After 7 second round games, there has been a bit of a shift in the odds due to some surprising outcomes, so I'm updating my odds again here in the middle of the round. Change in odds since Saturday morning in parentheses:
Odds of Reaching Conference Finals
(2) Suns - 88.5% (+27.9)
(1) Jazz - 79.8% (+3.3)
(2) Nets - 79.6% (+36.5)
(1) 76ers - 66.1% (-4.3)
(5) Hawks - 33.9% (+4.3)
(3) Bucks - 20.4% (-36.5)
(4) Clippers - 20.2% (-0.2)
(3) Nuggets - 11.5% (-27.9)
The Suns and Nets have started out with 2 blowouts each, giving each a huge boost in their odds to win this round. The Hawks' odds have improved, but they are still more likely to lose than not.
Odds of Reaching NBA Finals
(1) Jazz - 56.2% (-1.0)
(2) Nets - 41.1% (+20.5)
(1) 76ers - 36.9% (-1.4)
(2) Suns - 31.1% (+10.5)
(5) Hawks - 11.1% (+1.5)
(3) Bucks - 10.8% (-20.8)
(4) Clippers - 10.2% (-1.0)
(3) Nuggets - 2.5% (-7.7)
Only 3 teams have increased their odds of reaching the Finals in the past few days, with Milwaukee and Denver plummeting due to 0-2 deficits.
Odds of Winning Championship
(1) Jazz - 43.1% (-0.4)
(2) Suns - 18.8% (+7.2)
(1) 76ers - 13.0% (-1.0)
(2) Nets - 12.7% (+6.5)
(4) Clippers - 6.0% (-0.4)
(3) Bucks - 3.4% (-8.1)
(5) Hawks - 2.0% (+0.1)
(3) Nuggets - 1.1% (-3.6)
Phoenix got the biggest bump here, moving ahead of Philly for the second-best odds of winning it all, while Brooklyn jumped ahead of a couple teams themselves.
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