Wednesday, September 27, 2017

Football Predictions - 28 Sep thru Oct 2

Upset picks are in italics.

Thursday

Texas at Iowa State - Cyclones by 5

Chicago at Green Bay - Packers by 2.5

Friday

(14) Miami at Duke - Blue Devils by 7.5
Nebraska at Illinois - Illini by 5.5
BYU at Utah State - Aggies by 16.5
(5) USC at (16) Washington State - Trojans by 1

Saturday

Northwestern at (10) Wisconsin - Badgers by 25.5
(18) South Florida at East Carolina - Bulls by 24
Vanderbilt at (21) Florida - Gators by 3.5
Houston at Temple - Cougars by 8
New Mexico State at Arkansas - Razorbacks by 6.5
Maryland at Minnesota - Gophers by 12.5
Rice at Pittsburgh - Panthers by 16
North Carolina at Georgia Tech - Yellowjackets by 9.5
Syracuse at NC State - Wolfpack by 11.5
Central Michigan at Boston College - Eagles by 12
Indiana at (4) Penn State - Nittany Lions by 20
(7) Georgia at Tennessee - Bulldogs by 10.5
Murray State at (17) Louisville - Cardinals by 31
Florida State at Wake Forest - Demon Deacons by 16.5
Ohio at UMass - Bobcats by 10
Baylor at Kansas State - Wildcats by 20
UTEP at Army - Black Knights by 33.5
Navy at Tulsa - Golden Hurricane by 0.5
Buffalo at Kent State - Bulls by 5
Texas State at Wyoming - Cowboys by 9.5
Connecticut at SMU - Mustangs by 32.5
Arizona State at Stanford - Cardinal by 18.5
Eastern Michigan at Kentucky - Wildcats by 14.5
Iowa at Michigan State - Hawkeyes by 2
Miami (OH) at (22) Notre Dame - Irish by 23
(24) Mississippi State at (13) Auburn - Tigers by 1
Akron at Bowling Green - Zips by 9
Troy at (25) LSU - Tigers by 11
Charlotte at FIU - Golden Panthers by 15.5
Middle Tennessee at FAU - Owls by 5.5
South Alabama at Louisiana Tech - Bulldogs by 15
Marshall at Cincinnati - Bearcats by 5
North Texas at Southern Miss - Golden Eagles by 15.5
Ball State at Western Michigan - Broncos by 8.5
Coastal Carolina at Louisiana Monroe - Warhawks by 23
Air Force at New Mexico - Falcons by 4.5
Memphis at UCF - Knights by 26.5
(11) Ohio State at Rutgers - Buckeyes by 13.5
South Carolina at Texas A&M - Aggies by 3
(2) Clemson at (12) Virginia Tech - Tigers by 3.5
(6) Washington at Oregon State - Huskies by 31.5
(15) Oklahoma State at Texas Tech - Cowboys by 6.5
Ole Miss at (1) Alabama - Crimson Tide by 38
Nevada at Fresno State - Bulldogs by 28
Northern Illinois at (19) San Diego State - Aztecs by 17
San Jose State at UNLV - Rebels by 23.5
Colorado at UCLA - Bruins by 2
California at Oregon - Ducks by 13
Colorado State at Hawaii - Rams by 9.5

Sunday

New Orleans vs. Miami - Saints by 12
Buffalo at Atlanta - Falcons by 11
Cincinnati at Cleveland - Browns by 3.5
LA Rams at Dallas - Cowboys by 9.5
Detroit at Minnesota - Vikings by 4
Carolina at New England - Patriots by 11.5
Jacksonville at NY Jets - Jaguars by 13.5
Pittsburgh at Baltimore - Steelers by 3
Tennessee at Houston - Titans by 7
San Francisco at Arizona - Cardinals by 15
Philadelphia at LA Chargers - Eagles by 7
NY Giants at Tampa Bay - Buccaneers by 12.5
Oakland at Denver - Broncos by 4
Indianapolis at Seattle - Seahawks by 11.5

Monday

Washington at Kansas City - Chiefs by 15

Prediction Results

College Football: 39-20 (.661) 228-59 overall (.794)
Upsets: 2-7 (.222) 16-20 overall (.444)
NFL: 7-9 (.438) 27-20 overall (.574)
Upsets: 0-1 (.000) 3-5 overall (.375)

Tuesday, September 26, 2017

NFL Rankings - 26 Sep

After 3 weeks of football, only 2 undefeated teams remain in the NFL, and those two have risen to the top of this week's rankings. Kansas City is at the top after beating the defending champs to open the season, but Atlanta has also been very impressive in beating Green Bay and Detroit, the only losses for either team so far. Here are my full current rankings and playoff picks:





Rec
ProjRec


TW
LW
Team
Rating
W
L
W
L
MOV
SOS
Seed
1
2
Kansas City
-14.56
3
0
14
2


A1
2
4
Atlanta
-9.456
3
0
12
4


N1
3
21
Jacksonville
-9.075
2
1
13
3


A2
4
14
Minnesota
-7.802
2
1
11
5


N3
5
8
Detroit
-6.441
2
1
10
6


N5
6
1
Tampa Bay
-6.164
1
1
10
6


N6
7
9
Philadelphia
-6.12
2
1
11
5


N2
8
10
Tennessee
-5.729
2
1
12
4


A5
9
3
Denver
-5.479
2
1
10
6


A6
10
5
New England
-5.322
2
1
10
6


A3
11
11
Pittsburgh
-4.526
2
1
10
6


A4
12
6
Oakland
-4.199
2
1
9
7



13
19
New Orleans
-3.16
1
2
8
8



14
13
Dallas
-2.793
2
1
9
7



15
23
Washington
-2.482
2
1
9
7



16
24
Buffalo
-1.302
2
1
9
7



17
7
Baltimore
0.9306
2
1
9
7



18
20
Chicago
1.1788
1
2
7
9



19
15
Green Bay
1.336
2
1
8
8



20
17
Carolina
3.3767
2
1
6
10



21
16
LA Chargers
3.5126
0
3
5
11



22
29
Houston
3.862
1
2
7
9



23
22
LA Rams
3.9433
2
1
8
8


N4
24
27
NY Giants
4.9054
0
3
5
11



25
18
Arizona
5.6082
1
2
7
9



26
25
Seattle
6.4163
1
2
6
10



27
30
NY Jets
7.3643
1
2
5
11



28
12
Miami
9.0826
1
1
4
12



29
26
Cleveland
9.1524
0
3
4
12



30
28
Cincinnati
9.967
0
3
3
13



31
31
Indianapolis
15.282
1
2
3
13



32
32
San Francisco
17.947
0
3
2
14




Playoff Picks

Wild Card

(6) Broncos over (3) Patriots
(5) Titans over (4) Steelers
(3) Vikings over (6) Buccaneers
(5) Lions over (4) Rams

Divisional

(1) Chiefs over (6) Broncos
(2) Jaguars over (5) Titans
(1) Falcons over (5) Lions
(3) Vikings over (2) Eagles

Conference Championships

(1) Chiefs over (2) Jaguars
(1) Falcons over (3) Vikings

Super Bowl

(1) Chiefs over (1) Falcons