Wednesday, January 10, 2018

Updated NFL Playoff Odds

Two underdogs won during wild card weekend, and the Patriots were one of the biggest benefactors, with the Tennessee Titans coming to town instead of the Kansas City Chiefs, who beat the defending champs to open the season. I've included last weekend's results and updated the odds of each of the remaining 8 teams advancing through each of the remaining rounds and winning the Super Bowl:

Odds of Making Conference Championship

1. Patriots - 82.2% (+5.7)
2. Eagles - 61.5% (+0.1)
3. Vikings - 58.1% (-2.9)
4. Steelers - 55.9% (-1.3)
5. Jaguars - 44.1% (+9.6)
6. Saints - 41.9% (+13.1)
7. Falcons - 38.5% (+25.7)
8. Titans - 17.8% (+12.0)

Odds of Making Super Bowl

1. Patriots - 54.9% (+3.4)
2. Eagles - 33.2% (-1.4)
3. Vikings - 31.1% (-0.9)
4. Steelers - 22.4% (-0.7)
5. Saints - 21.8% (+8.4)
6. Jaguars - 18.0% (+2.5)
7. Falcons - 13.8% (+9.4)
8. Titans - 4.8% (+3.3)

Odds of Winning Super Bowl

1. Patriots - 27.6% (+1.7)
2. Vikings - 19.3% (-0.8)
3. Eagles - 17.4% (-1.3)
4. Saints - 11.8% (+4.5)
5. Steelers - 8.9% (-0.3)
6. Jaguars - 7.3% (+0.9)
7. Falcons - 6.6% (+4.6)
8. Titans - 1.1% (+0.8)

My Picks

Divisional

(1) Patriots over (5) Titans by 14
(3) Jaguars over (2) Steelers by 1.5
(1) Eagles over (6) Falcons by 4.5
(4) Saints over (2) Vikings by 0.5

Conference Championships

(1) Patriots over (3) Jaguars by 6.5
(4) Saints over (1) Eagles by 2

Super Bowl

(4) Saints over (1) Patriots by 3.5







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