Wednesday, October 29, 2014

NBA Predictions - 29 Oct

Upset picks are in italics.

Milwaukee at Charlotte - Hornets by 10
Philadelphia at Indiana - Pacers by 21
Brooklyn at Boston - Celtics by 3
Washington at Miami - Heat by 1
Atlanta at Toronto - Raptors by 8
Minnesota at Memphis - Grizzlies by 7
Chicago at New York - Knicks by 3
Detroit at Denver - Nuggets by 1
Houston at Utah - Rockets by 10
LA Lakers at Phoenix - Suns by 20
Golden State at Sacramento - Warriors by 5
Oklahoma City at Portland - Trail Blazers by 1

Prediction Results

NBA: 3-0 (1.000)

Tuesday, October 28, 2014

NFL Rankings - 28 Oct

The Denver Broncos held onto the top spot this week after winning their 4th straight game, this one by 14 points over the San Diego Chargers, who had been ranked #4 heading into the game, but were obviously not on the same level as the #1 team in the league. Their lone loss came in overtime at Seattle in week 4, and they are the only team to beat NFC-leading Arizona so far this year. Here are this week's full rankings:





Rec
ProjRec
SOS

TW
LW
Team
Rating
W
L
W
L
Curr
Over
Seed
1
1
Denver
-18.6058
6
1
13
3
3
4
A1
2
3
Kansas City
-16.1631
4
3
10
6
2
7
A5
3
2
Indianapolis
-11.8825
5
3
10
6
10
15
A2
4
11
New England
-10.2287
6
2
10
6
23
12
A3
5
5
Baltimore
-10.226
5
3
10
6
30
23
A4
6
4
San Diego
-9.97218
5
3
9
7
9
2
A6
7
10
Arizona
-8.16838
6
1
11
5
6
13
N1
8
13
Miami
-7.67649
4
3
9
7
17
14

9
9
Philadelphia
-7.16568
5
2
10
6
21
18
N2
10
8
Seattle
-6.7825
4
3
9
7
8
10

11
7
Dallas
-6.55594
6
2
10
6
27
19
N5
12
14
Houston
-5.21319
4
4
9
7
14
20

13
6
Green Bay
-5.20127
5
3
10
6
22
27
N3
14
12
San Francisco
-5.18654
4
3
9
7
1
9

15
17
Buffalo
-4.43967
5
3
9
7
19
8

16
26
Pittsburgh
-2.70435
5
3
9
7
25
22

17
15
Detroit
-2.54244
6
2
10
6
31
26
N6
18
23
New Orleans
-2.46999
3
4
8
8
29
32
N4
19
20
Cleveland
-1.71625
4
3
9
7
28
25

20
16
NY Giants
-1.68387
3
4
8
8
12
17

21
19
Cincinnati
-0.54679
4.5
2.5
8.5
7.5
13
16

22
22
Washington
0.576361
3
5
7
9
15
21

23
21
Tennessee
3.810256
2
6
5
11
7
11

24
27
Minnesota
3.935394
3
5
7
9
24
30

25
18
Chicago
4.056828
3
5
7
9
16
24

26
29
Carolina
4.967998
3.5
4.5
7.5
8.5
20
28

27
31
Atlanta
5.21639
2
6
5
11
26
29

28
28
Oakland
5.668058
0
7
2
14
4
1

29
25
Jacksonville
5.69547
1
7
4
12
5
6

30
24
NY Jets
7.668527
1
7
3
13
11
3

31
30
St Louis
8.343378
2
5
4
12
18
5

32
32
Tampa Bay
14.19052
1
6
3
13
32
31


The Broncos will have a test this week when they travel to New England, where the Patriots have caught on fire of late. They are also riding a 4-game winning streak, during which they have averaged nearly 40 points per game. This is one of the most likely times for the Broncos to lose again this season, along with a trip to Kansas City right after Thanksgiving.

The Miami Dolphins also climbed into the top 10 this week, partially based on their own 14-point road win, and partially on the strength of their 13-point win over New England to open the season. The Dolphins looked bad in losing to Kansas City in week 3, but nearly beat Green Bay a couple weeks later, so they are a little tough to pin down. They get the chance to prove they belong this week against San Diego.

Green Bay's 4-game winning streak ended on Sunday, and it wasn't even close. The Saints, who had struggled all season, controlled the game from start to finish, and sent the Packers into their bye on a bad note. The Bears better watch out in 2 weeks, playing against a big rival coming off a bye and looking to make up for an embarrassing loss.

Playoff Predictions

Wild Card

(6) San Diego over (3) New England
(4) Baltimore over (5) Kansas City
(3) Green Bay over (6) Detroit
(4) New Orleans over (5) Dallas

Divisional Round

(1) Denver over (6) San Diego
(4) Baltimore over (2) Indianapolis
(1) Arizona over (4) New Orleans
(2) Philadelphia over (3) Green Bay

Conference Championships

(1) Denver over (4) Baltimore
(2) Philadelphia over (1) Arizona

Super Bowl

(1) Denver over (2) Philadelphia

College Football Playoff Picks

Ole Miss
Alabama
TCU
Michigan State

Alternates: Georgia, Marshall, Ohio State, Oklahoma

Predictions

NBA

Orlando at New Orleans - Pelicans by 3
Dallas at San Antonio - Spurs by 8
Houston at LA Lakers - Rockets by 10

Prediction Results

College Football: 39-10 (.796) 396-144 overall (.733)
Upsets: 2-2 (.500) 26-56 overall (.317)
NFL: 11-4 (.733) 80-40 overall (.667)
Upsets: 2-2 (.500) 9-12 overall (.429)

Sunday, October 26, 2014

College Football Rankings - 26 Oct

Yet another #1 team has bitten the dust, allowing a new SEC team to occupy the top spot, the fourth different one already this season. The SEC dominance of the top 5 was broken up, however, by a TCU team that put up 82 points against Texas Tech yesterday, the most ever in a Big 12 conference game. Here are this week's full rankings:





Rec
ProjRec
SOS
TW
LW
Team
Rating
W
L
W
L
Curr
Over
1
2
Alabama
-34.383
7
1
10
2
6
4
2
1
Ole Miss
-33.133
7
1
11
2
2
2
3
4
Georgia
-29.245
6
1
11
2
23
28
4
3
Auburn
-28.691
6
1
9
3
3
1
5
9
TCU
-27.97
6
1
10
2
117
92
6
5
Mississippi State
-27.451
7
0
10
2
10
6
7
6
Marshall
-25.193
8
0
12
1
121
103
8
8
Michigan State
-24.003
7
1
11
2
109
84
9
7
Ohio State
-23.783
6
1
10
2
78
81
10
11
Oklahoma
-21.815
5
2
9
3
8
44
11
13
Memphis
-21.099
4
3
9
3
26
98
12
12
Nebraska
-20.704
7
1
10
3
55
63
13
15
Arkansas
-20.592
4
4
6
6
12
3
14
14
Oregon
-20.255
7
1
11
2
50
59
15
16
LSU
-20.197
7
2
8
4
28
8
16
24
Georgia Southern
-20.085
6
2
9
3
103
121
17
10
Clemson
-20.03
6
2
9
3
21
52
18
28
Miami (FL)
-19.053
5
3
8
4
11
19
19
17
Baylor
-18.604
6
1
10
2
84
91
20
22
Kansas State
-17.073
6
1
9
3
77
42
21
23
West Virginia
-16.945
6
2
9
3
35
22
22
19
USC
-16.891
5
3
8
4
15
14
23
44
Wisconsin
-16.537
5
2
8
4
124
93
24
18
Louisville
-16.338
6
2
8
4
48
38
25
25
Texas A&M
-15.294
5
3
7
5
4
5
26
20
Florida State
-15.249
7
0
11
2
82
54
27
21
UCLA
-14.642
6
2
9
3
7
9
28
32
Arizona State
-13.961
6
1
10
3
30
35
29
49
Georgia Tech
-13.91
6
2
8
4
24
11
30
31
Louisiana Tech
-13.241
5
3
8
5
27
50
31
38
Boise State
-13.071
6
2
10
3
36
67
32
26
Utah
-12.808
6
1
9
3
51
29
33
39
Arizona
-12.628
6
1
9
3
53
51
34
30
Notre Dame
-11.922
6
1
8
4
60
23
35
27
Tennessee
-11.865
3
5
6
6
1
7
36
37
Stanford
-11.755
5
3
7
5
73
27
37
35
Duke
-11.617
6
1
10
3
104
105
38
40
South Carolina
-10.747
4
4
6
6
14
10
39
34
Missouri
-9.0176
6
2
8
4
56
32
40
41
Colorado State
-8.8176
7
1
10
2
94
104
41
36
Boston College
-7.732
5
3
7
5
65
49
42
33
East Carolina
-6.9995
6
1
9
3
126
119
43
57
UCF
-6.8794
5
2
9
3
90
123
44
29
Virginia Tech
-6.8708
4
4
6
6
22
34
45
48
Middle Tennessee
-6.7982
5
3
8
4
25
64
46
45
Houston
-6.7929
4
3
8
4
108
126
47
42
Arkansas State
-5.9826
4
3
8
4
66
107
48
46
Utah State
-5.6605
5
3
8
5
79
90
49
55
Nevada
-5.2744
5
3
8
5
47
78
50
60
Western Michigan
-5.1796
5
3
8
4
101
120
51
62
Rice
-5.0029
4
3
6
6
80
70
52
53
Minnesota
-5.0009
6
2
7
5
70
26
53
54
Florida
-4.9271
3
3
5
6
18
16
54
56
Navy
-4.7651
4
4
6
6
75
74
55
59
Western Kentucky
-4.097
4
3
7
5
72
80
56
61
Cincinnati
-3.7986
4
3
7
5
69
77
57
76
Louisiana-Lafayette
-3.7872
4
3
8
4
45
97
58
52
Temple
-3.6834
4
3
7
5
102
86
59
50
Virginia
-3.5531
5
3
6
6
88
30
60
51
UAB
-3.318
3
5
5
7
46
41
61
65
Penn State
-2.4039
4
3
7
5
62
71
62
64
San Jose State
-2.1132
3
4
5
7
43
56
63
66
South Alabama
-1.8144
5
2
7
5
111
83
64
69
Kentucky
-1.3263
5
3
6
6
86
21
65
77
Fresno State
-1.1669
3
5
6
6
20
65
66
75
North Carolina
-1.0778
3
5
5
7
17
12
67
74
North Carolina State
-0.8346
4
4
6
6
31
55
68
58
Brigham Young
-0.6402
4
4
6
6
42
76
69
79
Appalachian State
-0.5569
2
5
5
7
93
118
70
63
Washington
-0.4094
5
3
7
6
95
72
71
81
Northwestern
-0.3434
3
4
5
7
58
68
72
43
Pittsburgh
-0.2652
4
4
6
6
64
62
73
47
Maryland
-0.1596
5
3
7
5
41
39
74
84
Syracuse
0.08393
3
5
5
7
39
40
75
82
San Diego State
0.43241
4
3
6
6
116
102
76
68
Oregon State
0.7887
4
3
6
6
38
57
77
72
Iowa
0.87318
5
2
7
5
122
88
78
85
Air Force
1.01716
5
2
8
4
118
108
79
73
California
1.28893
4
4
5
7
49
45
80
83
Rutgers
1.30033
5
3
6
6
37
25
81
78
Michigan
1.45083
3
5
5
7
33
43
82
71
Washington State
1.98882
2
6
3
9
29
24
83
67
Akron
2.09012
4
4
7
6
105
122
84
86
Southern Miss
2.37388
3
5
5
7
9
13
85
89
Toledo
2.49194
5
3
8
5
112
117
86
90
Purdue
2.9162
3
5
4
8
71
60
87
92
Northern Illinois
2.92743
6
2
8
4
125
113
88
80
Texas
2.98216
3
5
4
8
44
36
89
70
Oklahoma State
3.30011
5
3
6
6
89
33
90
91
Florida Atlantic
3.54358
3
5
5
7
13
37
91
117
UTEP
3.9155
4
3
6
6
97
95
92
94
Colorado
4.36379
2
6
3
9
40
18
93
102
Ball State
4.62346
3
5
5
7
119
125
94
99
Central Michigan
4.96657
5
4
7
5
123
127
95
103
Illinois
5.21845
4
4
5
7
52
53
96
98
Bowling Green
5.31987
5
3
7
5
99
111
97
88
Florida International
5.71222
3
5
5
7
100
100
98
95
Iowa State
6.07509
2
5
4
8
54
46
99
100
Massachusetts
6.98781
2
7
4
8
120
124
100
93
North Texas
7.37862
2
6
4
8
113
115
101
105
Vanderbilt
7.47361
2
6
3
9
16
20
102
107
Texas State
7.5167
4
3
6
6
128
116
103
97
Indiana
7.79327
3
4
5
7
67
61
104
101
Miami (OH)
8.76022
2
7
3
9
87
101
105
112
Tulane
8.87849
2
5
3
9
74
58
106
108
Old Dominion
9.12228
3
5
4
8
59
79
107
104
Hawaii
9.16825
2
6
4
9
110
94
108
110
New Mexico
9.36167
2
5
4
8
106
89
109
96
Texas Tech
9.46271
3
5
4
8
19
17
110
109
Wyoming
9.56958
3
5
4
8
32
48
111
106
Ohio
10.1015
4
5
6
6
81
109
112
87
UTSA
10.3834
2
6
3
9
57
75
113
113
Wake Forest
11.6472
2
6
3
9
63
47
114
116
Idaho
11.7401
1
6
2
9
92
96
115
111
Buffalo
12.148
3
5
5
7
127
128
116
114
South Florida
12.6103
3
5
4
8
107
99
117
118
UNLV
12.6896
2
6
4
9
34
73
118
115
Kansas
13.7952
2
5
3
9
85
15
119
121
Connecticut
14.301
1
6
3
9
96
110
120
122
Army
15.292
2
5
4
8
114
114
121
120
Kent State
15.4455
1
7
2
10
91
106
122
119
Louisiana-Monroe
15.55
3
4
4
8
115
66
123
125
New Mexico State
15.836
2
6
3
9
98
112
124
123
Tulsa
16.4189
1
6
2
10
76
69
125
126
Troy
19.0874
1
7
2
10
61
85
126
124
Georgia State
21.0554
1
7
2
10
83
82
127
127
Eastern Michigan
21.6953
2
6
3
9
68
87
128
128
Southern Methodist
31.1593
0
7
1
11
5
31

Alabama rose to the top, not because they did anything incredible this week, but based on their entire season's work so far. Their opening win over West Virginia is looking better each week, they destroyed Texas A&M 59-0 two weeks ago, and their lone loss was by 6 points to the team they just replaced at #1. They have a week off to prepare for a showdown with LSU in Baton Rouge, where the Rebels fell yesterday.

Oklahoma rose into the top 10 this week despite being on the losing end of their game against Kansas State, but both of their losses have come against top 20 teams and by 4 points or fewer. The remainder of their schedule is pretty soft, with only Baylor posing a real threat, so the Sooners still have a shot at the conference title.

Miami rose into the top 25 this week after finally winning a road game, and winning it big. The Hurricanes went to Blacksburg and beat Virginia Tech 30-6 in a game that was supposed to be very close. Though they have lost 3 times, all 3 came against good teams (top 29), and all 3 came on the road, where they play only one more time this season.