Tuesday, February 6, 2018

NCAA Tournament Watch - 6 Feb

2 more teams joined the ranks of teams whose tournament status is absolutely safe this week, bringing the total to 6, and since 3 of those teams will probably end up as conference champs, there are still 33 spots likely available for the other teams on this page that do not win their conference. Teams whose status has become more solid are in bold, and teams whose status got weaker are in italics.

American

Probably In

Cincinnati (21-2) - Good: 7-2, Bad Losses: 0

Should be In

Wichita State (17-5) - Good: 5-5, Bad Losses: 0

Good Chance

Houston (17-5) - Good: 4-3, Bad Losses: 2

Still a Chance

SMU (15-8) - Good: 4-4, Bad Losses: 4
Temple (13-10) - Good: 6-5, Bad Losses: 5

Atlantic 10

Probably In

Rhode Island (19-3) - Good: 3-3, Bad Losses: 0

Still a Chance

St. Bonaventure (16-6) - Good: 4-2, Bad Losses: 4

ACC

Definitely In

Virginia (22-1) - Good: 10-1, Bad Losses: 0
Duke (19-4) - Good: 6-3, Bad Losses: 1

Probably In

Clemson (19-4) - Good: 10-4, Bad Losses: 0
North Carolina (17-7) - Good: 7-6, Bad Losses: 1

Should Be In

Miami (17-5) - Good: 5-4, Bad Losses: 1
Florida State (17-6) - Good: 6-5, Bad Losses: 1

Good Chance

NC State (16-7) - Good: 6-5, Bad Losses: 2
Louisville (16-8) - Good: 4-8, Bad Losses: 0
Virginia Tech (16-7) - Good: 4-6, Bad Losses: 1
Syracuse (16-8) - Good: 5-6. Bad Losses: 2

Still a Chance

Boston College (14-9) - Good: 2-9, Bad Losses: 0
Notre Dame (13-10) - Good: 4-7, Bad Losses: 3

Big 12

Probably In

Kansas (18-5) - Good: 12-5, Bad Losses: 0
Texas Tech (19-4) - Good: 11-3, Bad Losses: 1
West Virginia (18-6) - Good: 9-5, Bad Losses: 1

Should Be In

Oklahoma (16-7) - Good: 9-7, Bad Losses: 0
TCU (16-7) - Good: 7-6, Bad Losses: 1

Good Chance

Texas (15-8) - Good: 6-8, Bad Losses: 0
Kansas State (16-7) - Good: 5-6, Bad Losses: 1

Still a Chance

Oklahoma State (14-9) - Good: 4-9, Bad Losses: 0
Baylor (13-10) - Good: 3-9, Bad Losses: 1

Big East

Definitely In

Villanova (22-1) - Good: 10-1, Bad Losses: 0
Xavier (21-3) - Good: 8-3, Bad Losses: 0

Should Be In

Creighton (17-6) - Good: 6-6, Bad Losses: 0
Butler (17-7) - Good: 5-7, Bad Losses: 0
Seton Hall (17-6) - Good: 5-5, Bad Losses: 1

Good Chance

Providence (15-8) - Good: 7-6, Bad Losses: 2

Still a Chance

Marquette (13-10) - Good: 4-10, Bad Losses: 0

Big Ten

Definitely In

Purdue (23-2) - Good: 11-2, Bad Losses: 0
Michigan State (22-3) - Good: 6-3, Bad Losses: 0

Should Be In

Ohio State (20-5) - Good: 5-5, Bad Losses: 0
Michigan (19-6) - Good: 5-6, Bad Losses: 0

Good Chance

Maryland (16-9) - Good: 2-8, Bad Losses: 1

Still a Chance

Nebraska (17-8) - Good: 3-6, Bad Losses: 2
Penn State (16-9) - Good: 3-6, Bad Losses: 3
Northwestern (14-10) - Good: 1-8, Bad Losses: 2

Goodbye

Minnesota

Conference USA

Good Chance

Middle Tennessee (18-5) - Good: 3-4, Bad Losses: 1

Still a Chance

Western Kentucky (16-7) - Good: 3-3, Bad Losses: 4
Old Dominion (17-5) - Good: 0-3, Bad Losses: 2

Mountain West

Should Be In

Nevada (20-4) - Good: 2-2, Bad Losses: 2

Good Chance

Boise State (19-4) - Good: 1-2, Bad Losses: 2

Ohio Valley

Still a Chance

Belmont (19-6) - Good: 3-3, Bad Losses: 3
Murray State (18-5) - Good: 0-3, Bad Losses: 2

Pac 12

Should Be In

Arizona (19-5) - Good: 5-4, Bad Losses: 1

Good Chance

USC (17-7) - Good: 3-5, Bad Losses: 2
Washington (17-6) - Good: 5-5, Bad Losses: 1
Arizona State (17-6) - Good: 4-3, Bad Losses: 3

Still a Chance

UCLA (16-7) - Good: 4-3, Bad Losses: 4
Utah (13-9) - Good: 3-7, Bad Losses: 2

Goodbye

Oregon

SEC

Probably In

Auburn (21-2) - Good: 8-2, Bad Losses: 0
Tennessee (17-5) - Good: 6-5, Bad Losses: 0

Should Be In

Kentucky (17-6) - Good: 9-6, Bad Losses: 0

Good Chance

Florida (15-8) - Good: 8-7, Bad Losses: 1
Missouri (15-8) - Good: 5-7, Bad Losses: 1
Alabama (15-8) - Good: 9-4, Bad Losses: 4
Arkansas (16-8) - Good: 6-8, Bad Losses: 0
Texas A&M (15-8) - Good: 8-8, Bad Losses: 0

Still a Chance

Mississippi State (17-6) - Good: 4-5, Bad Losses: 1
LSU (13-9) - Good: 6-7, Bad Losses: 2
Georgia (13-9) - Good: 6-7, Bad Losses: 2
South Carolina (13-11) - Good: 3-9, Bad Losses: 2

West Coast

Should Be In

Saint Mary's (23-2) - Good: 4-1, Bad Losses: 1
Gonzaga (21-4) - Good: 5-3, Bad Losses: 1

Still a Chance

BYU (18-7) - Good: 1-4, Bad Losses: 3

Others

Good Chance

New Mexico State (20-3) - Good: 1-2, Bad Losses: 1
Louisiana (20-3) - Good: 0-1, Bad Losses: 2
Vermont (19-5) - Good: 0-3, Bad Losses: 2

Still a Chance

South Dakota State (20-6) - Good: 1-2, Bad Losses: 4
East Tennessee State (21-4) - Good: 0-2, Bad Losses: 2
Loyola-Chicago (19-5) - Good: 1-1, Bad Losses: 4
Buffalo (18-6) - Good: 0-5, Bad Losses: 1

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