NFL Playoff Odds

The NFL Playoffs are starting today, with 14 teams vying for the chance to win the Super Bowl next month, and there are a lot of teams with a really good chance of winning it all, not including the defending champs, so are also in the field but have a smaller chance. Here are my odds for each team to advance through each round of the playoffs, along with my picks for how everything will turn out over the next month:

Odds of Winning Wild Card

(5) Rams - 79.8%

(2) Patriots - 64.7%

(5) Texans - 63.8%

(3) Jaguars - 63.3%

(6) 49ers - 53.9%

(2) Bears - 53.5%

(7) Packers - 46.5%

(3) Eagles - 46.1%

(6) Bills - 36.7%

(4) Steelers - 36.2%

(7) Chargers - 35.3%

(4) Panthers - 20.2%

Odds of Reaching Conference Championship

(1) Seahawks - 72.0%

(1) Broncos - 54.2%

(5) Rams - 50.5%

(3) Jaguars - 35.2%

(5) Texans - 34.2%

(2) Patriots - 32.5%

(2) Bears - 22.6%

(3) Eagles - 20.8%

(6) 49ers - 18.7%

(6) Bills - 17.1%

(7) Chargers - 14.0%

(4) Steelers - 12.8%

(7) Packers - 9.6%

(4) Panthers - 5.8%

Odds of Reaching Super Bowl

(1) Seahawks - 48.8%

(5) Rams - 27.7%

(1) Broncos - 25.6%

(3) Jaguars - 21.2%

(5) Texans - 18.9%

(2) Patriots - 17.0%

(6) Bills - 7.9%

(6) 49ers - 7.7%

(3) Eagles - 6.0%

(2) Bears - 5.7%

(4) Steelers - 4.8%

(7) Chargers - 4.6%

(7) Packers - 2.9%

(4) Panthers - 1.2%

Odds of Winning Super Bowl

(1) Seahawks - 32.0%

(5) Rams - 17.9%

(3) Jaguars - 9.8%

(1) Broncos - 9.0%

(5) Texans - 8.7%

(2) Patriots - 6.7%

(6) 49ers - 3.9%

(6) Bills - 3.0%

(3) Eagles - 2.6%

(2) Bears - 2.2%

(7) Chargers - 1.36%

(4) Steelers - 1.35%

(7) Packers - 1.1%

(4) Panthers - 0.4%

The NFC West has over a 50% chance of winning this year's Super Bowl, with the two best teams in the league for most of the season, who played twice this year, each game with a final margin of fewer than 3 points. 

My Picks

Wild Card

(2) Patriots over (7) Chargers

(3) Jaguars over (6) Bills

(5) Texans over (4) Steelers

(2) Bears over (7) Packers

(3) Eagles over (6) 49ers

(5) Rams over (4) Panthers

Divisional

(1) Broncos over (5) Texans

(2) Patriots over (3) Jaguars

(1) Seahawks over (5) Rams

(2) Bears over (3) Eagles

Conference

(2) Patriots over (1) Broncos

(1) Seahawks over (2) Bears

Super Bowl

(1) Seahawks over (2) Patriots

Football Predictions - 11 Nov thru 17 Nov

Upset picks are in italics.

Tuesday

Kent State at Akron - Zips by 6

Ohio at Western Michigan - Broncos by 3

Wednesday

Buffalo at Central Michigan - Chippewas by 8

Northern Illinois at UMass - Huskies by 6

Toledo at Miami (OH) - Rockets by 2

Thursday

Troy at Old Dominion - Monarchs by 11

NY Jets at New England - Patriots by 13.5

Friday

Clemson at (20) Louisville - Cardinals by 8

Minnesota at (8) Oregon - Ducks by 19.5

Saturday

Wisconsin at (2) Indiana - Hoosiers by 28.5

South Carolina at (3) Texas A&M - Aggies by 23

(9) Notre Dame at (22) Pittsburgh - Irish by 5.5

(18) Michigan at Northwestern - Wolverines by 4.5

Arizona at (25) Cincinnati - Bearcats by 4

Kansas State at Oklahoma State - Wildcats by 13

Air Force at UConn - Huskies by 9.5

UTSA at Charlotte - Roadrunners by 15.5

(24) South Florida at Navy - Bulls by 8.5

Eastern Michigan at Ball State - Cardinals by 4.5

Arkansas at LSU - Tigers by 7

West Virginia at Arizona State - Sun Devils by 12

Oregon State at Tulsa - Golden Hurricane by 3

Tennessee Tech at Kentucky - Wildcats by 25.5

Marshall at Georgia State - Thundering Herd by 7.5

North Texas at UAB - Mean Green by 15.5

UTEP at Missouri State - Bears by 10

Colorado State at New Mexico - Lobos by 17

(11) Oklahoma at (4) Alabama - Crimson Tide by 7.5

UCF at (6) Texas Tech - Red Raiders by 24

(19) Virginia at Duke - Blue Devils by 3.5

(16) Georgia Tech at Boston College - Yellowjackets by 13

NC State at (15) Miami - Hurricanes by 15.5

(21) Iowa at (17) USC - Trojans by 9.5

Penn State at Michigan State - Nittany Lions by 5.5

Maryland at Illinois - Illini by 15

Middle Tennessee at Western Kentucky - Hilltoppers by 19

San Jose State at Nevada - Spartans by 4

App State at James Madison - Dukes by 22

South Alabama at UL Monroe - Warhawks by 1

Texas State at Southern Miss - Golden Eagles by 9

Memphis at East Carolina - Pirates by 3.5

FAU at Tulane - Green Wave by 14.5

New Mexico State at (23) Tennessee - Volunteers by 25.5

North Carolina at Wake Forest - Demon Deacons by 12.5

Liberty at FIU - Golden Panthers by 2.5

Coastal Carolina at Georgia Southern - Eagles by 4

Florida at (7) Ole Miss - Rebels by 12.5

(13) Utah at Baylor - Utes by 11

Purdue at Washington - Huskies by 16

Delaware at Sam Houston - Blue Hens by 4.5

Utah State at UNLV - Rebels by 5.5

UCLA at (1) Ohio State - Buckeyes by 29

(10) Texas at (5) Georgia - Bulldogs by 7.5

Virginia Tech at Florida State - Seminoles by 17.5

Mississippi State at Missouri - Tigers by 6.5

Kennesaw State at Jacksonville State - Owls by 1.5

Louisiana Tech at Washington State - Cougars by 5.5

TCU at (12) BYU - Cougars by 11.5

Boise State at San Diego State - Aztecs by 3.5

Wyoming at Fresno State - Bulldogs by 10.5

Sunday

Washington vs. Miami - Commanders by 0.5

Carolina at Atlanta - Falcons by 4.5

Tampa Bay at Buffalo - Bills by 1

Houston at Tennessee - Texans by 14

Chicago at Minnesota - Vikings by 2

Green Bay at NY Giants - Packers by 3.5

Cincinnati at Pittsburgh - Steelers by 10.5

LA Chargers at Jacksonville - Jaguars by 2.5

Seattle at LA Rams - Rams by 3.5

San Francisco at Arizona - 49ers by 0.5

Baltimore at Cleveland - Ravens by 7

Kansas City at Denver - Chiefs by 1

Detroit at Philadelphia - Eagles by 0.5

Monday

Dallas at Las Vegas - Cowboys by 0.5

Results

NCAA: 36-16 (.692) 519-169 overall (.754)

Upsets: 5-3 (.625) 56-62 overall (.475)

NFL: 10-4 (.714) 93-55 overall (.628)

Upsets: 1-0 (1.000) 8-18 overall (.308)

Football Predictions - 2 Oct thru 6 Oct

Upset picks are in italics.

Thursday

Sam Houston at New Mexico State - Aggies by 15

San Francisco at LA Rams - Rams by 7

Friday

Western Kentucky at Delaware - Blue Hens by 8.5

Charlotte at South Florida - Bulls by 41.5

New Mexico at San Jose State - Lobos by 7

West Virginia at (23) BYU - Cougars by 28

Colorado State at San Diego State - Aztecs by 24

Saturday

Kentucky at (12) Georgia - Bulldogs by 16

(14) Iowa State at Cincinnati - Bearcats by 7

Wisconsin at (20) Michigan - Wolverines by 27

(22) Illinois at Purdue - Illini by 6.5

Boston College at Pittsburgh - Panthers by 9

Clemson at North Carolina - Tar Heels by 0.5

Kansas State at Baylor - Bears by 15.5

Air Force at Navy - Midshipmen by 20

Army at UAB - Blazers by 5.5

Ohio at Ball State - Bobcats by 4

Wake Forest at Virginia Tech - Hokies by 8

UTSA at Temple - Owls by 7.5

Campbell at NC State - Wolf Pack by 24.5

Western Michigan at UMass - Broncos by 12.5

Oklahoma State at Arizona - Wildcats by 21.5

(7) Penn State at UCLA - Nittany Lions by 13

(9) Texas at Florida - Gators by 4

(16) Vanderbilt at (10) Alabama - Crimson Tide by 1

Boise State at (21) Notre Dame - Irish by 26

(24) Virginia at Louisville - Cardinals by 8

Washington at Maryland - Terrapins by 7.5

UL Monroe at Northwestern - Warhawks by 2

Oregon State at App State - Mountaineers by 0.5

Syracuse at SMU - Mustangs by 13.5

FIU at UConn - Huskies by 17

James Madison at Georgia State - Dukes by 12

Central Michigan at Akron - Zips by 2.5

Eastern Michigan at Buffalo - Bulls by 17

Miami (OH) at Northern Illinois - Huskies by 8

Kent State at (5) Oklahoma - Sooners by 35.5

Michigan State at Nebraska - Cornhuskers by 13.5

Texas State at Arkansas State - Bobcats by 4.5

Coastal Carolina at Old Dominion - Monarchs by 24

(11) Texas Tech at Houston - Red Raiders by 1.5

UNLV at Wyoming - Cowboys by 8.5

South Alabama at Troy - Trojans by 8.5

FAU at Rice - Owls by 10

Minnesota at (1) Ohio State - Buckeyes by 20.5

(3) Miami at (18) Florida State - Hurricanes by 0.5

Mississippi State at (6) Texas A&M - Aggies by 15.5

Colorado at TCU - Horned Frogs by 12

Kansas at UCF - Knights by 3

Tulsa at Memphis - Tigers by 29.5

Duke at California - Bears by 4.5

Nevada at Fresno State - Bulldogs by 35.5

Sunday

Minnesota vs. Cleveland - Vikings by 7

Las Vegas at Indianapolis - Colts by 15.5

NY Giants at New Orleans - Giants by 0.5

Dallas at NY Jets - Cowboys by 2

Denver at Philadelphia - Eagles by 7

Miami at Carolina - Panthers by 10.5

Houston at Baltimore - Ravens by 3.5

Tampa Bay at Seattle - Seahawks by 13.5

Tennessee at Arizona - Cardinals by 18

Detroit at Cincinnati - Lions by 14

Washington at LA Chargers - Chargers by 7.5

New England at Buffalo - Bills by 8.5

Monday

Kansas City at Jacksonville - Jaguars by 1.5

Results

NCAA: 38-15 (.717) 294-70 overall (.808)

Upsets: 5-9 (.357) 27-30 overall (.474)

NFL: 5-10 (.333) 38-25 overall (.603)

Upsets: 0-5 (.000) 2-11 overall (.154)

Football Predictions - 5 Dec thru 9 Dec

Upset picks are in italics.

Thursday

Green Bay at Detroit - Lions by 5.5

Friday

Western Kentucky at Jacksonville State - Gamecocks by 3

(20) UNLV at (10) Boise State - Broncos by 6

Tulane at (24) Army - Black Knights by 0.5

Saturday

(16) Iowa State vs. (15) Arizona State - Cyclones by 1.5

Ohio vs. Miami (OH) - Bobcats by 0.5

(5) Georgia vs. (2) Texas - Longhorns by 4

Marshall at Louisiana - Ragin Cajuns by 5.5

(3) Penn State vs. (1) Oregon - Ducks by 1

(17) Clemson vs. (8) SMU - Mustangs by 4

Sunday

Jacksonville at Tennessee - Jaguars by 0.5

NY Jets at Miami - Dolphins by 0.5

Atlanta at Minnesota - Vikings by 8.5

New Orleans at NY Giants - Saints by 4.5

Carolina at Philadelphia - Eagles by 19

Cleveland at Pittsburgh - Steelers by 12.5

Las Vegas at Tampa Bay - Buccaneers by 13

Seattle at Arizona - Cardinals by 3

Buffalo at LA Rams - Bills by 10

Chicago at San Francisco - 49ers by 0.5

LA Chargers at Kansas City - Chiefs by 0.5

Monday

Cincinnati at Dallas - Bengals by 3.5

Results

NCAA: 48-19 (.716) 631-232 overall (.731)

Upsets: 4-4 (.500) 49-63 overall (.438)

NFL: 15-1 (.938) 123-72 overall (.631)

Upsets: 2-1 (.667) 19-35 overall (.352)

Top 100 NFL Running Backs - #8: Jamaal Charles

Jamaal Charles

Teams

Kansas City Chiefs (2008-2016)

Denver Broncos (2017)

Jacksonville Jaguars (2018)

Playoffs

Appearances - 4 (2010,2013,2015,2016)

Conf Champ Games - 0

Super Bowls - 0

Championships - 0

Awards and Honors

All-Pro First Team - 2 (2010,2013)

All-Pro Second Team - 1 (2012)

Pro Bowl - 4 (2010,2012,2013,2014)

All-Time Ranks

Yards per Rush - #5

Rushing Yards - #59

Rushing Yards per Game - #69

Yards per Touch - #82

League Leads

Rushing Yards (#2-2010, #3-2013, #4-2012)

Rushing Touchdowns (#1-2013, #3-2014)

Yards per Rush (#1-2009, #2-2010, #5-2012, #6-2013, #7-2014)

Rushing Yards per Game (#3-2010,2013, #4-2012)

Total Touchdowns (#1-2013, #3-2014)

Scrimmage Yards (#2-2010,2013, #5-2012)

Yards per Touch (#5-2010, #8-2009, #9-2013)

As a junior at Texas, Jamaal Charles rushed for 1619 yards and 18 touchdowns, then left school a year early to enter the 2008 NFL Draft, where he was picked in the 3rd round by the Kansas City Chiefs.

Charles spent his rookie season as a backup to Larry Johnson, but after Johnson's suspension in 2009, Charles became the team's starter, and he used that opportunity to rush for 1120 yards and 7 touchdowns, and he led the league with 5.9 yards per carry.

He had his best overall season in 2010, when he rushed for 1467 yards on an amazing 6.4 yards per carry, and he was the runner-up in rushing yards and scrimmage yards that season, with 1935 yards from scrimmage on the season, which earned him a spot on the All-Pro First Team.

He was unable to build on his success in 2011, because he tore his ACL in the second game of the season, but he came back strong in 2012, rushing for 1509 yards, a career-high, and he even gained 5.3 yards per carry, which is rare after returning from a major knee injury.

He regained his status as the best running back in football in 2013, gaining 1287 rushing yards while leading the league with 12 rushing touchdowns and 19 total touchdowns. He also set a career high that year with 1980 scrimmage yards, including 693 through the air, also the best of his career.

He was a little down, but still very good, in 2014. He rushed for 1033 yards, his 5th time surpassing 1000 in a season, and he scored 14 total touchdowns, the second year in a row with more than 10. Unfortunately, it would be his last healthy, effective season.

Early in the 2015 season, Charles tore his ACL again, ending his season after 5 games. His recovery took longer than expected, and when he returned in 2016, he wasn't the same player, and he ended up reinjuring the knee, requiring another surgery and ending another season after only 5 games. The Chiefs released him after that season.

He signed with Denver for the 2017 season, serving as a backup, and gained only 296 yards on the ground that year. He signed with Jacksonville during the 2018 season, but was released after 2 games and only 7 rushing yards. He retired from the NFL following that season.

Though he never led the league in rushing yards, Charles is the all-time leader in yards per carry among players with at least 1000 rushes in their career. He led the league in yards per carry once, and finished among the top 7 five times, and gained at least 5 yards per carry in each of his first 8 seasons. Knee injuries kept him from climbing higher on the yardage leaderboard, but he was definitely one of the greatest to play the game.

Top 100 NFL Running Backs - #15: Fred Taylor

Fred Taylor

Teams

Jacksonville Jaguars (1998-2008)

New England Patriots (2009-2010)

Playoffs

Appearances - 6 (1998,1999,2005,2007,2009,2010)

Conf Champ Games - 1 (1999)

Super Bowls - 0

Championships - 0

Awards and Honors

All-Pro Second Team - 1 (2007)

Pro Bowl - 1 (2007)

All-Time Ranks

Rushing Yards - #17

Rushing Yards per Game - #23

Yards per Rush - #35

Scrimmage Yards - #35

Rushing Touchdowns - #42

Total Touchdowns - #95

League Leads

Rushing Yards (#6-2000,2003, #9-2002,2007, #10-1998,2004)

Rushing Touchdowns (#2-1998, #6-2000)

Yards per Rush (#3-2007, #4-2000, #5-1998, #6-1999, #7-2004,2006, #9-2002, #10-2003)

Rushing Yards per Game (#1-2000, #7-2003, #10-1998,2002,2007)

Total Touchdowns (#2-1998, #7-2000)

Scrimmage Yards (#6-2003, #7-1998, #8-2004)

Yards per Touch (#6-1998, #9-2006, #10-2004)

As a junior at Florida, Fred Taylor won a national championship, then rushed for 1292 yards and 13 touchdowns on 6 yards per carry as a senior, which helped get him drafted by the Jacksonville Jaguars with the #9 overall pick in the 1998 Draft.

Taylor had his best NFL season as a rookie. He rushed for 1223 yards and 14 touchdowns, which was the most of his career, and had 421 receiving yards, also his career-best, and came in #3 in voting for Rookie of the Year.

He missed 6 games due to a hamstring injury in his second season, which limited him to only 732 yards, but he was healthy in the playoffs, gaining over 100 yards twice as the Jaguars made it to the AFC Championship game for the first time.

In the 2000 season, he gained 1399 yards and scored 12 touchdowns, and since he missed 3 games due to injury, he led the league with over 107 yards per game. A groin injury early the next season limited him to only 2 games, and he suddenly had a reputation for always being injured.

He shook off that reputation over the next two seasons, as he didn't miss a single game, rushing for 1314 yards in 2002 and a career-high 1572 in 2003. That total, and his 1942 scrimmage yards that year, were both #6 in the league for the season.

After he missed 7 games over the next 2 seasons, the Jaguars drafted Maurice Jones-Drew to be his eventual replacement. He still managed to rush for over 1000 yards 2 more times, giving him seven 1000-yard seasons in his career, but then started splitting carries in 2008 before missing the end of the season with a thumb injury.

He was released by the Jaguars after 11 seasons, and signed a 2-year deal with the Patriots. He ended up playing only 13 games over those two years, with ankle and toe injuries costing him long stretches. After the 2010 season, he decided to retire.

Taylor was never the best back in the league, but he was regularly among the league leaders in rushing yards and yards per carry for a full decade. He is currently #17 all-time in rushing yards, and #35 in yards per carry, and is the all-time rushing leader for Jacksonville still. He had a reputation for missing games, but he played at least 10 games in all but one season with the Jaguars, and he is one of the best running backs to have played the game.

Top 100 NFL Running Backs - #61: Maurice Jones-Drew

Maurice Jones-Drew

Teams

Jacksonville Jaguars (2006-2013)

Oakland Raiders (2014)

Playoffs

Appearances - 1 (2007)

Conf Champ Games - 0

Super Bowls - 0

Championships - 0

Awards and Honors

All-Pro First Team - 1 (2011)

Pro Bowl - 3 (2009,2010,2011)

All-Time Ranks

Rushing Touchdowns - #38

Rushing Yards - #49

Yards per Rush - #64

Rushing Yards per Game - #65

Total Touchdowns - #69

Scrimmage Yards - #85

League Leads

Rushing Yards (#1-2011, #4-2009, #5-2010)

Rushing Touchdowns (#2-2009, #4-2006, #6-2008, #7-2007)

Yards per Rush (#2-2006)

Rushing Yards per Game (#1-2011, #2-2010, #5-2009)

Total Touchdowns (#2-2009, #3-2006, #6-2008, #10-2011)

Scrimmage Yards (#2-2011, #4-2009, #7-2010)

Yards per Touch (#4-2006)

After gaining over 1300 scrimmage yards during his senior season at UCLA, Maurice Jones-Drew left school a year early to join the NFL, where he was drafted by the Jacksonville Jaguars in the 2nd round of the 2006 Draft.

During his first 3 seasons, he served as a backup to Fred Taylor, but he was very productive in his time on the field. As a rookie, he gained 941 yards and scored 13 touchdowns, gaining 5.7 yards per carry, which was the second-highest average in the league that season. He finished #2 in the Rookie of the Year vote to Vince Young.

He continued to play at a high level in his backup role for 2 more seasons, scoring 21 touchdowns on the ground during those two seasons while continuing to exceed 1000 scrimmage yards each season. 

After Taylor left the team in 2009, Jones-Drew became the team's starter. In his first season as a starter, he gained 1391 rushing yards and scored 15 touchdowns, the most of his career. He was also voted onto the Pro Bowl team for the first time in his career.

He picked up nearly the same amount of yardage the next season, but finished with only 5 touchdowns. In 2011, he led the league with 1606 rushing yards, which earned him a spot on the All-Pro First Team, and he had 1980 scrimmage yards, the second-most of any player in the league that year.

After holding out during the offseason, Jones-Drew rejoined the team early in the 2012 season, but was derailed by injuries throughout the season, which limited him to only 6 games. He returned healthy the next season, but only gained 803 yards on the season, and only 3.4 yards per carry, and the team did not resign him after the season.

He joined the Oakland Raiders for 2014, but he could not get a foothold in a crowded backfield, and finished the season with only 96 rushing yards, averaging only 2.2 yards per carry, following which he retired from the NFL.

Jones-Drew was one of the top backs in the league in his first 3 seasons, when he was still a backup, because he put up big yardage every time he got the ball. In his next 3 seasons, he was a workhorse starter who gained a lot of yardage, and in his final 3 seasons, he was often injured and ineffective, but those 6 solid seasons he had to start his career did enough to make him one of the greatest running backs of all time.

Football Predictions - 7 Nov thru 13 Nov

Upset picks are in italics.

Tuesday

Ball State at Northern Illinois - Huskies by 10

Central Michigan at Western Michigan - Broncos by 8.5

Ohio at Buffalo - Bobcats by 5

Wednesday

Akron at Miami (OH) - Redhawks by 26.5

Bowling Green at Kent State - Falcons by 12.5

Eastern Michigan at Toledo - Rockets by 20.5

Thursday

Virginia at (11) Louisville - Cardinals by 19.5

Southern Miss at Louisiana - Ragin Cajuns by 11

Carolina at Chicago - Bears by 5.5

Friday

North Texas at SMU - Mustangs by 19

Wyoming at UNLV - Rebels by 8.5

Saturday

(3) Michigan at (10) Penn State - Wolverines by 0.5

(8) Alabama at Kentucky - Crimson Tide by 9.5

Texas Tech at (16) Kansas - Jayhawks by 5.5

Tulsa at (23) Tulane - Green Wave by 17.5

Holy Cross at Army - Black Knights by 18

Indiana at Illinois - Illini by 3

Maryland at Nebraska - Cornhuskers by 0.5

Vanderbilt at South Carolina - Gamecocks by 11.5

Virginia Tech at Boston College - Eagles by 1.5

Georgia Tech at Clemson - Tigers by 7.5

Temple at South Florida - Bulls by 11.5

Old Dominion at Liberty - Flames by 17

(21) Arizona at Colorado - Wildcats by 4.5

UConn at James Madison - Dukes by 24.5

NC State at Wake Forest - Wolf Pack by 1

Memphis at Charlotte - Tigers by 11.5

Appalachian State at Georgia State - Panthers by 2.5

Troy at UL Monroe - Trojans by 19.5

Baylor at (25) Kansas State - Wildcats by 27.5

Sam Houston at Louisiana Tech - Bulldogs by 8.5

Nevada at Utah State - Aggies by 16.5

Miami at (4) Florida State - Seminoles by 16

(18) Utah at (5) Washington - Huskies by 12

(13) Tennessee at (14) Missouri - Tigers by 2

(15) Oklahoma State at UCF - Cowboys by 3

Rutgers at (22) Iowa - Hawkeyes by 2

FIU at Middle Tennessee - Blue Raiders by 11.5

Minnesota at Purdue - Gophers by 0.5

Northwestern at Wisconsin - Badgers by 12

New Mexico State at Western Kentucky - Hilltoppers by 9

Pittsburgh vs. Syracuse - Orange by 1

UAB at Navy - Midshipmen by 2.5

Texas State at Coastal Carolina - Chanticleers by 5.5

Auburn at Arkansas - Razorbacks by 2.5

Washington State at California - Bears by 0.5

East Carolina at FAU - Owls by 8

Arkansas State at South Alabama - Jaguars by 9

Stanford at (12) Oregon State - Beavers by 21

(9) Ole Miss at (2) Georgia - Bulldogs by 4

West Virginia at (17) Oklahoma - Sooners by 12

Cincinnati at Houston - Cougars by 7

Georgia Southern at Marshall - Eagles by 3.5

San Diego State at Colorado State - Rams by 7

Michigan State at (1) Ohio State - Buckeyes by 29

(7) Texas at TCU - Longhorns by 9

Florida at (19) LSU - Tigers by 15

Mississippi State at Texas A&M - Aggies by 15.5

Rice at UTSA - Roadrunners by 7.5

Duke at (24) North Carolina - Tar Heels by 3

Arizona State at UCLA - Bruins by 19.5

New Mexico at Boise State - Broncos by 16.5

Iowa State at BYU - Cyclones by 1.5

USC at (6) Oregon - Ducks by 14

Fresno State at San Jose State - Spartans by 1.5

Air Force at Hawaii - Falcons by 17

Sunday

Indianapolis vs. New England - Colts by 10.5

Houston at Cincinnati - Bengals by 1

New Orleans at Minnesota - Vikings by 4

Green Bay at Pittsburgh - Steelers by 4

Tennessee at Tampa Bay - Buccaneers by 0.5

San Francisco at Jacksonville - Jaguars by 0.5

Cleveland at Baltimore - Ravens by 8

Atlanta at Arizona - Falcons by 2

Detroit at LA Chargers - Chargers by 0.5

NY Giants at Dallas - Cowboys by 19.5

Washington at Seattle - Seahawks by 10.5

NY Jets at Las Vegas - Raiders by 0.5

Monday

Denver at Buffalo - Bills by 12.5

Results

NCAA: 46-19 (.708) 493-166 overall (.748)

Upsets: 3-3 (.500) 33-56 overall (.371)

NFL: 9-5 (.643) 79-57 overall (.581)

Upsets: 1-4 (.200) 13-20 overall (.394)

Football Predictions - 17 Oct thru 23 Oct

Upset picks are in italics.

Tuesday

Middle Tennessee at Liberty - Flames by 22

Western Kentucky at Jacksonville State - Hilltoppers by 1.5

Southern Miss at South Alabama - Jaguars by 18.5

Wednesday

FIU at Sam Houston - Bearkats by 10

New Mexico State at UTEP - Aggies by 3

Thursday

Rice at Tulsa - Golden Hurricane by 12

James Madison at Marshall - Dukes by 9.5

Jacksonville at New Orleans - Jaguars by 7.5

Friday

SMU at Temple - Mustangs by 20

Saturday

(7) Penn State at (3) Ohio State - Buckeyes by 6

UCF at (6) Oklahoma - Sooners by 29

(22) Air Force at Navy - Falcons by 13.5

Mississippi State at Arkansas - Razorbacks by 11

Rutgers at Indiana - Scarlet Knights by 7

Boston College at Georgia Tech - Yellowjackets by 13.5

Baylor at Cincinnati - Bearcats by 11

Memphis at UAB - Tigers by 6

Western Michigan at Ohio - Bobcats by 18

Charlotte at East Carolina - Pirates by 5.5

UL Monroe at Georgia Southern - Eagles by 16

Akron at Bowling Green - Falcons by 20.5

Washington State at (9) Oregon - Ducks by 15.5

(17) Tennessee at (11) Alabama - Crimson Tide by 9.5

South Carolina at (20) Missouri - Tigers by 10.5

North Texas at (23) Tulane - Green Wave by 21.5

Minnesota at (24) Iowa - Hawkeyes by 13

Wisconsin at Illinois - Badgers by 9.5

Northwestern at Nebraska - Cornhuskers by 10

South Florida at UConn - Huskies by 0.5

Pittsburgh at Wake Forest - Demon Deacons by 1

Oklahoma State at West Virginia - Mountaineers by 10

Central Michigan at Ball State - Chippewas by 0.5

Eastern Michigan at Northern Illinois - Huskies by 12

Buffalo at Kent State - Bulls by 1

(8) Texas at Houston - Longhorns by 20

Toledo at Miami (OH) - Redhawks by 9.5

UTSA at FAU - Owls by 6

Hawaii at New Mexico - Lobos by 6

Virginia at (10) North Carolina - Tar Heels by 27

(13) Ole Miss at Auburn - Rebels by 9

Texas Tech at BYU - Red Raiders by 1

TCU at Kansas State - Wildcats by 7.5

Appalachian State at Old Dominion - Mountaineers by 6

Coastal Carolina at Arkansas State - Chanticleers by 3

Colorado State at UNLV - Rebels by 13

Utah State at San Jose State - Spartans by 1

(2) Michigan at Michigan State - Wolverines by 19.5

(16) Duke at (4) Florida State - Seminoles by 9

Army at (19) LSU - Tigers by 21.5

(14) Utah at (18) USC - Trojans by 4.5

Clemson at Miami - Hurricanes by 7.5

Georgia State at Louisiana - Ragin Cajuns by 0.5

Nevada at San Diego State - Aztecs by 15.5

Arizona State at (5) Washington - Huskies by 38

(25) UCLA at Stanford - Bruins by 13

Sunday

Las Vegas at Chicago - Raiders by 2.5

Cleveland at Indianapolis - Browns by 3

Buffalo at New England - Bills by 17.5

Washington at NY Giants - Giants by 2

Atlanta at Tampa Bay - Buccaneers by 5

Detroit at Baltimore - Ravens by 4.5

Arizona at Seattle - Seahawks by 9

Pittsburgh at LA Rams - Rams by 7

Green Bay at Denver - Packers by 7

LA Chargers at Kansas City - Chiefs by 8

Miami at Philadelphia - Eagles by 1

Monday

San Francisco at Minnesota - 49ers by 18

Results

NCAA: 36-19 (.655) 373-113 overall (.767)

Upsets: 3-4 (.429) 25-45 overall (.357)

NFL: 11-4 (.733) 52-41 overall (.559)

Upsets: 1-1 (.500) 9-15 overall (.375)

NFL Rankings - 22 Dec

The top 8 teams all stayed in the same spots this week, though half of them did not play well last weekend, with 3 of them losing in upsets. Jacksonville replaced Tennessee as the favorite to win the AFC South, Cincinnati passed Baltimore in the AFC North, and the LA Chargers grabbed a playoff spot away from the Patriots, while Detroit moved ahead of Washington in the race for the final NFC playoff spot. Here are my full current rankings and playoff picks:

				Actual		Proj
Rank	LW	Team	Rating	W	L	W	L	Seed
1	1	Buffalo	-9.785	11	3	13	4	A1
2	2	Philadelphia	-8.483	13	1	15	2	N1
3	3	Dallas	-6.608	10	4	12	5	N5
4	4	Cincinnati	-6.249	10	4	12	5	A3
5	5	San Francisco	-5.633	10	4	12	5	N3
6	6	Kansas City	-5.34	11	3	13	4	A2
7	7	Baltimore	-3.748	9	5	11	6	A5
8	8	NY Jets	-3.441	7	7	9	8
9	11	Miami	-2.523	8	6	10	7	A7
10	9	New England	-2.504	7	7	8	9	OUT
11	12	Detroit	-2.294	7	7	9	8	N7
12	10	Minnesota	-1.852	11	3	13	4	N2
13	14	Cleveland	-0.313	6	8	8	9
14	16	Jacksonville	-0.106	6	8	8	9	A4
15	13	Washington	0.5709	7.5	6.5	8.5	8.5	OUT
16	15	Green Bay	0.7232	6	8	7	10
17	20	NY Giants	1.4156	8.5	5.5	9.5	7.5	N6
18	18	Pittsburgh	1.4769	6	8	7	10
19	17	Tennessee	1.6442	7	7	8	9	OUT
20	19	Seattle	2.1684	7	7	8	9
21	23	Las Vegas	2.1939	6	8	7	10
22	22	LA Chargers	2.4198	8	6	10	7	A6
23	21	Tampa Bay	2.5999	6	8	8	9	N4
24	27	Chicago	3.479	3	11	4	13
25	24	Atlanta	3.5347	5	9	6	11
26	25	New Orleans	3.5707	5	9	6	11
27	28	Denver	3.7021	4	10	5	12
28	26	Carolina	4.1674	5	9	6	11
29	30	Indianapolis	5.0275	4.5	9.5	5.5	11.5
30	29	Arizona	6.1178	4	10	5	12
31	31	LA Rams	6.4908	4	10	5	12
32	32	Houston	7.5772	1.5	12.5	2.5	14.5

Playoff Picks

Wild Card

(2) Chiefs over (7) Dolphins

(3) Bengals over (6) Chargers

(5) Ravens over (4) Jaguars

(2) Vikings over (7) Lions

(3) 49ers over (6) Giants

(5) Cowboys over (4) Buccaneers

Divisional

(1) Bills over (5) Ravens

(2) Chiefs over (3) Bengals

(1) Eagles over (5) Cowboys

(3) 49ers over (2) Vikings

Conference

(1) Bills over (2) Chiefs

(1) Eagles over (3) 49ers

Super Bowl

(1) Bills over (1) Eagles