2 more teams joined the ranks of teams whose tournament status is absolutely safe this week, bringing the total to 6, and since 3 of those teams will probably end up as conference champs, there are still 33 spots likely available for the other teams on this page that do not win their conference. Teams whose status has become more solid are in bold, and teams whose status got weaker are in italics.
American
Probably In
Cincinnati (21-2) - Good: 7-2, Bad Losses: 0
Should be In
Wichita State (17-5) - Good: 5-5, Bad Losses: 0
Good Chance
Houston (17-5) - Good: 4-3, Bad Losses: 2
Still a Chance
SMU (15-8) - Good: 4-4, Bad Losses: 4
Temple (13-10) - Good: 6-5, Bad Losses: 5
Atlantic 10
Probably In
Rhode Island (19-3) - Good: 3-3, Bad Losses: 0
Still a Chance
St. Bonaventure (16-6) - Good: 4-2, Bad Losses: 4
ACC
Definitely In
Virginia (22-1) - Good: 10-1, Bad Losses: 0
Duke (19-4) - Good: 6-3, Bad Losses: 1
Probably In
Clemson (19-4) - Good: 10-4, Bad Losses: 0
North Carolina (17-7) - Good: 7-6, Bad Losses: 1
Should Be In
Miami (17-5) - Good: 5-4, Bad Losses: 1
Florida State (17-6) - Good: 6-5, Bad Losses: 1
Good Chance
NC State (16-7) - Good: 6-5, Bad Losses: 2
Louisville (16-8) - Good: 4-8, Bad Losses: 0
Virginia Tech (16-7) - Good: 4-6, Bad Losses: 1
Syracuse (16-8) - Good: 5-6. Bad Losses: 2
Still a Chance
Boston College (14-9) - Good: 2-9, Bad Losses: 0
Notre Dame (13-10) - Good: 4-7, Bad Losses: 3
Big 12
Probably In
Kansas (18-5) - Good: 12-5, Bad Losses: 0
Texas Tech (19-4) - Good: 11-3, Bad Losses: 1
West Virginia (18-6) - Good: 9-5, Bad Losses: 1
Should Be In
Oklahoma (16-7) - Good: 9-7, Bad Losses: 0
TCU (16-7) - Good: 7-6, Bad Losses: 1
Good Chance
Texas (15-8) - Good: 6-8, Bad Losses: 0
Kansas State (16-7) - Good: 5-6, Bad Losses: 1
Still a Chance
Oklahoma State (14-9) - Good: 4-9, Bad Losses: 0
Baylor (13-10) - Good: 3-9, Bad Losses: 1
Big East
Definitely In
Villanova (22-1) - Good: 10-1, Bad Losses: 0
Xavier (21-3) - Good: 8-3, Bad Losses: 0
Should Be In
Creighton (17-6) - Good: 6-6, Bad Losses: 0
Butler (17-7) - Good: 5-7, Bad Losses: 0
Seton Hall (17-6) - Good: 5-5, Bad Losses: 1
Good Chance
Providence (15-8) - Good: 7-6, Bad Losses: 2
Still a Chance
Marquette (13-10) - Good: 4-10, Bad Losses: 0
Big Ten
Definitely In
Purdue (23-2) - Good: 11-2, Bad Losses: 0
Michigan State (22-3) - Good: 6-3, Bad Losses: 0
Should Be In
Ohio State (20-5) - Good: 5-5, Bad Losses: 0
Michigan (19-6) - Good: 5-6, Bad Losses: 0
Good Chance
Maryland (16-9) - Good: 2-8, Bad Losses: 1
Still a Chance
Nebraska (17-8) - Good: 3-6, Bad Losses: 2
Penn State (16-9) - Good: 3-6, Bad Losses: 3
Northwestern (14-10) - Good: 1-8, Bad Losses: 2
Goodbye
Minnesota
Conference USA
Good Chance
Middle Tennessee (18-5) - Good: 3-4, Bad Losses: 1
Still a Chance
Western Kentucky (16-7) - Good: 3-3, Bad Losses: 4
Old Dominion (17-5) - Good: 0-3, Bad Losses: 2
Mountain West
Should Be In
Nevada (20-4) - Good: 2-2, Bad Losses: 2
Good Chance
Boise State (19-4) - Good: 1-2, Bad Losses: 2
Ohio Valley
Still a Chance
Belmont (19-6) - Good: 3-3, Bad Losses: 3
Murray State (18-5) - Good: 0-3, Bad Losses: 2
Pac 12
Should Be In
Arizona (19-5) - Good: 5-4, Bad Losses: 1
Good Chance
USC (17-7) - Good: 3-5, Bad Losses: 2
Washington (17-6) - Good: 5-5, Bad Losses: 1
Arizona State (17-6) - Good: 4-3, Bad Losses: 3
Still a Chance
UCLA (16-7) - Good: 4-3, Bad Losses: 4
Utah (13-9) - Good: 3-7, Bad Losses: 2
Goodbye
Oregon
SEC
Probably In
Auburn (21-2) - Good: 8-2, Bad Losses: 0
Tennessee (17-5) - Good: 6-5, Bad Losses: 0
Should Be In
Kentucky (17-6) - Good: 9-6, Bad Losses: 0
Good Chance
Florida (15-8) - Good: 8-7, Bad Losses: 1
Missouri (15-8) - Good: 5-7, Bad Losses: 1
Alabama (15-8) - Good: 9-4, Bad Losses: 4
Arkansas (16-8) - Good: 6-8, Bad Losses: 0
Texas A&M (15-8) - Good: 8-8, Bad Losses: 0
Still a Chance
Mississippi State (17-6) - Good: 4-5, Bad Losses: 1
LSU (13-9) - Good: 6-7, Bad Losses: 2
Georgia (13-9) - Good: 6-7, Bad Losses: 2
South Carolina (13-11) - Good: 3-9, Bad Losses: 2
West Coast
Should Be In
Saint Mary's (23-2) - Good: 4-1, Bad Losses: 1
Gonzaga (21-4) - Good: 5-3, Bad Losses: 1
Still a Chance
BYU (18-7) - Good: 1-4, Bad Losses: 3
Others
Good Chance
New Mexico State (20-3) - Good: 1-2, Bad Losses: 1
Louisiana (20-3) - Good: 0-1, Bad Losses: 2
Vermont (19-5) - Good: 0-3, Bad Losses: 2
Still a Chance
South Dakota State (20-6) - Good: 1-2, Bad Losses: 4
East Tennessee State (21-4) - Good: 0-2, Bad Losses: 2
Loyola-Chicago (19-5) - Good: 1-1, Bad Losses: 4
Buffalo (18-6) - Good: 0-5, Bad Losses: 1
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