Wednesday, February 28, 2018

Basketball Predictions - 1 Mar

Upset picks are in italics.
Pick of the Day in bold.

LA Lakers at Miami - Heat by 4
Philadelphia at Cleveland - 76ers by 0.5
Brooklyn at Sacramento - Nets by 0.5
Minnesota at Portland - Trail Blazers by 0.5

Wisconsin vs. Maryland - Terrapins by 3.5
Longwood vs. Radford - Highlanders by 13
Iowa vs. (15) Michigan - Wolverines by 8.5
Gardner-Webb vs. Winthrop - Eagles by 7
Saint Peter's vs. Monmouth - Hawks by 4
Northwestern vs. Penn State - Nittany Lions by 5.5
(11) Wichita State at UCF - Shockers by 4
Tulsa at East Carolina - Golden Hurricane by 6.5
Florida Atlantic at Old Dominion - Monarchs by 17.5
Northern Iowa vs. Evansville - Panthers by 0.5
Quinnipiac at Siena - Saints by 5
Charleston Southern at UNC Asheville - Bulldogs by 8
North Florida at Florida Gulf Coast - Eagles by 14.5
Holy Cross at Navy - Midshipmen by 10
Boston U at Lehigh - Mountain Hawks by 6.5
Loyola (MD) at Bucknell - Bison by 20
Lafayette at Colgate - Raiders by 9.5
Troy at Georgia State - Panthers by 10.5
South Alabama at Georgia Southern - Eagles by 10
FIU at Charlotte - 49ers by 0.5
Howard at Coppin State - Eagles by 2.5
Morgan State at Delaware State - Bears by 4
North Carolina A&T at North Carolina Central - Eagles by 3.5
Savannah State at South Carolina State - Bulldogs by 1
Tennessee Tech vs. Jacksonville State - Gamecocks by 4.5
(1) Virginia at Louisville - Cavaliers by 3.5
Western Kentucky at (24) Middle Tennessee - Blue Raiders by 7
NC State at Georgia Tech - Wolfpack by 2.5
Little Rock at UL Monroe - Warhawks by 11.5
UTEP at Rice - Owls by 2.5
UTSA at North Texas - Mean Green by 3.5
Marshall at UAB - Blazers by 5.5
Bethune-Cookman at Florida A&M - Wildcats by 1.5
Hampton at Norfolk State - Spartans by 1
Prairie View A&M at Alcorn State - Braves by 1
Jacksonville at Lipscomb - Bisons by 13.5
Arkansas State at Louisiana - Ragin Cajuns by 23
Grambling at Alabama A&M - Tigers by 5.5
Jackson State at Alabama State - Hornets by 4.5
Texas Southern at Southern - Jaguars by 2
Rutgers vs. Indiana - Hoosiers by 5.5
(10) Cincinnati at Tulane - Bearcats by 9.5
South Florida at Memphis - Tigers by 15.5
Oregon at Washington State - Ducks by 4
California at Arizona State - Sun Devils by 22
Weber State at Montana - Grizzlies by 8.5
Marist vs. Fairfield - Stags by 6
Liberty vs. Campbell - Flames by 2
Southern Utah at Eastern Washington - Eagles by 14.5
Idaho State at Montana State - Bobcats by 5
Eastern Illinois vs. Austin Peay - Governors by 3.5
Valparaiso vs. Missouri State - Bears by 1.5
Stanford at (19) Arizona - Wildcats by 13
Northern Arizona at Idaho - Vandals by 20.5
Cal Poly at UC Riverside - Highlanders by 8.5
Hawaii at UC Davis - Aggies by 11.5
North Dakota at Sacramento State - Hornets by 4.5
Oregon State at Washington - Huskies by 6
Northern Colorado at Portland State - Vikings by 5
Long Beach State at UC Santa Barbara - Gauchos by 11.5

Results

NBA: 6-3 (.667) 591-329 overall (.642)
Upsets: 55-70 overall (.440)
NCAA: 24-11 (.686) 4075-1321 overall (.755)
Upsets: 4-1 (.800) 389-341 overall (.533)
Pick of the Day: 104-5

Tuesday, February 27, 2018

Basketball Predictions - 28 Feb

Upset picks are in italics.
Pick of the Day in bold.

Milwaukee at Detroit - Pistons by 1
Toronto at Orlando - Raptors by 9.5
Indiana at Atlanta - Pacers by 3.5
Charlotte at Boston - Celtics by 4.5
Golden State at Washington - Warriors by 4
Phoenix at Memphis - Grizzlies by 5.5
Oklahoma City at Dallas - Thunder by 2
New Orleans at San Antonio - Spurs by 4
Houston at LA Clippers - Rockets by 5

Illinois vs. Iowa - Illini by 0.5
Providence at (3) Xavier - Musketeers by 13.5
LSU at South Carolina - Gamecocks by 3.5
Ole Miss at (23) Kentucky - Wildcats by 13
Pittsburgh at Notre Dame - Irish by 18.5
Temple at Connecticut - Owls by 1.5
Dayton at La Salle - Explorers by 5
Saint Louis at Duquesne - Dukes by 2.5
Fordham at George Washington - Colonials by 9
George Mason at VCU - Rams by 9
Massachusetts at Richmond - Spiders by 5.5
St. Francis (BKN) at LIU Brooklyn - Blackbirds by 7.5
Fairleigh Dickinson at St. Francis (PA) - Red Flash by 11.5
Robert Morris at Mt. St. Mary's - Mountaineers by 6.5
Central Connecticut at Wagner - Seahawks by 14
Nicholls at Northwestern State - Colonels by 12.5
SIU Edwardsville vs. Tennessee Tech - Golden Eagles by 6
Rutgers vs. Minnesota - Gophers by 3
Abilene Christian at Stephen F Austin - Lumberjacks by 13.5
Sam Houston State at Central Arkansas - Bears by 6.5
Houston Baptist at Incarnate Word - Cardinals by 2.5
SE Louisiana at New Orleans - Privateers by 2
McNeese at Texas A&M-CC - Islanders by 3
(4) Villanova at Seton Hall - Wildcats by 4.5
Texas A&M at Georgia - Bulldogs by 1.5
Florida State at (18) Clemson - Tigers by 8
(25) Houston at SMU - Cougars by 1
Syracuse at Boston College - Golden Eagles by 2.5
Butler at St. John's - Bulldogs by 1
Air Force at Wyoming - Cowboys by 12.5
New Mexico at Colorado State - Lobos by 2
Eastern Illinois vs. Tennessee State - Tigers by 2.5
Utah State at San Jose State - Aggies by 3.5
CS Fullerton at CSU Northridge - Titans by 4.5
(21) Nevada at UNLV - Wolf Pack by 1.5

Results

NBA: 3-3 (.500) 585-326 overall (.642)
Upsets: 55-70 overall (.440)
NCAA: 16-10 (.615) 4051-1310 overall (.756)
Upsets: 3-3 (.500) 385-340 overall (.531)
Pick of the Day: 103-5

NCAA Bracket Prediction - 27 Feb

NC State and Providence enter the bracket today, the Wolfpack for the first time this season, and the Friars continuing to jump back and forth across the bubble. The 1 and 2 seeds remained the same, with Gonzaga climbing up to a 3-seed, their highest of the season. Here is my full current bracket prediction, with projected conference champs in bold, new teams in italics, climbing teams in green, and falling teams in red:


EAST


SOUTH
1
Villanova

1
Virginia
16
FL Gulf Coast/Bethune-Cookman

16
Nicholls/Arkansas-Pine Bluff
8
Miami

8
Florida
9
Texas A&M

9
Middle Tennessee
5
West Virginia

5
Michigan
12
Loyola-Chicago

12
Vermont
4
Ohio State

4
Texas Tech
13
Murray State

13
New Mexico State
6
Creighton

6
Arizona
11
Kansas State

11
Texas/Missouri
3
Auburn

3
Cincinnati
14
Montana

14
Charleston
7
Saint Mary’s

7
Nevada
10
NC State

10
Louisville
2
Purdue

2
Xavier
15
UC Santa Barbara

15
Northern Kentucky

WEST


MIDWEST
1
Duke

1
Michigan State
16
UNC Asheville

16
Wagner
8
Arkansas

8
Virginia Tech
9
USC

9
Oklahoma
5
TCU

5
Kentucky
12
Alabama/Providence

12
Louisiana
4
Clemson

4
Wichita State
13
South Dakota State

13
Buffalo
6
Houston

6
Rhode Island
11
St. Bonaventure

11
Arizona State
3
Tennessee

3
Gonzaga
14
Bucknell

14
UNC Greensboro
7
Seton Hall

7
Butler
10
Florida State

10
Baylor
2
Kansas

2
North Carolina
15
Penn

15
Canisius

Last Four Byes

Arizona State
NC State
Baylor
Kansas State

Last Four In

Texas
Alabama
Missouri
Providence

First Four Out

Syracuse
Boise State
Mississippi State
Penn State

Next Four Out

Maryland
Notre Dame
Nebraska
Marquette

Teams by Conference

ACC - 9
Big 12 - 8
SEC - 8
Big East - 6
Big 10 - 4
American - 3
Pac 12 - 3
Atlantic 10 - 2
West Coast - 2

NCAA Tournament Watch - 27 Feb

With less than 2 weeks to go until Selection Sunday, 10 more teams locked in their spots in March Madness this week, bringing the number up to 23, 9 of which are looking likely to win conference titles, leaving 22 open spots with 12 days left to go. Below you will find the teams that are still alive broken down by conference, with good record including games against others on this page, and bad losses coming against teams not on this page. Teams in bold saw their odds increase this week, while teams in italics fell:

American

Definitely In

Cincinnati (25-4) - Good: 5-4, Bad Losses: 0
Wichita State (23-5) - Good: 5-4, Bad Losses: 1
Houston (22-6) - Good: 6-2, Bad Losses: 4

Still a Chance

Temple (16-12) - Good: 3-6, Bad Losses: 3

Atlantic 10

Definitely In

Rhode Island (23-4) - Good: 3-4, Bad Losses: 0

Should Be In

St. Bonaventure (22-6) - Good: 4-2, Bad Losses: 4

ACC

Definitely In

Virginia (26-2) - Good: 11-2, Bad Losses: 0
Duke (24-6) - Good: 10-4, Bad Losses: 2
North Carolina (22-7) - Good: 11-6, Bad Losses: 1
Clemson (21-7) - Good: 8-7, Bad Losses: 0

Probably In

Virginia Tech (21-9) - Good: 6-8, Bad Losses: 1
Miami (20-8) - Good: 6-6, Bad Losses: 2

Should Be In

NC State (20-9) - Good: 8-7, Bad Losses: 2
Louisville (19-10) - Good: 4-10, Bad Losses: 0
Florida State (19-9) - Good: 7-6, Bad Losses: 3

Good Chance

Notre Dame (17-12) - Good: 4-9, Bad Losses: 3
Syracuse (18-11) - Good: 4-9, Bad Losses: 2

Big 12

Definitely In

Kansas (24-6) - Good: 15-5, Bad Losses: 1
West Virginia (22-8) - Good: 11-6, Bad Losses: 2
Texas Tech (22-8) - Good: 9-6, Bad Losses: 2
TCU (20-9) - Good: 6-8, Bad Losses: 1

Probably In

Oklahoma (17-11) - Good: 8-9, Bad Losses: 2

Should Be In

Kansas State (20-9) - Good: 5-8, Bad Losses: 1

Good Chance

Baylor (17-12) - Good: 5-11, Bad Losses: 1
Texas (17-13) - Good: 6-12, Bad Losses: 1

Big East

Definitely In

Xavier (25-4) - Good: 10-4, Bad Losses: 0
Villanova (25-4) - Good: 12-3, Bad Losses: 1

Probably In

Creighton (20-9) - Good: 6-9, Bad Losses: 0
Seton Hall (20-9) - Good: 6-7, Bad Losses: 2
Butler (19-10) - Good: 7-9, Bad Losses: 1

Good Chance

Providence (18-11) - Good: 5-8, Bad Losses: 3

Still a Chance

Marquette (17-12) - Good: 5-9, Bad Losses: 3

Big Ten

Definitely In

Michigan State (28-3) - Good: 7-3, Bad Losses: 0
Purdue (26-5) - Good: 10-4, Bad Losses: 1
Ohio State (24-7) - Good: 5-7, Bad Losses: 0
Michigan (24-7) - Good: 7-5, Bad Losses: 2

Good Chance

Nebraska (22-9) - Good: 3-6, Bad Losses: 3
Penn State (19-12) - Good: 4-7, Bad Losses: 5
Maryland (19-12) - Good: 2-11, Bad Losses: 1

Conference USA

Probably In

Middle Tennessee (23-5) - Good: 1-3, Bad Losses: 2

Still a Chance

Western Kentucky (22-7) - Good: 1-2, Bad Losses: 5

Mountain West

Probably In

Nevada (25-5) - Good: 3-2, Bad Losses: 3

Good Chance

Boise State (22-6) - Good: 1-2, Bad Losses: 4

Pac 12

Definitely In

Arizona (22-7) - Good: 7-3, Bad Losses: 4

Should Be In

USC (21-9) - Good: 4-5, Bad Losses: 4

Good Chance

Arizona State (19-9) - Good: 6-3, Bad Losses: 6

Still a Chance

Utah (18-10) - Good: 3-7, Bad Losses: 3
UCLA (19-10) - Good: 4-5, Bad Losses: 5

Goodbye

Washington

SEC

Definitely In

Auburn (24-5) - Good: 7-4, Bad Losses: 1
Tennessee (21-7) - Good: 6-6, Bad Losses: 1
Kentucky (20-9) - Good: 9-8, Bad Losses: 1

Probably In

Arkansas (20-9) - Good: 5-7, Bad Losses: 2
Texas A&M (18-11) - Good: 7-9, Bad Losses: 2

Should Be In

Florida (18-11) - Good: 9-6, Bad Losses: 5

Good Chance

Mississippi State (21-8) - Good: 4-6, Bad Losses: 2
Missouri (18-11) - Good: 5-8, Bad Losses: 3
Alabama (17-12) - Good: 7-7, Bad Losses: 5

Goodbye

LSU
Georgia

West Coast

Definitely In

Gonzaga (27-4) - Good: 4-3, Bad Losses: 1

Probably In

Saint Mary's (27-4) - Good: 2-1, Bad Losses: 3

Others

Good Chance

Loyola-Chicago (25-5) - Good: 1-1, Bad Losses: 4
Louisiana (25-4) - Good: 0-1, Bad Losses: 3

Still a Chance

Vermont (24-6) - Good: 0-3, Bad Losses: 3
New Mexico State (24-5) - Good: 1-2, Bad Losses: 3

Goodbye

Buffalo
East Tennessee State

Monday, February 26, 2018

Basketball Predictions - 27 Feb

Upset picks are in italics.
Pick of the Day in bold.

Chicago at Charlotte - Hornets by 7.5
Brooklyn at Cleveland - Cavaliers by 6.5
Philadelphia at Miami - 76ers by 0.5
Washington at Milwaukee - Bucks by 0.5
Sacramento at Portland - Trail Blazers by 10
LA Clippers at Denver - Nuggets by 3.5

(16) Tennessee at Mississippi State - Bulldogs by 0.5
Saint Joseph's at (17) Rhode Island - Rams by 15.5
Florida at Alabama - Crimson Tide by 2.5
Missouri at Vanderbilt - Commodores by 0.5
Oklahoma State at Iowa State - Cyclones by 2
Binghamton at Albany - Great Danes by 14.5
Akron at Buffalo - Bulls by 18
Bowling Green at Ohio - Bobcats by 5.5
Ball State at Central Michigan - Chippewas by 3.5
Eastern Michigan at Western Michigan - Broncos by 6
Miami (OH) at Kent State - Golden Flashes by 3
UMBC at Hartford - Hawks by 4.5
Vermont at Maine - Catamounts by 13
UMass Lowell at New Hampshire - Wildcats by 9
Longwood at High Point - Panthers by 17.5
Presbyterian at Charleston Southern - Buccaneers by 11.5
Army at Loyola (MD) - Greyhounds by 0.5
American at Lafayette - Leopards by 9
Toledo at Northern Illinois - Rockets by 2.5
Miami at (9) North Carolina - Tar Heels by 12
(14) Auburn at Arkansas - Razorbacks by 0.5
DePaul at Creighton - Bluejays by 13
Oklahoma at Baylor - Bears by 5.5
Kansas State at TCU - Horned Frogs by 8
Davidson at St. Bonaventure - Bonnies by 5
Boise State at San Diego State - Aztecs by 4

Results

NBA: 9-1 (.900) 582-323 overall (.643)
Upsets: 55-70 overall (.440)
NCAA: 13-7 (.650) 4035-1300 overall (.756)
Upsets: 3-2 (.600) 382-337 overall (.531)
Pick of the Day: 103-4

Conference Tournament Predictions - Week 1

These are my picks for the winners and runners-up for the 12 conferences that have finished their regular season schedule and are getting ready to begin their conference tournaments, which determine which teams get an automatic bid to March Madness, with seed in parentheses:

America East

Winner: (1) Vermont, Runner-Up: (2) UMBC

Atlantic Sun

Winner: (1) Florida Gulf Coast, Runner-Up: (2) Lipscomb

Big South

Winner: (3) Winthrop, Runner-Up: (1) UNC Asheville

Big Ten

Winner: (3) Purdue, Runner-Up: (1) Michigan State

Colonial

Winner: (5) Towson, Runner-Up: (3) Hofstra

Horizon

Winner: (1) Northern Kentucky, Runner-Up: (2) Wright State

MAAC

Winner: (2) Canisius, Runner-Up: (8) Monmouth

Missouri Valley

Winner: (1) Loyola-Chicago, Runner-Up: (10) Valparaiso

Northeast

Winner: (1) Wagner, Runner-Up: (3) St. Francis (PA)

Ohio Valley

Winner: (2) Belmont, Runner-Up: (1) Murray State

Patriot

Winner: (1) Bucknell, Runner-Up: (2) Colgate

Southern

Winner: (3) Furman, Runner-Up: (1) UNC Greensboro

Summit

Winner: (2) South Dakota, Runner-Up: (1) South Dakota State

West Coast

Winner: (2) Saint Mary's, Runner-Up: (1) Gonzaga

This page was updated on 3/1 to add in the America East and Colonial tournaments.