In last week's initial tournament watch, only Villanova was listed as a sure thing to make the tournament. This week, 3 other teams have joined the Wildcats in definite status, and those 4 happen to be the same 4 that I have had as projected #1 seeds for the past couple weeks. Here is this week's tournament breakdown by conference, with teams moving up in status in bold and falling teams in italics:
American
Should Be In
Cincinnati (19-2) - Good: 4-2, Bad Losses: 0
Good Chance
Wichita State (17-4) - Good: 4-4, Bad Losses: 0
Houston (16-4) - Good: 3-2, Bad Losses: 2
Still a Chance
SMU (15-7) - Good: 4-3, Bad Losses: 4
Goodbye
UCF
Atlantic 10
Good Chance
Rhode Island (17-3) - Good: 3-3, Bad Losses: 0
Still a Chance
St. Bonaventure (14-6) - Good: 4-2, Bad Losses: 4
ACC
Definitely In
Virginia (20-1) - Good: 8-1, Bad Losses: 0
Duke (19-3) - Good: 6-3, Bad Losses: 0
Should Be In
Clemson (17-4) - Good: 9-3, Bad Losses: 1
North Carolina (16-6) - Good: 7-5, Bad Losses: 1
Good Chance
Louisville (16-5) - Good: 4-5, Bad Losses: 0
Miami (15-5) - Good: 5-4, Bad Losses: 1
Florida State (16-5) - Good: 5-5, Bad Losses: 0
Virginia Tech (15-6) - Good: 3-5, Bad Losses: 1
Syracuse (15-6) - Good: 4-5, Bad Losses: 1
Still a Chance
NC State (15-7) - Good: 4-5, Bad Losses: 2
Notre Dame (13-9) - Good: 4-6, Bad Losses: 3
Boston College (13-8) - Good: 2-8, Bad Losses: 0
Big 12
Probably In
Kansas (18-4) - Good: 10-4, Bad Losses: 0
Should Be In
West Virginia (16-5) - Good: 7-5, Bad Losses: 0
Texas Tech (17-4) - Good: 8-3, Bad Losses: 1
Oklahoma (15-5) - Good: 8-5, Bad Losses: 0
Good Chance
Kansas State (16-6) - Good: 5-5, Bad Losses: 1
Texas (14-7) - Good: 5-7, Bad Losses: 0
TCU (15-6) - Good: 5-5, Bad Losses: 1
Still a Chance
Oklahoma State (13-8) - Good: 3-8, Bad Losses: 0
Baylor (12-9) - Good: Good: 3-8, Bad Losses: 1
Goodbye
Iowa State
Big East
Definitely In
Villanova (20-1) - Good: 7-1, Bad Losses: 0
Probably In
Xavier (19-3) - Good: 8-3, Bad Losses: 0
Good Chance
Creighton (17-5) - Good: 5-5, Bad Losses: 0
Seton Hall (16-5) - Good: 4-4, Bad Losses: 1
Butler (15-7) - Good: 4-7, Bad Losses: 0
Marquette (13-8) - Good: 4-8, Bad Losses: 0
Still a Chance
Providence (14-7) - Good: 5-6, Bad Losses: 1
Big 10
Definitely In
Purdue (21-2) - Good: 6-2, Bad Losses: 0
Probably In
Michigan State (20-3) - Good: 5-3, Bad Losses: 0
Should Be In
Ohio State (18-5) - Good: 5-4, Bad Losses: 1
Good Chance
Michigan (18-6) - Good: 4-6, Bad Losses: 0
Still a Chance
Nebraska (17-8) - Good: 4-5, Bad Losses: 3
Maryland (15-8) - Good: 2-7, Bad Losses: 1
Minnesota (14-9) - Good: 2-6, Bad Losses: 3
Conference USA
Good Chance
Middle Tennessee (16-5) - Good: 1-3, Bad Losses: 2
Still a Chance
Western Kentucky (15-6) - Good: 3-2, Bad Losses: 4
Old Dominion (16-4) - Good: 0-1, Bad Losses: 3
Mountain West
Good Chance
Nevada (18-4) - Good: 2-2, Bad Losses: 2
Boise State (18-4) - Good: 2-2, Bad Losses: 2
Pac 12
Should be In
Arizona (18-4) - Good: 6-3, Bad Losses: 1
Good Chance
USC (17-6) - Good: 4-4, Bad Losses: 2
Arizona State (16-5) - Good: 4-3, Bad Losses: 2
Still a Chance
Utah (13-8) - Good: 4-7, Bad Losses: 1
Washington (15-6) - Good: 2-5, Bad Losses: 1
Oregon (14-7) - Good: 2-5, Bad Losses: 2
UCLA (15-7) - Good: 3-4, Bad Losses: 3
SEC
Should Be In
Auburn (19-2) - Good: 7-1, Bad Losses: 1
Tennessee (15-5) - Good: 5-5, Bad Losses: 0
Kentucky (16-5) - Good: 9-5, Bad Losses: 0
Good Chance
Florida (15-6) - Good: 8-5, Bad Losses: 1
Arkansas (15-6) - Good: 6-6, Bad Losses: 0
Alabama (14-7) - Good: 8-4, Bad Losses: 3
Texas A&M (13-8) - Good: 5-8, Bad Losses: 0
Still a Chance
Missouri (13-8) - Good: 3-7, Bad Losses: 1
LSU (12-8) - Good: 5-6, Bad Losses: 2
South Carolina (13-8) - Good: 3-5, Bad Losses: 3
Mississippi State (15-6) - Good: 2-5, Bad Losses: 1
Georgia (12-8) - Good: 4-6, Bad Losses: 2
West Coast
Good Chance
Saint Mary's (21-2) - Good: 4-1, Bad Losses: 1
Gonzaga (19-4) - Good: 4-3, Bad Losses: 1
Still a Chance
BYU (18-5) - Good: 1-3, Bad Losses: 2
Others
Still a Chance
Vermont (17-5) - Good: 0-3, Bad Losses: 2
Buffalo (16-6) - Good: 0-4, Bad Losses: 2
Loyola-Chicago (18-4) - Good: 1-1, Bad Losses: 3
East Tennessee State (19-4) - Good: 0-2, Bad Losses: 2
Louisiana (19-3) - Good: 0-1, Bad Losses: 2
New Mexico State (18-3) - Good: 1-2, Bad Losses: 1
Goodbye
South Dakota State
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