Tuesday, October 16, 2018

Football Predictions - 18 Oct thru 22 Oct

Upset picks are in italics.

Thursday

Georgia State at Arkansas State - Red Wolves by 17
Stanford at Arizona State - Sun Devils by 7.5

Denver at Arizona - Broncos by 1.5

Friday

Colorado State at Boise State - Broncos by 26
Air Force at UNLV - Falcons by 7.5

Saturday

(6) Michigan at (24) Michigan State - Wolverines by 4.5
(9) Oklahoma at TCU - Sooners by 5
Maryland at (19) Iowa - Hawkeyes by 13.5
(20) Cincinnati at Temple - Bearcats by 4.5
Illinois at (23) Wisconsin - Badgers by 23.5
Buffalo at Toledo - Rockets by 1
Tulsa at Arkansas - Razorbacks by 5
Auburn at Ole Miss - Rebels by 5
Northwestern at Rutgers - Wildcats by 17.5
Miami (OH) at Army - Knights by 20
North Carolina at Syracuse - Orange by 28.5
Virginia at Duke - Blue Devils by 16
Idaho State at Liberty - Flames by 19
Bowling Green at Ohio - Bobcats by 21
Utah State at Wyoming - Aggies by 17
FAU at Marshall - Thundering Herd by 3.5
Charlotte at Middle Tennessee - Blue Raiders by 12
Eastern Michigan at Ball State - Eagles by 3
Western Michigan at Central Michigan - Broncos by 5.5
(1) Alabama at Tennessee - Crimson Tide by 23
(16) NC State at (3) Clemson - Tigers by 20.5
Colorado at (15) Washington - Huskies by 10.5
(18) Penn State at Indiana - Nittany Lions by 14
Coastal Carolina at UMass - Chanticleers by 0.5
Houston at Navy - Cougars by 11
SMU at Tulane - Green Wave by 11.5
Akron at Kent State - Zips by 2.5
Louisiana at Appalachian State - Mountaineers by 29
UTEP at Louisiana Tech - Bulldogs by 31.5
Wake Forest at Florida State- Seminoles by 9
Minnesota at Nebraska - Gophers by 3
Kansas at Texas Tech - Red Raiders by 23
Memphis at Missouri - Missouri Tigers by 11
California at Oregon State - Beavers by 4
Georgia Southern at New Mexico State - Eagles by 14.5
(22) Mississippi State at (5) LSU - Tigers by 10
(10) UCF at East Carolina - Knights by 21.5
UConn at (21) South Florida - Bulls by 26.5
UTSA at Southern Miss - Golden Eagles by 18
Texas State at UL Monroe - Warhawks by 11.5
(2) Ohio State at Purdue - Buckeyes by 5.5
(12) Oregon at (25) Washington State - Cougars by 10.5
Vanderbilt at (14) Kentucky - Wildcats by 20
Fresno State at New Mexico - Bulldogs by 11.5
Rice at FIU - Golden Panthers by 29.5
North Texas at UAB - Blazers by 3.5
Old Dominion at Western Kentucky - Hilltoppers by 5.5
USC at Utah - Utes by 13
Arizona at UCLA - Bruins by 9.5
San Jose State at San Diego State - Aztecs by 26.5
Nevada at Hawaii - Warriors by 4.5

Sunday

Tennessee vs. LA Chargers - Chargers by 9
New England at Chicago - Bears by 6
Buffalo at Indianapolis - Colts by 6
Detroit at Miami - Dolphins by 3.5
Minnesota at NY Jets - Jets by 7
Carolina at Philadelphia - Eagles by 3.5
Cleveland at Tampa Bay - Buccaneers by 2.5
Houston at Jacksonville - Jaguars by 4
New Orleans at Baltimore - Ravens by 9
LA Rams at San Francisco - Rams by 12
Dallas at Washington - Redskins by 0.5
Cincinnati at Kansas City - Chiefs by 7.5

Monday

NY Giants at Atlanta - Falcons by 7.5

Results

NCAA: 39-16 (.709) 346-118 overall (.746)
Upsets: 3-6 (.333) 28-40 overall (.412)
NFL: 7-8 (.467) 51-40 overall (.560)
Upsets: 0-5 (.000) 20-34 overall (.370)

Sunday, October 14, 2018

NCAA Football Rankings - 14 Oct

The Crimson Tide is still rolling along, and at this point they are a full touchdown better than any other team in the country on a neutral field, and would be a favorite in any road game played. Meanwhile, LSU made a strong move into the top 10 with their demolition of Georgia, and Iowa appeared in the top 25 at #15 after beating up on Indiana in Bloomington. Here are my full current rankings, with projected conference champs in bold and title game losers underlined:





Rec
ProjRec

TW
LW
Team
Rating
W
L
W
L
SOS
MOV
1
1
Alabama
-29.48
7
0
12
0
54
1
2
4
Clemson
-22.6
6
0
12
0
41
3
3
6
Appalachian State
-21.87
4
1
10
1
82
2
4
3
Georgia
-20.44
6
1
10
2
28
11
5
2
Penn State
-20.28
4
2
9
3
15
15
6
7
Michigan
-20.16
6
1
10
2
35
13
7
5
Ohio State
-20.04
7
0
11
1
74
8
8
11
LSU
-19.7
6
1
10
2
8
23
9
9
Oklahoma
-19.09
5
1
10
2
18
20
10
14
Florida
-17.1
6
1
10
2
26
18
11
10
Kentucky
-16.95
5
1
10
2
24
24
12
12
Fresno State
-15.94
5
1
10
2
96
4
13
15
Mississippi State
-14.97
4
2
7
5
33
28
14
20
Duke
-14.91
5
1
9
3
30
21
15
32
Iowa
-14.21
5
1
9
3
63
19
16
13
West Virginia
-14.19
5
1
8
3
48
17
17
23
Army
-14.13
4
2
9
3
16
22
18
16
Utah State
-14.09
5
1
10
2
117
7
19
8
Notre Dame
-13.83
7
0
11
1
47
33
20
17
Texas Tech
-13.76
4
2
8
4
17
38
21
22
Cincinnati
-13.29
6
0
11
1
110
5
22
19
UCF
-13.02
6
0
10
1
125
6
23
26
Texas A&M
-12.92
5
2
8
4
13
47
24
21
Washington
-12.43
5
2
9
3
34
34
25
35
Iowa State
-12.23
3
3
7
4
1
65
26
25
Syracuse
-11.65
4
2
8
4
85
16
27
29
Utah
-11.45
4
2
8
4
52
30
28
24
Miami
-11.31
5
2
8
4
81
25
29
44
Michigan State
-10.51
4
2
8
4
6
60
30
30
Texas
-10.23
6
1
9
3
27
54
31
28
Wisconsin
-9.925
4
2
8
4
44
45
32
18
South Carolina
-9.733
3
3
5
6
4
75
33
31
Missouri
-9.713
3
3
7
5
5
68
34
40
North Texas
-9.513
6
1
10
2
126
9
35
50
Purdue
-9.442
3
3
6
6
53
41
36
33
TCU
-8.945
3
3
6
6
19
63
37
36
Washington State
-8.901
5
1
9
3
114
14
38
37
Houston
-8.788
5
1
9
3
121
10
39
27
Auburn
-8.091
4
3
6
6
56
56
40
34
Boise State
-7.975
4
2
8
4
83
26
41
43
UAB
-7.923
5
1
9
3
122
12
42
42
Ole Miss
-7.905
5
2
7
5
39
50
43
41
Colorado
-7.359
5
1
9
3
103
32
44
47
NC State
-7.187
5
0
9
2
118
27
45
46
Arizona State
-6.867
3
3
7
5
49
48
46
45
Boston College
-6.421
5
2
7
5
99
36
47
49
Maryland
-6.011
4
2
6
6
61
51
48
53
Buffalo
-6.007
6
1
10
2
100
37
49
48
Northwestern
-5.699
3
3
6
6
7
85
50
38
Oklahoma State
-5.641
4
3
6
6
80
52
51
39
Virginia Tech
-5.092
4
2
7
4
70
42
52
68
Minnesota
-4.512
3
3
6
6
10
86
53
56
Stanford
-4.431
4
2
7
5
45
70
54
60
Virginia
-4.24
4
2
7
5
95
49
55
74
Louisiana Tech
-3.935
4
2
8
4
50
55
56
65
Memphis
-3.881
4
3
7
5
128
29
57
51
Georgia Tech
-3.852
3
4
5
7
76
58
58
69
USC
-3.65
4
2
7
5
25
72
59
61
Temple
-3.632
4
3
6
6
101
43
60
66
Oregon
-3.477
5
1
8
4
130
31
61
63
Eastern Michigan
-3.133
3
4
6
6
43
64
62
64
Air Force
-2.873
2
4
6
6
86
53
63
62
Western Michigan
-2.754
5
2
8
4
73
57
64
52
Georgia Southern
-2.615
5
1
9
3
115
39
65
76
Baylor
-2.404
4
3
5
7
59
69
66
59
Vanderbilt
-2.157
3
4
5
7
23
91
67
67
San Diego State
-2.101
5
1
9
3
68
73
68
58
South Florida
-1.968
6
0
9
3
123
35
69
73
Toledo
-1.955
3
3
7
5
92
61
70
55
Florida Intl
-1.53
4
2
9
3
112
46
71
84
Tennessee
-1.441
3
3
5
7
37
83
72
54
Indiana
-1.191
4
3
5
7
22
90
73
70
Troy
-0.618
5
2
8
4
116
44
74
97
UCLA
-0.386
1
5
4
8
2
110
75
79
BYU
-0.096
4
3
7
5
69
76
76
80
Pittsburgh
-0.056
3
4
5
7
14
98
77
75
Tulane
-0.012
2
4
6
6
21
92
78
91
Miami (OH)
0.6474
3
4
5
7
87
71
79
72
Arkansas State
0.7092
3
3
7
5
20
97
80
71
New Mexico
0.7558
3
3
5
7
113
40
81
77
Florida Atlantic
1.1487
3
3
6
6
51
79
82
99
Kansas State
1.2378
3
4
4
8
66
88
83
81
Ohio
1.5509
3
3
6
6
79
67
84
83
Northern Illinois
1.658
4
3
6
6
29
89
85
87
Middle Tennessee
1.6733
3
3
7
5
32
84
86
82
Louisiana
1.7809
3
3
6
6
77
74
87
78
Florida State
1.833
3
3
4
8
64
80
88
89
Akron
2.6737
2
3
5
6
31
93
89
105
Marshall
2.9791
4
2
7
4
109
62
90
94
Liberty
3.6326
3
3
7
5
72
87
91
106
Nebraska
3.7111
0
6
1
10
3
122
92
86
Arizona
3.8139
3
4
4
8
88
81
93
57
Coastal Carolina
3.9751
3
3
6
6
58
82
94
93
Southern Miss
3.9783
2
3
5
6
119
66
95
95
Nevada
4.0314
3
4
6
6
67
96
96
92
Kansas
4.1632
2
4
3
9
94
78
97
88
Hawaii
4.6347
6
2
8
5
127
59
98
96
Tulsa
4.7052
1
5
4
8
46
100
99
100
Arkansas
4.7992
1
6
2
10
11
119
100
90
Ball State
5.1361
3
4
5
7
107
77
101
98
Wake Forest
5.7333
3
3
4
8
91
103
102
102
SMU
6.1847
2
4
4
8
12
120
103
104
Navy
7.1932
2
4
3
10
90
95
104
107
Central Michigan
7.9725
1
6
3
9
57
108
105
109
Wyoming
8.1285
2
5
4
8
42
109
106
115
Charlotte
8.3859
3
3
5
7
105
94
107
85
Illinois
8.5693
3
3
4
8
106
102
108
117
South Alabama
9.0371
2
5
4
8
40
112
109
108
UMass
9.6933
2
5
4
8
75
106
110
112
UNLV
9.7935
2
4
4
8
97
101
111
122
Louisiana Monroe
9.9185
3
4
5
7
60
107
112
101
California
10.01
3
3
4
8
111
99
113
103
Kent State
10.253
1
6
3
9
38
114
114
114
Louisville
10.709
2
5
3
9
55
121
115
113
Oregon State
11.265
1
5
2
10
36
123
116
118
North Carolina
11.475
1
4
2
9
65
117
117
119
Georgia State
12.407
2
4
4
8
84
118
118
111
Western Kentucky
12.581
1
5
3
9
98
104
119
120
Colorado State
12.814
3
4
4
8
102
113
120
110
Old Dominion
12.831
1
6
3
9
89
115
121
116
East Carolina
13.482
2
4
3
8
108
111
122
128
Texas State
16.323
1
5
2
10
129
105
123
123
UT San Antonio
16.825
3
4
3
9
120
116
124
121
Rutgers
16.982
1
6
1
11
62
127
125
127
Bowling Green
17.16
1
6
2
10
71
126
126
124
New Mexico State
17.235
2
5
3
9
78
125
127
126
Connecticut
19.091
1
5
2
10
9
130
128
125
San Jose State
19.148
0
6
1
11
93
128
129
130
UTEP
22.15
0
6
1
11
124
124
130
129
Rice
22.949
1
6
2
11
104
129