College Football Rankings - 8 Sep

Week two is finished, and now each of the 125 FBS teams has played at least once, which makes these rankings a little more meaningful, since they are based primarily on this season's results now, with last season being de-emphasized. Last week's #1 team, Alabama, did not play, so they sat at home and watched as the Oregon Ducks flew past them into the top spot. Whether it remains that way will depend heavily on next weekend's game at Texas A&M, the toughest opponent on Alabama's schedule. A road win against a top 10 team would most likely earn the Crimson Tide the top spot and put them squarely in the championship picture, but they've still got to play the game. Here are my current rankings for each team, along with each team's predicted final record and odds of going undefeated, including any conference championship games.

Rank	LW	Team	Rec	Rating	Pred	Change	Undef %
1	5	Oregon	2-0	-28.2934	12-1		34.7
2	1	Alabama	1-0	-28.2575	12-1		37.9
3	11	Baylor	2-0	-25.5561	11-1	+1	44.5
4	4	Washington	1-0	-23.485	11-1		17.4
5	8	LSU	2-0	-22.9827	10-2	+1	28.1
6	6	Oklahoma State	2-0	-21.2652	11-1		41.3
7	9	Georgia	1-1	-20.0981	10-3	+1
8	3	Texas A&M	2-0	-16.515	10-2	-1	3.0
9	17	Ohio State	2-0	-16.5059	11-2		8.7
10	18	UCLA	1-0	-15.1453	9-4
11	20	South Carolina	1-1	-14.9521	9-3	-1
12	16	Michigan	2-0	-13.2206	10-3	-1	3.0
13	34	UCF	2-0	-12.1707	10-2	+1	11.7
14	10	Bowling Green	2-0	-12.1298	12-1		34.2
15	23	Florida State	1-0	-12.0084	11-2	+1	6.1
16	33	Northwestern	2-0	-12.0061	10-2	+2	4.6
17	15	Miami (FL)	2-0	-11.423	11-2		5.1
18	19	Wisconsin	2-0	-10.9511	9-3	-1	1.7
19	51	Brigham Young	1-1	-10.7712	8-4	+3
20	13	Arizona State	1-0	-10.5072	8-4	-2	0.3
21	25	Texas	1-1	-10.3316	8-4
22	2	Louisville	2-0	-10.2294	11-1	-1	28.1
23	31	Utah	2-0	-9.9447	8-4	-1
24	22	Florida	1-1	-9.90474	7-5	-1
25	44	Nebraska	2-0	-9.30092	9-3	+1	2.4
26	7	Oklahoma	2-0	-9.27516	8-4	-2
27	28	Georgia Tech	1-0	-8.64302	8-4		0.4
28	30	Rice	0-1	-8.0137	11-2
29	26	Notre Dame	1-1	-7.5359	9-3
30	12	Clemson	2-0	-7.24559	9-3	-2	1.3
31	24	Texas Tech	2-0	-7.21898	8-4	-1
32	35	Penn State	2-0	-6.40137	8-4		0.2
33	64	Stanford	1-0	-6.37199	7-5	+3
34	29	Utah State	1-1	-6.24343	10-3	-1
35	14	Ole Miss	2-0	-4.78639	7-5	-2
36	36	Northern Illinois	1-0	-4.44594	11-2	-1	9.9
37	73	Arizona	2-0	-4.09502	7-5	+3
38	52	Missouri	2-0	-3.93552	7-5	+2
39	43	North Carolina	1-1	-3.2641	8-4
40	40	Mississippi State	1-1	-1.15327	5-7
41	76	Ball State	2-0	-1.08896	10-2	+2	7.0
42	49	Syracuse	0-2	-0.56387	7-5	+1
43	32	Vanderbilt	1-1	-0.51784	6-6	-1
44	58	Boise State	1-1	0.458251	8-4
45	46	Toledo	0-2	0.484896	7-5	-1
46	21	Cincinnati	1-1	0.634535	9-3	-2
47	93	Navy	1-0	0.734515	9-3	+4	0.8
48	55	Marshall	2-0	1.014074	9-4		0.2
49	27	TCU	1-1	1.055707	6-6	-1
50	62	Tulsa	1-1	1.096151	8-4	+1
51	78	Tennessee	2-0	1.356066	5-7	+1
52	41	Virginia Tech	1-1	1.916493	6-6	-2
53	75	Auburn	2-0	2.929122	6-6	+2
54	48	USC	1-1	3.457814	6-7	-2
55	39	Maryland	2-0	3.461854	8-4	-1
56	72	Duke	2-0	3.65995	7-5	+2
57	38	Wyoming	1-1	3.72928	8-4	-1
58	54	Michigan State	2-0	4.36869	7-5
59	50	Rutgers	1-1	4.997085	8-4	+1
60	82	Washington State	1-1	5.011656	5-7	+1
61	70	Houston	2-0	5.546236	6-6	+1
62	69	UTSA	1-1	6.056461	6-6
63	83	Ohio	1-1	6.06709	9-3	+2
64	84	North Texas	1-1	6.578634	7-5	+1
65	107	Kansas State	1-1	6.631136	5-7	+2
66	67	Kentucky	1-1	6.661361	4-8	+1
67	91	Oregon State	1-1	6.670979	5-7	+2
68	98	East Carolina	2-0	6.864816	7-5	+3
69	81	Troy	2-0	6.926675	8-4	+2
70	53	Minnesota	2-0	6.946402	6-6	-1
71	71	Louisiana-Monroe	1-1	7.000753	7-5
72	68	Florida Atlantic	0-2	7.224485	7-5	-1
73	57	Indiana	1-1	7.571661	4-8	-2
74	101	Colorado State	0-2	7.790594	6-7	+2
75	110	Illinois	2-0	8.161662	5-7	+3
76	74	UAB	0-2	8.320149	5-7	-1
77	45	Buffalo	0-2	8.552403	7-5	-1
78	42	Western Kentucky	1-1	8.646892	8-4	-3
79	37	North Carolina State	2-0	9.959439	6-6	-3
80	47	Arkansas State	1-1	10.21488	7-5	-2
81	80	San Jose State	1-1	10.50483	6-6	-1
82	61	Fresno State	2-0	10.66892	8-5	-2
83	56	Virginia	1-1	11.43607	4-8	-2
84	65	Temple	0-2	12.15447	5-7	-1
85	100	Louisiana-Lafayette	0-2	12.83297	7-5	+1
86	106	Boston College	2-0	12.896	5-7	+2
87	59	Iowa	1-1	13.04237	4-8	-1
88	97	Army	1-1	14.07756	6-6
89	96	Middle Tennessee	1-1	14.59511	5-7	+1
90	94	Wake Forest	1-1	14.7591	3-9
91	95	Nevada	1-1	15.36544	5-7	-1
92	105	Hawaii	0-2	16.52831	4-8
93	66	Colorado	2-0	16.55011	4-8	-1
94	99	New Mexico	1-1	16.98414	6-6	+1
95	89	Tulane	1-1	17.63206	3-9	-2
96	60	Memphis	0-1	17.68319	5-7	-3
97	115	West Virginia	1-1	18.34362	4-8	+1
98	79	Southern Methodist	1-1	19.21118	4-8	-1
99	63	Arkansas	2-0	19.41448	3-9	-2
100	104	Kent State	1-1	19.47075	4-8	+1
101	86	Texas State	2-0	20.61163	6-6	-1
102	90	Purdue	1-1	20.80989	2-10
103	92	Louisiana Tech	1-1	20.98928	4-8	-1
104	103	Pittsburgh	0-1	20.99015	2-10
105	77	Western Michigan	0-2	21.56908	3-9	-3
106	121	South Alabama	1-1	23.68248	4-8	+3
107	85	California	1-1	23.76889	2-10	-2
108	112	Southern Miss	0-2	23.8563	2-10
109	109	Florida International	0-2	24.3229	3-9
110	88	Kansas	1-0	24.64559	3-9	-1
111	87	UTEP	0-1	25.59123	2-10	-4
112	122	San Diego State	0-2	26.25227	3-9	+2
113	116	Eastern Michigan	1-1	28.213	2-10
114	102	Akron	1-1	28.43491	3-9	-1
115	108	UNLV	0-2	28.65203	3-9	-2
116	113	Air Force	1-1	30.7757	2-10	-1
117	114	Central Michigan	1-1	30.81032	3-9
118	117	Iowa State	0-1	31.39681	1-11
119	119	Connecticut	0-1	32.35149	1-11
120	111	Massachusetts	0-2	34.9149	2-10	-1
121	125	South Florida	0-2	35.12085	1-11	+1
122	120	Miami (OH)	0-2	35.1983	1-11
123	118	New Mexico State	0-2	36.27575	2-10	-1
124	123	Idaho	0-2	39.67317	1-11
125	124	Georgia State	0-2	56.83927	0-12

Ranked Teams by Conference

SEC - 6

Pac 12 - 5

Big 10 - 5

Big 12 - 3

AAC - 2

ACC - 2

MAC - 1

Ind - 1

Oregon claimed the top spot by cruising into Virginia, having a normal week, then heading back home. The Cavaliers fought hard last week to top BYU, and it looked like they might actually turn out to be a pretty good team, but Oregon showed that they are just average as they rolled over them from beginning to end. One impressive stat worth noting: The Ducks have not given up a point in the second half yet this season, despite playing all 4 of those quarters in full garbage time mode.

Baylor is getting a lot more respect from me than they are from the national voters, and it's hard to understand why. This week they demolished Buffalo, a team that hung around for 3 quarters with #2 Ohio State just the week before. The Bears did not allow a score from the Bulls in the final 47 minutes of action, during which time Baylor scored 7 touchdowns. Their ascension to the top level of the rankings increases the odds that there will be undefeated teams in each of the 3 power conferences this season, creating another BCS mess in the final season under the current system.

Ohio State moves into the top 10 this week after wiping out San Diego State despite losing quarterback Braxton Miller in the first quarter to a knee injury. Neither of their opponents has been worth fearing so far, luckily for them, and it will stay that way for a couple more weeks, with games against California and Florida A&M. They top off their September cakewalk with one of their toughest games of the season, a visit from Wisconsin, which has not yet allowed a point this season.