Wednesday, January 15, 2014

NFL Playoff Odds - 15 Jan

All four games went the way I picked last weekend, meaning there won't be a ton of change in the odds, just slight adjustments due to four teams' odds falling to zero after being eliminated. Here are the four remaining teams' odds of making and winning the Super Bowl:

Odds of Making Super Bowl

1. Denver - 68.1% (+14.8)
2. Seattle - 62.7% (+19.3)
3. San Francisco - 37.3% (+17.7)
4. New England - 31.9% (+9.6)

Odds of Winning Super Bowl

1. Seattle - 35.9% (+9.6)
2. Denver - 33.5% (+5.6)
3. San Francisco - 18.8% (+8.5)
4. New England - 11.8% (+3.4)

New England's odds increased less than the other three teams due to the fact that the other 3 are the top 3 teams in my rankings and have been for a month. No matter which team wins the NFC, the Patriots would have the toughest path of any team to a title, but you can never count Tom Brady out.

There has been no change in my remaining playoff predictions this week, with Denver beating Seattle 32-31 in the Super Bowl.

Predictions

Upset picks are in italics.

NBA

Chicago at Orlando - Bulls by 1
Charlotte at Philadelphia - 76ers by 1
Miami at Washington - Heat by 3
Toronto at Boston - Raptors by 3
Memphis at Milwaukee - Grizzlies by 6
Sacramento at Minnesota - Timberwolves by 11
Houston at New Orleans - Rockets by 1
Utah at San Antonio - Spurs by 18
LA Lakers at Phoenix - Suns by 13
Cleveland at Portland - Trail Blazers by 15
Denver at Golden State - Warriors by 9
Dallas at LA Clippers - Clippers by 7

College Basketball

(4) Michigan State at Northwestern - Spartans by 13
(16) Massachusetts at George Mason - Minutemen by 6
South Florida at SMU - Mustangs by 19
UCF at Rutgers - Scarlet Knights by 1
UNC Asheville at Coastal Carolina - Chanticleers by 6
Longwood at High Point - Panthers by 13
VMI at Radford - Highlanders by 7
American at Lehigh - Eagles by 1
Bucknell at Navy - Bison by 3
Holy Cross at Army - Black Knights by 1
Colgate at Boston - Terriers by 9
Missouri State at Indiana State - Sycamores by 11
Notre Dame at Maryland - Terrapins by 6
Clemson at Virginia Tech - Tigers by 6
William & Mary at Delaware - Fightin Blue Hens by 14
Hofstra at UNC Wilmington - Seahawks by 7
Northeastern at James Madison - Dukes by 5
Georgetown at Xavier - Musketeers by 7
Albany at Massachusetts Lowell - Great Danes by 6
Duquesne at Saint Joseph's - Hawks by 12
Binghamton at Stony Brook - Seawolves by 22
Rhode Island at La Salle - Explorers by 12
Auburn at Tennessee - Volunteers by 17
UMBC at New Hampshire - Wildcats by 2
Valparaiso at Detroit - Titans by 4
Miami (OH) at Akron - Zips by 14
Central Michigan at Bowling Green - Falcons by 5
Buffalo at Toledo - Rockets by 14
Gardner-Webb at Winthrop - Eagles by 6
Presbyterian at Charleston Southern - Buccaneers by 31
TCU at (9) Oklahoma State - Cowboys by 29
St. Bonaventure at (24) Saint Louis - Billikens by 10
Drake at Loyola (IL) - Bulldogs by 7
Mississippi State at Alabama - Crimson Tide by 16
South Carolina at Texas A&M - Aggies by 4
Kent State at Northern Illinois - Huskies by 3
Ball State at Ohio - Bobcats by 18
Evansville at Illinois State - Redbirds by 9
(12) Baylor at Texas Tech - Red Raiders by 1
Florida State at Miami (FL) - Seminoles by 5
NC State at Wake Forest - Demon Deacons by 5
San Jose State at Air Force - Falcons by 5
Dayton at Fordham - Flyers by 6
LSU at Ole Miss - Rebels by 2
Purdue at Illinois - Fightin Illini by 9
UNLV at New Mexico - Lobos by 9
Colorado State at Utah State - Aggies by 8
Fresno State at (10) San Diego State - Aztecs by 20
Washington State at Stanford - Cardinal by 12
Washington at California - Golden Bears by 13

Pick of the Day #67

Charleston Southern

The Buccaneers host the Blue Hose tonight, a team with only 2 Division I wins, and Charleston Southern nearly beat Baylor a couple months ago, so tonight should be another win.

Prediction Results

NBA: 3-1 (.750) 363-201 overall (.644)
Upsets: 1-0 (1.000) 51-55 overall (.481)
College Basketball: 13-3 (.813) 2349-685 overall (.774)
Upsets: 5-1 (.833) 307-199 overall (.607)

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