Sunday, June 13, 2021

Another NBA Playoff Odds Update

There have been 5 more NBA playoff games in the last 3 days, and all 4 series are now 3 games in, with 3 series standing at 2-1 and the Suns up 3-0 on the Nuggets. In parentheses you will see each team's change in odds since Thursday morning.

Odds of Reaching Conference Finals

(2) Suns - 97.1% (+8.6)

(1) 76ers - 83.1% (+17.0)

(1) Jazz - 78.0% (-1.8)

(2) Nets - 67.7% (-11.9)

(3) Bucks - 32.3% (+11.9)

(4) Clippers - 22.0% (+1.8)

(5) Hawks - 16.9% (-17.0)

(3) Nuggets - 2.9% (-8.6)

No team has ever come back from down 3-0 in the NBA, but that doesn't mean it's impossible. It is, however, highly unlikely, and the Suns could finish off that series this afternoon.

Odds of Reaching NBA Finals

(1) Jazz - 51.8% (-4.4)

(1) 76ers - 47.4% (+10.5)

(2) Suns - 36.6% (+5.5)

(2) Nets - 31.7% (-9.4)

(3) Bucks - 15.6% (+4.8)

(4) Clippers - 11.0% (+0.8)

(5) Hawks - 5.3% (-5.8)

(3) Nuggets - 0.6% (-1.9)

Philly's odds have improved the most here after taking back home court advantage from Atlanta, coupled with Brooklyn losing a game to bring both series to the same 2-1 lead.

Odds of Winning Championship

(1) Jazz - 38.0% (-5.1)

(2) Suns - 21.9% (+3.1)

(1) 76ers - 17.6% (+4.6)

(2) Nets - 9.9% (-2.8)

(4) Clippers - 6.4% (+0.4)

(3) Bucks - 5.0% (+1.6)

(5) Hawks - 0.9% (-1.1)

(3) Nuggets - 0.3% (-0.8)

Phoenix and Philadelphia made good moves upward here, and took some of that from the Jazz, who are under 40% odds to win it all for the first time this postseason. 

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