|
|
WEST
|
|
|
EAST
|
|
1
|
San Diego
St
|
|
1
|
West Virginia
|
|
16
|
Murray
State
|
|
16
|
South Dakota St
|
|
8
|
Wichita
State
|
|
8
|
USC
|
|
9
|
Saint
Mary’s
|
|
9
|
Minnesota
|
|
5
|
Arkansas
|
|
5
|
LSU
|
|
12
|
NC
State
|
|
12
|
Northern Iowa
|
|
4
|
Maryland
|
|
4
|
Oregon
|
|
13
|
Liberty
|
|
13
|
North Texas
|
|
6
|
Creighton
|
|
6
|
Kentucky
|
|
11
|
Purdue
|
|
11
|
Xavier/Rhode Island
|
|
3
|
Florida
State
|
|
3
|
Seton Hall
|
|
14
|
New
Mexico St
|
|
14
|
Colgate
|
|
7
|
Indiana
|
|
7
|
Houston
|
|
10
|
Florida
|
|
10
|
Wisconsin
|
|
2
|
Gonzaga
|
|
2
|
Dayton
|
|
15
|
UC Irvine
|
|
15
|
Winthrop
|
|
|
SOUTH
|
|
|
MIDWEST
|
|
1
|
Baylor
|
|
1
|
Kansas
|
|
16
|
Monmouth/Prairie
View
|
|
16
|
Robert
Morris/Norfolk St
|
|
8
|
Penn
State
|
|
8
|
Rutgers
|
|
9
|
Oklahoma
|
|
9
|
BYU
|
|
5
|
Colorado
|
|
5
|
Arizona
|
|
12
|
Yale
|
|
12
|
Akron
|
|
4
|
Michigan
St
|
|
4
|
Auburn
|
|
13
|
Vermont
|
|
13
|
Stephen F
Austin
|
|
6
|
Marquette
|
|
6
|
Ohio State
|
|
11
|
Michigan
|
|
11
|
East Tennessee St
|
|
3
|
Louisville
|
|
3
|
Villanova
|
|
14
|
Little Rock
|
|
14
|
Wright State
|
|
7
|
Stanford
|
|
7
|
Iowa
|
|
10
|
Illinois
|
|
10
|
VCU/Georgetown
|
|
2
|
Butler
|
|
2
|
Duke
|
|
15
|
Northern
Colorado
|
|
15
|
William & Mary
|
Last Four Byes
Florida
Michigan
Purdue
NC State
Last Four In
Rhode Island
Xavier
VCU
Georgetown
First Four Out
Memphis
Alabama
Virginia Tech
Texas Tech
Next Four Out
Arizona State
Mississippi State
Tennessee
Richmond
Teams by Conference
Big 10 - 12
Big East - 7
Pac 12 - 5
SEC - 5
Big 12 - 4
ACC - 4
West Coast - 3
Atlantic 10 - 3
American - 2
3 #1's from the same conference? Indiana a 7 while Illinois a 10? I just don't get how you come up with this stuff. When your bracket is wildly different from others, it's probably a good tip that you're doing sometging wrong.
ReplyDeleteYou do realize that there were 3 #1's from the same conference just last year. And I wouldn't call my bracket wildly different from most of the others, with the exception of Illinois, who seems to be your pet team. I'm sorry I've offended you so deeply that you feel the need to disrespect me, but until the actual bracket is released in March, there is no telling which is more accurate.
DeleteI guess I just need a little insight as to how you come up with your bracket. It seems you weigh some things more heavily for some teams and not as much for others. It doesn't seem to be based on your rankings because they don't quite line up. I understand there are matchup variables that go into it (teams who have played twice can't play till the Sweet 16 etc), but that doesn't seem to make up for the discrepancy on a few teams.
ReplyDeleteFor example you have Baylor ranked 6th in your rankings but a 1 seed in your bracket. You have Michigan State at #7 in your rankings but a 4 seed in the bracket. I'm confused.
ReplyDeleteIt's not based on my rankings at all, only at the factors that the committee takes into account. Your example of Michigan State is a perfect one, because I feel they are good enough to be a 2 seed, but the numbers that the committee sees don't make them look quite as good. By my rankings Illinois would be an 8 and Alabama would be in the field, so teams like those are the ones that I like to pick to pull off upsets when I fill out my bracket, because I feel they are better than the committee likely will.
DeleteBaylor is ranked #1 in the NET rating, and second highest on average among the other computer rankings the committee uses, and has the second-best group of wins against good teams of anyone, without a single bad loss. I still feel like Duke is a better team overall, but the committee is much more likely to take Baylor than Duke for a 1-seed at this point because of the bad losses for the Blue Devils.
That makes sense. I appreciate the clarification! So what is holding the Illini back as opposed to Indiana or Minnesota in your eyes? Is it just their terrible non-conference slate? The Miami and Mizzou losses are terrible but their 3 road wins but Minnesota has 9 losses to Illinois 5. The Hoosiers have the two best wins with Michigan State and Florida State but they were both at home. Illinois has 3 quad 1 wins on the road. Obviously the committee weighs road wins more heavily (quad 1 at home cuts off at 30 and road at 75). Just curious as to how you compare the three squads.
ReplyDeleteThe SOS is definitely a part of it, but also the losses you mentioned. Indiana doesn't have a single bad loss, and even though Minnesota has 9 losses, 8 are Quad 1, and the worst is to DePaul, who isn't terrible. The 9 losses are holding the Gophers back a bit, but it's really their only drawback.
DeleteI guess I would disagree with having Minnesota above Illinois because at some point you need to win games. Minnesota has lost 4 more games and has only 1 quality road win to speak of (and OSU continues to fade) and 3 quality home wins. Illinois has 3 quality road wins (Michigan, PSU, & Purdue) with 3 quality home wins. I guess we'll just see who wins Thursday.
ReplyDeleteReady to flip the Illini and Gophers yet? ;-)
ReplyDeleteMinnesota is in deep trouble. It is just comical to rank Minnesota high at this point. At some point you need to win games it is simple. Pitino continues frustrate me. It is unacceptable. Illinois is playing out of their minds and to ignore that is just ignorant. In addition, Indiana is a phenomenal team that really should be given more credit than a lot of people do.
ReplyDeleteTo all the Illinois fans that are angry, would you cut Logan some slack - it was his first year on bracket matrix last year. The poor guy was a disaster last year in Bracket Matrix rankings. He doesn’t need people commenting blasting him again. Let’s see where he finishes this year and then that will be another data point.
ReplyDelete