All 6 undefeated teams survived on Saturday, with Notre Dame escaping by 3 points in triple overtime over the unranked Pitt Panthers, which caused them to drop a spot in the BCS rankings. Alabama, Oregon, and Kansas State all had strong victories over ranked teams, which has helped all 3 pull ahead of the Irish in my rankings as well. Here are my updated rankings, with BCS rankings in parentheses and teams grouped by similar levels of performance.
TW. (LW) Team (Record) Result (BCS)
1. (1) Alabama (9-0) W (1)
2. (4) Texas A&M (7-2) W (15)
3. (2) Oregon (9-0) W (3)
4. (3) Kansas State (9-0) W (2)
5. (7) Oklahoma (6-2) W (12)
6. (5) Notre Dame (9-0) W (4)
7. (8) LSU (7-2) L (7)
8. (9) Florida State (8-1) BYE (10)
9. (6) Florida (8-1) W (6)
10. (NR) UCLA (7-2) W (18)
11. (10) Georgia (8-1) W (5)
12. (18) Clemson (8-1) W (13)
13. (12) BYU (5-4) BYE (NR)
14. (16) Oklahoma State (5-3) L (NR)
15. (17) Oregon State (7-1) W (11)
16. (11) USC (6-3) L (19)
17. (NR) Utah (4-5) W (NR)
18. (15) Stanford (7-2) W (14)
19. (24) Arizona State (5-4) L (NR)
20. (20) Utah State (8-2) W (NR)
21. (NR) Nebraska (7-2) W (16)
22. (14) South Carolina (7-2) BYE (8)
23. (NR) Texas (7-2) W (17)
24. (25) Michigan (6-3) W (NR)
25. (NR) Ohio State (10-0) W (NR)
Dropped Out
(13) Texas Tech (6-3) L (22)
(19) Fresno State (7-3) W (NR)
(23) Boise State (7-2) L (NR)
(22) Mississippi State (7-2) L (21)
(21) Arizona (5-4) L (NR)
Ranked Teams by Conference
Pac 12 - 7
SEC - 6
Big 12 - 4
Big 10 - 3
Ind - 2
ACC - 2
WAC - 1
Only BYU and Utah State are representing the non-AQ conferences this week in the top 25, since Fresno State and Boise State both fell out after underwhelming performances on Sunday, leaving the MWC with no top 25 teams.
Texas A&M moved up to #2 just in time to take on the #1 team, Alabama, this weekend. The Aggies are ranked #15 in the BCS, but they are obviously better than that, especially when you look at their two losses, which were both by 5 points or fewer and came against teams in the current top 7. I don't think they'll upset the Crimson Tide on the road, but they are good enough to make it an interesting game.
UCLA took a huge leap forward this week after destroying the Arizona Wildcats, who were coming off a big upset of their own against the USC Trojans the week before. Arizona couldn't even keep up when the Bruins took their foot off the gas, allowing another 24 points in the second half after trailing 42-3 at halftime. The Bruins are now in the driver's seat in the Pac 12 South, and if they beat USC they will most likely play Oregon in the conference championship game.
Clemson is moving up toward the top 10 as well, despite not owning a single victory over a ranked opponent this season. Their only loss came against their only ranked opponent, Florida State, and it was by 12 points on the road. Their only remaining ranked opponent is South Carolina in the season finale, but the Gamecocks have been slipping, so the Tigers will have to win to get any respect.
The country's only 10-win team finally entered my rankings this week when the Ohio State Buckeyes inched in at #25. They've only beaten one team that is currently ranked, and Michigan is their best remaining opponent. Despite their 10 wins and perfect record, the Buckeyes are not ranked in the BCS due to NCAA sanctions, so someone else will be playing in the Big 10 title game in their place.
Predictions
Upset picks are in italics.
Tuesday
Ball State at (25) Toledo - Rockets by 8
Wednesday
Bowling Green at Ohio - Bobcats by 6
Thursday
Louisiana-Monroe at Arkansas State - Red Wolves by 8
(10) Florida State at Virginia Tech - Seminoles by 15
Friday
Pittsburgh at Connecticut - Panthers by 16
Saturday
Wisconsin at Indiana - Badgers by 2
(24) Northwestern at Michigan - Wolverines by 13
Army at (23) Rutgers - Scarlet Knights by 16
(9) Louisville at Syracuse - Orange by 3
Cincinnati at Temple - Bearcats by 19
Iowa State at (17) Texas - Longhorns by 8
Miami at Virginia - Hurricanes by 5
Purdue at Iowa - Hawkeyes by 14
Arkansas at (8) South Carolina - Gamecocks by 21
Kansas at (22) Texas Tech - Red Raiders by 22
Louisiana-Lafayette at (6) Florida - Gators by 23
Missouri at Tennessee - Volunteers by 4
Georgia Tech at North Carolina - Tar Heels by 8
Florida Atlantic at Western Kentucky - Hilltoppers by 13
Kent State at Miami-Ohio - Golden Flashes by 11
Central Michigan at Eastern Michigan - Chippewas by 1
Colorado at Arizona - Wildcats by 33
Massachusetts at Akron - Zips by 21
Wake Forest at North Carolina State - Wolfpack by 7
Air Force at San Diego State - Aztecs by 17
Penn State at (16) Nebraska - Cornhuskers by 12
San Jose State at New Mexico State - Spartans by 25
Wyoming at New Mexico - Lobos by 4
West Virginia at Oklahoma State - Cowboys by 21
Baylor at (12) Oklahoma - Sooners by 25
Maryland at (13) Clemson - Tigers by 37
(15) Texas A&M at (1) Alabama - Crimson Tide by 10
Minnesota at Illinois - Golden Gophers by 4
Western Michigan at Buffalo - Bulls by 1
Navy at Troy - Midshipmen by 1
Arizona State at (19) USC - Trojans by 6
Marshall at UAB - Blazers by 3
Tulsa at Houston - Golden Hurricane by 2
South Alabama at North Texas - Mean Green by 14
McNeese State at Texas-San Antonio - Cowboys by 23
(5) Georgia at Auburn - Bulldogs by 17
UNLV at Colorado State - Rebels by 5
(21) Mississippi State at (7) LSU - Tigers by 20
Vanderbilt at Mississippi - Rebels by 5
Tulane at Memphis - Tigers by 7
(20) Louisiana Tech at Texas State - Bulldogs by 18
Southern Miss at SMU - Mustangs by 23
(2) Kansas State at TCU - Wildcats by 17
UCF at UTEP - Knights by 17
Boise State at Hawaii - Broncos by 31
(4) Notre Dame at Boston College - Fighting Irish by 30
Idaho at BYU - Cougars by 53
(3) Oregon at California - Ducks by 23
(18) UCLA at Washington State - Bruins by 18
Fresno State at Nevada - Bulldogs by 6
(11) Oregon State at (14) Stanford - Cardinal by 4
Utah at Washington - Utes by 5
Prediction Results
College Football: 44-12 (.786) 452-157 overall (.742)
Upsets: 11-4 (.733) 50-65 overall (.435)
NBA: 4-1 (.800) 23-17 overall (.575)
Upsets: 2-0 (1.00) 3-4 overall (.429)
NBA Predictions
New York at Philadelphia - Knicks by 9
Minnesota at Brooklyn - Nets by 8
Phoenix at Miami - Heat by 13
Utah at Memphis - Grizzlies by 2
Portland at Dallas - Mavericks by 9
Indiana at San Antonio - Spurs by 8
Golden State at Sacramento - Kings by 1
Cleveland at LA Clippers - Clippers by 15
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