|
|
|
|
Rec
|
ProjRec
|
|
|||
TW
|
LW
|
Team
|
Rating
|
W
|
L
|
W
|
L
|
SOS
|
MOV
|
1
|
2
|
Oklahoma
|
-29.806
|
9
|
1
|
11
|
1
|
43
|
1
|
2
|
1
|
Clemson
|
-27.169
|
10
|
0
|
12
|
0
|
13
|
8
|
3
|
5
|
Alabama
|
-25.324
|
9
|
1
|
11
|
1
|
9
|
17
|
4
|
3
|
Notre Dame
|
-22.962
|
9
|
1
|
10
|
2
|
5
|
26
|
5
|
8
|
Ohio State
|
-22.958
|
10
|
0
|
11
|
1
|
69
|
3
|
6
|
4
|
Baylor
|
-22.668
|
8
|
1
|
10
|
2
|
104
|
2
|
7
|
14
|
North Carolina
|
-20.826
|
9
|
1
|
10
|
2
|
93
|
4
|
8
|
7
|
USC
|
-20.184
|
7
|
3
|
8
|
4
|
10
|
32
|
9
|
6
|
Stanford
|
-19.686
|
8
|
2
|
9
|
3
|
33
|
22
|
10
|
17
|
Bowling Green
|
-19.501
|
8
|
2
|
10
|
2
|
67
|
6
|
11
|
9
|
Michigan
|
-19.27
|
8
|
2
|
9
|
3
|
57
|
15
|
12
|
12
|
Florida State
|
-19.246
|
8
|
2
|
9
|
3
|
22
|
33
|
13
|
21
|
Navy
|
-18.359
|
8
|
1
|
10
|
2
|
78
|
12
|
14
|
20
|
Ole Miss
|
-18.359
|
7
|
3
|
8
|
4
|
68
|
19
|
15
|
15
|
Oklahoma State
|
-17.639
|
10
|
0
|
11
|
1
|
81
|
9
|
16
|
19
|
Florida
|
-16.992
|
9
|
1
|
11
|
1
|
41
|
28
|
17
|
26
|
Memphis
|
-16.991
|
8
|
2
|
10
|
2
|
44
|
27
|
18
|
16
|
Utah
|
-16.767
|
8
|
2
|
10
|
2
|
12
|
37
|
19
|
23
|
Houston
|
-15.905
|
10
|
0
|
11
|
1
|
110
|
5
|
20
|
10
|
TCU
|
-15.818
|
9
|
1
|
9
|
3
|
82
|
14
|
21
|
18
|
Mississippi State
|
-15.025
|
7
|
3
|
8
|
4
|
53
|
35
|
22
|
13
|
LSU
|
-15.011
|
7
|
2
|
8
|
3
|
18
|
46
|
23
|
22
|
Tennessee
|
-14.898
|
6
|
4
|
8
|
4
|
37
|
36
|
24
|
11
|
Boise State
|
-14.476
|
7
|
3
|
9
|
3
|
95
|
10
|
25
|
28
|
Wisconsin
|
-14.298
|
8
|
2
|
10
|
2
|
86
|
23
|
26
|
24
|
UCLA
|
-14.181
|
7
|
3
|
7
|
5
|
35
|
41
|
27
|
31
|
California
|
-13.719
|
6
|
4
|
7
|
5
|
23
|
45
|
28
|
32
|
Michigan State
|
-13.706
|
9
|
1
|
10
|
2
|
42
|
38
|
29
|
25
|
Washington
|
-13.43
|
4
|
6
|
6
|
6
|
7
|
58
|
30
|
27
|
Georgia Tech
|
-13.424
|
3
|
7
|
4
|
8
|
3
|
57
|
31
|
29
|
North Carolina State
|
-13.332
|
6
|
4
|
7
|
5
|
56
|
34
|
32
|
33
|
Iowa
|
-12.371
|
10
|
0
|
11
|
1
|
90
|
24
|
33
|
30
|
Brigham Young
|
-12.045
|
7
|
3
|
9
|
3
|
34
|
43
|
34
|
46
|
Arkansas
|
-11.89
|
6
|
4
|
7
|
5
|
31
|
50
|
35
|
35
|
West Virginia
|
-11.887
|
5
|
4
|
8
|
4
|
4
|
64
|
36
|
43
|
Pittsburgh
|
-11.769
|
7
|
3
|
9
|
3
|
8
|
56
|
37
|
40
|
Toledo
|
-11.732
|
8
|
1
|
9
|
2
|
98
|
21
|
38
|
38
|
Appalachian State
|
-11.435
|
8
|
2
|
10
|
2
|
117
|
7
|
39
|
42
|
Virginia Tech
|
-11.034
|
5
|
5
|
6
|
6
|
25
|
51
|
40
|
50
|
Oregon
|
-10.509
|
7
|
3
|
8
|
4
|
26
|
55
|
41
|
41
|
Georgia
|
-10.349
|
7
|
3
|
8
|
4
|
70
|
44
|
42
|
36
|
Louisville
|
-10.069
|
6
|
4
|
7
|
5
|
28
|
60
|
43
|
49
|
South Florida
|
-10.056
|
6
|
4
|
8
|
4
|
47
|
47
|
44
|
34
|
Temple
|
-9.4656
|
8
|
2
|
9
|
3
|
71
|
30
|
45
|
39
|
Cincinnati
|
-8.8831
|
6
|
4
|
7
|
5
|
85
|
40
|
46
|
48
|
Northern Illinois
|
-8.671
|
7
|
3
|
9
|
3
|
92
|
31
|
47
|
45
|
Penn State
|
-8.647
|
7
|
3
|
8
|
4
|
61
|
48
|
48
|
52
|
Nebraska
|
-8.5698
|
5
|
6
|
6
|
6
|
48
|
54
|
49
|
44
|
Western Kentucky
|
-8.3578
|
8
|
2
|
10
|
2
|
113
|
16
|
50
|
37
|
Duke
|
-8.0571
|
6
|
4
|
7
|
5
|
65
|
52
|
51
|
56
|
Texas Tech
|
-7.4946
|
6
|
5
|
7
|
5
|
40
|
63
|
52
|
53
|
Air Force
|
-7.3514
|
7
|
3
|
8
|
4
|
112
|
29
|
53
|
67
|
Georgia Southern
|
-7.2916
|
7
|
2
|
9
|
3
|
116
|
18
|
54
|
64
|
Washington State
|
-7.2397
|
7
|
3
|
8
|
4
|
63
|
53
|
55
|
47
|
Louisiana Tech
|
-7.2224
|
7
|
3
|
9
|
3
|
118
|
20
|
56
|
54
|
Western Michigan
|
-7.0049
|
6
|
4
|
7
|
5
|
88
|
42
|
57
|
62
|
San Diego State
|
-6.7528
|
7
|
3
|
9
|
3
|
111
|
25
|
58
|
51
|
Texas A&M
|
-6.2869
|
7
|
3
|
8
|
4
|
64
|
61
|
59
|
58
|
Utah State
|
-6.1541
|
6
|
4
|
7
|
5
|
66
|
49
|
60
|
59
|
Central Michigan
|
-5.739
|
5
|
5
|
7
|
5
|
55
|
59
|
61
|
69
|
Arizona State
|
-5.2482
|
5
|
5
|
6
|
6
|
32
|
79
|
62
|
63
|
Boston College
|
-5.2369
|
3
|
7
|
3
|
9
|
46
|
75
|
63
|
79
|
Southern Miss
|
-4.969
|
7
|
3
|
8
|
4
|
127
|
11
|
64
|
61
|
Illinois
|
-4.6431
|
5
|
5
|
6
|
6
|
39
|
76
|
65
|
57
|
Northwestern
|
-4.6302
|
8
|
2
|
8
|
4
|
58
|
70
|
66
|
80
|
Marshall
|
-4.5679
|
9
|
2
|
9
|
3
|
128
|
13
|
67
|
68
|
Arizona
|
-4.5619
|
6
|
5
|
6
|
6
|
49
|
69
|
68
|
60
|
Auburn
|
-4.5315
|
5
|
5
|
6
|
6
|
27
|
78
|
69
|
55
|
Miami (FL)
|
-4.0444
|
6
|
4
|
7
|
5
|
15
|
88
|
70
|
78
|
Arkansas State
|
-3.9623
|
7
|
3
|
9
|
3
|
106
|
39
|
71
|
74
|
Syracuse
|
-2.7907
|
3
|
7
|
4
|
8
|
16
|
92
|
72
|
66
|
Vanderbilt
|
-2.5473
|
4
|
6
|
5
|
7
|
30
|
85
|
73
|
72
|
Missouri
|
-2.4972
|
5
|
5
|
5
|
7
|
54
|
80
|
74
|
65
|
Kansas State
|
-2.4189
|
3
|
6
|
5
|
7
|
19
|
91
|
75
|
76
|
Minnesota
|
-2.157
|
4
|
6
|
5
|
7
|
21
|
89
|
76
|
70
|
Texas
|
-2.0315
|
4
|
6
|
4
|
8
|
11
|
90
|
77
|
71
|
East Carolina
|
-1.7097
|
4
|
6
|
5
|
7
|
38
|
83
|
78
|
75
|
Virginia
|
-1.3756
|
3
|
7
|
4
|
8
|
2
|
98
|
79
|
73
|
Middle Tennessee
|
-1.2673
|
5
|
5
|
7
|
5
|
87
|
62
|
80
|
77
|
South Carolina
|
-0.2186
|
3
|
7
|
4
|
8
|
20
|
96
|
81
|
82
|
Iowa State
|
0.0059
|
3
|
7
|
3
|
9
|
17
|
99
|
82
|
84
|
Wake Forest
|
0.4298
|
3
|
7
|
3
|
9
|
24
|
95
|
83
|
81
|
Maryland
|
0.4444
|
2
|
8
|
3
|
9
|
1
|
108
|
84
|
88
|
Colorado
|
1.0596
|
4
|
7
|
4
|
9
|
75
|
87
|
85
|
87
|
Colorado State
|
1.4413
|
5
|
5
|
6
|
6
|
99
|
68
|
86
|
83
|
Connecticut
|
1.5918
|
5
|
5
|
5
|
7
|
83
|
72
|
87
|
90
|
Tulsa
|
2.2259
|
5
|
5
|
6
|
6
|
72
|
86
|
88
|
92
|
Indiana
|
2.4156
|
4
|
6
|
5
|
7
|
51
|
97
|
89
|
91
|
Akron
|
2.6096
|
5
|
5
|
7
|
5
|
77
|
74
|
90
|
89
|
Buffalo
|
2.8899
|
5
|
5
|
6
|
6
|
100
|
67
|
91
|
98
|
New Mexico
|
3.2577
|
6
|
4
|
7
|
5
|
114
|
65
|
92
|
86
|
UNLV
|
3.5285
|
3
|
7
|
4
|
8
|
80
|
82
|
93
|
93
|
San Jose State
|
3.5655
|
4
|
6
|
5
|
7
|
94
|
77
|
94
|
95
|
Ohio
|
4.0569
|
6
|
4
|
7
|
5
|
102
|
71
|
95
|
94
|
Kentucky
|
4.5876
|
4
|
6
|
5
|
7
|
50
|
100
|
96
|
99
|
Purdue
|
5.3537
|
2
|
8
|
3
|
9
|
29
|
106
|
97
|
85
|
Troy
|
5.5443
|
3
|
7
|
4
|
8
|
96
|
84
|
98
|
96
|
Rutgers
|
6.5608
|
3
|
7
|
4
|
8
|
36
|
109
|
99
|
101
|
Nevada
|
7.74
|
6
|
4
|
6
|
6
|
123
|
73
|
100
|
100
|
Louisiana-Lafayette
|
7.9286
|
4
|
5
|
6
|
6
|
122
|
81
|
101
|
102
|
Oregon State
|
10.027
|
2
|
8
|
2
|
10
|
14
|
120
|
102
|
97
|
Florida International
|
10.411
|
5
|
6
|
5
|
7
|
126
|
66
|
103
|
103
|
Massachusetts
|
10.977
|
2
|
8
|
3
|
9
|
73
|
104
|
104
|
105
|
Ball State
|
13.092
|
3
|
7
|
3
|
9
|
91
|
105
|
105
|
106
|
Tulane
|
13.439
|
3
|
7
|
4
|
8
|
52
|
116
|
106
|
104
|
Army
|
13.996
|
2
|
8
|
2
|
10
|
119
|
94
|
107
|
107
|
Kent State
|
14.408
|
3
|
7
|
3
|
9
|
84
|
112
|
108
|
118
|
Fresno State
|
14.509
|
3
|
7
|
3
|
9
|
76
|
115
|
109
|
108
|
Florida Atlantic
|
14.574
|
2
|
8
|
3
|
9
|
115
|
101
|
110
|
112
|
South Alabama
|
14.593
|
5
|
4
|
5
|
7
|
105
|
103
|
111
|
121
|
Georgia State
|
14.686
|
3
|
6
|
4
|
8
|
120
|
93
|
112
|
109
|
Southern Methodist
|
15.194
|
1
|
9
|
2
|
10
|
45
|
124
|
113
|
117
|
UTSA
|
16.27
|
2
|
8
|
3
|
9
|
107
|
102
|
114
|
114
|
Wyoming
|
16.907
|
1
|
10
|
1
|
11
|
74
|
118
|
115
|
115
|
Idaho
|
17.067
|
3
|
7
|
4
|
8
|
103
|
110
|
116
|
110
|
Texas State
|
17.319
|
2
|
7
|
3
|
9
|
101
|
111
|
117
|
120
|
Miami (OH)
|
18.604
|
2
|
9
|
2
|
10
|
89
|
117
|
118
|
113
|
Hawaii
|
18.992
|
2
|
9
|
3
|
10
|
59
|
125
|
119
|
116
|
Louisiana-Monroe
|
19.196
|
1
|
9
|
2
|
11
|
62
|
123
|
120
|
119
|
UCF
|
19.602
|
0
|
10
|
0
|
12
|
60
|
126
|
121
|
111
|
Rice
|
19.683
|
4
|
6
|
5
|
7
|
109
|
114
|
122
|
122
|
Old Dominion
|
20.494
|
5
|
5
|
5
|
7
|
121
|
107
|
123
|
126
|
Kansas
|
20.558
|
0
|
10
|
0
|
12
|
6
|
128
|
124
|
124
|
New Mexico State
|
22.215
|
2
|
7
|
2
|
10
|
97
|
121
|
125
|
123
|
Eastern Michigan
|
23.07
|
1
|
10
|
1
|
11
|
108
|
122
|
126
|
125
|
UTEP
|
24.236
|
4
|
6
|
4
|
8
|
125
|
113
|
127
|
127
|
Charlotte
|
24.846
|
2
|
8
|
2
|
10
|
124
|
119
|
128
|
128
|
North Texas
|
28.559
|
1
|
9
|
2
|
10
|
79
|
127
|
After Alabama beat Mississippi State, the one team remaining that I thought had a chance against the Tide, and did it in impressive fashion, I no longer have any doubt that they will reach this season's playoff, and could be the #1 seed. After Cupcake Week in the SEC, they face Auburn, who is not very good this year, then Florida in the SEC title game. I see Florida reaching #4 by that time, but losing to Alabama in a true play-in game.
Although Clemson struggled yesterday against Syracuse, I still don't see them losing a game this year, with only Wake Forest and South Carolina left in the regular season. North Carolina could put up a fight, but I don't see the Tar Heels pulling off an upset, so the Tigers will be headed to the playoff, just as it's looked for several weeks.
The other spots are a bit trickier to predict, but I see Oklahoma making the move and reaching the top 4 in time for the final results to come in. With yesterday's big road win at Baylor, I see the Sooners reaching #7 in the committee's rankings, and wins over TCU and Oklahoma State will only further solidify their place.
There will be a lot more carnage this season, with Iowa losing to Nebraska, Notre Dame to Stanford, and Ohio State to Michigan, leaving an opening that could allow a team to rise quickly over the final few weeks. I see Michigan snagging the final spot with a powerful run through its final few games, much like Ohio State did last year. The Wolverines will beat Penn State easily this week, then knock off undefeated Ohio State to earn a spot in the Big 10 title game, where they will hand Iowa its second straight loss and leap over the Gators to reach #4 in the final weekend.
It appears that it is too late for the Pac 12 to get into the playoff at this point. UCLA and Utah suffered crushing upsets yesterday, and Stanford, which may still have a chance if they can win out, will probably lose to USC in the Pac 12 title game, and I don't see a 3-loss conference champ or a 2-loss Utah making up enough ground to be included this year.
Predictions
Upset picks are in italics.
NBA
New Orleans at New York - Knicks by 8
Memphis at Minnesota - Timberwolves by 11
Portland at Charlotte - Hornets by 8
Utah at Atlanta - Hawks by 1
Boston at Oklahoma City - Thunder by 6
Toronto at Sacramento - Raptors by 11
Detroit at LA Lakers - Pistons by 9
College Basketball
Mount St. Mary's at Ohio State - Buckeyes by 13
Wake Forest at Bucknell - Bison by 13
Howard at Rutgers - Bison by 3
Wagner at Seton Hall - Pirates by 25
Vermont at (23) Purdue - Boilermakers by 35
Army at Binghamton - Black Knights by 2
Robert Morris at Cincinnati - Bearcats by 23
UTSA at Clemson - Tigers by 37
Saint Peter's at Lafayette - Leopards by 7
CS Northridge vs. South Dakota - Coyotes by 3
Iona at Valparaiso - Crusaders by 8
North Dakota State at Illinois - Illini by 1
Nicholls State at Florida State - Seminoles by 25
Lipscomb vs. Denver - Bisons by 7
Louisiana Monroe at Minnesota - Golden Gophers by 3
Reinhardt at Troy - Trojans by 33
SE Missouri State at Evansville - Aces by 25
Fort Valley State at Jacksonville State - Gamecocks by 35
Florida A&M at Southern Illinois - Salukis by 13
Central Connecticut at Penn - Quakers by 13
Fairfield at (1) North Carolina - Tar Heels by 32
NC Wesleyan at High Point - Panthers by 42
Wright State at Northern Illinois - Huskies by 7
UNC Asheville at Western Carolina - Catamounts by 3
Niagara at Saint Joseph's - Hawks by 17
Sacramento State at Seattle - Hornets by 13
Hartford at Saint Louis - Billikens by 10
Coppin State at Iowa - Hawkeyes by 37
Stetson at Richmond - Spiders by 16
St. Mary's (MN) at Omaha - Mavericks by 31
Milwaukee at Santa Clara - Broncos by 2
South Alabama at NC State - Wolfpack by 11
Maryland-Eastern Shore at Missouri - Tigers by 23
Hannibal-LaGrange at Western Illinois - Leathernecks by 42
George Fox at Eastern Washington - Eagles by 29
Portland at UC Davis - Aggies by 4
UMKC at William Jewell - Kangaroos by 16
Montana State vs. Nevada - Wolf Pack by 20
Siena at (17) Wisconsin - Badgers by 10
Charleston Southern at Stanford - Cardinal by 8
Loyola Marymount at UC Irvine - Lions by 5
New Mexico at New Mexico State - Lobos by 2
Coastal Carolina at Hawaii - Warriors by 13
Cal Poly at UCLA - Mustangs by 3
Pick of the Day
Iowa
The Hawkeyes won easily in their opening game, and tonight when they host Coppin State, one of the 5 worst teams in the country, they should cruise.
Prediction Results
NBA: 4-3 (.571) 87-57 overall (.604)
Upsets: 1-2 (.333) 7-18 overall (.280)
College Football: 43-16 (.729) 545-147 overall (.788)
Upsets: 2-3 (.400) 35-57 overall (.380)
College Basketball: 43-5 (.896) 171-33 overall (.838)
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