Rank
|
LW
|
Team
|
Record
|
Rating
|
Pred
|
Ch
|
Undef %
|
1
|
1
|
Florida State
|
13-0
|
-43.3919
|
13-0
|
100.0
|
|
2
|
3
|
Oregon
|
10-2
|
-32.7562
|
10-2
|
||
3
|
2
|
Baylor
|
11-1
|
-32.7316
|
11-1
|
||
4
|
5
|
Alabama
|
11-1
|
-30.6762
|
11-1
|
||
5
|
4
|
Arizona State
|
10-3
|
-28.2832
|
10-3
|
-1
|
|
6
|
7
|
Stanford
|
11-2
|
-28.1714
|
11-2
|
+1
|
|
7
|
6
|
Ohio State
|
12-1
|
-25.2372
|
12-1
|
-1
|
|
8
|
10
|
Washington
|
8-4
|
-24.9238
|
8-4
|
||
9
|
8
|
Missouri
|
11-2
|
-24.0543
|
11-2
|
-1
|
|
10
|
11
|
Wisconsin
|
9-3
|
-23.9807
|
9-3
|
||
11
|
14
|
Auburn
|
12-1
|
-23.7134
|
12-1
|
+1
|
|
12
|
12
|
Clemson
|
10-2
|
-23.5913
|
10-2
|
||
13
|
9
|
Oklahoma State
|
10-2
|
-23.3325
|
10-2
|
-1
|
|
14
|
13
|
UCLA
|
9-3
|
-22.7505
|
9-3
|
||
15
|
15
|
South Carolina
|
10-2
|
-20.8571
|
10-2
|
||
16
|
16
|
Georgia Tech
|
7-5
|
-19.6999
|
7-5
|
||
17
|
17
|
Georgia
|
8-4
|
-19.3102
|
8-4
|
||
18
|
18
|
LSU
|
9-3
|
-19.2912
|
9-3
|
||
19
|
19
|
USC
|
9-4
|
-17.9178
|
9-4
|
||
20
|
21
|
Brigham Young
|
8-4
|
-17.6168
|
8-4
|
||
21
|
20
|
Arizona
|
7-5
|
-17.5435
|
7-5
|
||
22
|
22
|
Texas A&M
|
8-4
|
-17.3153
|
8-4
|
||
23
|
26
|
Michigan State
|
12-1
|
-16.0118
|
12-1
|
+1
|
|
24
|
24
|
Miami (FL)
|
9-3
|
-15.4172
|
9-3
|
||
25
|
25
|
Utah
|
5-7
|
-15.329
|
5-7
|
||
26
|
23
|
Utah State
|
8-5
|
-15.0459
|
8-5
|
-1
|
|
27
|
30
|
Oklahoma
|
10-2
|
-15.0378
|
10-2
|
+1
|
|
28
|
27
|
Louisville
|
11-1
|
-14.6608
|
11-1
|
||
29
|
28
|
Virginia Tech
|
8-4
|
-13.6447
|
8-4
|
||
30
|
31
|
Ole Miss
|
7-5
|
-12.6702
|
7-5
|
||
31
|
32
|
North Carolina
|
6-6
|
-12.1058
|
6-6
|
||
32
|
36
|
Notre Dame
|
8-4
|
-12.0821
|
8-4
|
||
33
|
29
|
Duke
|
10-3
|
-12.0052
|
10-3
|
||
34
|
33
|
Houston
|
8-4
|
-12.0047
|
8-4
|
||
35
|
35
|
Boise State
|
8-4
|
-11.9194
|
8-4
|
||
36
|
38
|
Washington State
|
6-6
|
-11.5473
|
6-6
|
||
37
|
37
|
Oregon State
|
6-6
|
-11.4555
|
6-6
|
||
38
|
41
|
Texas
|
8-4
|
-11.2889
|
8-4
|
||
39
|
39
|
Mississippi State
|
6-6
|
-11.2727
|
6-6
|
||
40
|
43
|
Bowling Green
|
10-3
|
-11.2188
|
10-3
|
||
41
|
40
|
Kansas State
|
7-5
|
-11.0892
|
7-5
|
||
42
|
34
|
Marshall
|
9-4
|
-10.2004
|
9-4
|
-1
|
|
43
|
42
|
Iowa
|
8-4
|
-9.96849
|
8-4
|
||
44
|
45
|
Michigan
|
7-5
|
-9.93593
|
7-5
|
||
45
|
44
|
UCF
|
11-1
|
-9.31498
|
11-1
|
||
46
|
48
|
Fresno State
|
11-1
|
-8.63528
|
11-1
|
+1
|
|
47
|
46
|
East Carolina
|
9-3
|
-8.07193
|
9-3
|
||
48
|
47
|
Florida
|
4-8
|
-7.91376
|
4-8
|
||
49
|
49
|
Texas Tech
|
7-5
|
-7.00359
|
7-5
|
||
50
|
51
|
Pittsburgh
|
6-6
|
-6.2121
|
6-6
|
||
51
|
52
|
Vanderbilt
|
8-4
|
-5.94445
|
8-4
|
||
52
|
54
|
Navy
|
7-4
|
-5.73458
|
8-4
|
||
53
|
55
|
Tennessee
|
5-7
|
-5.68988
|
5-7
|
||
54
|
53
|
Cincinnati
|
9-3
|
-5.6278
|
9-3
|
||
55
|
56
|
North Texas
|
8-4
|
-5.32844
|
8-4
|
||
56
|
50
|
Northern Illinois
|
12-1
|
-5.18071
|
12-1
|
||
57
|
58
|
TCU
|
4-8
|
-5.16282
|
4-8
|
||
58
|
57
|
Indiana
|
5-7
|
-4.90545
|
5-7
|
||
59
|
59
|
Minnesota
|
8-4
|
-4.8231
|
8-4
|
||
60
|
60
|
Boston College
|
7-5
|
-4.73442
|
7-5
|
||
61
|
61
|
Nebraska
|
8-4
|
-4.67137
|
8-4
|
||
62
|
63
|
Ball State
|
10-2
|
-3.33032
|
10-2
|
||
63
|
62
|
Penn State
|
7-5
|
-3.32252
|
7-5
|
||
64
|
64
|
Arkansas State
|
7-5
|
-2.87288
|
7-5
|
||
65
|
65
|
Syracuse
|
6-6
|
-2.79287
|
6-6
|
||
66
|
72
|
Rice
|
10-3
|
-2.71133
|
10-3
|
+1
|
|
67
|
66
|
Colorado State
|
7-6
|
-2.01897
|
7-6
|
||
68
|
68
|
Northwestern
|
5-7
|
-1.71113
|
5-7
|
||
69
|
70
|
Maryland
|
7-5
|
-1.42102
|
7-5
|
||
70
|
69
|
Buffalo
|
8-4
|
-1.29755
|
8-4
|
||
71
|
71
|
Toledo
|
7-5
|
-0.92372
|
7-5
|
||
72
|
73
|
Western Kentucky
|
8-4
|
-0.63892
|
8-4
|
||
73
|
67
|
Louisiana-Lafayette
|
8-4
|
-0.0985
|
8-4
|
||
74
|
74
|
Wake Forest
|
4-8
|
0.347618
|
4-8
|
||
75
|
75
|
Florida Atlantic
|
6-6
|
0.71098
|
6-6
|
||
76
|
81
|
South Alabama
|
6-6
|
1.216736
|
6-6
|
||
77
|
77
|
Tulane
|
7-5
|
1.637328
|
7-5
|
||
78
|
76
|
Middle Tennessee
|
8-4
|
2.097699
|
8-4
|
||
79
|
79
|
San Jose State
|
6-6
|
2.106168
|
6-6
|
||
80
|
78
|
UTSA
|
7-5
|
2.34085
|
7-5
|
||
81
|
80
|
Colorado
|
4-8
|
2.935167
|
4-8
|
||
82
|
85
|
Arkansas
|
3-9
|
3.554378
|
3-9
|
||
83
|
83
|
Virginia
|
2-10
|
3.693326
|
2-10
|
||
84
|
84
|
Illinois
|
4-8
|
3.695924
|
4-8
|
||
85
|
87
|
Nevada
|
4-8
|
4.020112
|
4-8
|
||
86
|
86
|
Kentucky
|
2-10
|
4.255022
|
2-10
|
||
87
|
88
|
North Carolina State
|
3-9
|
4.469416
|
3-9
|
||
88
|
89
|
Troy
|
6-6
|
4.896037
|
6-6
|
||
89
|
90
|
UNLV
|
7-5
|
4.997145
|
7-5
|
||
90
|
91
|
West Virginia
|
4-8
|
5.158605
|
4-8
|
||
91
|
92
|
Iowa State
|
3-9
|
5.609751
|
3-9
|
||
92
|
82
|
Memphis
|
3-9
|
6.56482
|
3-9
|
-1
|
|
93
|
98
|
Rutgers
|
6-6
|
7.071647
|
6-6
|
||
94
|
93
|
Ohio
|
7-5
|
7.473706
|
7-5
|
||
95
|
97
|
Southern Methodist
|
5-7
|
7.567075
|
5-7
|
||
96
|
94
|
San Diego State
|
7-5
|
8.020189
|
7-5
|
||
97
|
95
|
Temple
|
2-10
|
8.129393
|
2-10
|
||
98
|
96
|
Louisiana-Monroe
|
6-6
|
8.182265
|
6-6
|
||
99
|
99
|
Kent State
|
4-8
|
9.44847
|
4-8
|
||
100
|
100
|
California
|
1-11
|
9.509904
|
1-11
|
||
101
|
101
|
Hawaii
|
1-11
|
9.786566
|
1-11
|
||
102
|
102
|
Wyoming
|
5-7
|
10.70874
|
5-7
|
||
103
|
103
|
Tulsa
|
3-9
|
11.28474
|
3-9
|
||
104
|
104
|
Army
|
3-8
|
11.70209
|
3-9
|
||
105
|
111
|
Connecticut
|
3-9
|
12.27258
|
3-9
|
+1
|
|
106
|
106
|
Kansas
|
3-9
|
12.40596
|
3-9
|
||
107
|
105
|
Akron
|
5-7
|
12.69372
|
5-7
|
||
108
|
107
|
Texas State
|
6-6
|
12.77785
|
6-6
|
||
109
|
108
|
South Florida
|
2-10
|
14.10363
|
2-10
|
||
110
|
109
|
New Mexico
|
3-9
|
14.51129
|
3-9
|
||
111
|
110
|
Central Michigan
|
6-6
|
14.91075
|
6-6
|
||
112
|
112
|
Purdue
|
1-11
|
16.65147
|
1-11
|
||
113
|
113
|
Louisiana Tech
|
4-8
|
18.38179
|
4-8
|
||
114
|
114
|
Air Force
|
2-10
|
19.49519
|
2-10
|
||
115
|
115
|
UAB
|
2-10
|
20.43959
|
2-10
|
||
116
|
116
|
Western Michigan
|
1-11
|
22.56252
|
1-11
|
||
117
|
117
|
UTEP
|
2-10
|
23.33087
|
2-10
|
||
118
|
118
|
Georgia State
|
0-12
|
23.58503
|
0-12
|
||
119
|
119
|
Massachusetts
|
1-11
|
25.33318
|
1-11
|
||
120
|
120
|
Idaho
|
1-11
|
26.9604
|
1-11
|
||
121
|
121
|
Southern Miss
|
1-11
|
28.28761
|
1-11
|
||
122
|
122
|
New Mexico State
|
2-10
|
28.40468
|
2-10
|
||
123
|
123
|
Miami (OH)
|
0-12
|
28.97865
|
0-12
|
||
124
|
124
|
Eastern Michigan
|
2-10
|
30.37902
|
2-10
|
||
125
|
125
|
Florida International
|
1-11
|
33.05663
|
1-11
|
Even after defeating the Sun Devils twice this season, Stanford ended up behind Arizona State in this week's rankings. That seems very strange, even to me, so I looked at all the factors to see what had happened. Arizona State's average margin of victory this season was a full point better than the Cardinal's, and the Sun Devils did it against a slightly tougher schedule, playing Wisconsin in non-conference while Stanford played San Jose State. The slight advantage in both of those categories kept the Sun Devils ahead by a very slim margin, meaning that they are the better team, but they just don't match up well with Stanford, so the Cardinal will still win most every time these two teams play.
You'll also see that Missouri finished just ahead of Auburn in these rankings, another seeming mistake, and this one is even tougher to justify, since Auburn played a tougher scheduled than the other Tigers. Missouri's margin of victory was slightly higher this season, but the only real difference I can see is that Mizzou played a non-conference road game against Indiana, while Auburn hosted Washington State, pretty much the equal of the Hoosiers. With home field worth 5 points to the home team, playing an additional road game can make a difference.
Oklahoma State's loss to Oklahoma dropped them out of the BCS discussion, and rightfully so. They may have been the only team to defeat Baylor, but they lost twice, once to a pretty good Sooner team, and once to a horrible West Virginia squad that won only 4 times all season. A loss like that is inexcusable, especially with the Big 12 being a little weaker this year than in seasons past.
Predictions
Upset picks are in italics.
NFL
Indianapolis at Cincinnati - Bengals by 5
Atlanta at Green Bay - Packers by 5
Cleveland at New England - Patriots by 15
Oakland at NY Jets - Raiders by 1
Detroit at Philadelphia - Eagles by 3
Miami at Pittsburgh - Dolphins by 1
Buffalo at Tampa Bay - Buccaneers by 5
Kansas City at Washington - Chiefs by 10
Minnesota at Baltimore - Ravens by 8
Tennessee at Denver - Broncos by 15
Saint Louis at Arizona - Cardinals by 5
NY Giants at San Diego - Chargers by 8
Seattle at San Francisco - Seahawks by 1
Carolina at New Orleans - Panthers by 1
NBA
Boston at New York - Knicks by 5
Miami at Detroit - Heat by 1
Orlando at Houston - Rockets by 14
Indiana at Oklahoma City - Thunder by 3
Toronto at LA Lakers - Lakers by 4
College Basketball
Virginia Tech at Miami (FL) - Hurricanes by 2
Oklahoma vs. George Mason - Sooners by 8
Old Dominion at VCU - Rams by 21
Iona at Fairfield - Gaels by 6
Charlotte at Appalachian State - 49ers by 7
Mount Olive at East Carolina - Pirates by 35
Siena at Canisius - Golden Griffins by 1
Quinnipiac at Rider - Broncs by 2
St. Peter's at Niagara - Purple Eagles by 5
Monmouth at Manhattan - Jaspers by 19
SW Oklahoma State at Colorado State - Rams by 33
Rhode Island at Detroit - Titans by 14
Illinois vs. Auburn - Fighting Illini by 13
Washington at (24) San Diego State - Aztecs by 27
Maryland vs. George Washington - Colonials by 5
(13) Oregon at Ole Miss - Ducks by 2
Texas-Permian Basin at Texas A&M-CC - Islanders by 24
Jacksonville State at Florida State - Seminoles by 30
Nebraska at Creighton - Bluejays by 17
Boston College at USC - Trojans by 4
Seton Hall at Rutgers - Scarlet Knights by 3
Eastern Washington at Saint Mary's - Gaels by 17
Arkansas-Pine Bluff at Oregon State - Beavers by 20
Dallas Christian at Prairie View A&M - Panthers by 20
Pick of the Day
Florida State
We all know by now that the Seminoles have a great football team, but their basketball team is not bad either. They host Jacksonville State tonight, and it should be a blowout a la FSU football.
Prediction Results
College Football: 5-7 (.417) 627-182 overall (.775)
Upsets: 1-4 (.200) 64-67 overall (.489)
NBA: 3-6 (.333) 189-108 overall (.636)
Upsets: 0-4 (.000) 29-28 overall (.509)
College Basketball: 80-34 (.702) 1299-335 overall (.795)
Upsets: 12-13 (.480) 142-86 overall (.623)
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