NFL Playoff Odds - 2024

The NFL Playoffs start today, and I have compiled every result from the regular season, and calculated any possible playoff scenario to determine each team's odds of advancing through each round of the playoffs and of eventually winning this year's Super Bowl. Baltimore and San Francisco have the best overall odds, partly thanks to a bye week, and partly due to their great seasons, but any of these 14 teams has at least a tiny chance. Here are the breakdowns by round:

Odds of Winning Wild Card Round

(2) Cowboys - 70.1%

(2) Bills - 68.3%

(3) Lions - 60.0%

(4) Buccaneers - 58.2%

(3) Chiefs - 56.9%

(5) Browns - 50.8%

(4) Texans - 49.2%

(6) Dolphins - 43.1%

(5) Eagles - 41.8%

(6) Rams - 40.0%

(7) Steelers - 31.7%

(7) Packers - 29.9%

Odds of Reaching Conference Championships

(1) Ravens - 77.7%

(1) 49ers - 77.4%

(2) Cowboys - 46.5%

(2) Bills - 42.7%

(3) Lions - 27.4%

(3) Chiefs - 26.5%

(5) Browns - 18.1%

(4) Buccaneers - 17.3%

(4) Texans - 14.5%

(6) Dolphins - 14.2%

(6) Rams - 13.1%

(5) Eagles - 11.5%

(7) Packers - 6.7%

(7) Steelers - 6.2%

Odds of Reaching Super Bowl

(1) Ravens - 56.5%

(1) 49ers - 53.8%

(2) Cowboys - 20.3%

(2) Bills - 16.5%

(3) Lions - 10.1%

(3) Chiefs - 9.0%

(5) Browns - 6.2%

(6) Dolphins - 5.4%

(4) Buccaneers - 5.2%

(6) Rams - 4.7%

(4) Texans - 4.1%

(5) Eagles - 3.2%

(7) Packers - 2.8%

(7) Steelers - 2.4%

Odds of Winning Super Bowl

(1) Ravens - 32.8%

(1) 49ers - 30.4%

(2) Cowboys - 9.8%

(2) Bills - 7.4%

(3) Lions - 4.2%

(3) Chiefs - 3.6%

(5) Browns - 2.3%

(6) Dolphins - 2.1%

(6) Rams - 1.74%

(4) Buccaneers - 1.72%

(4) Texans - 1.3%

(5) Eagles - 0.98%

(7) Packers - 0.94%

(7) Steelers - 0.8%

My Picks

Wild Card

(2) Bills over (7) Steelers

(6) Dolphins over (3) Chiefs

(5) Browns over (4) Texans

(2) Cowboys over (7) Packers

(3) Lions over (6) Rams

(5) Eagles over (4) Buccaneers

Divisional

(1) Ravens over (6) Dolphins

(2) Bills over (5) Browns

(1) 49ers over (5) Eagles

(2) Cowboys over (3) Lions

Conference

(1) Ravens over (2) Bills

(1) 49ers over (2) Cowboys

Super Bowl

(1) 49ers over (1) Ravens