Saturday, February 28, 2015

NBA Rankings - 28 Feb

Golden State lost two games this week, the first time that has happened in a month, but that doesn't mean they're not the best team in the league. They are 7-3 in their last 10 games, tops in the league, so there isn't any other team hot enough to claim that they deserve to knock the Warriors from the top. Here are this week's full rankings:





Rec
Proj

TW
LW
Team
Rating
W
L
W
L
PO Seed
1
1
Golden State
-9.59789
45
11
66
16
W1
2
2
LA Clippers
-5.98544
38
21
55
27
W2
3
3
Atlanta
-5.28314
46
12
63
19
E1
4
4
Cleveland
-4.35281
37
23
52
30
E2
5
6
Oklahoma City
-4.223
32
27
47
35
W8
6
7
Dallas
-3.0156
39
21
52
30
W5
7
13
Houston
-2.84312
40
18
54
28
W4
8
5
Memphis
-2.69121
41
16
55
27
W3
9
9
Portland
-2.66026
38
19
52
30
W6
10
12
Chicago
-1.97518
38
21
52
30
E3
11
11
San Antonio
-1.82734
35
23
49
33
W7
12
10
Milwaukee
-1.35986
32
26
46
36
E5
13
14
Utah
-0.99682
22
35
37
45

14
8
Toronto
-0.90007
37
21
51
31
E4
15
15
Phoenix
-0.0024
31
28
42
40

16
19
New Orleans
0.355561
31
27
43
39

17
18
Indiana
0.572256
23
35
36
46
E7
18
17
Detroit
1.037068
23
35
34
48

19
21
Boston
1.900259
23
33
34
48

20
16
Washington
2.253947
33
26
43
39
E6
21
20
Charlotte
2.743927
22
34
33
49

22
22
Miami
3.039351
25
32
36
46
E8
23
24
Brooklyn
3.793428
24
32
34
48

24
26
Orlando
5.22299
19
41
27
55

25
27
LA Lakers
5.317049
17
40
26
56

26
25
Sacramento
5.552667
20
36
29
53

27
28
Minnesota
6.430831
12
45
19
63

28
23
Denver
7.283027
20
38
26
56

29
29
New York
8.888296
11
46
17
65

30
30
Philadelphia
8.89851
13
45
19
63


Last week, after beating Atlanta, I said that Toronto looked like they were back to early-season form, and they moved back into the top 10 as a result of that game. This week, they fell apart while facing 4 of the top 9 teams in the West, getting blown out by 20+ against both Golden State and Houston. As impressive as the wins in their 4-game streak were last week, they were erased by the 4 losses this week.

The Washington Wizards have had a horrible month. They were sitting at 31-15 one month ago, but have lost 11 of their last 13 games, including embarrassing losses at Minnesota and Philadelphia this week, the first two of those 11 losses to come against teams with no playoff hopes. While they are still in no danger of missing the playoffs, they have no hope of winning a playoff series without figuring out how to turn things around.

Playoff Picks

First Round

(1) Hawks over (8) Heat
(2) Cavaliers over (7) Pacers
(3) Bulls over (6) Wizards
(5) Bucks over (4) Raptors
(1) Warriors over (8) Thunder
(2) Clippers over (7) Spurs
(6) Trail Blazers over (3) Grizzlies
(5) Mavericks over (4) Rockets

Second Round

(1) Hawks over (5) Bucks
(3) Bulls over (2) Cavaliers
(1) Warriors over (5) Mavericks
(2) Clippers over (6) Trail Blazers

Conference Finals

(1) Hawks over (3) Bulls
(1) Warriors over (2) Clippers

NBA Finals

(1) Warriors over (1) Hawks

Predictions

Upset picks are in italics.

NBA

Detroit at Washington - Wizards by 1
Atlanta at Miami - Hawks by 6
Toronto at New York - Raptors by 8
Memphis at Minnesota - Grizzlies by 7
Brooklyn at Dallas - Mavericks by 9
San Antonio at Phoenix - Suns by 1
Milwaukee at Utah - Jazz by 2

College Basketball

Navy at Loyola (MD) - Greyhounds by 4
Kennesaw State at Lipscomb - Bisons by 10
East Carolina at UCF - Knights by 2
Army at Lafayette - Leopards by 8
Bucknell at American - Eagles by 7
Lehigh at Colgate - Raiders by 6
NC State at Boston College - Wolfpack by 4
Georgia Tech at Clemson - Tigers by 5
(17) Louisville at Florida State - Cardinals by 6
Georgetown at St. John's - Red Storm by 1
Michigan at (14) Maryland - Terrapins by 11
Missouri at Georgia - Bulldogs by 17
Rhode Island at La Salle - Explorers by 2
Omaha at IUPUI - Jaguars by 5
Western Carolina at The Citadel - Bulldogs by 1
Samford at VMI - Keydets by 6
Presbyterian at Winthrop - Eagles by 17
Maine at New Hampshire - Wildcats by 21
TCU at (16) Oklahoma - Sooners by 13
Indiana State at Bradley - Braves by 2
Illinois State at Evansville - Aces by 2
(10) Northern Iowa at (11) Wichita State - Shockers by 8
Cincinnati at Tulane - Bearcats by 5
(15) North Carolina at Miami (FL) - Tar Heels by 3
(23) Butler at DePaul - Bulldogs by 8
(6) Villanova at Xavier - Wildcats by 1
Florida Gulf Coast at Jacksonville - Eagles by 8
Campbell at Longwood - Lancers by 2
Dayton at (22) VCU - Rams by 9
Utah State at Air Force - Falcons by 1
Wagner at Mount St. Mary's - Mountaineers by 10
Vermont at Albany - Great Danes by 4
UMBC at Binghamton - Bearcats by 6
Ole Miss at LSU - Tigers by 5
Oakland at Green Bay - Phoenix by 11
Wright State at UIC - Flames by 2
Delaware at Towson - Tigers by 9
Drexel at William & Mary - Tribe by 18
Sarah Lawrence at NJIT - Highlanders by 31
Southern Utah at North Dakota - No Nicknames by 7
UNC Asheville at Liberty - Bulldogs by 3
Utah Valley at Chicago State - Cougars by 2
Middle Tennessee at UAB - Blazers by 6
Bowling Green at Miami (OH) - Falcons by 1
LIU Brooklyn at Sacred Heart - Pioneers by 7
UL Monroe at Appalachian State - Warhawks by 4
Oklahoma State at Texas Tech - Cowboys by 5
(20) West Virginia at (19) Baylor - Bears by 7
(12) Iowa State at Kansas State - Cyclones by 4
Drake at Southern Illinois - Salukis by 8
Missouri State at Loyola (IL) - Ramblers by 10
Holy Cross at Boston U - Terriers by 7
San Diego at Portland - Pilots by 5
Virginia Tech at (2) Virginia - Cavaliers by 26
Creighton at Seton Hall - Pirates by 8
Wofford at Furman - Terriers by 8
East Tennessee State at Mercer - Bears by 6
Gardner-Webb at Radford - Highlanders by 8
Duquesne at St. Bonaventure - Bonnies by 11
St. Francis (NY) at Bryant - Bulldogs by 1
St. Francis (PA) at Robert Morris - Colonials by 6
Nicholls State at McNeese State - Cowboys by 12
Alabama at Vanderbilt - Commodores by 8
(18) Arkansas at (1) Kentucky - Wildcats by 19
Hofstra at James Madison - Pride by 3
Coppin State at Morgan State - Bears by 6
Maryland-Eastern Shore at Delaware State - Hornets by 1
Bethune-Cookman at NC Central - Eagles by 23
Fordham at Massachusetts - Minutemen by 11
Eastern Michigan at Western Michigan - Broncos by 4
High Point at Charleston Southern - Buccaneers by 4
Central Connecticut at Fairleigh Dickinson - Knights by 11
Texas at (8) Kansas - Jayhawks by 8
Montana at Eastern Washington - Eagles by 8
South Dakota State at South Dakota - Jackrabbits by 4
Chattanooga at UNC Greensboro - Mocs by 3
SE Louisiana at Central Arkansas - Lions by 9
Georgia State at Troy - Panthers by 9
Old Dominion at North Texas - Monarchs by 6
Arkansas State at Texas State - Bobcats by 10
Loyola Marymount at Pepperdine - Waves by 13
Princeton at Brown - Bears by 1
Dartmouth at Cornell - Big Red by 7
San Jose State at Nevada - Wolf Pack by 16
Iowa at Penn State - Hawkeyes by 2
Tennessee State at Belmont - Bruins by 18
Jacksonville State at Morehead State - Eagles by 16
Mississippi State at South Carolina - Gamecocks by 13
Tennessee at Florida - Gators by 12
Florida A&M at North Carolina A&T - Aggies by 15
Savannah State at South Carolina State - Bulldogs by 9
Texas Southern at Alabama State - Hornets by 3
Alcorn State at Southern - Jaguars by 17
Mississippi Valley State at Jackson State - Tigers by 16
Western Illinois at IPFW - Mastodons by 15
Ball State at Toledo - Rockets by 15
Buffalo at Kent State - Bulls by 2
Syracuse at (4) Duke - Blue Devils by 17
Stetson at North Florida - Ospreys by 22
USC Upstate at Northern Kentucky - Spartans by 1
Grand Canyon at UMKC - Kangaroos by 6
George Washington at Davidson - Wildcats by 9
Harvard at Columbia - Lions by 2
Pennsylvania at Yale - Bulldogs by 19
Florida Atlantic at Marshall - Thundering Herd by 7
UTSA at Louisiana Tech - Bulldogs by 15
Northwestern at Illinois - Fighting Illini by 12
Incarnate Word at Lamar - Lamar Cardinals by 1
CS Fullerton at Long Beach State - 49ers by 14
Murray State at UT Martin - Skyhawks by 1
Austin Peay at SE Missouri State - Redhawks by 12
Tennessee Tech at Eastern Kentucky - Colonels by 14
Stony Brook at Hartford - Seawolves by 2
Milwaukee at Youngstown State - Penguins by 4
UNC Wilmington at Elon - Phoenix by 1
Hampton at Howard - Bison by 8
George Mason at Saint Louis - Billikens by 3
Richmond at Saint Joseph's - Spiders by 3
Prairie View at Alabama A&M - Panthers by 1
Abilene Christian at New Orleans - Privateers by 8
Tulsa at Memphis - Tigers by 7
Denver at Oral Roberts - Golden Eagles by 7
Saint Mary's at Santa Clara - Gaels by 6
Central Michigan at Northern Illinois - Chippewas by 4
New Mexico State at UT Pan American - Aggies by 13
Charlotte at Rice - 49ers by 4
FIU at Western Kentucky - Hilltoppers by 13
UTEP at Southern Miss - Miners by 11
Wyoming at UNLV - Rebels by 9
Boise State at (24) San Diego State - Aztecs by 6
SF Austin at Houston Baptist - Lumberjacks by 10
Sam Houston at Texas A&M-CC - Bearkats by 7
Northeastern at Charleston - Huskies by 3
Georgia Southern at UL Lafayette - Ragin Cajuns by 5
Arkansas-Little Rock at UT Arlington - Mavericks by 10
Auburn at Texas A&M - Aggies by 15
Grambling State at Arkansas-Pine Bluff - Golden Lions by 20
Northern Arizona at Northern Colorado - Bears by 2
(7) Arizona at (13) Utah - Utes by 5
Idaho State at Weber State - Wildcats by 10
BYU at (3) Gonzaga - Bulldogs by 13
Pacific at San Francisco - Dons by 12
New Mexico at Fresno State - Bulldogs by 1
UC Davis at Cal Poly - Mustangs by 3
Montana State at Idaho - Vandals by 13
Sacramento State at Portland State - Vikings by 3
CS Bakersfield at Seattle - Redhawks by 4
Washington at USC - Trojans by 1
UC Riverside at CS Northridge - Matadors by 2
UC Irvine at UC Santa Barbara - Gauchos by 4
Projected correct: 107/150

Prediction Results

NBA: 9-5 (.643) 581-276 overall (.678)
Upsets: 1-0 (1.000) 55-73 overall (.430)
College Basketball: 7-3 (.700) 3805-1322 overall (.742)
Upsets: 1-0 (1.000) 329-341 overall (.491)
Pick of the Day: 100-3

Pick of the Day

New Hampshire

The Wildcats are one of the few teams still in the running in the America East Conference, and this afternoon they host Maine, which is in last place with only 3 wins all year.

Friday, February 27, 2015

Predictions - 27 Feb

Upset picks are in italics.

NBA

Cleveland at Indiana - Cavaliers by 3
Washington at Philadelphia - Wizards by 5
Orlando at Atlanta - Hawks by 13
Charlotte at Boston - Celtics by 3
New York at Detroit - Pistons by 11
Golden State at Toronto - Warriors by 5
Minnesota at Chicago - Bulls by 11
Brooklyn at Houston - Rockets by 9
LA Clippers at Memphis - Grizzlies by 1
Miami at New Orleans - Pelicans by 5
Utah at Denver - Jazz by 5
San Antonio at Sacramento - Spurs by 4
Milwaukee at LA Lakers - Bucks by 5
Oklahoma City at Portland - Trail Blazers by 1

College Basketball

Siena at Quinnipiac - Bobcats by 11
Harvard at Cornell - Big Red by 1
Pennsylvania at Brown - Bears by 7
Princeton at Yale - Bulldogs by 13
Fairfield at Canisius - Golden Griffins by 13
Manhattan at Iona - Gaels by 13
Saint Peter's at Marist - Peacocks by 3
Ohio at Akron - Zips by 13
Dartmouth at Columbia - Lions by 10
Valparaiso at Cleveland State - Vikings by 3
Projected correct: 7/10

Prediction Results

NBA: 0-2 (.000) 572-271 overall (.679)
Upsets: 0-1 (.000) 54-73 overall (.425)
College Basketball: 37-26 (.587) 3798-1319 overall (.742)
Upsets: 3-9 (.250) 328-341 overall (.490)
Pick of the Day: 99-3

Pick of the Day

Akron

The Zips are a decent team, and are hosting one of the worst teams in the MAC, and although the MAC is probably the tightest conference top to bottom in the country, Akron should take this one.

Thursday, February 26, 2015

Predictions - 26 Feb

Upset picks are in italics.

NBA

Golden State at Cleveland - Warriors by 3
Oklahoma City at Phoenix - Thunder by 2

College Basketball

Northern Kentucky at Kennesaw State - Norse by 4
East Tennessee State at The Citadel - Buccaneers by 3
Houston at Temple - Owls by 16
Omaha at IPFW - Mastodons by 11
Western Illinois at IUPUI - Jaguars by 10
Western Carolina at Furman - Paladins by 1
Wofford at Mercer - Bears by 1
Samford at UNC Greensboro - Spartans by 2
Chattanooga at VMI - Keydets by 1
Charleston Southern at Gardner-Webb - Runnin Bulldogs by 1
Winthrop at Campbell - Eagles by 2
Coastal Carolina at Presbyterian - Chanticleers by 11
High Point at UNC Asheville - Bulldogs by 1
Radford at Liberty - Highlanders by 7
Central Connecticut State at Bryant - Bulldogs by 16
St. Francis (NY) at LIU Brooklyn - Terriers by 1
Mount St. Mary's at St. Francis (PA) - Red Flash by 5
Wagner at Robert Morris - Colonials by 10
Minnesota at Michigan State - Spartans by 9
Nebraska at Ohio State - Buckeyes by 20
Jacksonville State at Eastern Kentucky - Colonels by 21
Vanderbilt at Tennessee - Volunteers by 1
Milwaukee at Wright State - Raiders by 7
Delaware at Drexel - Dragons by 6
Northeastern at Elon - Huskies by 1
Sacred Heart at Fairleigh Dickinson - Knights by 1
Georgia Southern at Appalachian State - Eagles by 5
Northern Arizona at North Dakota - No Nicknames by 1
Rider at Monmouth - Hawks by 5
North Dakota State at Oral Roberts - Golden Eagles by 6
Grand Canyon at Chicago State - Antelopes by 1
Charlotte at North Texas - 49ers by 3
FIU at Marshall - Thundering Herd by 3
Florida Atlantic at Western Kentucky - Hilltoppers by 14
UTEP at Louisiana Tech - Bulldogs by 6
Old Dominion at Rice - Monarchs by 8
UTSA at Southern Miss - Roadrunners by 3
Eastern Illinois at Murray State - Racers by 16
SIU Edwardsville at Austin Peay - Cougars by 3
UT Martin at Tennessee State - Skyhawks by 8
Green Bay at UIC - Phoenix by 9
Utah Valley at UMKC - Kangaroos by 8
UL Monroe at South Alabama - Warhawks by 2
UT Arlington at Arkansas State - Mavericks by 2
Troy at Texas State - Bobcats by 10
Georgia State at Arkansas-Little Rock - Panthers by 8
Southern Utah at Northern Colorado - Bears by 9
(21) SMU at Memphis - Tigers by 2
(7) Arizona at Colorado - Wildcats by 10
Rutgers at Purdue - Boilermakers by 18
Tennessee Tech at Morehead State - Eagles by 10
Montana State at Eastern Washington - Eagles by 18
Montana at Idaho - Vandals by 3
BYU at Portland - Cougars by 4
Pacific at Santa Clara - Broncos by 7
CS Fullerton at CS Northridge - Matadors by 6
UC Davis at UC Santa Barbara - Gauchos by 6
UC Irvine at Cal Poly - Mustangs by 2
Arizona State at (13) Utah - Utes by 16
San Diego at (3) Gonzaga - Bulldogs by 23
Saint Mary's at San Francisco - Dons by 3
Oregon State at Stanford - Cardinal by 11
Long Beach State at Hawaii - Warriors by 4
Projected correct: 43/63

Prediction Results

NBA: 6-6 (.500) 572-269 overall (.680)
Upsets: 1-3 (.250) 54-72 overall (.429)
College Basketball: 37-14 (.726) 3761-1293 overall (.744)
Upsets: 7-0 (1.000) 325-332 overall (.495)
Pick of the Day: 98-3

Pick of the Day

Purdue

The Boilermakers are in the hunt for March Madness, while their opponent tonight, Rutgers, is sitting in last place in the Big Ten right now. A win tonight pulls Purdue into a tie for 2nd place in the conference, and that's what they'll get.

Wednesday, February 25, 2015

Predictions - 25 Feb

Upset picks are in italics.

NBA

Miami at Orlando - Magic by 1
Dallas at Atlanta - Hawks by 4
New York at Boston - Celtics by 9
Charlotte at Chicago - Bulls by 8
LA Clippers at Houston - Clippers by 1
Philadelphia at Milwaukee - Bucks by 10
Washington at Minnesota - Wizards by 4
Brooklyn at New Orleans - Pelicans by 6
Phoenix at Denver - Suns by 3
LA Lakers at Utah - Jazz by 9
Memphis at Sacramento - Grizzlies by 8
San Antonio at Portland - Trail Blazers by 2

College Basketball

Lipscomb at USC Upstate - Spartans by 17
Connecticut at East Carolina - Huskies by 4
Army at Boston U - Terriers by 7
Bucknell at Lehigh - Mountain Hawks by 6
Colgate at Lafayette - Leopards by 4
(2) Virginia at Wake Forest - Cavaliers by 10
Jacksonville at Stetson - Hatters by 5
North Florida at Florida Gulf Coast - Eagles by 3
George Mason at Dayton - Flyers by 17
Davidson at Rhode Island - Rams by 3
Saint Louis at Duquesne - Dukes by 7
Indiana at Northwestern - Hoosiers by 1
Albany at UMBC - Great Danes by 9
Hartford at Maine - Hawks by 4
UMass Lowell at Stony Brook - Seawolves by 15
(1) Kentucky at Mississippi State - Wildcats by 21
New Hampshire at Vermont - Catamounts by 8
Valparaiso at Detroit - Crusaders by 2
Youngstown State at Oakland - Golden Grizzlies by 12
Charleston at Hofstra - Pride by 16
James Madison at UNC Wilmington - Seahawks by 8
Towson at William & Mary - Tribe by 14
Bethune-Cookman at Savannah State - Tigers by 1
La Salle at Fordham - Explorers by 3
St. Bonaventure at George Washington - Colonials by 9
Saint Joseph's at Massachusetts - Minutemen by 10
(22) VCU at Richmond - Spiders by 1
(11) Wichita State at Indiana State - Shockers by 10
Loyola (MD) at Holy Cross - Crusaders by 9
UCF at Cincinnati - Bearcats by 20
Texas Tech at TCU - Horned Frogs by 14
Southern Illinois at Illinois State - Redbirds by 15
Tulane at Tulsa - Golden Hurricane by 11
Denver at South Dakota - Coyotes by 5
Navy at American - Eagles by 10
Marquette at (23) Butler - Bulldogs by 15
Northern Illinois at Toledo - Rockets by 14
Bradley at Missouri State - Bears by 5
Loyola (IL) at Drake - Ramblers by 1
(19) Baylor at (12) Iowa State - Cyclones by 6
Evansville at (10) Northern Iowa - Panthers by 13
(4) Duke at Virginia Tech - Blue Devils by 16
Florida State at Miami (FL) - Hurricanes by 12
Nevada at Air Force - Falcons by 10
San Jose State at Colorado State - Rams by 31
Illinois at Iowa - Hawkeyes by 7
Georgia at Ole Miss - Rebels by 5
Fresno State at Wyoming - Cowboys by 10
Washington State at USC - Trojans by 7
Washington at UCLA - Bruins by 10
Oregon at California - Golden Bears by 1
Projected correct: 39/51

Prediction Results

NBA: 4-0 (1.000) 566-263 overall (.683)
College Basketball: 13-9 (.591) 3724-1279 overall (.744)
Upsets: 0-1 (.000) 318-332 overall (.489)

Pick of the Day

Colorado State

Yesterday's pick of the day got postponed, so I have two today, including yesterday's pick of Toledo to beat Northern Illinois. Today's official pick is Colorado State, which is still on the tournament bubble and hosting San Jose State, which is still winless in Division I games this year. This could be one of the biggest blowouts of the entire month.

Tuesday, February 24, 2015

Predictions - 24 Feb

Upset picks are in italics.

NBA

Golden State at Washington - Warriors by 8
Cleveland at Detroit - Cavaliers by 2
Indiana at Oklahoma City - Thunder by 7
Toronto at Dallas - Mavericks by 4

College Basketball

Texas at (20) West Virginia - Mountaineers by 6
Western Michigan at Ball State - Cardinals by 1
Akron at Buffalo - Bulls by 12
Bowling Green at Ohio - Falcons by 2
Kent State at Miami (OH) - Golden Flashes by 1
Northern Illinois at Toledo - Rockets by 14
Central Michigan at Eastern Michigan - Eagles by 1
(25) Providence at (6) Villanova - Wildcats by 13
(5) Wisconsin at (14) Maryland - Badgers by 5
LSU at Auburn - LSU Tigers by 3
South Carolina at Alabama - Crimson Tide by 4
NC State at (15) North Carolina - Tar Heels by 13
Syracuse at (9) Notre Dame - Fighting Irish by 12
Texas A&M-CC at Abilene Christian - Islanders by 1
McNeese State at Central Arkansas - Cowboys by 7
Niagara at Canisius - Golden Griffins by 16
Boston College at Pittsburgh - Panthers by 10
Creighton at DePaul - Blue Demons by 3
Florida at Missouri - Gators by 8
Texas A&M at (18) Arkansas - Razorbacks by 8
UNLV at Utah State - Aggies by 1
Bristol at CS Bakersfield - Roadrunners by 28
New Mexico at Boise State - Broncos by 12
Projected correct: 16/23

Prediction Results

NBA: 4-4 (.500) 562-263 overall (.681)
Upsets: 1-1 (.500) 53-69 overall (.435)
College Basketball: 15-4 (.790) 3711-1270 overall (.745)
Upsets: 1-1 (.500) 318-331 overall (.490)
Pick of the Day: 97-2

Pick of the Day

Toledo

There are 7 teams still in contention for the top seed in the MAC, and the projected winner seems to change every night. Of those 7, the only one playing a non-contender at home tonight is the Rockets, which makes them the safest choice tonight.

Monday, February 23, 2015

College Basketball Rankings - 23 Feb

There is a new team in the top 5 this week, with Arizona moving in and replacing Gonzaga, which is appropriate since the Wildcats are the only team to beat the Bulldogs so far this season. Arizona has 3 losses, tied for the most in the top 5, and all 3 came on the road, were by fewer than 5 points, and were to possible bubble teams. Luckily, they have beaten everybody else in their path, including Utah and San Diego State. Here are this week's full rankings, with bold teams projected as conference champs, italics showing at-large teams, and underlines showing teams whose in/out status changed this week:





Record
ProjRec
SOS
TW
LW
Team
Rating
W
L
W
L
Curr
All
1
1
Kentucky
-26.8549
27
0
31
0
23
40
2
2
Wisconsin
-22.8914
25
2
28
3
37
13
3
3
Duke
-22.3972
24
3
27
4
5
8
4
4
Virginia
-21.5661
25
1
28
2
9
17
5
6
Arizona
-21.0638
24
3
27
4
52
56
6
5
Gonzaga
-20.9325
28
1
30
1
102
103
7
8
Ohio State
-20.4696
19
8
22
9
59
58
8
7
Utah
-20.2958
21
5
24
6
78
72
9
9
Villanova
-20.0676
25
2
28
3
27
31
10
10
North Carolina
-19.9675
19
8
22
9
2
2
11
11
Oklahoma
-17.7284
19
8
21
9
4
5
12
13
Kansas
-17.5665
22
5
24
7
1
1
13
12
Louisville
-17.1944
21
6
24
7
29
25
14
16
Iowa State
-17.1069
20
6
23
7
36
16
15
14
Notre Dame
-17.0984
24
4
26
5
72
80
16
18
Michigan State
-16.3268
19
8
21
10
50
22
17
17
Baylor
-16.0775
20
7
22
9
16
30
18
15
Butler
-15.7302
19
8
22
9
17
19
19
19
Wichita State
-15.507
25
3
27
3
126
110
20
22
West Virginia
-14.9932
21
6
23
8
19
11
21
20
Georgetown
-14.9523
18
8
20
9
3
3
22
21
Texas
-14.7846
17
10
19
12
39
20
23
25
Xavier
-14.1459
18
10
20
11
21
18
24
31
Iowa
-13.9647
17
10
20
11
13
24
25
23
Virginia Commonwealth
-13.5528
21
6
24
7
28
57
26
24
Minnesota
-13.076
16
12
17
14
69
60
27
27
BYU
-12.9994
21
8
22
9
122
85
28
26
Arkansas
-12.8595
22
5
24
7
77
70
29
32
Northern Iowa
-12.5851
26
2
27
3
105
101
30
33
Indiana
-12.5244
19
9
21
10
40
48
31
29
Florida
-12.4432
13
14
15
16
7
10
32
28
Illinois
-12.4322
17
10
19
12
41
49
33
30
Maryland
-12.4024
22
5
24
7
18
41
34
35
Purdue
-12.3809
18
9
20
11
44
34
35
41
Providence
-12.188
19
8
21
10
10
7
36
36
North Carolina State
-12.0094
16
11
18
13
15
26
37
39
Davidson
-11.7625
19
6
22
7
113
94
38
34
Oklahoma State
-11.6687
17
10
19
11
31
32
39
38
Ole Miss
-11.5603
19
8
21
10
43
50
40
37
Georgia
-11.4275
17
9
19
11
11
15
41
42
Miami (FL)
-11.3138
17
10
19
12
33
36
42
40
Stanford
-11.3117
17
9
19
11
42
47
43
53
Vanderbilt
-10.5814
15
12
17
14
74
75
44
44
SMU
-10.57
22
5
24
6
150
124
45
46
San Diego State
-10.4044
22
6
24
7
106
128
46
51
Texas A&M
-10.2656
19
7
21
9
57
61
47
49
LSU
-10.1557
19
8
21
10
75
68
48
48
Syracuse
-10.132
17
10
18
13
67
35
49
50
TCU
-10.0785
16
11
18
13
99
76
50
59
Buffalo
-9.94786
18
9
21
10
73
86
51
45
St. John's
-9.93611
18
9
20
11
58
43
52
54
Boise State
-9.69417
20
7
23
8
179
193
53
43
Dayton
-9.54051
20
6
22
8
88
91
54
47
Arizona State
-9.4719
15
12
17
14
46
54
55
55
UCLA
-9.46185
16
12
19
12
24
42
56
64
Rhode Island
-9.2352
19
6
21
8
146
118
57
56
Sam Houston State
-9.22008
22
5
25
6
348
349
58
71
Georgia State
-9.06854
19
8
22
9
182
205
59
66
Murray State
-8.9203
24
4
25
5
281
281
60
58
Stephen F Austin
-8.91346
22
4
26
5
331
328
61
57
South Carolina
-8.91165
13
13
15
15
38
46
62
60
Cincinnati
-8.66669
18
9
21
10
85
90
63
63
Colorado State
-8.56622
23
5
25
6
154
186
64
70
Richmond
-8.54034
15
12
18
13
66
74
65
62
Central Michigan
-8.39603
20
5
22
7
328
296
66
52
Seton Hall
-8.36009
15
12
16
14
30
21
67
67
Eastern Kentucky
-8.19717
16
10
19
10
221
243
68
68
North Carolina Central
-8.19308
21
6
24
6
335
348
69
72
Toledo
-8.15393
18
9
21
10
97
93
70
79
Oregon
-8.12389
20
8
21
10
91
82
71
65
George Washington
-7.99453
17
10
19
12
80
77
72
75
Alabama
-7.97688
16
11
18
13
61
62
73
61
Yale
-7.9182
19
8
22
9
118
129
74
74
Illinois State
-7.72
17
11
18
12
107
114
75
84
Pittsburgh
-7.71036
18
10
20
12
63
59
76
69
Iona
-7.70797
23
6
24
7
142
153
77
73
William & Mary
-7.67674
17
10
19
10
192
172
78
89
Old Dominion
-7.53145
20
6
23
7
153
199
79
77
Hofstra
-7.25979
18
11
19
12
183
200
80
76
Valparaiso
-7.20067
25
4
26
5
307
288
81
78
Connecticut
-7.0459
15
11
17
13
76
84
82
80
Georgia Tech
-7.00193
12
15
13
17
6
6
83
93
Wofford
-6.915
23
6
24
7
132
145
84
81
Harvard
-6.89357
19
5
21
7
166
171
85
88
Green Bay
-6.88202
21
7
23
7
206
218
86
94
Michigan
-6.84022
14
13
15
15
32
45
87
90
Memphis
-6.77289
17
10
19
12
124
104
88
96
Saint Mary's
-6.74533
20
7
21
8
127
107
89
87
Louisiana Tech
-6.6441
21
7
24
7
264
251
90
91
Marquette
-6.49306
11
15
13
17
12
14
91
92
Clemson
-6.48706
15
12
16
14
60
44
92
82
Temple
-6.47014
19
9
21
10
89
89
93
83
Kansas State
-6.41862
13
15
14
17
14
4
94
95
UTEP
-6.2486
19
7
22
8
163
201
95
86
Colorado
-6.23984
12
14
14
16
56
53
96
85
Penn State
-6.22169
15
13
16
15
49
38
97
98
Wake Forest
-6.20903
12
15
13
18
22
12
98
100
South Dakota State
-6.01715
21
8
22
8
278
283
99
112
Northwestern
-5.92799
13
14
14
17
34
33
100
97
La Salle
-5.83615
15
12
17
14
47
69
101
102
UNLV
-5.69632
15
12
18
13
92
97
102
103
Tennessee
-5.62765
14
12
15
15
48
29
103
99
Nebraska
-5.3185
13
14
14
16
35
27
104
106
Oregon State
-5.25034
17
10
18
12
117
92
105
101
Vermont
-5.22592
16
11
17
12
284
268
106
104
Washington
-5.21272
15
11
17
13
81
78
107
113
Florida State
-5.13617
15
13
16
15
62
51
108
105
UC Irvine
-5.02497
16
10
18
12
164
182
109
108
Massachusetts
-4.95885
16
11
18
13
55
66
110
109
Creighton
-4.94614
12
15
13
18
45
39
111
119
Coastal Carolina
-4.73909
20
8
21
9
344
335
112
118
New Mexico State
-4.73802
19
10
21
10
301
317
113
110
Cleveland State
-4.54848
17
12
18
12
210
175
114
117
Northeastern
-4.51098
19
10
20
11
109
121
115
111
Evansville
-4.44086
19
9
20
10
234
185
116
138
Columbia
-4.31791
13
11
15
13
193
150
117
123
Tulsa
-4.26081
19
7
21
9
138
119
118
116
St. Bonaventure
-4.20809
14
11
16
13
87
102
119
125
Chattanooga
-4.13514
20
9
21
10
228
232
120
140
San Francisco
-4.0906
12
16
13
17
108
112
121
128
UC Santa Barbara
-4.07883
14
12
16
14
159
149
122
135
UC Davis
-3.71752
21
4
23
6
316
282
123
130
Charlotte
-3.70247
12
15
15
16
82
116
124
127
South Carolina Upstate
-3.64964
20
9
21
10
350
350
125
121
Pepperdine
-3.64306
16
12
17
12
94
120
126
132
Stony Brook
-3.55019
19
10
20
11
222
244
127
115
Akron
-3.48114
17
10
19
12
220
204
128
126
Tennessee-Martin
-3.46647
17
10
18
11
242
221
129
120
Albany
-3.42669
19
8
20
9
186
208
130
122
Boston College
-3.40823
9
17
11
19
26
37
131
129
Eastern Michigan
-3.39395
17
10
19
12
318
270
132
107
Bowling Green
-3.38381
17
8
19
10
205
183
133
136
San Diego
-3.37182
14
14
14
16
129
88
134
133
Eastern Washington
-3.34388
20
7
23
8
299
304
135
149
UL Lafayette
-3.32972
16
12
18
13
321
314
136
131
Portland
-3.205
16
12
17
13
178
143
137
114
Georgia Southern
-3.18991
19
6
21
8
343
331
138
139
California
-3.0821
16
11
17
14
79
67
139
134
DePaul
-2.87273
12
16
13
18
25
28
140
142
High Point
-2.87212
21
7
22
8
273
265
141
124
New Mexico
-2.84168
14
13
15
15
152
130
142
145
Canisius
-2.83143
15
12
17
12
139
165
143
144
Kent State
-2.77976
19
8
21
10
188
158
144
148
North Florida
-2.76248
18
11
19
12
285
303
145
137
Long Beach State
-2.73327
13
15
16
16
53
81
146
143
Morehead State
-2.55389
12
16
14
17
175
209
147
141
Western Kentucky
-2.55095
16
10
18
12
261
227
148
150
New Hampshire
-2.4706
17
10
18
11
305
309
149
151
Wyoming
-2.45132
21
6
23
8
320
295
150
147
Mercer
-2.36571
16
13
17
14
246
217
151
146
UNC Wilmington
-2.15219
17
10
18
11
110
117
152
159
Belmont
-2.02862
18
10
19
10
196
203
153
153
East Tennessee State
-1.9983
17
11
18
12
189
212
154
152
Cornell
-1.99798
12
14
14
16
176
139
155
156
St. Francis (NY)
-1.85897
20
9
21
10
283
285
156
154
Western Michigan
-1.85458
16
11
18
13
169
148
157
181
Charleston Southern
-1.84729
18
9
19
10
302
305
158
161
Cal Poly
-1.83755
13
12
14
14
185
151
159
160
Utah State
-1.74806
16
10
18
12
195
192
160
158
Radford
-1.73598
20
9
21
10
308
306
161
179
Winthrop
-1.73128
16
11
18
11
325
325
162
175
Oakland
-1.56303
15
14
16
15
93
108
163
169
Texas Tech
-1.54562
12
16
12
19
65
55
164
155
Auburn
-1.49612
12
15
13
18
71
65
165
163
Colgate
-1.33053
13
16
14
17
128
141
166
157
Rider
-1.26775
19
10
20
11
144
181
167
166
Hawaii
-1.13724
18
11
20
12
310
274
168
177
Norfolk State
-1.0527
17
11
19
12
274
284
169
165
Virginia Tech
-0.96063
10
17
11
20
70
63
170
162
Quinnipiac
-0.94965
14
13
15
14
225
219
171
182
Monmouth
-0.88611
16
13
17
14
171
179
172
170
UL Monroe
-0.86686
18
9
20
11
319
310
173
173
USC
-0.8615
10
17
11
19
64
64
174
168
Florida Gulf Coast
-0.81435
21
7
22
8
300
322
175
164
UT Arlington
-0.80023
15
11
17
13
157
180
176
183
Mississippi State
-0.62073
12
15
13
18
125
87
177
180
Montana
-0.57431
16
10
17
12
288
289
178
185
Princeton
-0.55126
12
13
14
16
257
190
179
174
Loyola (IL)
-0.49835
16
12
17
13
199
176
180
176
Lehigh
-0.42736
15
12
16
13
184
138
181
186
UAB
-0.28771
15
13
17
14
141
173
182
172
American
-0.14711
14
14
15
15
103
132
183
188
VMI
-0.13839
11
16
12
17
212
206
184
190
Lafayette
-0.07225
16
11
17
12
191
207
185
171
Dartmouth
-0.03741
10
14
12
16
104
123
186
192
Manhattan
0.024683
14
12
15
14
187
154
187
194
Indiana State
0.056313
14
14
15
15
133
127
188
184
James Madison
0.058058
18
11
19
12
115
83
189
187
Saint Joseph's
0.110846
11
15
12
18
86
79
190
208
Middle Tennessee
0.205605
15
13
16
15
207
202
191
191
NJIT
0.277163
16
11
17
12
250
311
192
207
IPFW
0.314142
15
12
17
12
303
318
193
178
Saint Peter's
0.322247
13
16
14
17
165
161
194
197
Detroit
0.32841
13
17
13
18
197
155
195
189
Samford
0.340608
12
17
13
18
239
235
196
195
Bucknell
0.356547
17
12
18
13
162
163
197
167
Rutgers
0.441778
10
18
10
21
8
9
198
201
SIU-Edwardsville
0.691827
12
14
13
14
272
276
199
203
Northern Arizona
0.697086
15
12
17
14
208
224
200
210
Maryland-Eastern Shore
0.740596
16
13
17
14
177
211
201
200
Washington State
0.795476
11
15
12
18
51
52
202
209
Northern Illinois
0.991114
10
15
11
18
180
135
203
196
Oral Roberts
1.004617
15
13
16
14
256
247
204
204
Missouri
1.022641
7
20
8
23
20
23
205
193
Tulane
1.037184
14
12
16
14
247
226
206
213
Boston University
1.084183
12
15
13
16
174
177
207
218
Robert Morris
1.187598
14
14
15
15
148
178
208
198
Incarnate Word
1.189996
16
7
19
9
349
345
209
206
Tennessee Tech
1.291728
12
16
12
18
271
228
210
217
Eastern Illinois
1.345955
16
12
16
13
203
195
211
211
Western Carolina
1.425938
13
15
14
16
156
157
212
219
Towson
1.484847
12
17
13
18
198
191
213
214
Sacramento State
1.490263
18
8
19
10
304
307
214
202
St. Francis (PA)
1.502702
14
13
15
14
230
233
215
227
Mount St. Mary's
1.536136
14
13
15
14
112
162
216
199
UNC Asheville
1.591676
13
14
14
15
297
302
217
224
Air Force
1.676195
12
14
14
15
295
272
218
230
Duquesne
1.699159
9
16
11
18
143
115
219
223
North Dakota State
1.725001
20
8
20
9
315
315
220
222
Idaho
1.752586
11
14
13
16
296
294
221
215
Texas State
1.854989
11
14
13
16
324
298
222
229
Elon
1.954459
12
17
13
18
229
167
223
221
Texas Southern
1.997405
15
12
18
13
101
241
224
205
George Mason
2.067862
8
18
9
21
68
71
225
226
Ball State
2.104294
7
18
9
20
149
125
226
216
Bryant
2.129784
13
14
14
15
137
184
227
228
Southeast Missouri State
2.133839
12
16
13
16
262
256
228
220
Gardner-Webb
2.172849
17
12
18
13
275
280
229
212
Southern Illinois
2.376455
10
19
11
20
202
170
230
233
Fresno State
2.3967
12
15
13
18
233
187
231
257
Miami (OH)
2.566227
11
16
13
18
181
137
232
225
Northern Kentucky
2.585827
11
16
12
17
266
261
233
245
Fordham
2.589256
8
17
9
20
111
96
234
236
East Carolina
2.609153
12
15
14
17
231
215
235
232
Denver
2.727543
11
16
12
17
236
240
236
242
UC Riverside
2.756083
14
13
15
15
223
213
237
244
UT San Antonio
2.780417
13
12
15
14
314
301
238
240
Army
2.796166
15
12
16
13
290
257
239
243
South Dakota
2.888292
15
14
16
15
240
277
240
249
Santa Clara
2.905774
12
16
13
17
100
106
241
241
Bradley
3.098918
8
21
9
22
172
134
242
235
Holy Cross
3.099562
11
15
12
16
215
197
243
238
Northern Colorado
3.178718
12
14
14
15
330
324
244
237
Sacred Heart
3.210984
13
16
14
17
235
271
245
251
College of Charleston
3.272677
8
21
9
22
95
99
246
246
Howard
3.401529
14
13
16
15
327
319
247
256
Portland State
3.419986
14
11
15
13
279
287
248
239
Ohio
3.495009
9
16
10
19
116
111
249
231
Loyola Marymount
3.551114
8
21
8
22
54
73
250
248
Wright State
3.55512
11
17
12
18
167
164
251
247
CSU Bakersfield
3.574758
12
16
14
17
333
346
252
234
Missouri State
3.689291
10
18
11
19
114
133
253
252
Northwestern State
3.752811
14
11
16
13
332
334
254
260
Saint Louis
3.821398
11
16
12
19
135
109
255
278
UNC Greensboro
4.055877
9
20
10
21
267
248
256
258
Houston
4.090739
9
17
11
19
216
220
257
264
Pacific
4.137359
11
17
11
19
173
136
258
263
Weber State
4.205356
10
16
12
17
263
273
259
254
Hartford
4.242356
13
14
14
15
241
254
260
261
Texas A&M-CC
4.458105
14
12
16
14
317
323
261
253
Brown
4.472163
12
15
13
18
194
198
262
269
Drexel
4.499814
10
17
11
18
151
98
263
277
Arkansas-Little Rock
4.634892
12
15
13
17
287
262
264
262
Delaware State
4.647871
13
14
15
16
238
267
265
282
Milwaukee
4.689195
12
16
13
17
123
159
266
276
Navy
4.758629
11
17
12
18
201
210
267
250
LIU Brooklyn
4.827522
12
15
13
16
213
223
268
290
North Texas
4.864054
13
13
14
16
293
255
269
271
Lamar
4.938515
14
12
15
15
342
327
270
267
North Dakota
4.951076
9
17
11
19
204
236
271
296
Drake
5.063028
9
19
10
20
83
95
272
266
Siena
5.09461
10
17
10
19
158
144
273
265
Southeastern Louisiana
5.156096
10
17
13
19
168
252
274
259
Florida International
5.280405
13
14
15
16
245
264
275
275
UMKC
5.291456
11
17
13
18
277
297
276
295
Seattle
5.331917
13
13
14
14
341
342
277
281
Southern
5.411086
14
14
16
16
337
344
278
272
Youngstown State
5.458717
11
18
12
19
258
258
279
279
Alabama State
5.462219
15
7
18
9
351
351
280
255
Campbell
5.482445
9
20
10
21
276
266
281
280
IUPUI
5.520765
9
19
10
20
90
122
282
268
Grand Canyon
5.632029
16
12
18
13
339
340
283
286
Delaware
5.641621
8
19
9
20
84
100
284
291
Wagner
5.663391
10
17
10
19
244
237
285
274
UMass Lowell
5.70094
12
16
12
17
120
169
286
297
UCF
5.809018
12
14
13
16
209
188
287
283
Omaha
5.854657
9
17
10
19
298
292
288
288
Fairfield
5.854902
7
21
8
22
131
146
289
301
Rice
5.866534
10
16
11
19
294
238
290
284
South Florida
5.935366
8
20
9
22
96
131
291
305
Hampton
5.953572
11
15
12
17
280
263
292
289
Houston Baptist
6.030404
11
12
13
15
347
337
293
270
Florida Atlantic
6.053991
8
17
9
20
237
260
294
294
Pennsylvania
6.06909
7
16
9
19
119
105
295
287
Arkansas State
6.08712
10
15
12
17
218
242
296
300
CS Northridge
6.096157
7
22
8
24
121
152
297
298
The Citadel
6.196476
10
17
11
18
269
259
298
285
CS Fullerton
6.356527
9
18
10
21
260
234
299
273
Furman
6.363629
7
20
8
21
147
166
300
304
Troy
6.381556
10
16
11
18
334
299
301
302
South Alabama
6.501197
9
19
10
21
265
246
302
306
Loyola (MD)
6.64275
11
16
12
17
136
142
303
312
Prairie View
6.796439
10
16
13
18
224
321
304
292
Nevada
6.870386
8
18
9
21
254
216
305
309
Southern Utah
7.288968
8
17
10
19
253
269
306
293
UIC
7.300489
7
22
8
23
134
189
307
307
Fairleigh Dickinson
7.327843
7
20
8
21
217
222
308
299
Appalachian State
7.390734
9
16
11
18
145
140
309
310
McNeese State
7.397774
10
15
13
16
313
341
310
308
Longwood
7.773749
8
21
9
22
227
250
311
316
Marist
7.850753
5
22
6
24
161
147
312
321
Niagara
7.869314
6
21
7
22
130
126
313
314
Utah Valley
7.943797
10
16
11
18
289
308
314
317
Jackson State
7.950156
9
18
12
19
270
333
315
303
Marshall
8.013997
9
18
10
21
259
229
316
311
Jacksonville State
8.019717
12
17
12
19
252
239
317
313
Lipscomb
8.055762
12
15
13
16
312
312
318
318
New Orleans
8.390723
7
15
10
17
323
332
319
319
Idaho State
8.835024
6
21
7
23
311
293
320
322
Bethune-Cookman
8.890519
10
17
12
19
340
343
321
323
Montana State
8.920604
7
21
8
23
200
196
322
320
South Carolina State
8.924107
10
18
12
19
255
286
323
315
Austin Peay
8.945138
7
20
8
22
226
168
324
325
Tennessee State
9.784294
5
23
6
25
170
160
325
328
Abilene Christian
10.01756
9
17
11
20
345
326
326
324
Morgan State
10.2917
7
20
8
22
190
214
327
327
Liberty
10.56382
7
22
8
23
336
336
328
335
Binghamton
10.60053
5
25
6
25
219
231
329
326
Western Illinois
10.62201
8
17
8
19
291
278
330
330
Coppin State
10.76142
6
21
7
22
140
156
331
329
Southern Miss
10.79622
7
19
8
21
282
230
332
331
Presbyterian
10.99092
9
20
9
22
306
279
333
333
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
11.16615
9
19
11
21
251
316
334
336
UMBC
11.18797
4
23
5
24
155
194
335
332
North Carolina A&T
11.47892
6
21
8
23
268
300
336
334
Chicago State
11.83804
6
22
7
24
243
249
337
339
Kennesaw State
12.12779
10
19
11
20
286
290
338
337
Alabama A&M
12.39736
7
16
9
19
329
338
339
343
Central Connecticut State
13.14454
5
24
5
26
211
225
340
338
Stetson
13.19434
8
20
9
21
338
339
341
345
Nicholls State
13.27909
7
16
9
19
322
320
342
342
Jacksonville
13.29554
9
20
10
21
326
330
343
340
UT Pan American
13.37341
8
20
9
21
309
313
344
341
Savannah State
13.41991
6
19
8
22
160
253
345
344
Maine
13.86169
3
24
3
26
98
113
346
346
San Jose State
17.37074
2
24
2
28
214
174
347
347
Alcorn State
17.59248
5
21
6
24
346
347
348
348
Mississippi Valley State
19.13006
5
23
6
25
232
291
349
349
Central Arkansas
20.10307
1
23
2
27
248
245
350
350
Florida A&M
20.9903
1
25
2
27
249
275
351
351
Grambling State
26.0224
2
22
3
25
292
329

Northern Iowa is the most overrated team in the nation right now, reaching #10 in the AP poll thanks to their 26-2 record and their win over Wichita State, but that and their win over Iowa are the only good wins they have so far. They have played the weakest schedule of anybody in the top 10, including Gonzaga, and are winning by an average of 11 points per game, compared with 19 for the Bulldogs. The Selection Committee can't look at those numbers, but it doesn't mean we can't.

San Diego State reached the AP top 25 this week, but it was largely on reputation, since the Aztecs' two best wins of the season both came before Thanksgiving, when they beat Utah and BYU. Since then, they have more losses to non-tourney teams that wins against them, so it makes no sense to have them ranked so high. If they were not looking like the probable Mountain West champs, they would be one of the last teams to get picked to play on in March.