Thursday, June 17, 2021

NBA Playoff Odds Update Once Again

For the first time in months, Utah does not have the best odds of winning the title after falling behind 3-2 in their series against the Clippers. The next 2 (and up to 4) days will be nothing but elimination games, which will shift the odds around a bit once a few more teams go on vacation. Here are the current odds, with change since Tuesday in parentheses:

Odds of Reaching Conference Finals

(2) Nets - 74.0% (+24.3)

(4) Clippers - 70.5% (+30.5)

(5) Hawks - 64.4% (+31.7)

(1) 76ers - 35.6% (-31.7)

(1) Jazz - 29.5% (-30.5)

(3) Bucks - 26.0% (-24.3)

All three teams that won over the past 2 days were underdogs in the odds before those games, but are now favorites to move on.

Odds of Reaching NBA Finals

(2) Suns - 45.2% (+3.8)

(2) Nets - 43.2% (+18.3)

(4) Clippers - 36.1% (+16.0)

(5) Hawks - 21.1% (+10.8)

(1) 76ers - 20.1% (-17.8)

(1) Jazz - 18.7% (-19.8)

(3) Bucks - 15.7% (-11.1)

The #1 seeds have made it very hard on themselves, with both needing to win 2 in a row just to reach the Conference Finals, then a full series against a very good team just to reach the Finals.

Odds of Winning Championship

(2) Suns - 29.2% (+3.7)

(4) Clippers - 23.5% (+11.2)

(2) Nets - 15.1% (+7.1)

(1) Jazz - 14.0% (-14.3)

(1) 76ers - 8.1% (-6.5)

(3) Bucks - 5.7% (-3.6)

(5) Hawks - 4.4% (+2.4)

The Clippers saw a huge jump in their odds after they moved within a game of their first-ever Conference Finals appearance, but they still sit behind Phoenix in the overall odds thanks to home court advantage.

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