NCAA Bracket Prediction - 11 Jan

Michigan lost yesterday for the first time this season, but they are still the #1 overall seed in my latest bracket, but it was not as clear-cut as last week. Iowa State, who is still undefeated, moved up to become a #1 seed, replacing Vanderbilt, who is also undefeated, but comes from a slightly weaker conference. Wisconsin joined the field after upsetting Michigan, Oklahoma State moved in after beating UCF, despite losing to Iowa State yesterday, Texas A&M got in after winning at Auburn, and New Mexico gave the MWC a second team. Here is my current bracket, with rising teams in green, falling teams in red, new teams in italics, and current conference leaders in bold:

	MIDWEST			WEST
1	Michigan		1	Arizona
16	UMass Lowell/Maryland-ES		16	Dartmouth/Ark-Pine Bluff
8	Saint Louis		8	Seton Hall
9	NC State		9	Iowa
5	Florida		5	Clemson
12	High Point		12	Utah Valley
4	Texas Tech		4	Illinois
13	UNC Wilmington		13	UC Irvine
6	Louisville		6	Utah State
11	Texas A&M		11	George Mason
3	BYU		3	Michigan State
14	Austin Peay		14	Wright State
7	St. John’s		7	Tennessee
10	Wisconsin		10	Miami
2	Vanderbilt		2	Gonzaga
15	UT Martin		15	Navy
	SOUTH			EAST
1	Iowa State		1	UConn
16	Long Island		16	Merrimack
8	Saint Mary’s		8	UCF
9	Auburn		9	USC
5	North Carolina		5	Kansas
12	Murray State		12	Liberty
4	Alabama		4	Virginia
13	North Dakota State		13	East Tennessee State
6	Arkansas		6	Villanova
11	Miami (OH)		11	New Mexico/Kentucky
3	Nebraska		3	Houston
14	Tulane		14	Portland State
7	Georgia		7	SMU
10	Indiana		10	Ohio St/Oklahoma St
2	Duke		2	Purdue
15	Nicholls		15	Southern Miss

Last Four Byes

Auburn

Indiana

Texas A&M

Wisconsin

Last Four In

Ohio State

Oklahoma State

New Mexico

Kentucky

First Four Out

LSU

Creighton

UCLA

Virginia Tech

Next Four Out

TCU

Stanford

Baylor

Butler

Teams by Conference

Big 10 - 10

SEC - 9

ACC - 8

Big 12 - 8

Big East - 4

WCC - 2

Atl 10 - 2

MWC - 2

NCAA Football Rankings - 9 Nov

After reaching #1 for the first time ever last week, Indiana needed a miracle to avoid being upset by a terrible Penn State team, which cost the Hoosiers the top spot this week, which went back to conference rival Ohio State. Texas A&M jumped into the top 5 after a convincing win over Missouri kept them undefeated, and they are now projected to finish the regular season without a loss, joining the two Big 10 teams at the top. BYU's blowout loss to Texas Tech dropped them out of the top 10, where they were replaced by Georgia, who climbed to 8-1 after beating Mississippi State. Here are my full current rankings:

						Proj
Rank	LW	Team	Rating	W	L	W	L
1	2	Ohio State	-23.68	9	0	12	0
2	1	Indiana	-22.39	10	0	12	0
3	3	Notre Dame	-21.58	7	2	10	2
4	6	Texas A&M	-21.3	9	0	12	0
5	5	Texas Tech	-21.23	9	1	11	1
6	4	Utah	-20.3	7	2	10	2
7	9	USC	-17.1	7	2	9	3
8	12	Georgia	-16.56	8	1	10	2
9	10	Alabama	-16.43	8	1	10	2
10	8	Miami	-16.24	7	2	9	3
11	11	Oregon	-16.1	8	1	10	2
12	7	BYU	-15.49	8	1	10	2
13	13	Vanderbilt	-13.86	8	2	9	3
14	17	South Florida	-13.49	7	2	10	2
15	14	Texas	-13.46	7	2	8	4
16	16	Oklahoma	-13.35	7	2	9	3
17	15	Ole Miss	-13.21	9	1	10	2
18	19	Illinois	-12.31	6	3	9	3
19	22	Iowa	-11.83	6	3	8	4
20	20	Pittsburgh	-11.51	7	2	8	4
21	23	Michigan	-11.41	7	2	9	3
22	25	Tennessee	-11.29	6	3	8	4
23	24	James Madison	-11.03	8	1	11	1
24	32	SMU	-10.74	7	3	8	4
25	21	Washington	-10.26	6	3	8	4
26	18	Louisville	-9.416	7	2	9	3
27	31	LSU	-9.379	5	4	7	5
28	35	Georgia Tech	-9.298	8	1	10	2
29	39	Auburn	-9.237	4	6	5	7
30	27	Florida State	-8.709	4	5	6	6
31	28	Memphis	-8.706	8	2	9	3
32	37	North Texas	-8.696	8	1	11	1
33	30	Arizona	-8.52	6	3	8	4
34	29	Missouri	-8.512	6	3	7	5
35	40	Cincinnati	-8.338	7	2	8	4
36	26	Virginia	-8.196	8	2	9	3
37	34	TCU	-8.174	6	3	7	5
38	33	East Carolina	-7.619	6	3	8	4
39	46	Penn State	-7.427	3	6	5	7
40	42	Arizona State	-7.316	6	3	8	4
41	45	Iowa State	-7.245	6	4	8	4
42	43	Duke	-7.122	5	4	7	5
43	44	Arkansas	-6.697	2	7	3	9
44	38	Mississippi St	-6.597	5	5	6	6
45	47	Nebraska	-6.335	7	3	8	4
46	48	Houston	-5.813	8	2	9	3
47	54	Clemson	-5.809	4	5	6	6
48	50	Boise State	-5.584	6	3	8	4
49	49	NC State	-5.291	5	4	6	6
50	41	Florida	-5.171	3	6	4	8
51	52	Baylor	-4.962	5	4	6	6
52	36	San Diego State	-4.887	7	2	9	3
53	53	Kansas State	-4.845	4	5	6	6
54	55	Tulane	-4.616	7	2	9	3
55	67	Kentucky	-4.44	4	5	5	7
56	51	Old Dominion	-4.361	6	3	8	4
57	62	Wake Forest	-4.008	6	3	8	4
58	58	Toledo	-3.725	5	4	7	5
59	60	Northwestern	-2.708	5	4	6	6
60	61	South Carolina	-2.702	3	6	4	8
61	59	Fresno State	-1.889	6	3	8	4
62	65	Southern Miss	-1.868	7	2	9	3
63	63	Kennesaw State	-1.812	7	2	9	3
64	79	Hawaii	-1.686	7	3	8	4
65	57	Washington St	-1.682	4	5	6	6
66	64	UCF	-1.65	4	5	5	7
67	68	Kansas	-1.648	5	5	5	7
68	56	Maryland	-1.503	4	5	5	7
69	73	Rutgers	-1.499	5	5	5	7
70	74	Connecticut	-1.226	7	3	8	4
71	70	New Mexico	-1.104	6	3	8	4
72	72	Minnesota	-0.941	6	3	7	5
73	69	Louisiana Tech	-0.817	5	4	7	5
74	71	Navy	-0.817	7	2	8	4
75	90	UNLV	-0.368	7	2	9	3
76	66	UT San Antonio	-0.003	4	5	6	6
77	75	Colorado	0.2238	3	7	4	8
78	77	West Virginia	0.5085	4	6	4	8
79	89	Utah State	0.6049	5	4	6	6
80	76	Ohio	0.705	6	3	8	4
81	78	UCLA	0.9161	3	6	3	9
82	82	California	1.06	6	4	7	5
83	80	Purdue	1.5431	2	8	2	10
84	92	Wisconsin	1.8358	3	6	4	8
85	84	West Michigan	2.2364	5	4	7	5
86	81	Marshall	2.2507	4	5	6	6
87	83	Army	2.2923	5	4	7	5
88	85	Troy	2.3794	6	3	7	5
89	87	Michigan St	2.4755	3	6	4	8
90	86	Central Michigan	2.6084	5	4	7	5
91	94	Miami (OH)	2.6833	5	4	7	5
92	88	Texas State	2.8384	3	6	5	7
93	93	Temple	2.9274	5	5	6	6
94	97	West Kentucky	3.2523	7	2	8	4
95	91	Stanford	3.6101	3	7	4	8
96	109	Air Force	3.9013	3	6	4	8
97	101	Jacksonville State	4.0467	6	3	8	4
98	96	Wyoming	4.1443	4	5	5	7
99	100	North Carolina	4.1723	4	5	5	7
100	104	Syracuse	4.3073	3	7	4	8
101	99	Virginia Tech	4.3288	3	6	3	9
102	95	Coastal Carolina	4.6451	6	3	7	5
103	98	Arkansas State	4.7057	5	5	6	6
104	105	Georgia Southern	5.1798	4	5	5	7
105	102	Liberty	5.3505	4	5	5	7
106	110	Florida Atlantic	5.5195	4	5	5	7
107	103	San Jose State	5.8895	3	6	4	8
108	107	Buffalo	6.1775	5	4	6	6
109	108	Louisiana	6.2771	4	6	5	7
110	106	Appalachian St	6.6441	4	5	5	7
111	119	Florida Intl	7.0235	4	5	6	6
112	111	Boston College	8.1646	1	9	1	11
113	113	South Alabama	8.18	2	7	3	9
114	112	Oregon State	9.259	2	8	3	9
115	117	UTEP	9.3546	2	7	3	9
116	118	Rice	9.601	5	5	5	7
117	120	New Mexico St	9.6924	3	6	4	8
118	121	Akron	9.8358	4	6	5	7
119	116	Bowling Green	10.244	3	7	4	8
120	115	Tulsa	10.497	2	7	3	9
121	124	UAB	11.228	3	6	3	9
122	114	Colorado State	11.367	2	7	2	10
123	123	Kent State	11.397	3	6	4	8
124	125	Louisiana Monroe	11.615	3	6	4	8
125	126	Ball State	12.385	4	5	5	7
126	129	Eastern Michigan	12.445	3	7	4	8
127	122	Northern Illinois	12.621	2	7	4	8
128	127	Oklahoma State	12.759	1	8	1	11
129	130	Georgia State	14.027	1	8	1	11
130	128	Nevada	14.491	1	8	2	10
131	132	Sam Houston	17.029	1	8	2	10
132	131	Mid Tennessee	17.616	1	8	2	10
133	133	Charlotte	20.014	1	8	1	11
134	134	UMass	23.075	0	9	1	11