The overall favorite was upset last weekend, leaving the race for the title wide open and shifting the odds dramatically. I've recalculated each remaining team's odds of making and winning the Super Bowl, and their change from last week is in parentheses:
Odds of Reaching Super Bowl
1. 49ers - 71.8% (+25.0)
2. Chiefs - 64.1% (+33.7)
3. Titans - 35.9% (+27.1)
4. Packers - 28.2% (+7.4)
The only team who didn't make a huge jump here is Green Bay, who has to go to San Francisco, where they were obliterated earlier in the season. The 49ers got through their toughest test in the NFC last week, so they are much more likely to reach the Super Bowl now, though it's still far from a guarantee.
Odds of Winning Super Bowl
1. 49ers - 39.0% (+16.7)
2. Chiefs - 34.0% (+17.2)
3. Titans - 16.2% (+12.3)
4. Packers - 10.8% (+4.0)
The 49ers are a slight favorite to win it all this year, but the Chiefs definitely shouldn't be discounted. The other teams are definitely alive, but both need to pick up a big upset this weekend first.
My Picks
Chiefs 26, Titans 20
49ers 29, Packers 20
Super Bowl
Chiefs 27, 49ers 24
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