NCAA Football Rankings - 5 Oct

We are finally far enough into the season that I am ready to release my first college football rankings of the season, and there are definitely some surprises here. Notre Dame sits at the top, despite having 2 losses already, but those two losses came by a total of 4 points against two other top 5 teams, and each of their 3 wins has been completely dominant. Unlike most teams, the Irish schedule was front-loaded, with all of their tough opponents coming in the first month of the season, which means that they will likely cruise through the remainder of the season without another loss, while every other team in the nation is projected to lose at least once more this year. Texas Tech has been completely dominant so far, winning all 5 of their games by at least 24 points, including a road win over Utah, who currently sits at #13. Here are my full current rankings:

						Proj
Rank	LW	Team	Rating	W	L	W	L
1		Notre Dame	-24.1	3	2	10	2
2		Texas Tech	-22.73	5	0	11	1
3		Indiana	-21.56	5	0	11	1
4		Miami	-21.02	5	0	11	1
5		Texas A&M	-20.19	5	0	10	2
6		USC	-18.7	4	1	9	3
7		Alabama	-18.51	4	1	9	3
8		Ohio State	-18.5	5	0	10	2
9		Vanderbilt	-18.17	5	1	9	3
10		Illinois	-18.05	5	1	10	2
11		Oklahoma	-17.45	5	0	9	3
12		Ole Miss	-16.73	5	0	10	2
13		Utah	-16.26	4	1	9	3
14		Auburn	-15.98	3	2	8	4
15		Memphis	-15.44	6	0	11	1
16		BYU	-15.36	5	0	9	3
17		Oregon	-14.53	5	0	10	2
18		LSU	-14.4	4	1	8	4
19		Florida State	-14.25	3	2	8	4
20		Michigan	-14.22	4	1	8	4
21		Virginia	-13.99	5	1	10	2
22		Georgia	-12.85	4	1	8	4
23		Old Dominion	-12.61	4	1	10	2
24		Louisville	-12.51	4	1	9	3
25		Duke	-12.37	4	2	8	4
26		Tennessee	-12.17	4	1	8	4
27		TCU	-11.2	4	1	8	4
28		Arkansas	-10.2	2	3	5	7
29		James Madison	-10.01	4	1	10	2
30		Nebraska	-9.821	4	1	8	4
31		North Texas	-9.733	5	0	11	1
32		Cincinnati	-9.433	4	1	8	4
33		Arizona State	-9.29	4	1	8	4
34		Texas	-9.264	3	2	6	6
35		Iowa	-9.235	3	2	7	5
36		Georgia Tech	-9.045	5	0	9	3
37		Iowa State	-8.9	5	1	9	3
38		Washington	-8.803	4	1	8	4
39		Toledo	-8.69	3	2	9	3
40		South Florida	-8.637	4	1	9	3
41		East Carolina	-8.526	3	2	8	4
42		Mississippi St	-8.334	4	2	7	5
43		Louisiana Tech	-8.327	4	1	10	2
44		Tulane	-8.216	4	1	9	3
45		Missouri	-8.178	5	0	7	5
46		Florida	-7.827	2	3	5	7
47		Pittsburgh	-7.603	3	2	6	6
48		Fresno State	-7.008	5	1	9	3
49		Houston	-6.842	4	1	8	4
50		NC State	-6.546	4	2	6	6
51		SMU	-6.518	3	2	7	5
52		Maryland	-6.347	4	1	7	5
53		Boise State	-5.907	3	2	8	4
54		Kansas	-5.334	4	2	7	5
55		South Carolina	-4.876	3	2	5	7
56		Utah State	-4.487	3	2	7	5
57		Arizona	-4.383	4	1	7	5
58		Penn State	-4.192	3	2	5	7
59		Baylor	-3.94	4	2	6	6
60		Colorado	-3.639	2	4	5	7
61		Michigan St	-3.373	3	2	6	6
62		Rutgers	-3.248	3	2	5	7
63		Texas State	-3.233	3	2	8	4
64		Clemson	-3.138	2	3	5	7
65		Connecticut	-2.426	4	2	8	4
66		New Mexico	-2.358	3	2	7	5
67		Purdue	-1.778	2	3	4	8
68		Kentucky	-1.277	2	3	4	8
69		Navy	-1.123	5	0	7	5
70		San Diego State	-1.115	4	1	8	4
71		UNLV	-1.08	5	0	9	3
72		West Kentucky	-1.06	5	1	8	4
73		Syracuse	-0.976	3	3	5	7
74		West Michigan	-0.506	3	3	7	5
75		Ohio	-0.494	3	3	7	5
76		California	-0.433	4	2	7	5
77		Minnesota	-0.211	3	2	6	6
78		Wisconsin	0.145	2	3	4	8
79		Kansas State	0.395	2	4	4	8
80		Temple	0.562	3	2	6	6
81		Wake Forest	0.616	3	2	6	6
82		UCF	0.713	3	2	5	7
83		Southern Miss	0.746	3	2	7	5
84		Northwestern	0.912	3	2	5	7
85		UT San Antonio	1.025	2	3	5	7
86		West Virginia	1.123	2	4	3	9
87		Bowling Green	2.357	2	3	7	5
88		Jacksonville State	2.5	2	3	6	6
89		Army	2.624	2	3	6	6
90		Boston College	2.912	1	4	3	9
91		Troy	3.046	3	2	6	6
92		Stanford	3.159	2	3	4	8
93		Hawaii	3.245	4	2	7	5
94		Louisiana Monroe	3.362	3	2	6	6
95		Georgia Southern	3.568	2	3	6	6
96		Marshall	3.996	2	3	5	7
97		Virginia Tech	4.019	2	4	3	9
98		Miami (OH)	4.254	2	3	6	6
99		Liberty	4.411	1	4	5	7
100		Central Michigan	4.777	3	3	6	6
101		South Alabama	4.873	1	5	4	8
102		Kennesaw State	4.954	3	2	6	6
103		Washington St	5.532	3	2	5	7
104		Air Force	5.696	1	4	4	8
105		Coastal Carolina	5.837	2	3	5	7
106		Georgia State	5.934	1	4	4	8
107		Arkansas State	6.002	2	4	5	7
108		Wyoming	6.009	2	3	5	7
109		Buffalo	6.185	3	3	6	6
110		New Mexico St	6.409	3	2	6	6
111		Florida Atlantic	6.585	2	3	4	8
112		UTEP	6.608	1	4	4	8
113		San Jose State	6.963	2	3	4	8
114		Ball State	7.027	2	3	5	7
115		UCLA	7.249	1	4	2	10
116		Oregon State	7.4	0	6	3	9
117		Tulsa	7.949	2	4	4	8
118		Rice	8.004	3	3	5	7
119		Louisiana	8.922	2	3	4	8
120		Kent State	8.939	1	4	4	8
121		Akron	9.268	2	4	5	7
122		Appalachian St	9.694	3	2	5	7
123		Northern Illinois	11.14	1	4	4	8
124		Nevada	11.48	1	4	3	9
125		North Carolina	11.72	2	3	3	9
126		Florida Intl	12.15	2	3	4	8
127		UAB	12.67	2	3	3	9
128		Oklahoma State	12.78	1	4	2	10
129		Eastern Michigan	12.79	1	5	3	9
130		Colorado State	13.68	1	4	2	10
131		Sam Houston	16.78	0	5	2	10
132		Mid Tennessee	19.08	1	4	3	9
133		UMass	20.28	0	5	1	11
134		Charlotte	22.7	1	4	1	11

Football Predictions - 2 Oct thru 6 Oct

Upset picks are in italics.

Thursday

Sam Houston at New Mexico State - Aggies by 15

San Francisco at LA Rams - Rams by 7

Friday

Western Kentucky at Delaware - Blue Hens by 8.5

Charlotte at South Florida - Bulls by 41.5

New Mexico at San Jose State - Lobos by 7

West Virginia at (23) BYU - Cougars by 28

Colorado State at San Diego State - Aztecs by 24

Saturday

Kentucky at (12) Georgia - Bulldogs by 16

(14) Iowa State at Cincinnati - Bearcats by 7

Wisconsin at (20) Michigan - Wolverines by 27

(22) Illinois at Purdue - Illini by 6.5

Boston College at Pittsburgh - Panthers by 9

Clemson at North Carolina - Tar Heels by 0.5

Kansas State at Baylor - Bears by 15.5

Air Force at Navy - Midshipmen by 20

Army at UAB - Blazers by 5.5

Ohio at Ball State - Bobcats by 4

Wake Forest at Virginia Tech - Hokies by 8

UTSA at Temple - Owls by 7.5

Campbell at NC State - Wolf Pack by 24.5

Western Michigan at UMass - Broncos by 12.5

Oklahoma State at Arizona - Wildcats by 21.5

(7) Penn State at UCLA - Nittany Lions by 13

(9) Texas at Florida - Gators by 4

(16) Vanderbilt at (10) Alabama - Crimson Tide by 1

Boise State at (21) Notre Dame - Irish by 26

(24) Virginia at Louisville - Cardinals by 8

Washington at Maryland - Terrapins by 7.5

UL Monroe at Northwestern - Warhawks by 2

Oregon State at App State - Mountaineers by 0.5

Syracuse at SMU - Mustangs by 13.5

FIU at UConn - Huskies by 17

James Madison at Georgia State - Dukes by 12

Central Michigan at Akron - Zips by 2.5

Eastern Michigan at Buffalo - Bulls by 17

Miami (OH) at Northern Illinois - Huskies by 8

Kent State at (5) Oklahoma - Sooners by 35.5

Michigan State at Nebraska - Cornhuskers by 13.5

Texas State at Arkansas State - Bobcats by 4.5

Coastal Carolina at Old Dominion - Monarchs by 24

(11) Texas Tech at Houston - Red Raiders by 1.5

UNLV at Wyoming - Cowboys by 8.5

South Alabama at Troy - Trojans by 8.5

FAU at Rice - Owls by 10

Minnesota at (1) Ohio State - Buckeyes by 20.5

(3) Miami at (18) Florida State - Hurricanes by 0.5

Mississippi State at (6) Texas A&M - Aggies by 15.5

Colorado at TCU - Horned Frogs by 12

Kansas at UCF - Knights by 3

Tulsa at Memphis - Tigers by 29.5

Duke at California - Bears by 4.5

Nevada at Fresno State - Bulldogs by 35.5

Sunday

Minnesota vs. Cleveland - Vikings by 7

Las Vegas at Indianapolis - Colts by 15.5

NY Giants at New Orleans - Giants by 0.5

Dallas at NY Jets - Cowboys by 2

Denver at Philadelphia - Eagles by 7

Miami at Carolina - Panthers by 10.5

Houston at Baltimore - Ravens by 3.5

Tampa Bay at Seattle - Seahawks by 13.5

Tennessee at Arizona - Cardinals by 18

Detroit at Cincinnati - Lions by 14

Washington at LA Chargers - Chargers by 7.5

New England at Buffalo - Bills by 8.5

Monday

Kansas City at Jacksonville - Jaguars by 1.5

Results

NCAA: 38-15 (.717) 294-70 overall (.808)

Upsets: 5-9 (.357) 27-30 overall (.474)

NFL: 5-10 (.333) 38-25 overall (.603)

Upsets: 0-5 (.000) 2-11 overall (.154)