Saturday, November 16, 2013

NBA Rankings - 16 Nov

Last week the Golden State Warriors held down the top spot for the first time ever, but blew it that night when they lost to the Memphis Grizzlies by 18, giving the other top teams an opening to reach #1, including the undefeated Pacers. Here are my full current rankings, including each team's predicted final record and playoff seed:

Rank
LW
Team
Rec
Rating
Predic
Change
Seed
1
10
San Antonio
9-1
-12.4814
63-19
+13
1W
2
2
Indiana
9-0
-12.4401
66-16

1E
3
1
Golden State
6-3
-12.3986
62-20
-4
2W
4
4
Minnesota
6-4
-10.0281
56-26

3W
5
6
LA Clippers
6-3
-9.11919
55-27
+2
4W
6
15
Portland
7-2
-7.96595
53-29
+14
5W
7
7
Miami
6-3
-7.42978
52-30

2E
8
9
Oklahoma City
5-3
-6.63159
49-33
-2
6W
9
5
Memphis
4-5
-6.62649
47-35
-6
8W
10
11
Dallas
5-4
-6.37602
48-34

7W
11
12
Phoenix
5-4
-5.92214
46-36


12
17
Chicago
4-3
-4.91017
47-35
+9
3E
13
19
Atlanta
5-4
-4.10397
44-38
+9
5E
14
3
Orlando
4-5
-4.09856
44-38
-15
6E
15
14
Detroit
3-5
-3.80292
43-39

7E
16
13
Houston
6-4
-3.80176
41-41
-4

17
16
Toronto
4-6
-3.64435
42-40
+4
4E
18
29
Denver
4-4
-3.18795
39-43
+20

19
18
Washington
2-6
-1.34081
36-46
+1
8E
20
8
New Orleans
3-6
-0.76259
32-50
-18

21
20
Boston
4-6
-0.11137
33-49
-1

22
28
Sacramento
2-6
0.024862
29-53
+9

23
25
LA Lakers
4-7
0.89255
29-53


24
22
New York
3-5
1.262346
30-52
-3

25
21
Philadelphia
5-5
1.27141
32-50
-5

26
23
Brooklyn
3-5
1.531221
29-53
-3

27
27
Charlotte
5-4
3.006312
27-55
+2

28
24
Milwaukee
2-6
3.772162
23-59
-8

29
26
Cleveland
3-7
5.521285
20-62
-8

30
30
Utah
1-9
7.441127
14-68
-1


Denver made the biggest move this week, winning 3 straight games to move to .500 for the first time this year and get them out of the bottom 10. The first two wins came against Utah and the Lakers, so those didn't help too much, but when they upset Minnesota yesterday, it propelled the Nuggets up the rankings and closer to their preseason potential.

Portland was also hot this week, winning all 4 of its contests to run its winning streak to five, with the most impressive win coming on Wednesday over Phoenix, where a last-second layup avenged their season-opening loss to the Suns. The Trail Blazers are now back in the playoff hunt and have the #2 record in the West currently.

The Spurs also went 4-0 this week, and if they had not struggled in Utah last night, they would have been the runaway choice for #1, but the close call left the margin between them and the Pacers at .04 points, which means that the two are basically even. San Antonio has won 7 in a row since losing at Portland, which is becoming more excusable every day.

New Orleans was this week's biggest loser, going 0-3 on a West Coast road trip, which included losses to the Lakers and the Jazz, giving Utah its only win of the season. Last week the Pelicans looked poised to make the jump to playoff contender, but if they can't beat anybody on the road they don't have a shot.

Predictions

Upset picks are in italics.

NBA

Miami at Charlotte - Heat by 7
Dallas at Orlando - Magic by 3
Cleveland at Washington - Wizards by 12
Atlanta at New York - Hawks by 1
Indiana at Chicago - Pacers by 4
Denver at Houston - Rockets by 6
Boston at Minnesota - Timberwolves by 12
Philadelphia at New Orleans - Pelicans by 7
Oklahoma City at Milwaukee - Thunder by 3
Utah at Golden State - Warriors by 25
Brooklyn at LA Clippers - Clippers by 16

College Basketball Winners

BYU
Brown
Bryant
Bucknell
Buffalo
Butler
Cal State Fullerton
Central Arkansas
Central Michigan
Chattanooga
Cincinnati
Citadel
Colorado
Colorado State
Dartmouth
Dayton
Eastern Kentucky
Florida
FIU
Fresno State
Gardner-Webb
George Mason
Georgia Southern
Grand Canyon
Idaho
Illinois-Chicago
Incarnate Word
Iona
IPFW
Jacksonville State
La Salle
Liberty
Longwood
Loyola (MD)
LSU
Manhattan
Mercer
Middle Tennessee
Milwaukee
Minnesota
Missouri
Missouri State
Navy
North Carolina State
North Carolina-Wilmington
North Florida
Northeastern
Northern Illinois
Northern Kentucky
Ohio State
Ole Miss
Oral Roberts
Penn
Providence
Quinnipiac
Radford
Saint Joseph's
Saint Louis
Saint Mary's
Seattle
SE Missouri State
St. Bonaventure
Syracuse
Tennessee
Texas A&M-CC
Tulane
UC Riverside
UC Santa Barbara
Virginia
VCU
VMI
Washington State
Western Kentucky
Wichita State
Wisconsin
Wright State
Wyoming

Pick of the Day


Washington State

Arizona State beat Idaho State by 28 last night, giving me an 8-0 start on my pick of the day this season. Their conference rival Washington State plays Lamar late tonight at home, and they are my pick to give me #9.

Prediction Results

NBA: 6-5 (.545) 80-55 overall (.593)
Upsets: 2-2 (.500) 16-9 overall (.640)
College Basketball: 33-11 (.750) 388-87 overall (.817)
Upsets: 4-0 (1.000) 22-13 overall (.629)

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