With the NFL season over and the playoff field set, it's time to check out every team's odds of advancing through the playoffs and winning the ultimate prize, and I will also be making my own picks. Out of the 12 teams to make the playoffs, the only one to end the regular season with a loss was New Orleans, who did not play their starters in the season's final game. I have entered every score from the season into my formula, then analyzed every possible matchup to determine the odds of every team advancing through each round.
Odds of Winning Wild Card Game
1. Bears - 64.8%
2. Texans - 58.6%
3. Ravens - 57.6%
4. Seahawks - 51.4%
5. Cowboys - 48.6%
6. Chargers - 42.4%
7. Colts - 41.4%
8. Eagles - 35.2%
Odds of Reaching Conference Championship
1. Saints - 71.3%
2. Chiefs - 63.27%
3. Rams - 63.26%
4. Patriots - 56.3%
5. Bears - 25.5%
6. Texans - 24.7%
7. Ravens - 24.4%
8. Chargers - 17.6%
9. Seahawks - 17.2%
10. Colts - 13.8%
11. Cowboys - 12.7%
12. Eagles - 10.0%
Odds of Reaching Super Bowl
1. Saints - 44.1%
2. Chiefs - 40.4%
3. Rams - 30.2%
4. Patriots - 24.9%
5. Bears - 11.50%
6. Ravens - 11.47%
7. Texans - 11.0%
8. Chargers - 8.1%
9. Seahawks - 6.6%
10. Colts - 5.3%
11. Cowboys - 3.9%
12. Eagles - 3.2%
Odds of Winning Super Bowl
1. Saints - 25.2%
2. Chiefs - 20.6%
3. Rams - 16.3%
4. Patriots - 11.0%
5. Bears - 5.7%
6. Ravens - 5.4%
7. Texans - 4.7%
8. Chargers - 3.7%
9. Seahawks - 3.0%
10. Colts - 2.2%
11. Cowboys - 1.5%
12. Eagles - 1.3%
My Picks
Wild Card
(6) Colts over (3) Texans
(5) Chargers over (4) Ravens
(3) Bears over (6) Eagles
(5) Seahawks over (4) Cowboys
Divisional
(1) Chiefs over (6) Colts
(5) Chargers over (2) Patriots
(1) Saints over (5) Seahawks
(2) Rams over (3) Bears
Conference Championships
(1) Chiefs over (5) Chargers
(1) Saints over (2) Rams
Super Bowl
(1) Saints over (1) Chiefs
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