NCAA Football Rankings - 14 Nov

The only change among the top 6 this week was Alabama slipping a spot to #4, which happened because their strength of schedule took a huge hit by scheduling New Mexico State at this point of the season. Notre Dame jumped up to #7, just behind Cincinnati, the only team to beat them this season. I'm now projecting Alabama to lose to Auburn in the Iron Bowl, then again to Georgia in the SEC title game, and the committee would not be able to make enough excuses to put a 3-loss team in the playoff, so I am replacing the Tide with Oklahoma State, who are the projected Big 12 champs, with Michigan and Wake Forest receiving consideration as well. Here are my full current rankings, with playoff teams in red, projected conference champs in bold, and runners-up underlined:

						Proj
Rank	LW	Team	Rating	W	L	W	L
1	1	Georgia	-25.66	10	0	12	0
2	2	Ohio State	-21.12	9	1	10	2
3	4	Michigan	-19.02	9	1	10	2
4	3	Alabama	-18.64	9	1	10	2
5	5	Wisconsin	-15.81	7	3	8	4
6	6	Cincinnati	-15.49	10	0	12	0
7	10	Notre Dame	-15.09	9	1	11	1
8	7	Michigan St	-14.73	9	1	10	2
9	8	Wake Forest	-14.31	9	1	10	2
10	11	Ole Miss	-13.26	8	2	10	2
11	9	Penn State	-13.09	6	4	7	5
12	17	NC State	-12.36	7	3	9	3
13	21	Oklahoma State	-11.59	9	1	10	2
14	12	Pittsburgh	-11.52	8	2	9	3
15	14	Utah	-11.48	7	3	9	3
16	16	Boise State	-11.44	6	4	8	4
17	13	Texas A&M	-11.4	7	3	9	3
18	22	Oregon	-10.36	9	1	10	2
19	15	UT San Antonio	-10.29	10	0	12	0
20	26	Baylor	-9.988	8	2	9	3
21	18	Iowa	-9.907	8	2	9	3
22	38	SMU	-9.614	8	2	9	3
23	23	Arkansas	-9.595	7	3	8	4
24	35	Houston	-9.528	9	1	11	1
25	20	Purdue	-9.361	6	4	8	4
26	19	Auburn	-9.15	6	4	7	5
27	24	Clemson	-8.907	7	3	8	4
28	27	Nebraska	-8.819	3	7	4	7
29	40	Mississippi St	-8.72	6	4	7	5
30	30	Liberty	-8.611	7	3	8	4
31	39	Air Force	-8.438	7	3	8	4
32	34	BYU	-8.358	8	2	10	2
33	25	Oklahoma	-8.351	9	1	10	2
34	28	Iowa State	-8.327	6	4	7	5
35	42	Army	-8.045	6	3	7	4
36	33	Minnesota	-8.022	6	4	7	5
37	36	Arizona State	-8.008	7	3	8	4
38	37	West Kentucky	-7.907	6	4	7	5
39	41	Appalachian St	-7.796	8	2	10	2
40	29	Tennessee	-7.464	5	5	7	5
41	51	Louisville	-7.443	5	5	6	6
42	32	Marshall	-7.289	6	4	7	5
43	31	Florida	-7.079	5	5	6	6
44	50	Kansas State	-6.521	7	3	8	4
45	48	Nevada	-6.043	7	3	8	4
46	45	LSU	-5.854	4	6	5	7
47	44	Kentucky	-5.821	7	3	8	4
48	54	UCLA	-5.753	6	4	6	5
49	57	Oregon State	-5.319	6	4	7	5
50	53	San Diego State	-5.283	9	1	10	2
51	55	Fresno State	-5.232	8	3	8	3
52	52	North Carolina	-5.193	5	5	6	6
53	43	Coastal Carolina	-5.129	8	2	10	2
54	59	UAB	-5.107	7	3	8	4
55	64	Rutgers	-4.435	5	5	6	6
56	47	Syracuse	-4.248	5	5	6	6
57	66	Utah State	-3.941	8	2	10	2
58	61	Toledo	-3.678	5	5	7	5
59	49	Virginia	-3.64	6	4	7	5
60	46	Texas	-3.566	4	6	5	7
61	58	Miami	-3.502	5	5	6	6
62	63	Boston College	-3.254	6	4	7	5
63	56	UCF	-3.251	6	4	8	4
64	67	Virginia Tech	-2.612	5	5	6	6
65	60	Washington St	-2.597	5	5	6	6
66	75	Miami (OH)	-2.08	5	5	7	5
67	62	Illinois	-1.977	4	6	4	7
68	72	Louisiana	-1.847	9	1	10	2
69	70	USC	-1.131	4	5	5	7
70	65	West Virginia	-1.105	4	6	5	7
71	74	East Carolina	-0.652	6	4	7	5
72	73	Florida State	-0.507	4	6	5	7
73	71	South Carolina	-0.226	5	5	6	6
74	80	Memphis	0.3111	5	5	6	6
75	69	Georgia Tech	0.4763	3	7	3	9
76	84	Washington	0.5726	4	6	5	7
77	82	California	0.901	3	6	4	8
78	79	Maryland	0.9701	5	5	5	7
79	85	Texas Tech	0.9778	6	4	6	6
80	68	Eastern Michigan	1.0342	6	4	7	5
81	88	Mid Tennessee	1.0624	5	5	6	6
82	77	TCU	1.3385	4	6	5	7
83	78	Florida Atlantic	1.5173	5	5	6	6
84	87	Ball State	1.663	5	5	6	6
85	83	Northern Illinois	1.8322	7	3	8	4
86	93	Central Michigan	1.8682	6	4	7	5
87	89	Missouri	1.9469	5	5	5	7
88	81	West Michigan	2.1289	6	4	7	5
89	76	Indiana	2.4768	2	8	2	10
90	86	Stanford	2.7244	3	7	4	8
91	94	Old Dominion	2.9693	4	6	5	7
92	90	Colorado State	3.02	3	7	4	8
93	91	UTEP	3.0734	6	4	6	5
94	92	Northwestern	3.163	3	7	3	9
95	98	Tulsa	3.2773	4	6	5	7
96	96	Louisiana Tech	3.8049	3	7	4	8
97	102	Georgia State	3.9037	5	5	6	6
98	97	Wyoming	3.9371	5	5	6	6
99	101	Navy	4.7483	2	7	3	9
100	99	Tulane	5.5438	1	9	2	10
101	107	South Florida	5.7114	2	8	3	9
102	95	Troy	5.7816	5	5	6	6
103	108	UNLV	5.9744	2	8	2	10
104	103	South Alabama	6.1802	5	5	5	7
105	104	Colorado	6.2214	3	7	3	9
106	110	North Texas	6.4553	4	6	5	7
107	100	Buffalo	6.7452	4	6	5	7
108	105	San Jose State	7.398	5	6	4	7
109	109	Hawaii	7.5913	4	7	5	7
110	106	Kent State	7.9839	5	5	6	6
111	112	Charlotte	8.5483	5	5	5	7
112	111	Duke	9.137	3	7	3	9
113	118	Ohio	9.8591	3	7	4	8
114	117	Arizona	10.115	1	9	1	11
115	113	Bowling Green	11.008	3	7	4	8
116	114	Rice	11.272	3	7	4	8
117	115	Temple	11.551	3	7	4	8
118	120	Georgia Southern	12.328	3	7	3	9
119	116	Louisiana Monroe	12.63	4	6	4	8
120	119	New Mexico	12.934	3	7	3	9
121	122	Akron	13.61	2	8	2	10
122	121	Texas State	14.795	3	7	3	9
123	124	Arkansas State	14.826	2	8	3	9
124	126	Southern Miss	14.976	1	9	2	10
125	123	Vanderbilt	15.228	2	8	2	10
126	127	Kansas	15.351	2	8	2	10
127	125	Florida Intl	17.065	1	9	2	10
128	128	New Mexico St	17.078	1	9	2	9
129	130	Connecticut	19.777	1	9	1	10
130	129	UMass	21.893	1	9	1	11