123	New Mexico State	1-9	28.06357	2-10
122	120	Idaho	1-9	28.12134	1-11	-1
123	119	Miami (OH)	0-9	28.41365	0-12
124	124	Southern Miss	0-9	31.90951	0-12
125	125	Florida International	1-8	33.90447	1-11

Florida State has taken over the top spot, leapfrogging Baylor by winning their 9th straight game, 8 of which came by at least 28 points. The Seminoles also saw their odds of going undefeated reach 100% this week, as Florida, their toughest remaining opponent, is sinking fast, and Miami, the team most likely to dethrone them in the conference title game, has given up since losing to FSU last week. The Noles will play in the BCS title game this year.

Auburn is climbing fast, moving up to #12 this week, and they are looking forward to hosting rival Alabama to close the season with the SEC West title on the line. If the Tigers fail to beat the Tide, Alabama would still have to beat another team of Tigers (Missouri) to make their 3rd straight title game, and there's a pretty good chance that they lose in one of those games.

The top team with a losing record in this week's rankings is Utah, who is at #20 despite a 4-5 mark so far. The thing that is keeping them that high is their incredible strength of schedule, #1 is the nation, in which every FBS opponent is currently ranked in my top 35. Their biggest loss was at USC last week, which was by 16 points, but their biggest win, by 6 over Stanford, cancels that one out. They also beat in-state rivals Utah State and BYU, both of which are in the top 25. Luckily for the Utes, they close the season with conference doormats Washington State and Colorado, so they should still end up making a bowl game.

Predictions

Upset picks are in italics.

NBA

San Antonio at New York - Spurs by 4
Washington at Oklahoma City - Thunder by 9
New Orleans at Phoenix - Suns by 2
Minnesota at LA Lakers - Timberwolves by 6

Prediction Results

College Football: 44-9 (.830) 492-134 overall (.786)
Upsets: 4-1 (.800) 42-47 overall (.472)
Vs. Spread: 6-4 (.600) 46-43 overall (.517)
NBA: 4-5 (.444) 50-43 overall (.538)
Upsets: 1-0 (1.000) 9-7 overall (.563)

College Basketball Pick of the Day

New Mexico took care of Alabama A&M yesterday, giving me a 2-0 start to the season. Today's pick of the day is: