Monday, June 21, 2021

NBA Playoff Odds Update - Conference Finals

The final four teams are set, and they include one each of seeds 2 through 5, with both 1 seeds falling in the past few days. Here are the updated odds for each of the 4 remaining teams, with the change since Thursday in parentheses:

Odds of Reaching NBA Finals

(3) Bucks - 70.2% (+54.5)

(2) Suns - 63.5% (+18.3)

(4) Clippers - 36.5% (+0.4)

(5) Hawks - 29.8% (+8.7)

The Clippers' odds barely moved after beating Utah but then losing Game 1 to Phoenix. Milwaukee won 2 straight against Brooklyn and got lucky with a matchup against Atlanta, giving them unexpected home court advantage as well.

Odds of Winning Championship

(2) Suns - 40.9% (+11.7)

(3) Bucks - 28.0% (+22.3)

(4) Clippers - 24.4% (+0.9)

(5) Hawks - 6.7% (+2.3)

Phoenix has moved into a tier of their own as the highest remaining seed holding home court the rest of the way, and Atlanta continues their slow and steady climb.

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