After blowing out Tennessee yesterday, Georgia is now projected to finish the season undefeated, joining Ohio State, who still sits at #1, with that distinction. Those two would be guaranteed to make the playoff, but it's much tougher to predict the other two teams from a pool of Alabama, Tennessee, Michigan, TCU, Oregon, and Clemson. I am projecting each of those teams to either miss their conference title game, finish with 2 losses, or both, making it incredibly difficult to choose two of them to join the favorites. Here are my full current rankings, with projected conference champs in bold, runners-up underlined, and playoff teams in red:
|
|
|
|
|
|
Proj |
|
Rank |
LW |
Team |
Rating |
W |
L |
W |
L |
1 |
1 |
Ohio State |
-23.72 |
9 |
0 |
12 |
0 |
2 |
2 |
Georgia |
-22.36 |
9 |
0 |
12 |
0 |
3 |
3 |
Alabama |
-19.21 |
7 |
2 |
10 |
2 |
4 |
6 |
Texas |
-17.75 |
6 |
3 |
8 |
4 |
5 |
5 |
Tennessee |
-17.62 |
8 |
1 |
11 |
1 |
6 |
8 |
Michigan |
-17.53 |
9 |
0 |
11 |
1 |
7 |
4 |
TCU |
-17.33 |
9 |
0 |
11 |
1 |
8 |
7 |
Kansas
State |
-14.65 |
6 |
3 |
8 |
4 |
9 |
11 |
Oregon |
-14.48 |
8 |
1 |
10 |
2 |
10 |
17 |
Penn
State |
-13.86 |
7 |
2 |
10 |
2 |
11 |
12 |
Utah |
-13.57 |
7 |
2 |
9 |
3 |
12 |
14 |
Baylor |
-13.49 |
6 |
3 |
7 |
5 |
13 |
9 |
USC |
-13.46 |
8 |
1 |
10 |
2 |
14 |
18 |
Kansas |
-13.24 |
6 |
3 |
7 |
5 |
15 |
10 |
Clemson |
-13.15 |
8 |
1 |
10 |
2 |
16 |
19 |
LSU |
-12.64 |
7 |
2 |
9 |
3 |
17 |
25 |
Notre Dame |
-12.6 |
6 |
3 |
8 |
4 |
18 |
24 |
Louisville |
-12.38 |
6 |
3 |
8 |
4 |
19 |
29 |
Florida State |
-11.88 |
6 |
3 |
7 |
4 |
20 |
20 |
UCLA |
-11.55 |
8 |
1 |
10 |
2 |
21 |
28 |
UCF |
-11.16 |
7 |
2 |
9 |
3 |
22 |
13 |
Mississippi
St |
-11.14 |
6 |
3 |
8 |
4 |
23 |
22 |
Ole Miss |
-10.86 |
8 |
1 |
10 |
2 |
24 |
23 |
Oklahoma |
-10.46 |
5 |
4 |
7 |
5 |
25 |
33 |
Iowa State |
-10.25 |
4 |
5 |
5 |
7 |
26 |
16 |
Oklahoma
State |
-10.22 |
6 |
3 |
8 |
4 |
27 |
21 |
Tulane |
-10.21 |
8 |
1 |
10 |
2 |
28 |
15 |
Illinois |
-9.85 |
7 |
2 |
8 |
3 |
29 |
27 |
Wake Forest |
-9.473 |
6 |
3 |
8 |
4 |
30 |
31 |
South
Alabama |
-9.245 |
7 |
2 |
10 |
2 |
31 |
26 |
Syracuse |
-9.088 |
6 |
3 |
8 |
4 |
32 |
32 |
North Carolina |
-8.45 |
8 |
1 |
9 |
2 |
33 |
38 |
NC State |
-8.194 |
7 |
2 |
9 |
3 |
34 |
34 |
Duke |
-7.832 |
6 |
3 |
8 |
4 |
35 |
36 |
Oregon State |
-7.578 |
6 |
3 |
8 |
4 |
36 |
43 |
SMU |
-7.399 |
5 |
4 |
7 |
5 |
37 |
40 |
Texas Tech |
-7.272 |
4 |
5 |
5 |
7 |
38 |
35 |
Cincinnati |
-7.072 |
7 |
2 |
9 |
3 |
39 |
39 |
Minnesota |
-6.929 |
6 |
3 |
8 |
4 |
40 |
42 |
Washington |
-6.864 |
7 |
2 |
9 |
3 |
41 |
41 |
East Carolina |
-6.857 |
6 |
3 |
8 |
4 |
42 |
48 |
Kentucky |
-6.516 |
6 |
3 |
7 |
5 |
43 |
62 |
Washington St |
-6.405 |
5 |
4 |
7 |
5 |
44 |
30 |
James
Madison |
-6.402 |
5 |
3 |
7 |
4 |
45 |
37 |
Maryland |
-6.344 |
6 |
3 |
7 |
5 |
46 |
61 |
Iowa |
-6.169 |
5 |
4 |
7 |
5 |
47 |
44 |
Troy |
-6.131 |
7 |
2 |
9 |
3 |
48 |
56 |
Wisconsin |
-5.741 |
5 |
4 |
7 |
5 |
49 |
63 |
Florida |
-5.483 |
5 |
4 |
7 |
5 |
50 |
45 |
Memphis |
-5.452 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
6 |
51 |
55 |
UT San Antonio |
-4.889 |
7 |
2 |
10 |
2 |
52 |
47 |
Arkansas |
-4.662 |
5 |
4 |
6 |
6 |
53 |
52 |
Liberty |
-4.545 |
8 |
1 |
11 |
1 |
54 |
49 |
Houston |
-4.427 |
5 |
4 |
7 |
5 |
55 |
54 |
Missouri |
-4.138 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
6 |
56 |
58 |
South
Carolina |
-4.044 |
6 |
3 |
7 |
5 |
57 |
53 |
Toledo |
-3.931 |
6 |
3 |
9 |
3 |
58 |
50 |
Appalachian
St |
-3.93 |
5 |
4 |
7 |
5 |
59 |
60 |
Marshall |
-3.734 |
5 |
4 |
7 |
5 |
60 |
46 |
Purdue |
-3.507 |
5 |
4 |
7 |
5 |
61 |
69 |
Pittsburgh |
-3.428 |
5 |
4 |
7 |
5 |
62 |
57 |
West
Virginia |
-2.982 |
3 |
6 |
4 |
8 |
63 |
65 |
North Texas |
-2.761 |
6 |
4 |
6 |
5 |
64 |
51 |
Texas
A&M |
-1.861 |
3 |
6 |
5 |
7 |
65 |
70 |
Air Force |
-1.847 |
6 |
3 |
9 |
3 |
66 |
79 |
Michigan
St |
-1.778 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
6 |
67 |
72 |
BYU |
-1.718 |
5 |
5 |
7 |
5 |
68 |
64 |
Boise State |
-1.608 |
6 |
3 |
8 |
4 |
69 |
71 |
West Kentucky |
-1.597 |
6 |
4 |
7 |
5 |
70 |
59 |
UAB |
-1.535 |
4 |
5 |
5 |
7 |
71 |
73 |
Coastal Carolina |
-1.379 |
8 |
1 |
9 |
3 |
72 |
67 |
Georgia
Southern |
-1.308 |
5 |
4 |
6 |
6 |
73 |
68 |
Louisiana |
-0.198 |
4 |
5 |
5 |
7 |
74 |
81 |
Auburn |
0.2561 |
3 |
6 |
4 |
8 |
75 |
76 |
San Jose State |
0.74 |
6 |
2 |
8 |
3 |
76 |
78 |
Fresno
State |
0.7551 |
5 |
4 |
7 |
5 |
77 |
88 |
California |
0.9567 |
3 |
6 |
4 |
8 |
78 |
101 |
Georgia
State |
1.8585 |
4 |
5 |
5 |
7 |
79 |
74 |
Buffalo |
2.185 |
5 |
4 |
7 |
5 |
80 |
75 |
Stanford |
2.3135 |
3 |
6 |
4 |
8 |
81 |
83 |
Virginia |
2.5113 |
3 |
6 |
4 |
8 |
82 |
99 |
Ohio |
2.5451 |
6 |
3 |
8 |
4 |
83 |
66 |
Southern Miss |
2.5792 |
5 |
4 |
6 |
6 |
84 |
84 |
Florida
Atlantic |
2.7455 |
4 |
5 |
5 |
6 |
85 |
80 |
Arizona State |
2.9788 |
3 |
6 |
4 |
8 |
86 |
87 |
Army |
3 |
3 |
5 |
5 |
7 |
87 |
91 |
Navy |
3.1904 |
3 |
6 |
4 |
8 |
88 |
77 |
Miami |
3.4523 |
4 |
5 |
5 |
7 |
89 |
82 |
Vanderbilt |
3.4864 |
3 |
6 |
3 |
8 |
90 |
85 |
Old
Dominion |
3.9686 |
3 |
6 |
4 |
8 |
91 |
102 |
Georgia Tech |
4.2475 |
4 |
5 |
5 |
7 |
92 |
90 |
Tulsa |
4.2762 |
3 |
6 |
4 |
8 |
93 |
89 |
Texas State |
4.4685 |
3 |
6 |
4 |
8 |
94 |
98 |
UNLV |
4.4831 |
4 |
5 |
5 |
6 |
95 |
86 |
Arkansas State |
4.4867 |
2 |
7 |
4 |
8 |
96 |
97 |
Arizona |
4.7102 |
4 |
5 |
5 |
7 |
97 |
94 |
Nebraska |
4.9242 |
3 |
6 |
3 |
8 |
98 |
100 |
Rutgers |
5.4108 |
4 |
5 |
4 |
8 |
99 |
111 |
Central Michigan |
5.4203 |
3 |
6 |
5 |
7 |
100 |
104 |
Wyoming |
5.4969 |
6 |
3 |
7 |
4 |
101 |
92 |
Kent State |
5.7023 |
3 |
6 |
4 |
8 |
102 |
95 |
Rice |
5.7429 |
5 |
4 |
6 |
6 |
103 |
103 |
Virginia Tech |
5.8357 |
2 |
7 |
3 |
9 |
104 |
109 |
Connecticut |
6.039 |
5 |
5 |
6 |
5 |
105 |
96 |
Indiana |
6.0622 |
3 |
6 |
4 |
8 |
106 |
112 |
Ball
State |
6.0854 |
4 |
5 |
5 |
7 |
107 |
106 |
Louisiana Monroe |
6.3204 |
3 |
6 |
4 |
8 |
108 |
110 |
San
Diego State |
6.7193 |
5 |
4 |
6 |
6 |
109 |
108 |
Miami (OH) |
6.7619 |
4 |
5 |
5 |
7 |
110 |
93 |
Mid
Tennessee |
6.8755 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
6 |
111 |
117 |
Northwestern |
7.0724 |
1 |
8 |
0 |
11 |
112 |
118 |
Temple |
7.4605 |
3 |
6 |
4 |
8 |
113 |
115 |
Louisiana Tech |
7.5478 |
3 |
6 |
4 |
8 |
114 |
105 |
Northern
Illinois |
7.5971 |
2 |
7 |
4 |
8 |
115 |
113 |
Boston College |
7.6228 |
2 |
7 |
2 |
10 |
116 |
107 |
South
Florida |
8.5337 |
1 |
8 |
2 |
10 |
117 |
114 |
Bowling Green |
8.9969 |
5 |
4 |
6 |
6 |
118 |
116 |
Eastern
Michigan |
9.6727 |
5 |
4 |
6 |
6 |
119 |
120 |
Utah State |
10.677 |
4 |
5 |
4 |
7 |
120 |
119 |
UTEP |
11.161 |
4 |
6 |
5 |
6 |
121 |
122 |
West Michigan |
12.353 |
3 |
6 |
4 |
8 |
122 |
123 |
Colorado |
14.197 |
1 |
8 |
1 |
11 |
123 |
121 |
New Mexico |
14.631 |
2 |
7 |
3 |
9 |
124 |
125 |
Akron |
14.648 |
1 |
8 |
2 |
10 |
125 |
124 |
Florida Intl |
14.863 |
4 |
5 |
5 |
7 |
126 |
126 |
Nevada |
15.318 |
2 |
7 |
2 |
9 |
127 |
128 |
New Mexico St |
15.95 |
3 |
5 |
4 |
6 |
128 |
127 |
Charlotte |
17.441 |
2 |
8 |
2 |
9 |
129 |
129 |
Hawaii |
18.035 |
2 |
8 |
3 |
9 |
130 |
131 |
Colorado
State |
18.632 |
2 |
7 |
3 |
9 |
131 |
130 |
UMass |
18.954 |
1 |
8 |
1 |
11 |
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