Thursday, November 12, 2015

College Basketball Preseason Rankings - 2015-2016

The college basketball season begins tomorrow morning, so I have analyzed every team's roster for this upcoming season and have ranked each team from 1 to 351. I took into account each team's performance last season, along with how many players returned from last season and how important each player was to the team, and also took transfer players into account. Here are my full rankings for the preseason:





Record

TW
LW
Team
Rating
W
L
MOV
SOS
1
6
Virginia
-20.788




2
17
Wichita State
-19.359




3
82
Pittsburgh
-18.601




4
18
Butler
-17.4




5
8
North Carolina
-17.294




6
122
Stony Brook
-16.956




7
5
Villanova
-16.586




8
48
Cincinnati
-16.323




9
12
Oklahoma
-16.245




10
14
Louisville
-16.064




11
94
Georgia Tech
-15.981




12
9
Utah
-15.61




13
15
Kansas
-15.582




14
36
Purdue
-15.168




15
78
Connecticut
-14.856




16
13
Michigan State
-14.728




17
69
Michigan
-14.202




18
83
Clemson
-14.034




19
37
Miami (FL)
-13.663




20
119
Tulsa
-13.367




21
39
Illinois
-13.161




22
64
George Washington
-13.128




23
34
Vanderbilt
-13.096




24
85
Creighton
-13.026




25
23
Texas
-12.827




26
31
Maryland
-12.823




27
4
Arizona
-12.534




28
29
VCU
-12.45




29
24
West Virginia
-12.373




30
72
Central Michigan
-12.313




31
19
Baylor
-12.083




32
49
Indiana
-12.027




33
32
Davidson
-11.912




34
56
Rhode Island
-11.751




35
145
Columbia
-11.585




36
10
Notre Dame
-11.577




37
59
Texas A&M
-11.348




38
3
Wisconsin
-11.334




39
41
SMU
-11.215




40
127
Oregon State
-11.1




41
73
Valparaiso
-10.99




42
100
Florida State
-10.575




43
106
Northwestern
-10.536




44
66
South Carolina
-10.384




45
28
NC State
-10.382




46
40
Dayton
-10.36




47
35
Georgia
-9.7823




48
20
Iowa
-9.7133




49
141
Pepperdine
-9.5248




50
16
Iowa State
-9.3606




51
63
Richmond
-9.2613




52
21
Xavier
-9.113




53
33
Florida
-8.9094




54
46
Oklahoma State
-8.7542




55
172
Saint Joseph's
-8.6688




56
108
Evansville
-8.6157




57
22
Georgetown
-8.61




58
170
Cal Poly
-8.3721




59
139
Princeton
-8.35




60
176
USC
-8.3231




61
99
Vermont
-8.2593




62
101
Colorado
-8.0979




63
53
San Diego State
-8.0825




64
65
Yale
-8.074




65
155
New Mexico
-7.9522




66
50
Syracuse
-7.835




67
25
Northern Iowa
-7.7699




68
162
Texas Tech
-7.677




69
246
Ball State
-7.6753




70
7
Gonzaga
-7.5024




71
150
Utah State
-7.4933




72
86
Seton Hall
-7.4566




73
79
Hofstra
-7.1653




74
304
Cal State Fullerton
-6.9266




75
68
North Carolina Central
-6.8677




76
132
Chattanooga
-6.5479




77
52
Boise State
-6.4573




78
92
William & Mary
-6.3521




79
130
Wake Forest
-6.0818




80
93
Tennessee
-5.9951




81
228
Boston University
-5.8835




82
77
Old Dominion
-5.7862




83
61
TCU
-5.7812




84
157
UAB
-5.6715




85
89
Iona
-5.6604




86
45
UCLA
-5.6399




87
67
Arizona State
-5.5819




88
2
Duke
-5.3903




89
27
Providence
-5.2545




90
112
Louisiana Lafayette
-5.245




91
118
Akron
-5.219




92
184
Lehigh
-5.2053




93
60
Alabama
-5.187




94
103
UNLV
-5.1863




95
198
James Madison
-5.1341




96
128
Kent State
-5.0976




97
129
California
-5.0935




98
180
Virginia Tech
-5.0215




99
120
Albany
-5.0198




100
117
Belmont
-4.9999




101
70
Temple
-4.8125




102
135
High Point
-4.7706




103
90
Wofford
-4.7217




104
175
Mississippi State
-4.7198




105
158
New Hampshire
-4.6692




106
11
Ohio State
-4.6072




107
232
Houston
-4.5837




108
42
Ole Miss
-4.4466




109
84
South Dakota State
-4.4294




110
62
Illinois State
-4.2796




111
164
Rider
-4.2073




112
43
Stephen F Austin
-3.9426




113
110
Coastal Carolina
-3.7762




114
111
Northeastern
-3.6327




115
152
Loyola (CHI)
-3.4823




116
51
LSU
-3.3323




117
109
Nebraska
-3.2154




118
221
Texas A&M-CC
-3.1782




119
1
Kentucky
-3.0885




120
140
Hawaii
-2.9872




121
163
Dartmouth
-2.9352




122
212
Duquesne
-2.8677




123
74
Penn State
-2.8545




124
193
Indiana State
-2.8424




125
278
Furman
-2.8364




126
281
Penn
-2.8107




127
185
Monmouth
-2.7649




128
242
Army
-2.7127




129
38
Minnesota
-2.7125




130
215
Fresno State
-2.681




131
146
DePaul
-2.6623




132
30
BYU
-2.6599




133
121
UC Santa Barbara
-2.562




134
55
Oregon
-2.474




135
213
Fordham
-2.3115




136
191
North Dakota State
-2.3061




137
116
New Mexico State
-2.0121




138
173
Montana
-1.976




139
142
North Florida
-1.8628




140
181
NJIT
-1.8407




141
149
UNC Wilmington
-1.833




142
238
Towson
-1.6637




143
91
Saint Mary's
-1.4409




144
248
Milwaukee
-1.4143




145
303
Arkansas State
-1.2568




146
178
Western Michigan
-1.2271




147
257
Pacific
-1.2176




148
159
Auburn
-1.1649




149
102
La Salle
-1.0248




150
179
Middle Tennessee
-1.0227




151
207
George Mason
-0.9962




152
98
Marquette
-0.9878




153
200
Washington State
-0.9428




154
301
Loyola (MD)
-0.893




155
169
American
-0.7706




156
54
Buffalo
-0.6573




157
223
Santa Clara
-0.5978




158
272
Charleston
-0.5361




159
195
Bucknell
-0.5013




160
264
Wright State
-0.4367




161
57
Georgia State
-0.3983




162
138
Canisius
-0.3481




163
81
Kansas State
-0.2466




164
276
Saint Louis
-0.2225




165
189
Northern Illinois
-0.163




166
126
Georgia Southern
-0.1526




167
247
Arkansas-Little Rock
-0.1456




168
225
Mount St. Mary's
-0.1159




169
220
Southern Illinois
-0.0919




170
270
LIU Brooklyn
0.02128




171
171
Louisiana Monroe
0.1157




172
80
Green Bay
0.14112




173
105
St. Bonaventure
0.20666




174
75
Colorado State
0.20929




175
291
Appalachian State
0.25477




176
131
Massachusetts
0.28024




177
258
Delaware
0.35056




178
177
Oakland
0.53113




179
107
Boston College
0.57599




180
260
Missouri State
0.66203




181
154
Long Beach State
0.70287




182
26
Arkansas
0.74987




183
266
Weber State
0.77982




184
87
Toledo
0.79008




185
327
Tennessee State
0.97705




186
115
Tennessee-Martin
0.99058




187
160
Winthrop
1.15811




188
259
UNC Greensboro
1.21041




189
194
Rutgers
1.32542




190
44
Stanford
1.34322




191
204
St. Francis (PA)
1.3824




192
227
UC Riverside
1.46413




193
125
San Diego
1.52607




194
311
Nevada
1.55684




195
324
Binghamton
1.64601




196
147
Western Kentucky
1.69425




197
190
UT Arlington
1.71206




198
265
Drexel
1.74494




199
256
Siena
1.75247




200
320
South Carolina State
1.95244




201
156
Portland
2.01666




202
231
Miami (OH)
2.07641




203
217
Western Carolina
2.21592




204
287
IUPUI
2.22308




205
201
Missouri
2.25956




206
76
Harvard
2.28464




207
187
East Tennessee State
2.2847




208
234
South Dakota
2.39515




209
308
Southern Utah
2.51343




210
47
Murray State
2.51521




211
202
Oral Roberts
2.56623




212
239
VMI
2.62497




213
233
Tulane
2.63149




214
222
Denver
2.69986




215
218
Texas Southern
2.84667




216
241
East Carolina
2.88937




217
167
Norfolk State
2.94076




218
197
IPFW
2.97472




219
261
Navy
3.02639




220
166
Cornell
3.07633




221
95
Memphis
3.11691




222
288
Fairfield
3.23616




223
114
Morehead State
3.26078




224
199
Detroit
3.35079




225
124
Washington
3.39746




226
161
Mercer
3.41234




227
250
Brown
3.42788




228
229
Bryant
3.42985




229
249
Rice
3.45845




230
263
Hartford
3.51874




231
330
North Carolina A&T
3.55662




232
298
UCF
3.69397




233
237
Hampton
3.73526




234
285
Grand Canyon
3.7377




235
133
Bowling Green
3.7871




236
216
Elon
3.79035




237
224
Northern Kentucky
3.89481




238
297
Wagner
3.89959




239
236
Incarnate Word
3.90158




240
333
Western Illinois
3.9367




241
294
Lipscomb
3.96009




242
315
Jackson State
4.01435




243
183
Saint Peter's
4.05733




244
144
San Francisco
4.07377




245
271
Omaha
4.10359




246
245
Howard
4.24042




247
214
Texas State
4.24654




248
277
Drake
4.28816




249
88
Louisiana Tech
4.40911




250
71
Sam Houston State
4.48145




251
305
Florida Atlantic
4.49747




252
151
Radford
4.59053




253
302
Marshall
4.59112




254
206
Tennessee Tech
4.59248




255
240
Sacred Heart
4.61467




256
283
Campbell
4.70511




257
255
CSU Bakersfield
4.77241




258
136
Eastern Washington
4.82587




259
295
South Alabama
4.89585




260
309
Houston Baptist
5.03365




261
113
UTEP
5.28907




262
235
Holy Cross
5.29233




263
284
Florida International
5.31699




264
316
New Orleans
5.32875




265
134
Eastern Michigan
5.33443




266
290
UMass Lowell
5.39222




267
323
Utah Valley
5.57945




268
244
Ohio
5.63659




269
104
UC Irvine
5.64906




270
267
Alabama State
5.68566




271
226
Air Force
5.72856




272
211
Florida Gulf Coast
5.74481




273
137
Wyoming
5.8764




274
205
SIU-Edwardsville
6.05412




275
96
Cleveland State
6.41477




276
208
Southeast Missouri State
6.42224




277
300
Marist
6.58337




278
344
Maine
6.61693




279
209
Eastern Illinois
6.67699




280
340
Jacksonville
6.77184




281
153
Manhattan
6.91421




282
188
Northern Arizona
6.93972




283
293
South Florida
7.00226




284
148
Charlotte
7.01555




285
192
Maryland-Eastern Shore
7.1073




286
174
Colgate
7.12264




287
289
Troy
7.17006




288
230
Idaho
7.21148




289
269
Samford
7.26209




290
196
Lafayette
7.49824




291
321
Southern Miss
7.56519




292
296
Prairie View A&M
7.61201




293
317
Austin Peay
7.74334




294
210
Gardner-Webb
7.79512




295
165
St. Francis (BKN)
7.84401




296
274
UMKC
7.85293




297
254
Portland State
7.8964




298
219
UNC Asheville
7.92194




299
335
UMBC
8.12195




300
310
Southeastern Louisiana
8.18309




301
97
Eastern Kentucky
8.28331




302
203
Sacramento State
8.36509




303
186
Robert Morris
8.42538




304
168
Charleston Southern
8.57699




305
325
Bethune-Cookman
8.61146




306
322
Montana State
8.74788




307
306
Longwood
8.75099




308
123
UC Davis
8.76095




309
252
Northwestern State
8.76899




310
279
Loyola Marymount
8.86695




311
282
Southern
8.95176




312
143
South Carolina Upstate
9.03788




313
331
Morgan State
9.32581




314
253
Northern Colorado
9.34813




315
58
St. John's
9.44333




316
338
Nicholls State
9.51462




317
307
North Dakota
9.84839




318
243
Texas San Antonio
9.92289




319
313
Fairleigh Dickinson
10.4539




320
326
Presbyterian
10.476




321
348
Central Arkansas
10.6769




322
182
Quinnipiac
10.7014




323
262
Seattle
11.4604




324
292
UIC
11.5603




325
251
Bradley
11.587




326
339
Savannah State
11.7736




327
343
Stetson
11.7887




328
280
CS Northridge
11.9356




329
314
McNeese State
11.9966




330
312
Jacksonville State
12.1186




331
336
Abilene Christian
12.262




332
334
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
12.5124




333
275
North Texas
12.6313




334
345
Kennesaw State
12.7315




335
341
UT Rio Grande Valley
12.8733




336
328
Chicago State
13.2312




337
337
Alabama A&M
13.3033




338
273
Lamar
13.7433




339
342
Central Connecticut
13.7462




340
299
Niagara
13.9514




341
286
Youngstown State
14.0575




342
319
The Citadel
15.0175




343
347
San Jose State
16.8504




344
346
Alcorn State
17.5343




345
318
Idaho State
17.5949




346
329
Liberty
17.9458




347
332
Coppin State
19.2673




348
268
Delaware State
19.3645




349
349
Mississippi Valley State
20.3582




350
350
Florida A&M
23.7759




351
351
Grambling State
27.2028





The Virginia Cavaliers, who were one of the top teams in the nation last season, are returning 3 of their starters from last season along with their top 5 reserves, so even though Justin Anderson will be missed, this team will be solid. They are known as a great defensive team, and that shouldn't change this year, so they have a great chance at a Final Four run this year.

Wichita State is also returning 3 starters from last year, along with 3 of their top reserves, and they should finish with a really good record yet again thanks to playing in the Missouri Valley Conference. They shouldn't be overlooked just because they are a mid-major. This is a very solid all-around team that has been strong for years and will continue to impress this season.

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