Logan's Sports Ratings: Basketball Prediction

Monday, April 4, 2022

Basketball Prediction - 4 Apr

NCAA

(8) North Carolina vs. (1) Kansas - Jayhawks by 5

Results

NBA: 7-5 (.583) 731-435 overall (.627)

Upsets: 0-1 (.000) 69-135 overall (.338)

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My rating system

When formulating any statistical rating system, the most important step is removing as much human bias as possible from the equation. I use Strength of Schedule, Home Advantage, and Margin of Victory data that is straight from the actual game results, along with an adjustment for momentum. I go 50 levels deep on the Strength of Schedule to ensure that all teams are connected, and what comes out is a highly accurate system for predicting future results based on past performance.

My college basketball pick of the day is done eliminator-style, meaning that each team can only be picked once in a season, and that team is being picked to win the game, not cover the spread.

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