Thursday, December 31, 2020

Basketball Predictions - 31 Dec

Upset picks are in italics.

NCAA

Gardner-Webb at Hampton - Pirates by 1

Campbell at Winthrop - Eagles by 18

McMurry at Incarnate Word - Cardinals by 14

Catawba at Wake Forest - Demon Deacons by 21.5

Radford at Presbyterian - Blue Hose by 2

UNC Asheville at Longwood - Bulldogs by 0.5

Utah State at Air Force - Falcons by 6

(21) Minnesota at (6) Wisconsin - Badgers by 10.5

San Diego at San Francisco - Dons by 24.5

USC Upstate at High Point - Panthers by 19.5

Utah at UCLA - Bruins by 9.5

(16) Michigan at Maryland - Terrapins by 6

Arizona at Washington - Wildcats by 5

Northern Arizona at Idaho - Vandals by 13.5

Boise State at San Jose State - Broncos by 25.5

Nevada at New Mexico - Lobos by 11

California at (21) Oregon - Ducks by 19.5

Colorado at USC - Trojans by 7.5


NBA

Cleveland at Indiana - Pacers by 3.5

Chicago at Washington - Wizards by 0.5

Philadelphia at Orlando - Magic by 2.5

Sacramento at Houston - Kings by 8

New York at Toronto - Knicks by 6

New Orleans at Oklahoma City - Pelicans by 1

Phoenix at Utah - Suns by 6.5


Results

NCAA: 25-16 (.610) 1043-303 overall (.775)

Upsets: 1-7 (.125) 68-120 overall (.362)

NBA: 4-2 (.667) 31-29 overall (.517)

Upsets: 8-9 overall (.471)

Wednesday, December 30, 2020

NFL Rankings - 30 Dec

There was a lot of fighting over the #2 spot this week, with Green Bay, Tampa Bay, and New Orleans each taking the spot at some point during the weekend, but the Buccaneers ended up in the lead after all the games were played, just a fraction behind Kansas City for the top overall spot. Meanwhile, the Jets moved out of the bottom spot for the first time since September, moving them ahead of the Jaguars, who have lost 14 games in a row. Here are my full current rankings, playoff odds, and playoff picks:

 

 

 

 

Actual

Proj

 

Rank

LW

Team

Rating

W

L

W

L

Seed

1

1

Kansas City

-8.154

14

1

15

1

A1

2

3

Tampa Bay

-8.05

10

5

11

5

N5

3

4

New Orleans

-7.694

11

4

12

4

N2

4

5

Green Bay

-6.852

12

3

13

3

N1

5

2

Baltimore

-6.462

10

5

11

5

A5

6

9

Buffalo

-5.915

12

3

13

3

A2

7

10

Seattle

-4.744

11

4

12

4

N3

8

6

LA Rams

-4.62

9

6

10

6

N6

9

7

Pittsburgh

-4.553

12

3

13

3

A3

10

8

Miami

-4.503

10

5

10

6

A7

11

12

Indianapolis

-2.84

10

5

11

5

A6

12

13

Arizona

-2.702

8

7

8

8

OUT

13

11

Tennessee

-1.843

10

5

11

5

A4

14

15

Atlanta

-0.561

4

11

4

12

 

15

14

Chicago

-0.458

8

7

8

8

N7

16

18

San Francisco

-0.179

6

9

6

10

 

17

20

Carolina

0.0919

5

10

5

11

 

18

21

Las Vegas

0.9739

7

8

8

8

 

19

17

Washington

1.2566

6

9

7

9

N4

20

19

New England

1.7402

6

9

7

9

 

21

16

Cleveland

2.1556

10

5

10

6

OUT

22

22

Minnesota

2.3518

6

9

7

9

 

23

24

LA Chargers

3.2195

6

9

6

10

 

24

23

Philadelphia

4.5238

4.5

10.5

4.5

11.5

 

25

26

NY Giants

4.6459

5

10

6

10

 

26

29

Dallas

4.7195

6

9

6

10

 

27

27

Denver

5.1401

5

10

5

11

 

28

25

Houston

5.3127

4

11

4

12

 

29

28

Cincinnati

5.7102

4.5

10.5

4.5

11.5

 

30

30

Detroit

7.2081

5

10

5

11

 

31

32

NY Jets

9.9729

2

13

2

14

 

32

31

Jacksonville

11.107

1

14

1

15

 

Playoff Odds

AFC 

1. KC - 100.0%

2. BUF - 69.7%, PIT - 30.3%

3. PIT - 69.7%, BUF - 30.3%

4. TEN - 72.7%, IND - 27.3%

5. MIA - 47.4%, BAL - 42.2%, IND - 4.3%, CLE - 4.0%, TEN - 2.1%

6. BAL - 38.5%, IND - 21.2%, CLE - 17.8%, MIA - 12.0%, TEN - 10.5%

7. MIA - 28.7%, CLE - 26.0%, IND - 22.9%, BAL - 13.1%, TEN - 9.3%

Playoff Odds: TEN - 94.6%, BAL - 93.8%, MIA - 88.1%, IND - 75.7%, CLE - 47.8%


NFC

1. GB - 78.8%, NO - 14.5%, SEA - 6.7%

2. NO - 66.3%, SEA - 27.0%, GB - 6.7%

3. SEA - 66.3%, NO - 19.2%, GB - 14.5%

4. WAS - 57.5%, NYG - 21.5%, DAL - 21.0%

5. TB - 82.6%, LAR - 17.4%

6. LAR - 37.7%, AZ - 29.2%, TB - 17.4%, CHI - 15.7%

7. CHI - 55.1%, LAR - 29.2%, AZ - 15.7%

Playoff Odds: LAR - 84.3%, CHI - 70.8%, AZ - 44.9%


Playoff Picks

Wild Card

(2) Bills over (7) Dolphins

(3) Steelers over (6) Colts

(5) Ravens over (4) Titans

(2) Saints over (7) Bears

(3) Seahawks over (6) Rams

(5) Buccaneers over (4) Football Team


Divisional

(1) Chiefs over (5) Ravens

(2) Bills over (3) Steelers

(5) Buccaneers over (1) Packers

(2) Saints over (3) Seahawks


Conference

(1) Chiefs over (2) Bills

(5) Buccaneers over (2) Saints


Super Bowl

(5) Buccaneers over (1) Chiefs


Tampa Bay would be the first team to ever play a Super Bowl in its home stadium.

Basketball Predictions - 30 Dec

Upset picks are in italics.

NCAA

VCU at Saint Joseph's - Rams by 4

Manhattan at Delaware State - Hornets by 15

George Washington at Fordham - Rams by 18

Furman at Chattanooga - Mocs by 4.5

Bowling Green at Ohio - Bobcats by 10

SMU at Temple - Mustangs by 7

Gardner-Webb at Hampton - Bulldogs by 2

Alcorn State at (2) Baylor - Bears by 41

UNC Asheville at Longwood - Lancers by 1

Campbell at Winthrop - Eagles by 23

Fresno State at Colorado State - Rams by 16.5

St. Bonaventure at Rhode Island - Rams by 12.5

Butler at Providence - Friars by 15

Radford at Presbyterian - Blue Hose by 2

(23) Virginia at Notre Dame - Cavaliers by 6

George Mason at UMass - Minutemen by 20

USC Upstate at High Point - Panthers by 22

Nebraska at (25) Ohio State - Buckeyes by 16.5

Newman at Wichita State - Shockers by 27

Seton Hall at Xavier - Musketeers by 7.5

Tulane at UCF - Knights by 16

Duquesne at Saint Louis - Billikens by 19.5

La Salle at Dayton - Flyers by 12

Richmond at Davidson - Wildcats by 3.5

Mississippi State at Georgia - UGA Bulldogs by 11.5

Arkansas at Auburn - Tigers by 2

Murray State at Belmont - Bruins by 7

Western Carolina at East Tennessee State - Buccaneers by 2

UNC Greensboro at Citadel - Bulldogs by 7

Champion Christian at McNeese - Cowboys by 23

North Carolina at Georgia Tech - Yellowjackets by 0.5

Boston College at NC State - Wolfpack by 20

Dallas Christian at Houston Baptist - Huskies by 15

Eastern Illinois at Eastern Kentucky - Colonels by 10

Austin Peay at Tennessee State - Tigers by 1

Prairie View A&M at TCU - Horned Frogs by 18

VMI at Samford - Bulldogs by 11

Penn State at Indiana - Hoosiers by 10.5

UT Martin at Jacksonville State - Gamecocks by 18.5

(7) Tennessee at (12) Missouri - Tigers by 9

DePaul at UConn - Huskies by 11.5

Portland at Seattle - Redhawks by 13.5

Florida at Vanderbilt - Commodores by 0.5

SE Missouri State at Tennessee Tech - Golden Eagles by 6

Sacramento State at Saint Mary's - Gaels by 6


NBA

Memphis at Boston - Celtics by 4.5

Atlanta at Brooklyn - Nets by 2.5

Milwaukee at Miami - Bucks by 10.5

Charlotte at Dallas - Mavericks by 8.5

LA Lakers at San Antonio - Lakers by 8

Portland at LA Clippers - Clippers by 4.5


Results

NCAA: 16-5 (.762) 1018-287 overall (.780)

Upsets: 1-2 (.333) 67-113 overall (.372)

NBA: 4-6 (.400) 27-27 overall (.500)

Upsets: 0-3 (.000) 8-9 overall (.471)

Tuesday, December 29, 2020

Basketball Predictions - 29 Dec

Upset picks are in italics.

NCAA

Northeastern at (9) West Virginia - Mountaineers by 15

Central Arkansas at (2) Baylor - Bears by 27.5

Miami at (24) Virginia Tech - Hokies by 14

Incarnate Word at (13) Texas Tech - Red Raiders by 28.5

Purdue at (14) Rutgers - Scarlet Knights by 13

(18) Florida State at Clemson - Tigers by 14

Santa Clara at USC - Trojans by 21.5

South Florida at Memphis - Tigers by 10

Coppin State at Rider - Broncs by 8.5

Texas A&M at LSU - Tigers by 16.5

Wofford at Mercer - Bears by 10.5

Central Michigan at Eastern Michigan - Eagles by 11

Mary Hardn Bylr at Sam Houston State - Bearkats by 25

Champion Christian at McNeese - Cowboys by 22

Dallas Christian at Abilene Christian - Wildcats by 30

Freed-Hardeman at Lipscomb - Bisons by 18

SE Louisiana at Lamar - Lions by 1

Omaha at Kansas State - Wildcats by 3

Dixie State at (1) Gonzaga - Bulldogs by 29.5

(5) Houston at Tulsa - Cougars by 1

(19) Northwestern at (10) Iowa - Hawkeyes by 12

Ole Miss at Alabama - Rebels by 0.5


NBA

New York at Cleveland - Cavaliers by 6.5

Golden State at Detroit - Pistons by 3.5

Boston at Indiana - Pacers by 7.5

Toronto at Philadelphia - 76ers by 4

Chicago at Washington - Wizards by 4

Milwaukee at Miami - Heat by 2

Orlando at Oklahoma City - Magic by 4

New Orleans at Phoenix - Suns by 3.5

Minnesota at LA Clippers - Clippers by 5.5

Denver at Sacramento - Nuggets by 0.5


Results

NCAA: 13-6 (.684) 1002-282 overall (.780)

Upsets: 1-1 (.500) 66-111 overall (.373)

NBA: 2-3 (.400) 23-21 overall (.523)

Upsets: 0-1 (.000) 8-6 overall (.571)

Monday, December 28, 2020

Basketball Predictions - 28 Dec

Upset picks are in italics.

NCAA

UMass Lowell at Stony Brook - Seawolves by 7.5

Hartford at New Hampshire - Wildcats by 9.5

Binghamton at UMBC - Retrievers by 21.5

Canisius at Monmouth - Hawks by 10.5

NJIT at Vermont - Catamounts by 6.5

Loyola New Orleans at Southern Miss - Golden Eagles by 15.5

New Mexico State at CSU Northridge - Aggies by 10

Drake at Indiana State - Bulldogs by 8.5

Evansville at Southern Illinois - Salukis by 18.5

Maryland at (9) Wisconsin - Badgers by 12

Illinois State at Loyola Chicago - Ramblers by 15.5

Carver at Troy - Trojans by 19

UC Santa Barbara at UC Irvine - Anteaters by 7

(12) Michigan State at Minnesota - Gophers by 12

Missouri State at Northern Iowa - Bears by 0.5

Fresno State at Colorado State - Rams by 9

Northern Arizona at (1) Gonzaga - Bulldogs by 41

Colorado at Arizona - Wildcats by 0.5


NBA

Detroit at Atlanta - Hawks by 13

Memphis at Brooklyn - Nets by 17.5

Utah at Oklahoma City - Jazz by 6.5

Houston at Denver - Rockets by 3

Portland at LA Lakers - Lakers by 14


Results

NCAA: 15-3 (.833) 989-276 overall (.782)

Upsets: 2-0 (1.000) 65-110 overall (.371)

NBA: 4-6 (.400) 21-18 overall (.538)

Upsets: 1-2 (.333) 8-5 overall (.615)

Sunday, December 27, 2020

Basketball Predictions - 27 Dec

Upset picks are in italics.

NCAA

Drake at Indiana State - Bulldogs by 8.5

Youngstown State at Cleveland State - Vikings by 11

Hartford at New Hampshire - Wildcats by 8

Binghamton at UMBC - Retrievers by 28.5

Canisius at Monmouth - Hawks by 5

Olivet at Eastern Michigan - Eagles by 20

Green Bay at Wright State - Raiders by 23.5

UMass Lowell at Stony Brook - Seawolves by 1.5

Carver at Jacksonville State - Gamecocks by 27.5

NJIT at Vermont - Catamounts by 6.5

Oakland at Detroit Mercy - Titans by 5.5

Alcorn State at Vanderbilt - Commodores by 14.5

Evansville at Southern Illinois - Salukis by 24

Illinois State at Loyola Chicago - Ramblers by 11

Missouri State at Northern Iowa - Panthers by 4.5

DePaul at Providence - Friars by 13.5

Robert Morris at Purdue Fort Wayne - Colonials by 5

UC Santa Barbara at UC Irvine - Anteaters by 2.5


NBA

Dallas at LA Clippers - Clippers by 8.5

Brooklyn at Charlotte - Nets by 24

Orlando at Washington - Magic by 10

San Antonio at New Orleans - Spurs by 3

Philadelphia at Cleveland - 76ers by 8

Milwaukee at New York - Bucks by 22

Boston at Indiana - Pacers by 5

Golden State at Chicago - Bulls by 0.5

Phoenix at Sacramento - Suns by 2.5

Minnesota at LA Lakers - Lakers by 8


Results

NCAA: 8-4 (.667) 974-273 overall (.781)

Upsets: 2-1 (.667) 63-110 overall (.364)

NBA: 7-3 (.700) 17-12 overall (.586)

Upsets: 5-1 (.833) 7-3 overall (.700)

Saturday, December 26, 2020

Basketball Predictions - 26 Dec

Upset picks are in italics.

NCAA

(6) Houston at UCF - Knights by 2.5

Kentucky at Louisville - Cardinals by 15

Youngstown State at Cleveland State - Vikings by 11

(23) Ohio State at Northwestern - Wildcats by 6

Coppin State at Towson - Tigers by 15.5

Nicholls at LSU - Tigers by 24

(16) Virginia vs. (1) Gonzaga - Bulldogs by 4.5

Indiana at (18) Illinois - Illini by 12

Oakland at Detroit Mercy - Titans by 8.5

Norfolk State at George Mason - Patriots by 10

Green Bay at Wright State - Raiders by 28

Robert Morris at Purdue Fort Wayne - Mastodons by 4


NBA

Atlanta at Memphis - Hawks by 16

Oklahoma City at Charlotte - Thunder by 6.5

Cleveland at Detroit - Cavaliers by 5

Orlando at Washington - Magic by 5

Philadelphia at New York - 76ers by 7.5

Indiana at Chicago - Pacers by 17.5

Toronto at San Antonio - Spurs by 9

Minnesota at Utah - Jazz by 12.5

Houston at Portland - Rockets by 9.5

Phoenix at Sacramento - Suns by 2.5


Results

NCAA: 3-1 (.750) 966-269 overall (.782)

Upsets: 61-109 overall (.359)

NBA: 4-1 (.800) 10-9 overall (.526)

Upsets: 0-1 (.000) 2-2 overall (.500)

Thursday, December 24, 2020

Fantasy Football Rankings - Week 16

 

Quarterbacks

 

1

Aaron Rodgers

GB

2

Patrick Mahomes

KC

3

Tom Brady

TB

4

Baker Mayfield

CLE

5

Josh Allen

BUF

6

Lamar Jackson

BAL

7

Ryan Tannehill

TEN

8

DeShaun Watson

HOU

9

Kyler Murray

AZ

10

Matthew Stafford

DET

11

Justin Herbert

LAC

12

Mitchell Trubisky

CHI

13

Matt Ryan

ATL

14

Andy Dalton

DAL

15

Ben Roethlisberger

PIT

16

Kirk Cousins

MIN

17

Drew Brees

NO

18

CJ Beathard

SF

19

Jalen Hurts

PHI

20

Russell Wilson

SEA

21

Jared Goff

LAR

22

Philip Rivers

IND

23

Drew Lock

DEN

24

Tua Tagovailoa

MIA

25

Cam Newton

NE

 

 

Running Backs

 

Flex

1

David Montgomery

CHI

1

2

Derrick Henry

TEN

2

3

Dalvin Cook

MIN

5

4

Alvin Kamara

NO

6

5

Miles Sanders

PHI

7

6

Aaron Jones

GB

8

7

Nick Chubb

CLE

9

8

Leonard Fournette

TB

12

9

James Robinson

JAX

13

10

Jonathan Taylor

IND

18

11

Darrell Henderson Jr.

LAR

19

12

Melvin Gordon III

DEN

20

13

Austin Ekeler

LAC

22

14

Kenyan Drake

AZ

27

15

Chris Carson

SEA

28

16

Antonio Gibson

WAS

29

17

Jeff Wilson Jr.

SF

36

18

JK Dobbins

BAL

37

19

Le'Veon Bell

KC

38

20

Giovani Bernard

CIN

40

21

Josh Jacobs

LV

42

22

Wayne Gallman Jr.

NYG

44

23

D'Andre Swift

DET

45

24

Ezekiel Elliott

DAL

46

25

Kareem Hunt

CLE

48

26

David Johnson

HOU

49

27

Latavius Murray

NO

50

28

Tony Pollard

DAL

51

29

Salvon Ahmed

MIA

52

30

Devin Singletary

BUF

54

31

Mike Davis

CAR

58

32

James Conner

PIT

 

33

Myles Gaskin

MIA

 

34

Frank Gore

NYJ

 

35

Chase Edmonds

AZ

 

36

Ty Johnson

NYJ

 

37

Zack Moss

BUF

 

38

Damien Harris

NE

 

39

Gus Edwards

BAL

 

40

Ito Smith

ATL

 

41

JD McKissic

WAS

 

42

Nyheim Hines

IND

 

43

Phillip Lindsay

DEN

 

44

Jamaal Williams

GB

 

45

Malcolm Brown

LAR

 

46

Benny Snell Jr.

PIT

 

47

James White

NE

 

48

Carlos Hyde

SEA

 

49

Peyton Barber

WAS

 

50

Kalen Ballage

LAC

 

 

 

Wide Receivers

 

Flex

1

Tyreek Hill

KC

3

2

Davante Adams

GB

4

3

Allen Robinson II

CHI

11

4

Marvin Jones Jr.

DET

14

5

Mike Evans

TB

15

6

Brandon Aiyuk

SF

16

7

DeAndre Hopkins

AZ

17

8

AJ Brown

TEN

21

9

Stefon Diggs

BUF

23

10

Calvin Ridley

ATL

24

11

Corey Davis

TEN

25

12

Diontae Johnson

PIT

30

13

DJ Moore

CAR

31

14

Chris Godwin

TB

32

15

Amari Cooper

DAL

33

16

Jarvis Landry

CLE

34

17

Nelson Agholor

LV

35

18

Justin Jefferson

MIN

39

19

Keenan Allen

LAC

41

20

DK Metcalf

SEA

43

21

Adam Thielen

MIN

47

22

Cole Beasley

BUF

53

23

Robert Woods

LAR

55

24

CeeDee Lamb

DAL

56

25

TY Hilton

IND

57

26

Emmanuel Sanders

NO

59

27

Antonio Brown

TB

60

28

Terry McLaurin

WAS

62

29

DeVante Parker

MIA

63

30

Chase Claypool

PIT

67

31

Brandin Cooks

HOU

68

32

Robby Anderson

CAR

69

33

Tyler Boyd

CIN

71

34

Curtis Samuel

CAR

72

35

Tee Higgins

CIN

73

36

Julio Jones

ATL

74

37

Keke Coutee

HOU

75

38

Cooper Kupp

LAR

 

39

Darnell Mooney

CHI

 

40

JuJu Smith-Schuster

PIT

 

41

Michael Gallup

DAL

 

42

Chad Hansen

HOU

 

43

Tyler Lockett

SEA

 

44

Rashard Higgins

CLE

 

45

Tim Patrick

DEN

 

46

Marquise Brown

BAL

 

47

AJ Green

CIN

 

48

Russell Gage

ATL

 

49

Jamison Crowder

NYJ

 

50

Kendrick Bourne

SF

 

 

 

Tight Ends

 

Flex

1

Travis Kelce

KC

10

2

Darren Waller

LV

26

3

Logan Thomas

WAS

61

4

Austin Hooper

CLE

64

5

Mark Andrews

BAL

65

6

Robert Tonyan

GB

66

7

Mike Gesicki

MIA

70

8

TJ Hockenson

DET

 

9

Noah Fant

DEN

 

10

George Kittle

SF

 

11

Tyler Eifert

JAX

 

12

Dallas Goedert

PHI

 

13

Hayden Hurst

ATL

 

14

Chris Herndon

NYJ

 

15

Rob Gronkowski

TB

 

16

Tyler Higbee

LAR

 

17

Eric Ebron

PIT

 

18

Dalton Schultz

DAL

 

19

Jared Cook

NO

 

20

Dan Arnold

AZ

 

 

 

Kickers

 

1

Younghoe Koo

ATL

2

Ka'imi Fairbairn

HOU

3

Cairo Santos

CHI

4

Mike Nugent

AZ

5

Jason Sanders

MIA

6

Harrison Butker

KC

7

Justin Tucker

BAL

8

Cody Parkey

CLE

9

Jason Myers

SEA

10

Greg Zuerlein

DAL

11

Rodrigo Blankenship

IND

12

Stephen Gostkowski

TEN

13

Michael Badgley

LAC

14

Joey Slye

CAR

15

Daniel Carlson

LV

 

 

Defenses

1

New Orleans

2

Baltimore

3

Cleveland

4

Houston

5

Chicago

6

Buffalo

7

Washington

8

Miami

9

Arizona

10

Seattle

11

Indianapolis

12

Dallas

13

Carolina

14

Tampa Bay

15

LA Rams