The first round of the playoffs is almost over, with just one game remaining tomorrow, but the second round is starting today, so I'm going to post my updated odds for each of the 9 remaining teams today. In the first round so far, I picked all 7 winners correctly, though I was off on the number of games in every series, almost always by one game.
Odds of Winning First Round
Clippers - 67.4% (-12.2)
Mavericks - 32.6% (+12.2)
Odds of Reaching Conference Finals
(1) Jazz - 76.5% (+8.1)
(1) 76ers - 70.4% (+5.0)
(2) Suns - 60.6% (+14.5)
(3) Bucks - 56.9% (+5.9)
(2) Nets - 43.1% (+7.7)
(3) Nuggets - 39.4% (+4.7)
(5) Hawks - 29.6% (+12.3)
(4) Clippers - 20.4% (-7.2)
(5) Mavericks - 3.1% (+0.5)
Only the Clippers' odds have dropped here, because their chance of reaching the second round is lower than before, while the other teams have already made it. Phoenix saw the greatest jump in odds after knocking off the defending champs.
Odds of Reaching NBA Finals
(1) Jazz - 57.2% (+3.9)
(1) 76ers - 38.3% (-0.4)
(3) Bucks - 31.6% (+3.4)
(2) Suns - 20.57% (+4.6)
(2) Nets - 20.56% (+3.4)
(4) Clippers - 11.2% (-5.5)
(3) Nuggets - 10.2% (+0.3)
(5) Hawks - 9.6% (+3.1)
(5) Mavericks - 0.8% (no change)
Philly's odds dropped slightly after Milwaukee dominated their first round series completely, while the 76ers may have lost Joel Embiid. Phoenix once again has the biggest increase here.
Odds of Winning NBA Finals
(1) Jazz - 43.5% (+1.2)
(1) 76ers - 14.0% (no change)
(2) Suns - 11.6% (+2.0)
(3) Bucks - 11.5% (+1.9)
(5) Clippers - 6.4% (-4.1)
(2) Nets - 6.2% (+1.3)
(3) Nuggets - 4.7% (-0.4)
(5) Hawks - 1.9% (+0.6)
(5) Mavericks - 0.2% (-0.1)
Phoenix and Milwaukee had the best performances of the first round, and it gave them each a good boost on their overall title odds, but Utah is still the runaway favorite to win it all.
I'm not changing any of my picks from before the playoffs, so I still have Jazz over Bucks in the NBA Finals, after they defeat the Suns and Sixers respectively in the Conference Finals.
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